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  • 7/29/2019 Daily Trade Journal -01.03

    1/7

    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    38.2

    -324.4

    -0.7

    83.3

    407.6

    Friday, March 01, 2013

    849.5

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    16.5

    673.9

    0.30 %

    0.39 %

    2,171.7

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 16.79

    + 12.46

    5,652.69

    3,206.85

    ASPI 0.2%

    3.9%

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 01.03.2013

    Bourse ended a week of stagnation, concluding trading on a

    positive note with prominent interest in the banking and finance

    and manufacturing sectors. The benchmark index gained 27

    points at its peak of 5,663.58 points reflecting considerable gains

    denoted in the S&P caliber; Ceylon Tobacco Company (+5.1%),

    John Keells Holdings (+0.5%) and Hayleys (+2.6%) before settling

    with a gain of 16 points at 5,652.69. Consequently the S&P SL20

    index advanced 12 points at its close of 3,206.85 points. Crossings in

    BFI and manufacturing sector counters added 55% to the daysturnover.Colombo bourse which witnessed a 82 point WoW dip during the

    week has continued to grab attention from value hunters with

    several growth counters trading at discount levels. The downtrend

    has mirrored the losses denoted in majority of the overvalued

    stocks which investors piled into whilst following herd instinct while

    fundamental counters have remained relatively resilient to the

    downtrend. With anticipated earnings growth in the banking sector

    being proven true with the earnings release of large banks during

    the week, we emphasize on accumulating growth picks during the

    current stagnation phase placing importance on the banking

    sector and a few selected picks from Non-Bank Financial

    Institutions. The key picks of the NBFI sector have been highlightedin our sector report released (see weekly plus: research chat page

    9)

    Investor hunt in Hatton National Bank continued with its earnings

    release depicting a 32% YoY growth. The counter emerged to

    spearhead the days turnover backed by two off-market

    transactions carrying c.2 mn shares at LKR149.0 while its Non-Voting

    share touched a 52-week high price of LKR121.9 during the day.

    Sampath Bank sustained interest with its dividend announcement

    of LKR6.0 per share today while encountering a 100k off-board

    parcel at LKR235.0 while its price touched LKR235.3 at its peak.

    Manufacturing sector interest was primarily driven by Royal

    Ceramics and Piramal Glass with both trading at attractive

    valuations. The former saw several large transactions executed at

    LKR98.0 and LKR99.0 while the latter witnessed two large blocks

    accumulating to c.1.5 mn shares at LKR6.2. Chevron Lubricants

    added another block to the crossings board amounting to 176k

    shares at LKR217.5 with insignificant on-board interest.

    Ceylon Tobacco Company edged up as a major positive

    contributor to the index with its announcement of the company

    not having to comply with the packaging regulations which were

    due to come into force on March 1st 2013. Its price touched

    LKR770.0 (+6.6%) at its peak before closing with a 5.1% gain at

    LKR759.2.

    Retailers continue to step on the sidelines however some interest

    was noted in SMB Leasing, Panasian Power and Free Lanka Capital.

    BFI & manufacturing sectorplay dominates bourse

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 01.03.2013

    9.10

    10.08

    11.10

    14.40

    Inflation (%) Feb-13 9.8

    8.6

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified p

    Healthcare q

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property q

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation p

    Telecom q

    -1.39%

    2.1

    22.9

    94.2

    12,702.9

    % Change

    0.30%2.1

    1464.55%

    15.2

    -2.28%

    -1.47%

    -1.25%

    -1.94%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    -1.44%

    -28.86%

    1682.59%

    -444.32%

    117.1

    2,165.2

    27.8

    124.58%

    124.58%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    300.1

    2.4

    -0.47%

    -2.18%

    0.30%

    Today

    -324.4

    2.1

    407.6

    15.3

    5,652.7

    0.39%

    2,171.7

    2.4

    83.3

    -52.89%

    -52.89%-40.76%

    -1.65%

    5.316.5

    238

    3,206.9

    1,430.6

    11.2

    242

    673.9

    0.30%

    -92.20%

    -62.56%

    Week ending

    0.54%

    30.33%

    4.39%

    -1.44%

    -0.51%

    -1.45%

    228

    2,203.5

    5,735.6

    3,223.3

    12.6

    -1.44%

    4.35%

    1,068.0

    1,088.8

    -20.7

    Change %

    5,635.9

    3,194.4

    2.3

    0.30% 15.5

    Pre Day

    12,772.0

    15,542.0

    1,854.9

    3,351.0

    471.5

    0.33%

    2,794.7

    1,883.9

    0.07%

    1.80%

    0.15%

    0.06%

    2,805.5

    16,175.6

    476.5

    170.4 172.7-0.95%168.8

    2.4

    2,571.5

    15,822.6

    2,809.7

    1,856.1

    12,711.7

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 01.03.2013

    Today

    -35.84

    574.8 599.6 -4.14% 604.1 -4.86%

    782.9 775.6 0.95% 791.0 -1.03%

    2,607.9

    3,404.9

    -0.91%

    3,362.3

    467.2

    0.25%2,565.0

    5500

    5600

    5700

    5800

    5900

    Index

    ASPI

    3140

    3160

    3180

    3200

    3220

    3240

    3260

    3280

    3300

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    100.0

    120.0

    140.0

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    HNB

    SAMPATH

    CHEVRON

    ROYAL CERAMIC

    CEYLON TOBACCO

    Most Active

    Close

    235.20

    759.20

    233.00

    770.00

    149.00

    120.00

    705.30

    9.00

    Volume (mn)

    16.6%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    1.8%

    361,494,833

    29,820,148

    15,760,080

    54,950,345

    39,641,816

    1.04

    0.23

    0.02

    0.1% 2,818,787

    361,494,833

    2.5%

    217.50

    99.00

    759.20

    S M B LEASING[NON VOTING] 0.40

    PIRAMAL GLASS 6.20

    % Change

    PANASIAN POWER

    FREE LANKA 2.40

    1.47

    2.43

    1.97

    2.30

    0.47%234.00

    0.18

    0.302.06%

    0.72

    0.88%

    0.00%

    33.33%

    1.4%

    0.7%

    0.6%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    1,725,253

    5.08%

    2.70

    12,227,780

    539,413

    6.14

    UNION CHEMICALS

    EQUITY

    Pre Day

    0.88%147.70 16.6%2.43

    Volume (mn)% Change

    11.95%

    + 0.40 12.50%

    149.00

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    120.00

    0.0%

    0.1%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    145.80

    8.61

    0.93

    108.80

    56.50

    145.80

    42.90

    54,950.34

    70.00

    235.10

    147.10

    43.00

    705.30

    69.50

    1.80

    14.50

    TodayCompany

    146.00

    ENVI. RESOURCES [W 0003]

    25.60

    431.11

    3.36428.87

    2,836.08

    86.06

    1,098.08

    2.36

    Today

    10.00%

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    1.1017.02%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    10,926.31

    301.44

    85.72

    0.68

    730.00

    2,813.77

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    236.50

    6.66

    119.00

    232.00

    120.00

    178.00

    43.80

    9.00

    % Change

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 11,917

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 6,170

    1.5%

    1041,063

    2,304

    9.2%

    6.5%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    4.0%

    3.3%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    123.64

    1,624.00

    109.10

    848.28

    0.78

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 120.00

    2.5% 0.29

    99.07

    150.00

    45.761,726.62

    0.3613.55

    440.00

    710.00

    9.10

    1,625.00

    109.00

    440.101,625.00

    361,494.83

    36.50

    3.9%

    2.2%

    1.2%

    122

    122,007

    2,426,112

    7,069

    4.0%

    180.00

    59.00

    3.4%

    180.00

    56.70

    440.00

    3.6%

    235.10

    0.28%

    1.8%

    2.2%

    Change

    - 0.30

    - 4.40

    - 0.20

    - 1.30

    % Change

    235.30

    97.00

    722.50

    216.90

    RAMBODA FALLS

    + 54.40

    NATION LANKA [W 0021]

    70.00

    120.00

    Volume

    22.08

    0.00%

    4.35%

    100,234

    782.08

    118.68

    20,799 15,760.08

    1.4%

    Change

    2,399.00

    Company% of

    Mkt Cap

    2.70

    Today Pre Day

    147.70

    6.20

    0.30

    + 349.00

    DISTILLERIES

    6,520

    233,846

    HNB 149.00

    Company

    205

    5,290

    814

    SWARNAMAHAL FIN

    HARISCHANDRA

    Company Today

    1.5%

    HUNAS FALLS

    S M B LEASING [X] 0.40 + 0.10 33.33% ASIRI CENTRAL 215.40 - 59.50 -21.64%

    -8.23%

    -10.00%

    -21.43%

    -14.67%

    55.00

    509.50

    3.60

    + 5.00

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar Regnis (Lanka) PLC

    Yuan Singer (Sri Lanka) PLC

    Euro Singer Industries (Ceylon) PLC

    Rupee Nestle Lanka PLC

    Yen Sampath Bank PLC (Amended)

    Ringgit Lanka Walltiles PLC

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht Sampath Bank PLC (A

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    q

    q

    q

    q

    p

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 q

    CBOT Wheat q

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    16-04-2013

    20-03-2013

    20-03-2013

    1/0/1900

    05-04-2013

    Description

    30.00

    6.00

    0 4/4/2013

    11-03-2013

    XR Date

    11-03-2013

    00-Jan-00

    21-03-201312-03-2013

    Renunciation

    20-03-2013

    1.50

    Time*

    USd/bu.

    84.78

    Price

    110.52

    91.13

    USD/bbl.

    103.02

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    193.40

    2.50

    6.00 11-03-2013

    11-03-2013

    127.46

    0.0033.99

    Malaysia

    4.16

    130.39

    20.48

    2.35

    1.38

    41.20

    India

    Currency

    166.66

    Indicative Rate

    01.03.2013

    China

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    6,337.9

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.76

    -140.1

    g 01 for 33.1246492

    2,604.8

    136.13

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.29

    USA

    01:28

    -19.3

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -1.12%

    47.0

    03:01

    0

    00-Jan-00

    20-03-2013

    05-04-2013

    06:21

    06:22

    -0.36%

    06:22

    Company

    06:21

    06:22

    06:22

    0-Jan

    0-Jan

    06:11

    06:10

    Time*

    06:22

    -1.76%

    Change %

    -0.14%

    -1.40%

    -0.75%

    -1.00%

    0.41%

    -0.61%

    -0.68%

    -1.3

    Change

    -0.60%-0.52

    0

    -

    Change %

    348.55

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -

    713.50

    -

    28.03

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    11,606.4

    Value

    14,054.5

    1,514.7

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    -0.75

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    22,880.2

    Units

    0

    -24.7

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    1.00

    0.00

    -0.15%

    -0.09%

    -20.9

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    1,567.20 -11.00

    Australia

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Hydro Power Free Lanka [HPFL: LKR5.9]:This is to inform the existingname of the company Hydro Power Free Lanka will be changed to FLC Hydro

    power Plc.

    Free Lanka Capital Holdings [FLCH: LKR2.4]: This is to inform theexsisting name of the company Free Lanka Capital Holdings will be changed toFLC Holdings Plc.

    Peoples Leasing and Finance [PLC: LKR13.4]: The company informs that Mr.Gamini Sedara Senerath hasbeen appointed as the Non-Executive Non-Independent Chairmen of the board of the company .

    Brown and Company [BRWN: LKR111.0]: The company informs that Mrs Rohoni Lettitia Nanayakkararelinquished her services as Chairperson/Non-Executive director Mr. Ishara Chinthaka Nanayakkara will be

    appointed as the Executive Chairman/Executive Director of the company.

    Local News

    Cabinet approves USD10 mn Govt. borrowing from HNB: The Cabinet has approved a credit agreementwith Hatton National Bank [HNB: LKR149] to finance the construction of 210 steel bridges in Sri Lanka.

    proposal made by President Mahinda Rajapaksa in his capacity as the Minister of Finance and Planning, the

    Government will enter into a loan agreement with the HNB to borrow US dollars equivalent to GBP6,779,243

    for the project.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    21 Acts to be revamped for Budget boost: Cabinet approval was given yesterday to revamp a slew of Acts topave way for 2013 Budget proposals to be implemented. Accordingly, a total of 21 new bills will be

    presented to Parliament in the coming weeks. These include amendments to the Value Added Tax Act,Inland Revenue Act, Nation Building Tax, Ports and Airports, Economic Service Charge, Finance Act, Tax

    Appeals commission and Customs Ordinance. Interestingly, the Betting and Gaming (Amendment) Bill will

    also be presented to Parliament along with Strategic Development Projects (Amendment) Bill and Excise

    Ordinance (Amendment) Bill.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Tea auctions brew fresh all time record prices: Three all-time record prices, established on 13 and 19February 2013, were improved by the same factories at this weeks sale. These all-time record prices were

    established in Ex-Estate and High and Medium catalogues of Forbes & Walker Tea Brokers Ltd. Court Lodge

    Estate Pekoe 1 grade established a new all-time record price of LKR1,500 per kilogram, improving on the

    LKR1,300 per kilogram established by them on 19 February 2013 for the same grade in the Nuwara Eliya

    category. Pedro Estate established a new all-time record price of LKR1,350 per kilogram, for a OP Grade,improving on the LKR1,000 per kilogram established by the same estate on 13 February 2013 for the same

    grade in the Nuwara Eliya category. Craighead Estate FBOP Grade established a New all Time Record price of

    LKR740 per kilogram, improving on the LKR720 per kilogram established by them on 19 February 2013 for

    the same grade in the Western Medium category.

    [Source: www.ft.lk]

    Sri Lanka's 'B+' rating confirmed by S & P, amid warnings: Standard and Poor's Ratings Services hasconfirmed a 'B+' sovereign rating for Sri Lanka with a 'stable' outlook but warned of a bloated state sector

    and institutions that lack transparency and independence. "We affirmed the ratings to reflect our view of Sri

    Lanka's weak external liquidity, a moderately high and increasing net external liability position,"S & P said in

    a statement. Additional rating constraints include the country's fundamental fiscal weaknesses, and theattendant high government debt and interest burdens. Ratings were supported by strong growth prospects

    and limiting inflation to single digits, the agency said. Inflation may moderate as the rupee stabilizes.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    http://www.lbo.lk/http://www.lbo.lk/
  • 7/29/2019 Daily Trade Journal -01.03

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    Global News

    Chinas Manufacturing Expands at Below-Forecast Pace: Two Chinese manufacturing indexes showed aslower-than-estimated pace of expansion, a signal the nations economic recovery may be losing steam. The

    official Purchasing Managers Index was 50.1 in February, the weakest in five months and down from 50.4 in

    January, a report from the National Bureau of Statistics and China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing

    showed today in Beijing. A separate gauge from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics dropped to a four-

    month low of 50.4 from 52.3. Readings above 50 indicate expansion. Contractions at small and mid-sized

    manufacturers in the official survey underscore the headwinds Chinas new government will face when it

    takes power this month after the annual session of parliament. Li Keqiang, set to become premier, faces the

    task of sustaining a rebound in growth without triggering a resurgence in inflation and banks bad debts.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

    German Retail Sales Post Biggest Monthly Jump in Six Years: German retail sales rose the most in morethan six years in January as falling unemployment bolstered consumer confidence. Sales, adjusted for

    inflation and seasonal swings, jumped 3.1% from December, when they dropped 2.1%, the Federal Statistics

    Office in Wiesbaden said today. Thats the biggest increase since December 2006, the office said. Economistsforecast a 0.9% gain, according to the median of 20 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. From a year

    earlier, sales rose 2.4%. The German economy, Europes largest, is recovering from its fourth-quarter slump.

    Factory orders, industrial production and exports rose in December and sentiment has improved among

    entrepreneurs, investors and consumers. With unemployment near a two-decade low and a shortage of

    skilled labor, German workers won wage deals of as much as 6.5% last year.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 101, 1/1, Aguruwathota Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    Negambo

    Krishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd Floor, FN Building, Station Road, [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Shafraz Basheer

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277054, +94 77 2333233

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277053, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently veri fied and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change w ithout notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customers. Not all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

    other financial instruments mentioned or issuers described herein at any time and may make a purchase and/or sale, or offer to make a purchase and/or sale of any

    such securities or other financial instruments from time to time in the open market or otherwise, in each case either as principal or agent. Softlogic Stockbrokers

    may make markets in securities or other financial instruments described in this publication, in securities of issuers described here in or in securities underlying or

    related to such securities. Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may have recently underwritten the securities of an issuer mentioned herein. This document may not bereproduced, distributed, or published for any purposes.