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Customizing and Understanding Wavelet Stats Tressa L. Fowler copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved. copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

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Customizing andUnderstanding Wavelet Stats

Tressa L. Fowler

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

Options for HandlingOptions for HandlingMissing dataMissing data

•• Points with valid forecasts.Points with valid forecasts.

•• Points with valid observations.Points with valid observations.

•• Points with both valid forecasts andPoints with both valid forecasts andobservations.observations.

•• All points.All points.

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OO

F!O

F!O

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

ThresholdsThresholds

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

Tiles Tiles –– Grid must be 2 Grid must be 2nn xx 2 2nn

•• Cut down Cut down –– user selected subset (square) user selected subset (square)

•• Tiles Tiles –– automated selection of automated selection of subset(ssubset(s))

•• Pad with zeros Pad with zeros –– not recommended unlessnot recommended unlessadds very small number of pointsadds very small number of points..

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

WaveletsWavelets

•• HaarHaar•• Centered Centered HaarHaar•• DaubechiesDaubechies•• Centered Centered DaubechiesDaubechies•• B B splinespline•• Centered B Centered B splinespline

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

Output

• Text files– Options– Statistics– Can be read into stat analysis tool.

• Postscript files– Graphics– Options– Statistics

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.

copyright 2009,UCAR,all rights reserved.

copyright 2009,UCAR,all rights reserved.

Overallforecast hasskill (ISS > 0)

Errors at thisscale accountfor about 1/3of the MSE.

At this scale,forecast doesnot haveskill (ISS < 0)

copyright 2009,UCAR,all rights reserved.

Forecasttransitionsfrom no skillto skill at scale2 (ISS > 0).

copyright 2009,UCAR,all rights reserved.

At thesescales, theforecast andobservedenergypercentagesare verysimilar.

copyright 2009,UCAR,all rights reserved.

Summary

• Wavelet tool provides a flexible methodfor decomposing spatial fields intodifferent scales.

• Once decomposed, verification measuresat each physical scale can be examined andcompared.

copyright 2009, UCAR, all rights reserved.