current global trade scenario

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GLOBAL TRADING ENVIRONMENT Presented by :Navdeep Malik

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Page 1: current global trade scenario

GLOBAL

TRADING ENVIRONMENT

Presented by :Navdeep Malik

Page 2: current global trade scenario

GLOBAL TRADE Exchange of goods and services along

international borders.Making and collecting payments for

transactions in goods and services.Summary of trade undertaken is reflected in

the Balance of Payment.

Page 3: current global trade scenario

WHY GLOBAL TRADE Optimum utilisation of resources.Competitive environment.Standardised goods and services.Foreign investments.Enhance employment.Enhance employment.

Page 4: current global trade scenario

CURRENT SCENARIO INDIAN ECONOMY

India CAD is $88 billion accounting to 4.8% of GDP.

Exports increased by 11.6% for July 2013 and 13% in august.

Imports fell by 6.2% to $38.1 billion from $40.6 billion.

Import duty on jewellery hiked to 15%.Growth rate brought to 5.3% from previous

projection of 6.4%.Repo rate raised from7.25% to 7.50% and MSF

down from 10.50 % to 9.50%.

Page 5: current global trade scenario

PMEAC PROJECTION FOR 2013-2014

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

9.30%

6.30%5.00% 5.30%

GDP GROWTHSeries1 Polynomial (Series1)

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

7.90%

3.60%

1.90%

4.80%

AGRICULTURE GROWTHSeries1 Polynomial (Series1)

Page 6: current global trade scenario

DECLINE PROJECTION

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

46

78.287.8

70

CAD ($bn)Series1 Polynomial (Series1)

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

40.5

56.3 53.7

38

GOLD IMPORTSSeries1 Polynomial (Series1)

Page 7: current global trade scenario

EXPORT FIGURES FOR APRIL-JUNE

COUNTRY 2013-2014(Apr-June) % SHARE

USA 9,944.97 13.7685

U.A.E 7,387.93 10.2284

SAUDI ARAB 2,989.20 4.1385

HONG KONG 3,023.35 4.1857

SINGAPORE 3,952.25 5.4718

JAPAN 1,652.86 2.2883

GERMANY 1,774.71 2.4570

FRANCE 1,219.22 1.6880

CHINA 2,428.59 3.3623

BHUTAN 21.52 0.0298

PAKISTAN 432.14 0.5983

SRILANKA 756.99 1.0480

Page 8: current global trade scenario

IMPORT FIGURES FOR APRIL-JUNE

COUNTRY 2013-2014(APR-JUN % SHARE

CHINA 12,078.47 9.8463

SAUDI ARAB 8,593.64 7.0055

SINGAPORE 1,474.77 1.2022

QATAR 4,017.76 3.2752

MALAYSIA 2,496.66 2.0353

KUWAIT 4,897.43 3.9923

JAPAN 2,572.29 2.0969

IRAQ 5,919.18 4.8253

U S A 5,869.69 4.7849

U.A.E 9,263.53 7.5515

GERMANY 3,088.42 2.5176

Page 9: current global trade scenario
Page 10: current global trade scenario

JAPAN ECONOMY AT GLANCEEconomy is the third largest in terms of GDP.Economy is recovering from deflation.Course for its longest run of trade deficits.Trade deficit rose to 960 billion yen from 768

billion compared to last August.Economy expanded 0.9% compared to 1st quarter.Government plans to raise consumption tax.Economy to boost as Tokyo won the bid to host

the 2020 Olympic and Paralympics Games.Japan will spend an estimated $8bn (£5bn) on

refurbishing old stadiums and building new ones.

Page 11: current global trade scenario

• Third largest automobile manufacturing country.

• Exports have fallen.• Toyota Motor Co and Honda Motor Co have

reported a decline in export volumes so far this year, partly because they continue to shift production abroad.

Page 12: current global trade scenario

MAJOR EXPORTS

Motor ve-hicles21%

Electrical machinery

21%

Electronics & semi conductors

18%

Chemicals12%

Iron and steel6%

Scientific equipments

3%

Others 19%

Page 13: current global trade scenario

MAJOR IMPORTS

FUEL32%

MACHINERY19%FOOD

9%MANU-FAC-

TURED GOODS

9%

CHEMICALS 9%

RAW MATE-RIALS

8%

CLOTH-ING 4%

OTHERS10%

Page 14: current global trade scenario

SINGAPORE • GDP expanded 3.8% compared to 1st quarter.• Most competitive and business friendly economy.• Leading foreign direct investment recipient.• Unemployment increased to 2.10% in 2nd quarter

as to 1.90%• Inflation was recorded at 2% in august.• Corporate tax is 17% in 2013 compared to 20%

i.e. all time high in 2007.• Trade surplus widened to 3526 million SGD from

3492 million SGD.

Page 15: current global trade scenario

MAJOR EXPORTS

Electronics31%

Fuel26%

Chemicals 12%

others food,textiles,transpo

rt 31%

Page 16: current global trade scenario

MAJOR IMPORTS

Fuel33%

Electronic components25%

Machinery16%

Chemicals6%

Manu-factured goods.

5%

others agriculture

products etc

15%

Page 17: current global trade scenario

UNITED STATES OF AMERICAMost technologically advanced economies in

the world.Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded 2.50

percent in the second quarter of 2013.Unemployment decreased to 7.30% in august

from 7.40% in July.Annual inflation rate slows to 1.5% in august.Federal reserve said it would continue to buy

bonds of $80 billion monthly.

Page 18: current global trade scenario

MAJOR EXPORTS

INDUSTRIAL SUPPLIES

34%

CAPITAL GOODS33%

FOOD AND BEVERAGE

9%

AUTO-MOTIVE & ENGINES

9%

CONSUMER GOODS

12%OTHERS

3%

Page 19: current global trade scenario

MAJOR IMPORTS

INDUSTRIAL SUPPLIES

32%

CAPITAL GOODS24%

AUTO-MOTIVE& ENGINES

13%

CONSUMER GOODS

12%

FOOD AND BEVERAGE

5%

OTHERS14%

Page 20: current global trade scenario

GERMANY Germany is the largest national economy

in Europe. GDP grew by 0.7% in 2nd quarter .Inflation rate down to 1.5% in August.Germany's trade balance registered a surplus

of €16.9 billion, up from €13.6 for the month of July.

German Unemployment Rate Falls in July .

Page 21: current global trade scenario

MAJOR EXPORTS

CARS18%

MACHINERY15%

CHEMICALS/HARDWARE/

PHARMA/40%

OTHERS27%

Page 22: current global trade scenario

MAJOR IMPORTSELECTRONICS

10%FUEL9%

VEHICLES PARTS /METALS

7%TEXTILE/FOOD/

PHARMA/RUBBER/ PLASTIC

74%

Page 23: current global trade scenario