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Spring Colloquium on 'Regional Weather Predictability and Modeling' April 11 - 22, 2005 �� ������ ������ ________________________________________________________________________________

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Page 1: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Spring Colloquium on'Regional Weather Predictability and Modeling'

April 11 - 22, 2005

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Page 2: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Cumulus Parameterization

Spring Colloquium onRegional Weather Predictability and Modeling

April 11 - 22, 2005Sin Chan Chou

CPTEC/[email protected]

Page 3: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

CUMULUS CLOUDS

Page 4: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION

Page 5: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

The need for cumulus parameterization

*Large-scale destabilizes the environment >>> cumulusparameterization scheme acts to remove the convective instability

*The upward fluxes of heat, moisture and momentum in the cloud can be seen by means of an area average over the equations of mass continuity and heat energy.

*Convective clouds can organise in clusters and show their collective effects in model grid-box.

Page 6: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

General assumption:• This area is assumed to be large enough to contain the cluster or the

ensemble of clouds, but still regarded as a small fraction of the large scale model, the grid size.

Parameterization effect:• Model temperature and moisture profiles are altered by scheme due to

the parameterized convective fluxes and precipitation.

Page 7: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Equations of heat, moisture and continuity

The vertical eddy fluxes are due mainly to the cumulusconvection and turbulent motions in the boundary layer.

( ) ``1. wz

eccL

cQ

zw

t pp

R θρρππ

θθθ∂∂

−−+=∂∂

+∇+∂∂ v

( ) ``1. wqz

eczwqq

tq ρ

ρ ∂∂

−−−=∂∂

+∇+∂∂ v

0. =∂∂

+∇zwv

Page 8: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Therefore the contributions from the cumulus convection to the large scale moisture and heat are:

Cumulus parameterization schemes are designed to represent the convective fluxes and the associated condensation or evaporation.

( )eccLw

zt pcu

−+∂∂

−=⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛∂∂

πθρ

ρθ ``1

( )ecwqzt

q

cu

−−∂∂

−=⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛∂∂ ``1 ρ

ρ

Page 9: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Types of convective scheme:

Adjustment: Betts-Miller (1986), Janjic (1994)

Kuo: Kuo (1974)

Mass-flux: Arakawa-Schubert (1974), Fritsch-Chappell (1980),Tiedtke (1989), Grell, Kain-Fritsch (1993)

Page 10: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Convective adjustment

•Large scale precipitation, sometimes called stratiform precipitation, can be considered a type of convective adjustment in the sense that the environmentprofile is adjusted to a near-saturated state under stable conditions toconvection.

•Every grid point is checked for supersaturation and when this occurs, the adjustments, δT and δq, are calculated for a near saturated condition by solving iteratively the system:

• the adjustments are applied level by level.

TcqL pδδ =−

),( pTTqqq s δδ +=+

Page 11: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Betts-Miller-Janjic

•The Betts-Miller scheme (Betts and Miller, 1986) uses reference profiles of T and q to relax the model profiles inconvective unstable conditions.

•The reference T and q profiles are based on observational studies of convective equilibrium in the tropics.

•Treats deep and shallow convection:

Page 12: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

1. Determine type of cloud

•Parcel lift: determine cloud base and cloud top•Check: cloud depth > 290 hPa: deep convection, else shallow convection.

2. Determine reference profiles

0) =∆∫ − qtop

baseL∆Tp(c

Make sure enthalpy is conserved

Page 13: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Deep Convection

Temperature Reference Profile

To draw the temperature profile3 levels are important:

•cloud base•freezing level•cloud top

Some instability is left in the lower part of the cloud.

Profile is linearly interpolated from the freezing level to the cloud top

Page 14: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Deep Convection

Moisture Reference Profile

DSP= ps - p

Deficit saturation pressure ( DSP) is defined at the 3 levels.

•cloud base: DSPb•freezing level: DSP0•cloud top: DSPt

Values are linearly interpolated between the levels

Freezing level

Page 15: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

[ ]

[ ]

∑ −−∆

=

=∆=∆

−∆

+=

−∆

+=

top

basetsref

cnv

w

cnv

refcnv

oldnew

refcnv

oldnew

ppqqtg

P

stt

qqtqq

TTtTT

))((13000

*4

τρ

τ

τ

τ

Page 16: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

1. Cloud Eficiency

•Eficiency related to the precipitation production•Dependent on cloud entropy.•Eficiency varies from 0.2 to 1.0•Modifies reference profiles•Modifies relaxation time

≤≤≤≤

=

EforF

linearisEFEF

0.12.00.17.0

)()(

´τ τ

Page 17: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Fefi, fss

Page 18: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

• Applied to points where cloud depth is larger than 10hPa and smaller than290hPa

• At least two layers

• swap points: negative precipitation and entropy in deep convection points.

Shallow Convection

Temperature Reference Profile

Page 19: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

OFBIAS =

F = No. de pts previstos acima do limiarO = No. de observaoces acima do limiarH= No. pts de acertosCH = No. de pts por acertos aleatorios

Page 20: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

DJF – 2002/2003

Page 21: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Mass Flux Scheme

•The single component of the cloud is not treated individually but as bulk effects produced by an ensemble of clouds.

•The large scale area average mass flux, , is assumed to contain an environment part, represented as , and a cloudy part, , which represents the contribution from all clouds.

•The clouds occupy a fractional area , and the environment

•Vertical mass fluxes can be rewritten as

ec MMM +=

M

ec www ρσρσρ )1( −+=

σ σ−1

eM cM

Page 22: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Mass Flux Scheme

•The observed is generally small, which implies that the strong ascent within the cloud is compensated by the descent between clouds.

From the assumption that , and that , we have then

w

1<<σ 0~w

s : dry static energy

)()('' eccecc ssMsswws −=−≈ ρσρ

Page 23: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

Mass Flux Scheme

A cloud model is necessary to give values of and

Based on the mass conservation and assuming steady state

and are the entrainment and detrainment rates

Extension to other typical cloud conservative properties:

In a moist atmosphere:

cM cs

DEzc −=

∂∂ρω

E D

DEzMc −=∂∂

( )c

cc DssEzsM

−=∂

( ) cLDssEzsM

ccc ρ−−=

∂∂

Page 24: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

The conservation of water substance can be split into vapour, q, and liquid, l, phases.

k is the rate of conversion of liquid water into precipitation.

By writing the convective eddy transports in the flux form, the energy conservation in the column is assured.

Mass Flux Scheme

( ) cDqqEzqM

ccc ρ−−=

∂∂

( ) klcDlzlM c ρρ −+=

∂∂

Page 25: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

The contribution from cumulus activity to the large scale heat and moistureare thus,

Observations show that cloud mass flux is larger than the vertical mass fluxforced by large scale convergence.

The representation of cloud mass flux from large scale convergence is not enough to reproduce the warming in cloud free area. There is need for an explicit representation of mass transports, or of other quantities, within the cloud.

Mass Flux Scheme

[ ] ( )eccL

zM

t p

cc

cu

−+∂

−∂−=⎟⎟

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛∂∂

πθθ

ρθ )(1

[ ] ( )eczqqM

tq cc

cu

−−∂

−∂−=⎟

⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛∂∂ )(1

ρ

Page 26: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

•Based on Fritsch-Chappell Scheme

•Based on Mesoscale Convective Systems

•Mass Flux Type

•Cloud Model to estimate the convective mass fluxes

KAIN-FRITSCH CONVECTION PARAMETERIZATION

Page 27: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛ −

=TTTg

dtdw u

CAPEdzTTTgww u

ETL

LFCLFCETL =⎟

⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛ −

=− ∫|21|

21 22

CLOSURE:

All CAPE in the column is removed within tc

ETL: Equilibrium Temperature LevelLFC: Level of Free Convection

Page 28: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

⎪⎩

⎪⎨⎧

∆+−⇒>

⇒≤

unstable

stableu TTT

0

031

1 LCLwcT =∆

Trigger Function:

Page 29: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

uuu

zM δε −=∂∂

)( ecLz

Muuuu

uu −+−=∂

∂ θδθεθ

RecLqqzqM

uuuuuu −−−−=

∂∂ )(δε

)( ecLRlzlM u −++−=

∂∂ δ

Updraft:

Page 30: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

ddd

zM δε −=∂∂

Lez

Mdddd

dd −−=∂

∂ θδθεθ

LeqqzqM

dddddd +−=

∂∂ δε

Downdraft:

LFS: Level of Free SinkMixture of saturated updraft air and environment air

and : gaussian distributionε δ

Page 31: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

( ) ( ) ( )[ ]udududucon

MMzt

θδδθεεθρ

θ+−+++

∂∂

−=∂∂ 1

( ) ( ) ( )[ ]udududucon

qqqMMzt

q δδεερ

+−+++∂∂

−=∂∂ 1

( ) ( ) ( )[ ]udududucon

uuuMMzt

u δδεερ

+−+++∂∂

−=∂∂ 1

( ) ( ) ( )[ ]udududucon

vvvMMzt

v δδεερ

+−+++∂∂

−=∂∂ 1

Tendencies:

Flux form: Conservation of moisture and energy

Page 32: Cumulus Parameterization - International Centre for ...indico.ictp.it/event/a04186/session/15/contribution/7/material/0/0.pdf · The need for cumulus parameterization *Large-scale

c

p

tTT

tT −=

∆∆

c

p

tqq

tq −=

∆∆

Vxtc

∆=