creating alpha through global value investing - stonehill blogs
TRANSCRIPT
Creating Alpha Through Global Value Investing
Joseph H. Schwartz, CFA Wellington Management Company, LLP
Retired Partner
Co-‐Sponsored by:
The Stonehill College Chapters of the FMA International and Beta Alpha Psi
Agenda
• The investment management industry
• My philosophy of investing
• Some unsolicited career advice
• Developing yourself outside the classroom
• Further Q&A
Investment Management A Great Career Field
• Pays Relatively Well
• Fascinating Work Experiences
• Offers Significant Growth Opportunities
• But, it’s very competitive and not easy
• How does an aspiring investor create value for clients?
• Role of higher education
An Investment Philosophy
“There is a spectrum of
relative pricing efficiency
that exists in the global capital markets.
Focus on the areas of greatest inefficiency.”
The Fixed Income Spectrum • U.S. Treasury Securities (Most Efficient)
• Developed Country Sovereign Debt
• Investment Grade Corporate Debt
• High Yield Corporate Debt
• Emerging Market Debt
• Lower Quality Sovereign Debt
• Structured Finance
• Credit Default Swaps (Least Efficient)
The Equity Spectrum • US Large Cap Stocks (Most Efficient)
• Developed Country Large Cap Stocks
• US Small & Mid Cap Stocks
• Developed Country Small & Mid Cap Stocks
• Emerging Market Small & Mid Cap Stocks
• US Venture Capital
• Developed Country Venture Capital
• Emerging Market Venture Capital (Least Efficient)
A Behavioral Explanation
“Because of human nature, regularly
recurring cycles of fear and greed prevail
within the global capital markets.”
Logic of Long-‐term, Value Investing • What does it mean to be a value investor?
• What matters most?
• Valuation Metrics
• Core Fundamentals
• International Investing -‐ Risky Business
• Vigilantes? Contagion?
Previous Opportunities • Edwards Life Science (US: Tissue Heart Valves)
• St. Jude Medical (US; Cardiac Rhythm Devices)
• Smith & Nephew (UK; Orthopedics & Wound Care)
• Terumo (Japan; Hospital Supplies)
Common Elements
• All were small-‐to-‐mid-‐cap stocks
• All had negligible investor recognition and low valuations
• All had strong core franchises, cash flow and balance sheets
• They were important, but not yet leading industry players
• Each had an attractive new product pipeline
• Each had an improving competitive position
Wall Street Is Not Your Friend • Inherent conflicts of interest
• Targets of Opportunity
• No fiduciary obligation
• CDO’s
• Caveat Emptor
• “Battle for Investment Survival”
Some Unsolicited Career Advice
• Work very hard -‐ you're competing.
• Never stop learning.
• Get out of your comfort zone.
• Be creative and open-‐minded.
• Be skeptical of consensus thinking, but not cynical.
• When something looks too good to be true, it usually is.
Some Unsolicited Career Advice
• When you're wrong, admit it ASAP.
• Remember -‐ the more you know, the more you don't
know.
• Be quietly confident; be humble. Avoid hubris.
• Keep an even keel with your emotions – it’s hard.
• Share your success – be a mentor and give back.
• Enjoy your career – it’s a privilege.
Some Recommended Reading For Aspiring Investors
• The Intelligent Investor (Benjamin Graham)
• The Little Book That Beats The Market (Joel Greenblat)
• Extraordinary Popular Delusions & The Madness of Crowds (Charles Mackay)
• The Big Short (Michael Lewis)
• Too Big To Fail (Andrew Ross Sorkin)
• Fool's Gold (Gillian Tett)
• This Time Is Different (Carmen Reinhart & Kenneth Rogoff)
• When Genius Failed (Roger Lowenstein)
• Unconventional Success (David Swenson)
• Pioneering Portfolio Management (David Swenson)
• The Investment Answer (Daniel Goldie & Gordon Murray)
• Boomerang (Michael Lewis)