covid-19 and the crisis · note: data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. the share of seniors...

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3.23.20 MANUEL PASTOR & JUSTIN SCOGGINS COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS: VULNERABILITIES IN LOS ANGELES @Prof_MPastor https://flipboard.com/article/9-maps-that-show-which-areas-could-be-more-vulnerable-to-the-covid-19-pandemic/a-dGSfbRpyT5S0qepnGOOgnA%3Aa%3A3002413-5722e2c7ab%2Ffastcompany.com USC Program for Environmental and Regional Equity dornsife.usc.edu/ pere/

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Page 1: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

3.23.20MANUEL PASTOR & JUSTIN SCOGGINS

COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS: VULNERABILITIES IN LOS ANGELES

@Prof_MPastor

https://flipboard.com/article/9-maps-that-show-which-areas-could-be-more-vulnerable-to-the-covid-19-pandemic/a-dGSfbRpyT5S0qepnGOOgnA%3Aa%3A3002413-5722e2c7ab%2Ffastcompany.com

USC Program for Environmental and Regional Equitydornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Page 2: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

With COVID-19 threatening the nation, certain populations

are more vulnerable to its health, economic, and

education impacts.

Community partners asked USC’s Program for

Environmental & Regional Equity (PERE) to look at certain

vulnerable populations in Los Angeles: the elderly, the

undocumented, renters, and children on the other side of

the digital divide.

THE CORONAVIRUS CRISISdornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Page 3: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

To do this, we analyzed three data sets: the 2014-2018

American Community Survey (ACS) micro-data (so that we

could devise customized disaggregations), a special version

of the 2013-2017 ACS in which we previously estimated

legal status, and the 2014-2018 ACS summary files which

are best for mapping and other sorts of geographic

analysis. So here’s what we found . . .

THE CORONAVIRUS CRISISdornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Page 4: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average.

Because Los Angeles is a high-cost area, economists tend to look at those living below 150% of the poverty level. The share of seniors living below that is much higher in South LA than in the City or the County.

25%

28%

38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

L.A. County L.A. City South LA

Percent of Seniors (65 years & older) Living Below 150% of the Poverty Level, L.A. County, City, & South LA, 2018

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Page 5: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average.

The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race & nativity.

19%

28%

23%

34%

14%

29%

18%

24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Non-Hispanicwhite

AfricanAmerican

Latino, US-born Latino,Immigrant

AAPI, US-born AAPI,Immigrant

AIAN, Native Other or mixed

Percent of Seniors (65 years & older) Living Below 150% of the Poverty Level in L.A. County, 2018

Page 6: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average.

The share of seniors living without family members (& not in assisted living) is higher for African Americans and whites, lower for Latinos and Asians.

32%

36%

17% 17%

31%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

White Black Latino AAPI Native American Mixed/Other

Percent of Seniors (65 years & older) Living Alone (without family members), Not in Assisted Living, L.A. County, 2018

Page 7: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average.

But the poverty rates for all seniors of color living alone is much higher than for whites.

32%

47%

61%59%

40%

44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

White Black Latino AAPI Native American Mixed/Other

Percent of Seniors (65 years & older) Living Alone (without family members) Below 150% of Poverty Line, L.A. County, 2018

Page 8: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

12%

16%

27%

0%

10%

20%

30%

L.A. County L.A. City South L.A.

Percent of Employed Workers (Age 25-64) Who Lack

Legal Status, L.A. County, 2017

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2013 through 2017 average.

Undocumented workers are a significant share of employed workers, especially in the City and South LA. They are often in industries that will be hard-hit & lack access to needed support.

Page 9: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2013 through 2017 average.

Undocumented workers are 12 percent of the overall workforce, but up to one-third of those in occupations that are hard-hit by the COVID-19 crisis, such as janitorial and food services. They also are a large share of workers in occupations that are essential for all of us to keep going, such as farming, production and transportation.

12%

33%

28%

33%

29%

20%

Alloccupations

Janitorialservices

Foodservices

Farming,fishing

& forestry

Production Trans-portation

Percent of Employed Workers (Age 25-64) Who Lack Legal Status, Selected Occupations in L.A. County, 2017

Page 10: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

Among food service occupations in the County, there are about 67,000 cooks and nearly 27,000 of them

are undocumented. Among janitorial service occupations, there are over 18,000 undocumented janitors and 27,000 undocumented housekeepers.

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

5,000 6,200 12,800 8,200 8,400

21,600

2,400 1,500

20,700

6,500 8,600

8,400 5,100

26,900

6,500 1,400

15,800

4,900 3,000

30,800

39,200

18,900 3,600 2,100

26,900

7,400

800

8,800

3,300 3,800

18,200 27,000

19,800

Workers (Age 25-64) by Immigration Status, Selected Food and Janitorial Services Occupations in L.A. County, 2017

Immigrant, undocumented

Immigrant, documented

U.S. born

Note: Data reflect a 2013 through 2017 average. Figures are rounded to the nearest 100,

Page 11: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

834,600 804,500

264,300

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Undocumented US Citizen Family Members LPR Family Members

Immigration Status and Family Ripple Effects, Los

Angeles County, 2017

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2013 through 2017 average. Figures are rounded to the nearest 100.

Nearly 19 percent of L.A. County residents are either undocumented or living with a family member who is undocumented. This is partly because of the long-settled nature of the population: 69% of undocumented Angelenos have in the U.S. for a decade or longer.

Page 12: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average.

Children are heading to home-based instruction, but the digital divide by race persists.

11%

31%

36%

16%

36%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

White Black Latino AAPI Native American Mixed/Other

Percent of Children (<= 18 years) Who Attend K-12 And Lack a Computer & High-Speed Internet at Home by Race, L.A. County, 2018

Page 13: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

There is significant racial segregation of the elderly in Los Angeles County.

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Page 14: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

There is significant racial segregation of the elderly in Los Angeles County.

Page 15: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

There are significant disparities in where the elderly poor live in Los Angeles County.

Page 16: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

There are significant disparities in where the elderly poor live in Los Angeles County.

Page 17: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

This map shows the pattern when we adjust up the poverty line to 150% of the poverty level, more appropriate for L.A. County.

Page 18: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

This map shows the pattern when we adjust up the poverty line to 150% of the poverty level, more appropriate for L.A. County.

Page 19: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

“Linguistically isolated” households are households where no one age 14+ speaks English “very well.” Such households may need special language-appropriate outreach.

Page 20: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

“Linguistically isolated” households are households where no one age 14+ speaks English “very well.” Such households may need special language-appropriate outreach.

Page 21: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Carless households are likely to need to rely on public transit to go to work or shop. This is especially concentrated in mid-city and South LA.

Page 22: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Carless households are likely to need to rely on public transit to go to work or shop. This is especially concentrated in mid-city and South LA.

Page 23: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Rent-burdened households are households paying more than 30 percent of their income on rent. That’s a large number of renters in high-cost Los Angeles County.

Page 24: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Rent-burdened households are households paying more than 30 percent of their income on rent. That’s a large number of renters in high-cost Los Angeles County.

Page 25: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Severely rent-burdened households are paying more than 50 percent of their income on rental housing. That is an especially acute problem in mid-city, South LA, part of Northeast LA, and Long Beach.

Page 26: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

Severely rent-burdened households are paying more than 50 percent of their income on rental housing. That is an especially acute problem in mid-city, South LA, part of Northeast LA, and Long Beach.

Page 27: COVID-19 AND THE CRISIS · Note: Data reflect a 2014 through 2018 average. The share of seniors living below 150% of the poverty level in the County varies dramatically by race &

A key public health principle – evident in this crisis – is to protect ourselves, we must protect everyone. For too long, in L.A. and the U.S., we have instead left the most vulnerable behind.

dornsife.usc.edu/pere/

This is a time to make sure that our short-run measures to address the COVID-19 crisis take into account the situations of all Angelenos and set the long-term platform for a more inclusive and sustainable economy and society.