corporate presentation · 2018-10-31 · petroquimica suape/citepe pta 640 ktons pet 450 ktons 2018...
TRANSCRIPT
General
Corporate Presentation
3Q18
General
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-
looking statements”. By their nature, forward looking statements involve
risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on
circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The future results
of Alpek, S.A.B. de C.V. And its subsidiaries may differ from the results
expressed in, or implied by the forward-looking statements set out
herein, possibly to a material degree.
24.4
General
Index
• Business Overview
• Consolidated Financials
• Appendix
3
General
Index
• Business Overview
• Consolidated Financials
• Appendix
4
General
Investment Highlights
Market-leading position in the Americas1
High-return integration and cost-saving projects3
Attractive consumer-oriented product portfolio2
4 Low cost producer with leading technology
5 Experienced management team
6 Strong free cash flow and financial performance
5
General
Alpek is a leading petrochemical company focused
on Polyester chain products, mainly PTA and PET
Source: Alpek estimates
(1) LTM September 2018
(2) 6.65% of the subsidiaries Akra Polyester, S.A. de C.V. and 8.55% Tereftalatos Mexicanos, S.A. de C.V., are owned by BP Amoco Chemical Co.
(3) 49% is owned by Lyondell Basell Industries Holdings B.V.
(4) 50% minus one share is owned by BASF de Mexico S.A. de C.V. 6
Revenues1: US$ 6.6 Billion
EBITDA1: US$ 834 Million
Alpek Polyester2
PTA / PET Polyester Fibers
Polyester (73% of sales) Plastics & Chemicals (26% of Sales)
PolypropyleneExpandable
Polystyrene
Caprolactam
& FertilizersOthers
Indelpro3 Styropek Unimor Polioles4
General
Polyester Chain
Gasoline
Reformer Paraxylene
Crude Oil
Fibers
PET
PTA
MEGEthyleneCrackerEthane
Naphtha Ethylene Oxide
Polyester
Source: Alpek 7
1
1) 0.84 ton Ethylene per ton Ethylene Oxide2) 0.72 ton Ethylene Oxide per ton MEG3) 0.66 ton Paraxylene per ton PTA4) 0.85 ton PTA per ton PET5) 0.35 ton MEG per ton PET
2
3
4
5
4
General
Alpek´s products are widely used for food
packaging and consumer end-markets
Source: Alpek estimates
Kta: Thousand tons per year
Volume by Industry 2017(4,012 Kta)
Consumer
Goods
25%
Textiles
7%Construction
2%
Sales Geography 2017(US$ 5,231 Million )
Europe
3%
Mexico
35%
USA
44%
Asia and Others
1%LatAm
13%
Food and
Beverages
66%
Canada
3%
Sample End Users by Industry
Beverage Food Personal care Textiles
8
General
Alpek is the leading integrated polyester producer
in the Americas (PTA-PET)
PTA(6,190 kta)
Indorama2
NanYa
M&G
FENC
44%
PET(5,581 kta)
The Americas
2017 Installed Capacity
Indorama
BP
Eastman
47%
33%
10%
5%
27%
23%
4%8%
9
1) Far Eastern (“FENC”) acquired Apple Grove assets from M&G on January 30th 2018 . pending government approval
2) Indorama acquired Ipojuca assets from M&G on March 16, 2018. pending government approval
3) Alpek acquired Suape/Citepe on April 30, 2018
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
3 3
1
General
Alpek’s installed capacity amounts to 7.0 M tons;
26 production facilities and ~5,900 employees
Source: Alpek estimates
Kta: Thousand tons per year
(1) Includes industrial and specialty chemicals and recycled PET capacities
Location of Production Sites Installed Capacity Breakdown (Kta)
Site PTA PET rPET Fibers PP EPS CPL Other
Mexico
(3,030 Kta)
A Monterrey 160
B Altamira 1,000 640 240
C Salamanca 85
D Ocotlán 10
E Cosoleacaque 610 185
F Lerma 100
USA
(2,358 Kta)
G Cedar Creek 170 73
H Cooper River 170 150
I Columbia 640 725
J Pearl River 430
Canada K Selenis 144
Argentina
(225 kta)
L Zárate 190
M Pacheco 16
N General Lagos 19
Brazil
(1,226 kta)
O Guaratingueta 46
S Ipojuca 640 450 90
Chile
(27 Kta)
P Santiago 5
Q Puerto Montt 2
R Concon 20
Total Capacity1: 7,010 Kta 2,890 2,464 89 400 640 325 85 117
AB
CD EF
GIHJ
LMN
O
P
Q
R
K
S
10
General
Alpek has developed a leading position in every
product of its portfolio
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
(1) Staple fiber
Alpek: Industry Position
Industry Position Comments
PTA #1 in the Americas • 47% est. installed capacity share in the Americas
PET#1 in the Americas
#2 Worldwide• 44% est. installed capacity share in the Americas
Fibers #2 in the Americas1 • Leading supplier of filament for car seatbelts
• 31% est. installed capacity share (excl. filament)
PP Only producer in Mexico • Attractive growth potential
EPS #1 in the Americas• Largest plant in the Americas
• 42% est. installed capacity share in the Americas
CPL Only producer in Mexico • Among top 3 lowest cost producers worldwide
Po
lye
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rP
las
tic
s &
Ch
em
ica
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11
General
Alpek has invested in attractive organic projects to
enhance profitability
Strategic Guidelines
Project OverviewEstimated figures and dates
● Capture natural gas, ethane and propane
advantage in North America
● Maximize operating efficiency
● Selective capacity expansion
● Lever IntegRex® technology
ProjectCapex (US$M)
EBITDA (US$M)
Start-up
1. Cosoleacaque Cogeneration 140 30 4Q14
2. MEG Tolling Agreement 65 20 2Q16
3. Propylene Spheres (2) 23 10 2Q17
4. EPS Expansion Altamira 30 10 3Q17
5. Altamira Cogeneration 350 90 4Q18
6. PTA/PET Site (Corpus Christi)1 TBD TBD TBD
Total ~ $580 ~$160
US $556 M invested up to Sep-18
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
(1) JV among Alpek, Indorama and FENC presented winning bid to acquire Corpus Christi project; transaction subject to approval by governmental authorities 12
General
Alpek also holds a successful M&A track record
and is constantly evaluating potential targets
Attractive Market Potential
Existing/Related Business
Cost Competitiveness
M&A Deals (2011-2018)M&A Guidelines
Product Capacity Year Country Investment
1. EastmanPTA /
PET1.3 Mtons 2011 USA US $622 M
2. Wellman PET 430 ktons 2011 USA US $123 M
3. Cabelma rPET 16 ktons 2014 Argentina Undisclosed
4. BASF EPS EPS 230 ktons 2015 The Americas Undisclosed
5. BASF (Concon) EPS 20 Ktons 2016 Chile Undisclosed
6. Selenis PET 144 ktons 2016 Canada Undisclosed
Alpek
M&A
7. Petroquimica
Suape/Citepe
PTA 640 ktons
2018 Brazil US $435 MPET 450 Ktons
Fibers 90 ktons
13
General
Revised 2018 Guidance
3,931 3,937 3,938 4,012
4,135
20162014 2015 2017 2018G
4,615
+15%
Sales Volume Revenues
EBITDA CAPEX
Source: Alpek estimates
*Suape/Citepe:Volume +444 ktons, Sales +505 M dls, EBITDA undisclosed
434
630 669
384
569
20162014 2015 2017 2018G
750
+95%
167
345317320
236
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018G
-29%
(Kto
ns
)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
6,471
5,2844,838
5,231
5,413
20162014 2015 2017 2018G
6,825
+30%
% Sales 6.7% 7.3%11.9% 13.8% 9.1%
14
General
Rapid financial performance recovery post-M&G
bankruptcy (3Q17)
15
376 384407
564
834
3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
LTM EBITDA(US$ M)
Net Leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA)(Times)
3.23.3
3.1
2.9
1.9
3Q181Q183Q17 4Q17 2Q18
General
EBITDA: YTD18 vs YTD18 Guidance
568
694
63 1746
P&ChYTD’18
Rev.
Guidance
Polyester Inv. Gain
& Others
YTD’18
+126
Alpek: EBITDA(M dls)
US$M YTD’18G YTD’18
Polyester 344 407
Plastics & Chemicals 201 218
Comparable 545 6221
Inventory Gain & Others2 23 72
Reported 568 694
16
(1) Includes other comparable line items (-US$ 2 M)
(2) Inventory gain 2018: +US$69 M, Legal fees –US$10 M, Insurance gain +US$9 M, Sale of unused land +US$3 M;
Inventory gain 2018G +US$33 M, Legal fees –US$13 M, Sale of unused land +US$3 M
General
Relevant events – Progress and status (3Q18)
● Petroquímica Suape and Citepe (Suape/Citepe) acquisition in Brazil▪ Completed April 30, 2018, consolidated in Alpek’s results as of May 1, 2018; US$435 million purchase price
▪ Positive EBITDA contribution in 2Q18 and 3Q18
● M&G’s Restructure Process ▪ JV (Alpek / Indorama / FENC) presented winning bid for Corpus Christi project; subject to governmental approval
▪ Normalized M&G Mexico operations (supported by Alpek)
▪ M&G Brazil acquired by Indorama
● Sale of Cosoleacaque and Altamira power cogeneration plants▪ Altamira plant’s construction on track to conclude before year-end
▪ Signing of long-term power contracts advanced amid favorable rise in power tariffs
● PET antidumping case in U.S.A. against Brazil, Indonesia, Korea, Pakistan and Taiwan ▪ Affirmative final injury determinations from U.S. Department of Commerce; duties range from 5% to 276%
▪ Unexpected negative injury determination from the U.S. International Trade Commission; potential appeal TBD
● Fire occurred in a section of PTA plant in Altamira (July 15, 2018)▪ Alpek completed the required repairs and restarted production in early September
▪ Received advance payment from insurer (US$9 million insurance gain in EBITDA)
17
General
Index
• Business Overview
• Consolidated Financials
• Appendix
18
General
Sales Volume and Revenues
23%
77%
2015
24%
76%
23%
2016
77%
2017
21%
20181
3,937 3,938 4,012
4,317
79%
+8%
Sales Volume Revenues
2016
4,838
27%
73%71%
2015
29%
6,554
71%
29%
2017
26%
73%
20181
5,2315,284
+25%
(Kta
)
(US
$ M
illi
on
)
Polyester Plastics & Chemicals
(1) September 2018 LTM
Source: Alpek estimates 19
General
Income Statement Accounts
481532
688
20162015 2017 20181
Operating Income (Loss) EBITDA
Financial Cost, Net (2) Majority Net Income (Loss)
Source: Alpek estimates
(1) September 2018 LTM
(2) Financial Cost, Net = Net Financial Expenses + Fx Gains (Losses) + Interest Rate Swaps + Gas & Comm. Derivatives
116133
93
165
95
188
20162015 2017 20181
175 198
2015 20172016 20181
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
-3.6%11.0%9.1%% Sales
% Sales
-6.1%4.1% 4.2%3.3%% Sales
630669
384
834
20162015 2017 20181
7.3%13.8%11.9%
10.5%
12.7%
497
384
162
Ex-M&G360 Ex-M&G
Ex-M&G
-188
-207
274
-319
20
Ex-M&G
General
Balance Sheet Accounts
632694
497
975
2015 201822016 2017
Net Working Capital(1) Property, Plant and Equipment
Net Debt(3) Stockholders’ Equity
Source: Alpek estimates
(1) Net Working Capital = Accounts receivable + Other accounts receivable + Inventories - Suppliers - Other accounts payable and accrued expenses
(2) September 2018
(3) Net Debt = Bank loans and notes payable + Current portion of long term debt + Long term debt – Cash
1,8201,955
2,105
2,453
2015 2016 201822017
722
1,042
1,262
1,603
2015 2016 2017 20182
2,005 2,019
1,604
1,839
2018220162015 2017
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
394445 53NWC Days
21
General
Financial Ratios and Other Indicators
Interest Coverage(1)Net Debt / EBITDA
CAPEX and Acquisitions
Source: Alpek estimates
(1) Interest coverage= EBITDA / Net financial expenses
(2) LTM September 2018
10.7
7.0
4.8
8.8
20172016 201822015
6.2
1.1
1.6
2.5
1.9
20172015 2016
3.3
20182
317345
236
159
435
2015 2016 201822017
594
(Tim
es
)
(Tim
es
)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
160170
193
2015 2016 201822017
124
EBITDA / Ton
(US
$ / T
on
)
Ex-M&G
96
Reported
Ex-M&G
Ex-M&G
22
PQS
Ex-PQS
General
Alpek Consolidated Debt Profile - September 2018
● Net Debt: U.S. $1,603 million / Gross Debt: U.S. $1,832 million
● Available Committed Credit Lines: U.S. $693 million (Total: U.S. $1.140 billion)
● 99% of our debt is denominated in US dollars(1)
(1) A small portion of debt is denominated in ARS
229 244
21
190
345
714
300
20222018Cash 202320202019 2021
23
General
Dividends paid to shareholders
143
111
95
114
100
2017201620152014(1)2013 2018
(1) Paid in December2013
(US
$ M
illio
n)
24
General
Index
• Business Overview
• Consolidated Financials
• Appendix
25
General
Latest Quarter Results
Source: Alpek
(1) Times: Last 12 months.
Alpek: Selected Financial Information
26
(%) 3Q18 vs.
3Q18 2Q18 3Q17 2Q18 3Q17 YTD18 YTD17 Ch.%
Total Volume (ktons) 1,174 1,151 1,012 2 16 3,341 3,036 10
Polyester 941 912 788 3 19 2,639 2,353 12
Plastics & Chemicals 233 239 225 (3) 4 701 683 3
Consolidated Revenues 1,941 1,759 1,312 10 48 5,232 3,910 34
Polyester 1,450 1,320 945 10 53 3,879 2,791 39
Plastics & Chemicals 451 439 367 3 23 1,313 1,119 17
Consolidated EBITDA 274 239 3 14 8,358 694 243 185
Polyester 198 162 (51) 22 493 472 70 577
Plastics & Chemicals 76 78 54 (3) 42 224 173 29
Profit Attributable to Controlling Interest 80 142 (400) (44) 120 304 (289) 205CAPEX and Acquisitions 37 471 64 (92) (43) 564 206 174
Net Debt 1,603 1,637 1,192 (2) 34
Net Debt/LTM EBITDA(1) 1.9 2.9 3.2
Interest Coverage(1) 7.8 5.9 5.4
General
Latest Quarter Results
Sales Volume Revenues
EBITDA Majority Net Income
Source: Alpek
(Kto
ns
)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
(US
$ M
illio
n)
9861,038 1,012 9701,016
1,151 1,174
975
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
158
82
3
133
181
239
274
141
1Q 2Q 4Q3Q
1,293 1,306 1,3121,183
1,532
1,7591,941
1,321
4Q1Q 2Q 3Q
87
25
-400
2882
142
80
-30
4Q1Q 2Q 3Q
16.0% 48.0%
8358.8% 120.0%
Ch.% Ch.%
Ch.% Ch.%
0.5% 11.7%
5.5% -209.4%
3.0% 18.5%
14.5% -5.4%
(US
$ M
illio
n)
10.9% 34.8%
191.1% 473.8%
2017 2018 ex-M&G201627
General
Latest Quarter Results
Source: Alpek
Alpek: Net Income
Alpek: Cash Flow
28
(%) 3Q18 vs.
3Q18 2Q18 3Q17 2Q18 3Q17 YTD18 YTD17 Ch.%
EBITDA 274 239 3 14 8,358 694 243 185
Net Working Capital & Others (125) (66) 29 (91) (530) (275) 121 (328)
Capital Expenditures & Acq. (37) (471) (64) 92 43 (564) (206) (174)
Financial Expenses (30) (26) (17) (14) (72) (79) (50) (57)
Income tax (34) (33) (19) (4) (85) (75) (78) 4
Dividends - (28) (71) 100 100 (28) (168) 83
Payment affiliated companies - 10 - (100) - 10 1 1,308
Other Sources / Uses (14) 8 5 (280) (392) (24) (13) (87)
Decrease (Increase) in Net Debt 34 (367) (135) 109 125 (341) (151) (126)
(%) 3Q18 vs.
3Q18 2Q18 3Q17 2Q18 3Q17 YTD18 YTD17 Ch.%
Consolidated Net Income 101 159 (394) (36) 126 362 (251) 245
Non-Controlling Interest 21 17 6 25 235 58 38 51
Controlling Interest 80 142 (400) (44) 120 304 (289) 205
Earnings per Share (U.S. Dollars) 0.04 0.07 (0.19) (44) 120 0.14 (0.14) 205
Avg. Outstanding Shares (Millions)* 2,117 2,117 2,117 2,117 2,117
General
Comparable EBITDA and 2018 Guidance (ex-M&G)
Reported EBITDA 2015 2016 2017 2018G2018 G
NewYTD17 YTD18G YTD18
Polyester 344 349 147 346 452 70 361 472
Plastics & Chemicals 284 322 237 224 299 173 208 224
TOTAL 630 669 384 569 750 243 568 694
Comparable EBITDA 2015 2016 2017 2018G2018 G
NewYTD17 YTD18G YTD18
Polyester 378 331 234 346 447 168 344 407
Plastics & Chemicals 273 308 229 224 296 170 201 218
TOTAL 654 637 462 569 742 338 545 622
Adjustments* 2015 2016 2017 2018G2018 G
NewYTD17 YTD18G YTD18
Polyester 35 (18) 87 - (6) 98 (17) (65)
Plastics & Chemicals (11) (14) (8) - (3) (3) (7) (6)
TOTAL 24 (32) 79 - (8) 95 (23) (72)1
*Adjustments: Inventory and non-operating, one-time (gains) losses
(1) Inventory gain +69 M dls, Legal fees -10 M dls, Insurance gain +9M dls, Sale of unused land +3 M dls29
General
Alpek acquired Petroquímica Suape and Citepe in
Brazil
• Capacity (Ktons): 640 PTA, 450 PET, 90 Filament
• Location: Ipojuca, Pernambuco, Brazil
• Highlights: • Only integrated PTA-PET plant in South America• Only PTA producer in South America• 1 of 3 PET plants in South America• Brazil is largest polyester export mkt for Alpek
Montreal. Canada
Charleston. USA
Columbia. USA
Bay St. Louis. USA
Monterrey. México
Fayetteville. USA
Altamira. México
Cosoleacaque. México
Zárate. Argentina
Pacheco. Argentina
Polyester Plants (4,663 Kta)
Petroquímica Suape / Citepe Site
Alpek – Polyester plants Petroquímica Suape and Citepe
Ipojuca, Brazil
30
General
JV formed to acquire, complete and operate the
Corpus Christi project
● Newly formed JV between Alpek, Indorama and
Far Eastern (FENC)
● Winning bid for Corpus Christi assets
(Total value: U.S. $1.169 billion)
▪ Subject to regulatory approval
▪ Does not include cost to complete (amount TBD)
● JV will operate as toll manufacturer for Alpek,
Indorama and Far Eastern
● Each partner will:
▪ Independently procure its raw materials
▪ Pay at cost 1/3 of the PTA and PET produced
▪ Independently sell and distribute their PTA and PET
200
390
969
390
190
200
Cash Other non-cash
contributions
Total Value
1,169
Contributions as of 1Q18(US$ Millions)
Indorama
FENC
Alpek
Cash
Highlights - Corpus Christi Polymers LLC
(CC Polymers)
31
General
PTA1.3 M tons
PET1.1 M tons
Corpus Christi Plant (CC Polymers)
Raw materials
Raw materials • PET (Int.): 367 Kta• PTA: 125 Kta
• PET (Int.): 367 Kta• PTA: 125 Kta
Raw materials • PET (Int.): 367 Kta• PTA: 125 Kta
CC Polymers capacity share per partner
FAR EASTERN GROUP
32
General
Alpek has effectively transformed its EPS business
The Americas’ installed EPS capacity 2017Total: ̴ 600 ktons
Nova
14%
Others
21%
Nexkemia 7%
42%
Alpek
(Styropek)
15%
Flint Hills
75
20
65
325
230
165
Concon Plant
(Chile)
20152014 Acquisition from BASF
(MX/US/SA)
Altamira Expansion (Mexico)
2018
Kta
Alpek: EPS capacityExpandable Polystyrene (EPS)
33
General
Alpek acquired a controlling interest in Selenis
Canada Inc.
• Capacity: 144 Ktons (PET)
• Location: Montreal, Canada
• Highlights: • Only PET plant in Canada• Alpek to capture PTA integration synergies• Complement product portfolio with
differentiated PET products
Montreal. Canada
Charleston. USAColumbia. USA
Bay St. Louis. USA
Monterrey. México
Fayetteville. USA
Altamira. México
Cosoleacaque. México
Zárate. Argentina
Pacheco. Argentina
Polyester Plants (4,519 Kta)
Selenis Plant (144 Kta)
Alpek – Polyester plants Selenis Canada Inc.
34
General
U.S.A. PET antidumping case (2016)
Case Calendar
• March´15: Department of Commerce (DOC) and
International Trade Commission (ITC) filing
• March´16: DOC issued affirmative FINAL Antidumping
Duty and Countervailing Duty determinations
• April´16: ITC issued affirmative FINAL determinations
Countervailing Antidumping
Canada N/A 14 %
China 7 – 126 % 105 – 126 %
India 0 – 1541 % 8 – 19 %
Oman 0 % 8 %
(1) 154% only for JBF Industries Limited
Final Rates
• Rates applicable for a minimum period of five years.
• Trade orders could be renewed in five-year increments
35
General
U.S.A. PET antidumping case (2017)
Case Calendar
• September’17: Petitions filed
• 4Q17: Investigation initiated by Department of Commerce (“DOC”) and
International Trade Commission (“ITC”)
• April´18: Affirmative preliminary determinations
• September’18: Final affirmative determinations by DOC
• October’18: Negative injury determination by ITC; potential appeal TBD
36
Countries under investigation
• Brazil
• Indonesia
• South Korea
• Pakistan
• Taiwan
General
Canada PET antidumping case (2017)
Canada
● Canada Border Services Agency (“CBSA”) imposed preliminary duties in 4Q’17 (22%-77%)
● Canadian International Trade Tribunal (“CITT”) ruled no injury or threat of injury from imports
● CITT ruling appealed (2Q18)
Countries under investigation
• China
• India
• Oman
• Pakistan
37
General
Polyester Chain
PTA, PET, and Polyester Fibers
Employees: ~4,300
Products (Capacity):
• PTA (2,890 Kta)
• PET (2,464 Kta)
• rPET (89 Kta)
• Fibers (400 Kta)
Raw Materials:
• Paraxylene (Px)
• Monoethyleneglycol (MEG)
• Acetic Acid and Isopthalic Acid (IPA)
End Markets:
• Food and beverage
• Textile
• Consumer Goods
EBITDA 2018 LTM
US$ 4,812 Million
Revenues 2018 LTM
US$ 549 Million
General Information
Source: Alpek
Selenis, Quebec.
PET
Cedar Creek, NC
PET, R-PET
Cooper River, SC
PET & PSF
Columbia, SC
PTA & PET
Pearl River, MI
PETAltamira, Tamps.
PTA
Zárate, Arg.
PET
Pacheco, Arg.
PET
Monterrey, N.L.
Headquarters
Polyester Filament
Cosoleacaque, Ver.
PTA & PET Ipojuca, Brazil
PTA, PET and Fibers
38
General
Plastics & Chemicals
PP, EPS, CPL and Others
General Information
Employees: ~1,600
Products (Capacity):
• Polypropylene - PP (640 Kta)
• Expandable Polystyrene - EPS (325 Kta)
• Caprolactam - CPL (85 Kta)
• Other (117 Kta)
Raw Materials:
• Propylene, Styrene, Cyclohexane,
Ammonia, Sulphur, Pentane, Ethylene
Oxide, Propylene Oxide and Others
End Markets:
• Consumer Goods
• Food and Beverage
• Construction
EBITDA 2018 LTM
US$ 1,701 Million
Revenues 2018 LTM
US$ 288 Million
Ocotlán, Jal.
Nylon 6
Monterrey, N.L.
Headquarters,
Lerma, Edo. De Mex.
Specialty Chemicals
Altamira, Tamps.
PP, EPS
Salamanca, Gto.
CPL and Fertilizers
Guaratingueta, Brazil
EPS
Santiago, Chile
Other
Puerto Montt, Chile
Other
General Lagos, Argentina
EPS
Concon, Chile
EPS
Source: Alpek 39
General
Alpek is managed by an experienced team focused
on delivering value to shareholders
Source: Alpek
Po
lye
ste
rP
las
tic
s&
Ch
em
ica
ls
Name PositionYears with
Alpek / Alfa
José de Jesús Valdez Simancas CEO 42
José Carlos Pons de la Garza CFO 22
Felipe Garza Medina Co-President, Alpek Polyester 41
Jorge Young Cerecedo Co-President, Alpek Polyester 28
Gustavo Talancón Gómez President, Polyester Filaments 29
Alejandro Llovera Zambrano President, Polypropylene 33
José Luis Zepeda Peña President, EPS and Chemicals 32
Gustavo Talancón Gómez President, CPL and Ammonium Sulfate 29
Po
lye
ste
rP
las
tic
s&
Ch
em
ica
ls
40
General
Plastics & Chemicals
Organization Chart
Source: Alpek
Polyester Chain
Felipe GarzaCo-President
Alpek Polyester
Jorge YoungCo-President
Alpek Polyester
Alejandro Llovera
President, Polypropylene
Gustavo TalancónPresident, Polyester Filaments
José Carlos Pons de la
GarzaCFO
José de Jesús ValdezCEO
José Luis Zepeda
President, EPS and Chemicals
Gustavo Talancón
President, CPL and Ammonium
Sulfate
41
General
Polypropylene Chain
Source: Alpek
Propylene
Refinery
Cracker
Polypropylene
42
1
1) 1.02 ton Propylene per ton PP
General
Gasoline
Reformer Benzene
Refinery
Crude Oil
EPS
EPS & CPL Chain
Source: Alpek
Ethylene
Styrene
Cyclohexane Caprolactam
(CPL)
Cracker
Ammonia
43
1) 0.29 ton Ethylene per ton Styrene2) 0.79 ton Benzene per ton Styrene3) 0.94 ton Benzene* per ton Cyclohexane4) 1.04 ton Cyclohexane per ton CPL5) 0.90 ton Ammonia pero ton CPL6) 1.00 ton Styrene per ton EPS
1
3
2
4
5
6
* dls/gal x 299.3 = dls/ton
General
+ +
World leader in PP production with sales
in more than 100 countries
Largest petrochemical company in the
world with more than 370 sites
Alpek has been a reliable partner to other global
industry leaders through successful joint ventures
51.0%50.0%
+ 1 Share
Source: Alpek
Alpek: Sample Joint Ventures
44
General
Sales Volume 1986-2018(Index: 1986=100)
Alpek has grown at a 8% annualized rate since
1988 through M&A, JVs and organic projects
45
1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
U.S. PTA/PET
plant
acquisitions
First power
cogeneration
plant
CPL plant
acquisition
First recycling
plant (JV)
Acquisition
of first PTA
plantPP plant
start-up (JV)
First U.S.
polyester
plant
acquisitions
EPS capacity
expansion (JV)
IPO (BMV)
Polyester
acquisition in
Brazil
Source: Alpek
General
Alpek is the leading integrated polyester producer
in North America (PTA-PET)
1) Far Eastern (“FENC”) acquired Apple Grove assets from M&G on January 30th 2018
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
PTA(5,550 kta)
M&G
FENC1
Indorama
NanYa
42%
PET(4,391 kta)
North America
2017 Installed Capacity
BP
Indorama
Eastman
41%
29%
13%
10%
30%
25%
5%
6%
46
General
Organic growth and acquisitions position Alpek as
a leading PTA and PET producer in North America
2004(5,500 Kta)
2017(5,550 Kta)
2004 (3,800 Kta)
2017(4,931 Kta)
North America
PTA – Installed Capacity(1)
North America
PET – Installed Capacity(1)
Eastman
Interquisa
BP
Invista
Indorama
Eastman
Wellman
Invista
M&G
NanYa
Others
M&G
Indorama
NanYa
FENC1
Source: PCI adjusted with Alpek’s official capacities
2017 Capacities, 2018 YTD M&As
29%
41%
8%
42%
Indorama
BP
Eastman
1) Far Eastern (“FENC”) acquired Apple Grove assets from M&G on January 30th 2018 47
General
The Americas PTA / PET capacity breakdown
Ktons USA Mexico Canada Brazil Total
Alpek1 640 1,610 - 640 2,890
Indorama 1,050 - 600 - 1,650
BP 1,400 - - - 1,400
Eastman 250 - - - 250
Total 3,340 1,610 600 640 6,190
Ktons USA Mexico Canada Brazil Argentina Total
Alpek1 1,495 185 144 450 190 2,464
Indorama2812 480 - 550 - 1,842
M&G 560 - - - 560
Nan Ya 445 - - - - 445
FENC3 270 - - - - 270
Total 3,022 1,225 144 1,000 190 5,581
PTA PET
1) Alpek acquired Suape/Citepe on April 30, 2018
2) Indorama acquired Ipojuca assets from M&G on March 16, 2018. pending government approval
3) Far Eastern (“FENC”) acquired Apple Grove assets from M&G on January 30th 2018 . pending government approval Source: PCI adjusted with Alpek’s official capacities
2017 Capacities, 2017 M&As
The Americas
2017 Installed Capacity
48
General
Proprietary Technologies
(I&D, acquisitions)
Third-Party
Technologies
Alpek operates a state-of-the-art portfolio of
proprietary and third-party technologies
PTA
• Integrex PTA
PET
• Integrex PET
• Melt – TekTM
Oilfield Chemicals
• In-house
technology
Polypropylene
• Spheripol (LB)
• Spherizone (LB)
EPS
• Single Step
(BASF)
Caprolactam
• HSO
• DSM
Alpek: Proprietary and Third-Party Technologies
Source: Alpek
49
General
Oxidation
Post-Oxidation
Filtration and
Drying
CTA Storage
Filtration and
Drying
Feed prep
Hydrogenation
Crystallization Crystallization
PTA Storage
Polymerization
Precursor
Storage
Esterification
Pre-Poly
Annealing
Solid State
Polymerization
Crystallization
PET Resin
Pelletization
Precursor
Preheating
Steps eliminated
with IntegRexTM
technology
Alpek’s IntegRex® technology simplifies both PTA
and PET production processes
Benefits from IntegRexTM technology:
• ~20% reduction in conversion cost
• ~US$15 less per ton in capital cost
• 11 less steps for the production of PTA and PET
• Lower wastewater by-product and greenhouse gas emissionsSource: Alpek
PTA / PET: Process Diagram
50
General
Power cogeneration overview
Contract-based
power
customers
Ga
s
turb
ine
Heat Recovery
Cogeneration plant
Ste
am
turb
ineNatural Gas
Electricity
Steam
Steam
12
3
1. Gas turbine generates electricity
2. Combustion gases produce steam
3. Steam is used to generate additional electricity and for Alpek’s chemical reactions
Hot
gases
51
General
M&G Chemicals Overview
● Founded 1953 in Toronta, Italy
● Private company; no public debt or equity
● 20-yr comercial relationship w/Alpek(11% of Alpek sales)
PTA PET
Apple Grove (USA) 270
Altamira (Mexico) 560
Suape (Brazil) 550
Corpus Christi1 (USA) 864 600
About M&G Plant locations
Installed Capacity
1) Under construction; net of Alpek’s capacity reservation
Source: PCI
Altamira
Suape
Apple Grove
Corpus Christi1
52
General
Alpek’s exposure to M&G
US$M Guarantee
Capacity Reservation Corpus Christi 435 Corpus Christi assets (2nd lien)
Accounts Receivable 113 Unsecured
$90 M Loan 90 Corporate guarantees
M&G Mexico Loan (Acquired) 100 M&G Mexico PET plant in Altamira (1st lien)
M&G Mexico Loan 301 US $60 M secured credit facility
1) Amount disbursed as of 1Q18 53
General
M&G’s Corpus Christi site capacity breakdown
(pre-bankruptcy agreement)
420 Ktons
PTA1.3 M tons
M&G850 Ktons
500 Ktons
M&G600 Ktons
Pearl River
PET1.1 M tons
350 Ktons PTA
Corpus Christi Site (CC)
Raw materials(e.g. Px, MEG, etc.)
Raw materials(e.g. Px, MEG, etc.)
54
General
Non-recurring charges associated to M&G (2017)
Income Statement Balance Sheet
US$M2017
(ex-M&G)
Non-rec.
charges2017
Operating Income 360 (548) (188)
Intangible asset impairment (435)
A/R Provision (113)
EBITDA 497 (113) 384
A/R Provision (113)
Financial cost, net (93) (95) (188)
Taxes (52) 158 106
Net income (loss) 214 (485) (271)
Profit (loss)attributable to
controlling interest162 (481) (319)
Net Debt 1,262 1,262
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.5 3.3
US$MDec-17
(ex-M&G)
Non-rec.
chargesDec-17
Assets 5,298 (546) 4,752
Trade accounts receivable 657 (113) 544
Intangible Assets – Cap Res 566 (360) 206
Other Assets – Cap Res 77 (75) 2
Other Assets – Loan 204 (95) 109
Other Assets – Deferred tax 26 97 123
Other Assets 3,769 - 3,769
Liabilities 3,208 (61) 3,147
Other Liabilities – Deferred tax 284 (61) 223
Other Liabilities 2,924 - 2,924
Stockholders’ Equity 2,089 (485) 1,604
Net Income 214 (485) (271)
Others 1,875 - 1,875
55
General
2018 average Brent price estimated at $57/bbl
Brent Crude Oil
• Δ 1 US$ dollar / Bbl = ~ Δ 3 US$ Million EBITDA
20
40
60
80
100
120Dls/Bbl
99 $/bbl
53 $/bbl
2014 2015 2016 2017
44 $/bbl
Guidance 2018
($57/bbl)
2018
54 $/bbl
56
Revised Guidance 2018
($71/bbl)
General
Propylene and Styrene Prices
North America Propylene Contract Price North America Styrene Spot Price
50
42
31 3133
3836
42
48
52
46
39 39
3940
4748
4950
59
53
47 46
51
59 59
6160
J2Q1Q F3Q S4Q1Q2Q 4Q3Q J F M A M J J A O AN D AJ M M J S
33
2015 2016 2017 2018
44
59
48
39
42
4644
49
59
74
63
50
46
48 50
55
60
52
53
57 60
72
68
59 59
56
6058
4Q3Q2Q1Q 2Q3Q4Q1Q JJ F SM MA M J J A O N D J F M A J A S
59
2015 2016 2017 2018
(c / lb
)
(c / lb
)
57
General
1,7081,635
1,543
1,014970
1,168
948882
838920
871926
995
898981 1,003
1,0691,119
1,444
2Q’152013 2014 3Q’172011 2012 1Q’15 3Q’15 1Q’164Q’15 2Q’16 3Q’16 4Q’16 1Q’17 2Q’17 4Q’17 1Q’18 2Q1’8 3Q’18
Px USA Contract Price
(US
$ / To
n)
Paraxylene (Px) Price
58
General
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG
(US
$ / To
n)
PET Margin (Asia)
2016 2017
PTA
PET
201
74 71 69 63 59 71 64 63 60 72 80 81104
133 135
15 4Q14
210
13
258
11 3Q1Q
377
12 2Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
284
3Q
240
1Q
260
2Q
394
270
230212 210
276263
342
478
3Q
China
250
2018
Source: ICIS, PCI, CCFGroup, Alpek
59
General
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG
(US
$ / To
n)
PET Margin (Asia)
2016 2017
PTA
PET
59 71 64 63 60 72 80 81
1Q 3Q2Q
240
3Q 4Q 4Q1Q 2Q
104
1Q
133
2Q
135
276
3Q
210
260
212 210
263284
342
478
377
China
2018
Source: ICIS, PCI, CCFGroup, Alpek
60
(US
$ / To
n)
2016 2017
58 70 64 66 5571 79 75
98
1Q2Q
118
4Q1Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 2Q
143
3Q
212
455
248262
224210
278
216
282306
424
2018
Original
3Q= Jul-Sep
Adjusted
3Q= Jun-Ago
General
Polypropylene Margin (USA)
Margin: Polypropylene to Propylene (PGP)
(c / lb
)
2015 2016 2017 2018
61
1011 11 11 11
15
20
26
30
28
23
18 18 18
20 20 20
22
20
2Q 4Q3Q2011 201420132012 1Q1Q 2Q 4Q3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
General
2,108
1,181
1,013
797
986 985
704641
584647 637
781
1,192
819
933
1,108 1,1271,215
1,267
2013 2Q2011 2012 2014 3Q1Q 4Q 3Q2Q1Q3Q 1Q2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 4Q 2Q
Margin: CPL Spot (Asia) to Contract Benzene (NA)
(US
$ / To
n)
Caprolactam Margin
2015 2016 2017 2018
62
General
Alpek stock highlights (BMV: ALPEK)
Valuation 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q17 Proforma
3Q182018New
Guidance
Market Cap. (U.S.$ B) 3,113 2,193 2,951 2,951 3,449 3,409
Net Debt (U.S.$ M) 722 1,042 1,262 1,262 1,603 1,573
EBITDA LTM (U.S.$ M) 630 669 384 497 834 750
Enterprise Value / EBITDA 6.5 5.2 11.6 9.0 6.4 7.0
Price / Earnings 13.3 8.0 N/A 13.8 10.1 13.0
Price per Share (MXN) 25.98 21.10 26.50 26.50 31.00 31.00
Exchange Rate (MXN/USD) 17.67 20.35 19.00 19.00 19.04 19.25
1
2
0
6
0
3
4
5
4
2
6
3
5
1
MJJ MA S O SN D A MJ J A SF N JD JO M A J AF
Daily Average Traded Shares & Value
2016
Daily Stock Price
(Pe
so
s)
15
20
35
30
25
40
Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep
2016
Shares
Value ($)
(M Shares) (U.S. $ M)
20172017 2018
63
2018