copeland highway project. study area > purcell mountains > 16 miles of highway 95 > 300 km...

25
COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT

Upload: katherine-lambert

Post on 17-Dec-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT

Page 2: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

STUDY AREA

> Purcell Mountains> 16 miles of Highway 95> 300 km2 > Pacific maritime climate> Elevations range from 540 to 1950 m> Forested with active timber management> Huckleberries and buffaloberries

Page 3: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

STUDY AREA

> 3 underpasscrossing structures

2004

Page 4: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

3 Objectives

Has highway been a genetic barrier (from B.O.)?

Is highway a movement barrier (from B.O.)?

Are animals using the underpasses?

Page 5: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Has Highway been a Genetic Barrier?

• DNA from 197 different bears (hair snare and trapping)

• Fst = 0.0119 (very low level of genetic divergence)

• At least 3 migrants per generation.

There is no current evidence that the highway has acted as a genetic barrier.

Page 6: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Is highway a physical movement barrier?

Page 7: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

RESULTS

Highway as home range boundary

BLACK BEAR SPACE USE

Page 8: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

RESULTS

Female black bear

Home range centeredover Highway

14 Highway crossings

Human Development

BLACK BEAR SPACE USE

Page 9: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Is Highway a Movement Barrier?

• Almost half of all radio-collared black bears crossed the highway at least once.

• 2 of 3 radio-collared grizzly bears crossed the highway.

• At least 3 migrants per generation (from DNA work).

At current traffic volumes, highway is not a movement barrier.

Page 10: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Are Animals Using the Underpasses?

• Short Answer: Yes

Page 11: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Are Animals Using the Underpasses?

Longer Answer  Underpass

Species #1 #2 #3 TotalBlack Bear 11 3   14Bobcat 1 2   3Cat 5 5 9 19Coyote 8 14 7 29Dog 1   2 3Elk 12 3   15Hare 45 9 8 62Moose 1   1 2Packrat 1 2   3Racoon 3 5 7 15Skunk 2   1 3Squirrel 3 2   5Swallow 2 5 2 9WT Deer 450 117 30 597

Grand Total 545 167 67 779

Page 12: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Underpass Use: Time of Day

Page 13: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

Page 14: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Liars, Damned Liars, and Scientists

Probability of crossing in relation to habitat variables

Model R2 Delta AIC__________________________________________________

HumDev 0.308 0HumDev CanCov 0.309 1.81HumDev Water 0.308 1.92HumDev CanCov Water 0.309 3.80CanCov 0.054 24.06Water 0.0019 28.15

y = -17.915x - 13.946

R2 = 0.3076-50

-45

-40

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

Proportion of Human Development

Lo

g P

rob

ab

ilit

y

y = 12.98x + 12.43

R2 = 0.231

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

0 5 10 15 20 25

PDOP

Lo

catio

n E

rro

r (m

)

Page 15: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

Conclusion: Deer use underpasses most in the morning and evening and less during the day.

Page 16: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Conclusion: WTD use underpasses less during the day, but not different than expected during other time periods (p<0.00).

Time of Day

Page 17: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

Page 18: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

Problem: Variable sunrise/sunset.

Page 19: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

• Obtained sunrise / sunset tables.• Used “nautical twilight” to define dusk/dawn

– General outlines may be distinguishable but detailed outdoor operations are not possible; horizon indistinct

– sun 120 below horizon; here equals 1 hr 3 min

• Dawn: + 1 hr 3 min of sunrise• Dusk: + 1 hr 3 min of sunset

Time of Day

Page 20: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

Conclusion: Deer use underpasses most at night and least during dawn.

Page 21: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

  Observed Expected

Dawn 87 46

Day 127 229

Dusk 133 46

Night 203 229

Chi-square test Compares “Observed” versus “Expected” occurrence. Allocate “Expected” based on length of each time period.

Page 22: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Time of Day

Conclusion: Dawn and Dusk are used more than expected, Day is used less then expected, and Night is used as expected (p<0.000).

Page 23: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

Beware of Liars, Damned Liars, and Scientists

Page 24: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to

...But mostly Scientists.

Page 25: COPELAND HIGHWAY PROJECT. STUDY AREA > Purcell Mountains > 16 miles of Highway 95 > 300 km 2 > Pacific maritime climate > Elevations range from 540 to