containment in post-cold war world
TRANSCRIPT
Roksana GabidullinaMarch 21, 2014Professor Stanger
The Evolution of Containment and its Strategies in Today’s World
Is containment still viable in 2014? We have to ask the question of who or what is the
enemy of the United States. During the Cold War, the enemy was an ideology supported by
several states. Communism(s) had faces and borders. The ideologies were adopted and
legitimized by states. One of them, the Soviet Union, was a global superpower and the object of
containment. Containment was born during this time. It was aimed largely at states, such as the
Soviet Union, China, and Cuba. Transnational actors only played a role, such as the international
communist party, when trying to advance communism worldwide. The parties themselves were
not the central focus. In today’s world, terrorism is a worldwide security concern. In this essay, I
argue that due to the growth of transnational actor’s influence, containment as traditionally
understood is not a viable strategy in 2014. The containment strategies have to be tailored to the
contemporary world as they have been throughout the Cold War.
Each strategy has its own context and that is true of containment as well. It arose during
at a time after destructive wars with the psychology of people averse to such violence and “more
favorable…climate…for developing ‘measures short of war’ (Gaddis 382). All the state actors
had “societies to defend” and “a state to preserve” (Gaddis 382). Furthermore, during the Cold
War, the Soviet leaders did not have a timetable and thus could be persuaded or shown that their
ideologies were wrong over time (Gaddis 382). Thus, this climate made containment possible.
Containment, as was understood by Kennan, was
restoration of the balance of power through the encouragement of self-confidence in nations threatened by Soviet expansionism; reduction, by exploiting tension between Moscow and the international communist movement, of the Soviet Union’s ability to project influence beyond its borders; and modification, over time, of the Soviet concept
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of international relations, with a view to bringing about a negotiated settlement of outstanding differences (35-6).
Kennan’s containment focused on the Soviet Union, a state, and he thought only the
industrial-military power could bring change in world politics. Additionally, he advocated for the
asymmetrical response through economic means (Gaddis 212).
While two of Kennan’s recommendations were adopted by the Truman administration,
such as abandoning universalism and continuing the balance of power (Gaddis 63), it did not find
resources as limited as Kennan did and thought there was no need for distinction between vital
and peripheral interests (Gaddis 92). The NSC-68 also suggested that balance of power
dependent not only on capabilities but also on perceptions, thus effectively increasing the variety
of interests deemed relevant for national security. This strategy’s repercussions, such as
increased defense expenditures and prolonged, inconclusive wars, changed the next
administration’s views on the strategies of containment.
Eisenhower’s New Look continued certain strategies but implemented the strategy of
deterrence and liberation. The communist world’s victories, such as China, negatively affected
the American psyche, thus the Eisenhower administration drew the lines in the periphery of the
communist world, implied the threat of nuclear weapon use, and attempted to role back existing
Soviet influences (Gaddis 143-5). To continue drawing support for the American Foreign Policy,
the enemy had to be established, and, in this administration the communist “world” was viewed
and treated as a monolithic system (Gaddis 139, 143). The assumption of this administration was
also the communist ideology determined the Soviet policy. By its nature, it was hostile to
capitalism, so the Soviet Union would be belligerent towards the United States and its allies. But
this administration could not clearly communicate its strategy, which resulted in “confus[ing] the
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public, alarm[ing] the allies, and bewilder[ing] the adversaries,” with the last being deliberate so
as to keep the enemy confused and, thus, much make careful decisions (Gaddis 159-160).
Kennedy’s new generation was tired with the old and wanted to put a distance between
them. The Kennedy and Johnson’s administrations attempted to “intervene on behalf of
diversity” to keep concentration of power in the hands of those hostile to the U.S. (Gaddis 202).
These administrations moved to symmetric responses, which they believed expanded their
options unlike the restrictive nuclear option of the previous administration (Gaddis 213-4). They
continued to expand the missile gap and elevated the use of non-military actions to “mitigate or
remove conditions that made communism attractive in the first place” (Gaddis 222). But the
symmetry and the calibration failed, especially in the case of Vietnam, in which the conflict only
escalated and became one of the most unpopular wars (Gaddis 247). This strategy lacked a clear
deterrence target, left initiative open to the enemies, and in the case of the Vietnam war, failed to
use the weapons discriminately (Gaddis 247-250).
Nixon and Kissinger’s strategy of containment was different than that of the previous
administrations. The power concentrated in the white house (Gaddis 273), the administration was
unwilling to assume the sole responsibility of securing global equilibrium (Gaddis 276), and it
gave up on changing the internal nature of other societies (Gaddis 277). Furthermore, this
administration was much more open to cooperation, even to states with antithetical ideologies
(Gaddis 283). Nixon and Kissinger stressed to the Soviet Union that it should cooperate for its
own interests rather than force it to change, which was done through linkage and exploitation of
Sino-Soviet relations (Gaddis 290, 292). This administration also thought that unpredictability
enhanced “credibility (Gaddis 297-8). This administration was charged with amorality in its
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foreign policy with regards to human rights, which was not their primary focus, and betrayal of
its ideals, such as self-determination and choice (Gaddis 335, 339).
After people’s disillusionment with Nixon and their tiredness of the Cold War, Reagan
entered and invigorated the American people through his rhetoric and speeches, confident in the
American power (Gaddis 351). He stopped focusing on American weaknesses but rather
exploited the Soviet’s flaws, such as their inability to outspend the United States. He wanted to
push “the old Soviet system to the breaking point,” paving the way for a new, more moderate
Soviet leader, i.e. Gorbachev (Gaddis 354). The Reagan administration presented the U.S. as the
better alternative to the Soviet Union, especially because of the latter’s lack of freedom and
economic development; Reagan capitalized on human rights (Gaddis 353). He also rejected
détente, mutually assured destruction, use of nuclear weapons, and wholeheartedly supported the
dissidents and the fighters against the communists (Gaddis 352-3). Then, the Soviet Union
unraveled due to internal and external factors and pressures.
In the contemporary world, the United States is the world’s only superpower. It is an
economic powerhouse with the strongest military. China is growing in strength and influence but
it will take several more years before it reaches United States’ levels. The containment for the
states will just be the balance of power, with the United States attempting to remain the single
superpower. The United States will—psychologically and multilaterally, economically and
politically—contain states that pose a security threat, such as Iran, North Korea, and balance
China. It had already attempted to balance Iran by bolstering Iraq (Haass 47).
One of the main security concerns is terrorism and its transnational nature. Terrorists do
not have legitimate governments that represent them. They do not control governments.
Containment was designed to contain the influences of the Soviet Union and balance of power,
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which was part of strategy, required state actors since they were the main players in the
international arena. Yet, transnational movements are quite strong today, they influence the
state’s decisions and, in case of terrorist attacks, can change the state policies, for example
withdrawing troops from Lebanon or declaring War on Terrorism. Transnational movements are
also elusive because they can move around, unlike the immobility of states. They are also rather
small groups and harder to find and target. How can they be contained? Some terrorist
organizations are state-sponsored or, in the case of Taliban, sympathized with and given haven.
Containment may still target the states; especially those who give them haven, fund them, or
allow their land for training. The terrorists also try to expand their ideology throughout the
world; the result is homegrown terrorism. Their reach can also be contained and constrained,
although, with the advent of the Internet, new strategies dealing with the cyberspace will have to
be invented.
The perceptions of power were important to several administrations during the Cold War,
such Kennedy and Nixon’s. The United States will have to control the damage it has brought on
its image around the world. Anti-Americanism is expressed around the globe and many are
pointing out the hypocrisies of the “defender of democracy,” such as American support of
dictators, monarchs, and other authoritarians. The American credibility, which was negatively
impacted by its actions during the Cold War, will have to be restored if it wants to offer the
world something better. During the Cold War, the Soviet Union and the communist ideology was
something worse than the American one and in today’s world, the terrorists’ violent ideology
might replace the “something worse.” Many terrorists and other anti-Americans cite its support
for dictators, Guantanamo Bay, Abu Ghraib, among others, to garner support from their
surroundings.
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People looked to communism as an alternative to the systems they saw before them. The
ideology advanced by the Islamic terrorists is an alternative to the secular states, capitalism, and
communism. It is based more on religious grounds. During the Cold War, Kennan and others,
attempted to shape the psychology and people’s awareness of capitalism. By showing people that
capitalism allowed for a better life than communism, they garnered support that way. The
terrorists do not have majority support anywhere; they are usually minorities with some
sympathizers. If one wants to minimize the number of sympathizers, then there must a policy for
improving their lives. As the United States was sending aid to Europe and other areas to improve
their conditions, so in today’s world, the U.S. will have to do the same things to undermine the
support for the terrorists (Piazza 350).
In the post-Cold War world, the U.S. is the superpower and the terrorists, a transnational
group with no fixed borders, are the threats to its security. While the context is very different
than that of the bipolar Cold War world, containment can still apply to the situation. As
containment policies shifted with each presidency to reflect the realities of their situations,
today’s containment will also have to change according to the context. The containment of
terrorism as compared to containment of China and preservation of balance of power will also
involve different strategies. But they will have to be comprehensive in nature, including the
military, economy, and the international regimes.
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Bibliography
Gaddis, John Lewis. Strategies of Containment. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005.
Haaas, Richard H. War of Necessity, War of Choice. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2009.
Piazza. "Poverty, minority economic discrimination, and domestic terrorism." Journal of Peace Research (2011): 339-353.
I have neither given nor received unauthorized aid on this assignment.
Roksana Gabidullina
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