conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets oscar martinez-alvarado...

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Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado ([email protected]) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department of Meteorology University of Reading European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting 29 September – 03 October 2008 Amsterdam, The Netherlands

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Page 1: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets

Oscar Martinez-Alvarado ([email protected])

Sue GrayLaura Baker

Department of MeteorologyUniversity of Reading

European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting29 September – 03 October 2008Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Page 2: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Extratropical cyclones:Shapiro-Keyser model

2CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

WCB WCBWCB

WCB

CCB CCB CCB CCB

I II III IV

• Extratropical cyclones carry with them the potential of

causing catastrophic damage to both life and property.

• Regions of strong winds at low levels

― Warm conveyor belt (WCB)

― Cold conveyor belt (CCB)

Page 3: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets• Able to generate highly

damaging winds of more than 100 km/h

• Mesoscale (~100 km) region of strong surface winds occurring in rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones

• Transient (~ few hours), possibly composed of multiple circulations

• Occur at the tip of the hooked cloud head

3CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

CCB

WCB

III

Page 4: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets

• Mechanisms hypothesized to be important:

– Evaporative cooling of cloudy air, and

– The release of conditional symmetric instability

(CSI)

• Vertical transport of mass and momentum

through boundary layer needed to yield surface

wind gusts

4CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 5: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Conditionalsymmetric instability

• A combination of gravitational and

inertial instabilities in a moist

atmosphere

• Leads to slantwise convective

circulations

• Diagnosed by (Schultz and

Schumacher, 1999)

– Mg – *e relationship

• Negative geostrophic moist potential

vorticity (MPVg)

– Slantwise convective available potential

energy (SCAPE)

5CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

*1g g eMPV

Mg incr

easi

ng

e* increasing

Page 6: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Objective

• To determine the importance of conditional symmetric instability as a mechanism leading to sting jets

6CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 7: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Case study: A storm in February 2002

0300

0500

0700

0200

0700

0400

08000400

Source: Met Office website

• Case Identified from climatology study over 7 years of MST radar data (Parton, 2007)

7CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 8: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Numerical simulation

• UK Met Office Unified Model version 6.1

• 0.11˚ (equivalent to 12 km) horizontal resolution

• Enhanced vertical resolution (76 levels)

• Initial time: 1200 UT on 25/02/2002

• Initial conditions from ECMWF operational analysis data interpolated to the model resolution

8CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 9: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Searching for sting jets

• Wind strength > 35 m/s

• Relative humidity > 80 %

• Vertical velocity < -0.05 m/s

• Lagrangian backward trajectories

9CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 10: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

A sting jet in thestorm in February 2002

Wind strength at the top of the boundary layer

10CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

m/s

Page 11: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

A sting jet in the storm in February 2002

Model-derived surface wind gusts

11CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

m/s

Page 12: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets and CSI:Conceptual picture

Browning (2004)

Ascending

Descending

12CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 13: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets and CSI

PVU

Pre

ssure

(h

Pa)

Sting jet

Ascending branch

Moist PV along trajectories

13CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 14: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets and CSI

PVU

Pre

ssure

(h

Pa)

Moist PV along trajectories

14CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 15: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets and CSI

J/kg

Cloud contour

Frontal zone

CAPE contours

SCAPE

Ascending air

15CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 16: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Sting Jets and CSI

J/kg

SCAPE

16CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 17: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

Conclusions• A sting jet was identified in the case study

• It is likely this was responsible for part of the strong gusts recorded at the surface

• The presence of CSI around the region of occurrence has been verified using two alternative methods

– Positive SCAPE

– Regions of negative moist PV

• Non-zero CAPE is also present in the same regions

• Circulations are possibly due to the release of a combination of moist gravitational and moist symmetric instabilities

17CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]

Page 18: Conditional symmetric instability and the development of sting jets Oscar Martinez-Alvarado (O.MartinezAlvarado@reading.ac.uk) Sue Gray Laura Baker Department

References

1. Browning, K. A., 2004: The sting at the end of the tail: Damaging winds associated with extratropical cyclones. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 130, 375-399.

2. Parton, G. A., 2007: Observation and interpretation of strong winds in the mid-troposphere. PhD thesis, University of Manchester.

3. Schultz, D. A. and P. N. Schumacher, 1999: The use and misuse of conditional symmetric instability. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2709-2732.

18CSI and Sting Jets – Contact: [email protected]