computation of things - justyna zander, pieter mosterman - h+ summit @ harvard

40
Computation of Things … the next-generation prediction engine … Justyna Zander, Dr. Pieter Mosterman, Prof. Dr. 2010 Copyrights reserved.

Post on 21-Oct-2014

2.942 views

Category:

Technology


3 download

DESCRIPTION

Justyna Zander Harvard University Fraunhofer Institute FOKUS Computation of Things: Challenges and Solutions for the Needs of Humanity Presented with Pieter J. Mosterman The current exponential growth of technologies is providing novel, frequently unimaginable ways of leveraging its applications for human needs. Ubiquitous communication capabilities allow a redefinition of an individual person as one who is becoming an integrated part of the virtual world and vice versa. The challenge of sustainable development of those trends from the perspective of a single human and humanity as such remains unsolved. In the presented vision various aspects of the sustainability (e.g., the relation between a person’s quality of life, climate change, and social awareness) are highlighted to explore and share how an individual impacts and is impacted by the surrounding. Ultimately a technological solution called Computation of Things (CoTh) is outlined. It allows for a quick and reliable assessment of people’s possible decision paths and how this affects sustainable development on a local and global scale. Forecasting life-path alternatives for a human based on its geographic position (including pollution level, energy usage), activity patterns (including nutrition habits, lifestyle, travelling load, family status, circle of friends, social network, or virtual life), and state patterns (including individual’s DNA, current health conditions, musculature) is targeted. CoTh enables an understanding of the individual self and its surrounding based on the micro-scale information that combines with macro-scale data to enable prediction of different life scenarios. It is defined as an abundant supply of predictive computation capabilities of high performance and large-scale applicability with high accuracy and quality so as to allow for providing humanity’s physical, physiological, mental, and spiritual needs in a profound and as of yet unfathomed manner. Its core is strongly connoted with physical systems engineering. Thus, a parallelly-conducted research on the notion of computation deploys computational models as the primary representations of physics, instead of attempting to approximate first principles ever closer. A theory of treating models as dynamic systems themselves follows. This evokes the promise for a fundamental breakthrough in terms of computational semantics the significance of which becomes paramount as far as the faithfulness of the predictions is considered. Dr. Justyna Zander is a Postdoctoral Research Scientist at Harvard University (Harvard Humanitarian Initiative) in Cambridge, MA, USA (since 2009) and Project Manager at the Fraunhofer Institute for Open Communication Systems in Berlin, Germany (since 2004). She holds Doctorate of Engineering Science (2008) and Master of Science (2005), both in the fields of Computer Science and Electrical Engineering from Technical University Berlin, Germany, Bachelor of Science (2004) in Computer Science, and Bachelor of Science (2003) in Environmental Protection and Management from Gdansk University of Technology, Poland. She graduated from the Singularity University, Mountain View, CA, USA in 2009 where she then was a Teaching Fellow in 2010. Before she was a visiting scholar at the University of California in San Diego, CA, USA in 2007, and a visiting researcher at The MathWorks in Natick, MA, USA in 2008. Her research interests include heterogeneous system development, design, simulation, computation, humanities, and future studies. For her scientific efforts Dr. Zander received grants and scholarships from such institutions as Polish Prime Ministry (1999-2000), Polish Ministry of Education and Sport (2001–2004), German Academic Exchange Service (2002), European Union (2003-2004), Hertie Foundation (2004-2005), IFIP TC6 (2005), German National Academic Foundation Grant (2005-2008), IEEE (2006), Siemens (2007), Metodos y Tecnologia (2008), Singularit

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Computation of Things

… the next-generation prediction engine …

Justyna Zander, Dr.

Pieter Mosterman, Prof. Dr.

2010Copyrights reserved.

Page 2: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

1 <why>1 <why>Computation of Things

… the next-generation prediction engine …

2

Page 3: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Started withStarted with the Sustainability Science

3

Page 4: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Changing Disaster Patterns

Weather-related disasters doubled over the past 2 decades Increase small- and medium-scale disasters More uncertainties, more impact

4

Source: CRED 2008 Report

Page 5: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Happiness Net by Country

5

Page 6: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Happiness Net by Country

Iceland 94 %Iceland 94 %USA 84 %Bulgaria -24 %

6

Page 7: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Social Network Influence on Happiness

7

Page 8: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

YOUYOU

8

Page 9: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CitizenCitizen

Science

9

Page 10: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

10

Page 11: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Personalized

Human-centeredHuman-centered

Computation11

Page 12: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

2 <what>2 <what>Computation of Things

… the next-generation prediction engine …

12

Page 13: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

Mission: increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

Vision: increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life based on:

13

Page 14: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

Mission: increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

Vision: increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life based on:

14

Page 15: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

Mission: increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

Vision: increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life based on:

15

Page 16: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Computation of Things – Mission and Vision

Mission: increase sustainable wellbeing and happiness

Vision: increase the awareness in any possible aspect of life based on:

Common Computation FrameworkFramework

16

Page 17: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

17

Page 18: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

18

Page 19: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

From Internet of Things to Computation of Things

Wisdom

Knowledge

InformationInformation

Data

Internet of Things

19

Things

Page 20: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

From Internet of Things to Computation of Things

Forecasting

Wisdom

Forecasting

Wisdom

Knowledge

Information

Knowledge

InformationInformation

Data

Information

Data

Internet of Things

Computation of Things

20

Things of Things (CoTh)

Page 21: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor

Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

21

Page 22: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor

CoTh

Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

User

CoThIntelligent Modeling                               

and Simulation             for Sustainability

Physical Systems,

Infrastructure, etcGeolocation,

Patterns,

Assessment criteria,

User                       InterfaceANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction

22

Page 23: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor

CoTh

Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

User

CoThIntelligent Modeling                               

and Simulation             for Sustainability

Physical Systems,

Infrastructure, etcGeolocation,

Patterns,

Assessment criteria,

User                       InterfaceANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction

SYNTHESIS: Decision‐makingSYNTHESIS: Decision making

23

Page 24: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh – a Future Personalized Virtual Advisor

CoTh

Participatory Sensing (HLoop)

User

CoThIntelligent Modeling                               

and Simulation             for Sustainability

Physical Systems,

Infrastructure, etcGeolocation,

Patterns,

Assessment criteria,

User                       InterfaceANALYSIS: Forecast and Prediction

SYNTHESIS: Decision‐making? SYNTHESIS: Decision making?24

Page 25: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

25

Page 26: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

26

Page 27: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

3 <how>3 <how>Computation of Things

… the next-generation prediction engine …

27

Page 28: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

28

Page 29: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Imagine rigorously validating

6.8 billion models!

29

Page 30: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModels

Physical model

30

Page 31: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModelsAssumptionsAssumptions

Theoretical modelPhysical model

31

Page 32: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModelsAssumptionsAssumptions

Theoretical modelPhysical model

32

Page 33: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModelsAssumptionsA i tiAssumptionsApproximations

Theoretical modelPhysical model

computational

Computational model

pmodel

33

Page 34: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModelsAssumptionsA i tiAssumptionsApproximationsCorrectness

Theoretical modelPhysical model

computational

Computational model

pmodel

Numerical integrationSolver modelSolver model

34

Page 35: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

CoTh EngineModelsAssumptionsA i tiAssumptionsApproximationsCorrectness

Theoretical modelPhysical model

computational

Computational model

pmodel

Numerical integrationSolver modelSolver model

35

Page 36: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

4 <process>4 <process>Get

A t D id T faware-ness

Accept Decide Transform

36

Page 37: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Decide Wisely

37

Page 38: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Decide Wisely

38

Page 39: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

Acknowledgements

39

[email protected]://msdl.cs.mcgill.ca/people/mosterman/

[email protected]://sites.google.com/site/justynazander

Page 40: Computation of Things - Justyna Zander, Pieter Mosterman - H+ Summit @ Harvard

40