competitive impact of foreign banks_the case of ukraine
TRANSCRIPT
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ISSN 1392-1258.EKoNoMIKa200986
COMpETiTivE iMpaCT Of fOrEigN baNKSON fiNaNCial MarKETS iN TraNSiTiONalECONOMiES: ThE CaSE Of UKraiNE
voodymy Secenko
Ph. D. Assoc. Professor,
Chair of International Economics, Economic Faculty
National Taras Shevchenko University of Kyiv, Ukraine
Room 602, 90-a, Vasylkyvska Str.
02032 Kyiv, UkraneE-mail: [email protected]
Abstract.The scale, the major economic indicators and the competitive impact o oreign banks onthe national banking system o a transitional economy, based on the case o Ukraine, are studied.
The banking sector development o the transitional economies diers rom that o developedcountries. Transitional economies have the bank-centered nancial systems with the prevailingbanking sector, a rapidly growing demand or banking services, booming credit supply, weak ins-titutional and regulatory policies causing problems with banking stability. The intensive entry ooreign banks and their increasing market share have a signicant impact on banking competitionand perormance.
The paper argues that the oreign banks entry by the acquisition o Ukrainian banks shares iscompetitive by nature (demand-side competition and supply-side competition on the entry stageand post-entry market competition). The entry competition infuences the relatively high price in-dicators o the Ukrainian banks shares in comparison with neighbouring countries. The post-entrycompetitive position o oreign banks is based on utilizing their competitive advantages and thepost-entry market strategy. The oreign banks utilize capabilities to increase capitalization, assetsand liabilities management and gaining a substantial market position, and oer more competitiveproducts and services in all major market segments.
Keywords: transitional economies, banking sector, oreign banks, bank share price, banking
competition.
Introduction
Theinternationalizationofbankingservices
is ne f he mj ends in he glbl
economy.Ithasadifferentextentandim -
plicationsinthedeveloped,emergingand
transitionaleconomies.Theforeignbanks
eny is ne f he cmmn fees f he
nancialsystemsstructuralchangesin
nsitionaleconomies.Theintensity,time
frame,mode,extentandimplicationsofthe
feign bnks eny in ninl mkes
vary depending of themacroeconomic,
monetary,demand,institutional,regulatory
nd he cndiins in diffeen nsiinl
economies.
Sdies f he bnking sec develp-
men in nsiinl ecnmies cncene
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msly n he bnking sysem insiinl
reforms,creditboomandbankingstability,
feignbanksentryandtheirmarketshare,
institutionalandregulatoryissues.
the im f he esech is sdyhe feign bnks eny cmpeiin nd
ps-eny implicins f he cmpeiive
envinmen in he ninl bnking sysem
ofatransitionaleconomy,basedonthecase
ofUkraine.
Theresearchobjectivesare:
veview esech ppches
bnking cmpeiin nd is inen-tionaldimension;
idenify he key ecnmic indics
f he feign bnk eny in nsiinl
economy;
sdy he cmpeiin specs he
sges f feign bnk eny in nsi-
tionalmarkets;
evle he mj cmpeiive im-
pcs f feign bnks eny n n-
sitionaleconomybankingmarket.
Methods
Cmpeiin in he bnking sec is sd-
ied by sing diffeen esech mehds
andmodels.Themostcommonlyutilized
researchmethodsare:
mesing he degee f bnking cn-
centrationusingtheHerndahlHirsh -
manindexorothermethodsandbased
n h ssess hw highe degee f
cncenin pses me inensive
competition, inuencing the banking
behvi nd hgh h he bnks
performance;
evaluationofperfectcompetition,mo-
nply nd impefec cmpeiin md-
els f bnking (fe Mhews nd
thmpson,2005);
sdying he scle nd scpe f ecnmy
asacomplexsourceofthebankscom-
peiive dvnges nd heefe meeffectiveperformance(afterHeffernan,
2004);
modelingX-efciencyasbankmanage-
mentabilitytocontrolcost(costX-ef-
ciency)orprot(protX-efciency)
in espnse cmpeiin chllenges
(afterHeffernan,2004);
pplicin f diffeen pefmnce s-
sessmen mehds evle he degee
ofcompetitionimpact,includingtheef-
ciencyofassetsandliabilities,deposit
loans margin, costprot ratios,perfor-
mancecomparativeindicators,rating
models,forexample,CAMELS,etc;
sdying cmpeiin s diving fce
ofbankingandnancialinnovationsand
spilloverandmarketeffects.Ecnmic indics nd he impc f
he feign bnks eny n nsiinl
mkes e sdied sing he scl
cmpive nlysis f he eny nd
thepost-entrycompetition,itseconomic
measuring.Theforeignbankentrycauses
scl chnges wihin he ninl bnk-
ingsectorandthroughthatinuencesthecompetition,asarguedbyClaessensand
Laeven(Claessens,Laeven,2003,2006).
Sch scl ppch cld be devel-
opedascomparativeandtime-fashioned,
specifying diffeen dimensins f eny
andpost-entrycompetition,economicindi-
cs nd hei impc n diffeen sges
f feign bnks behvi in nsiinl
markets. Supplyand demand conditions
f ukinin bnks shes he feign
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bnks en trystage,therelativemarketpow -
ershouldalsobetakenintoconsideration.
the cse f ukine s middle-incme nd
mid-sizetransitionaleconomyisusedinthe
studyincomparisonwiththeexperienceofneighboringcountries.
Feign bnks in ukinin nsiinl
economy:entryconditionsandcompetitive
impact.
Cross-borderbanksmergersandacqui -
sitions(M&A)areawayoftheforeign
investments,capitalconsolidationaswell
s insiins nd mkes ineninl-
ization.Cross-borderM&Aaccountfora
sbsnil p f he ineninl cpil
owsandfeatureasanimportantdirec-
tion oftheEuropeanandglobalnancial
integration.
the d f e e bnk css-bde
M&Ashowthattheoverallandmedium
valuesof dealsare increasing, indicating
consolidationofthenancialservicessec-tor.Atthesametime,foreigninvestments
ply diffeen le in he bnking secs
f he Eu-15 cnies nd Eu new mem-
berstates(NMS).Foreignentitiesaccount
inNMSfor70.3%oftotalbankingassets,
whileintheEU-15countriessuchgureis
27.8%[ECB2008b,p.11].
NMS nd nsiinl ecnmies e
me pecepive f feign invesmens
intothebankingsector,primarilyduetoits
ndedevelpmen in cmpisn wih he
EU-15countriesandtheexcessivedemand
fornancewhichcouldnotbecoveredby
domesticsources.Atthesametime,the
feign bnks eny is mived pimilyby he gwh penil f ms lcive
sevices sch s cnsmes nd mgge
loans,whichdrivesimportincreaseanda
negativeimpactontheBOPcurrentaccount
andexchangerates.
Finncil sysems f nsiinl ecn-
mies e bnk-ceneed wih cmpively
wek sck mkes nd cmpively less
developednon-bankingnancialinstitu-
tions.InUkraine,theshareofbanksassets
inconsolidatedassetsofthenancialsys -
temgrewupfrom86.1%in2005to92.1%
in2007(ourcalculationbasedonofcial
banking and nancial statistics). Such a
lge nd gwing she f bnks cld be
consideredasaspecicstructuralasym-
metryofthetransitionalnancialsystem.Non-banking nancial institutionsplay a
limied le in he mke cmpeiin de
hei lw swiching cpciy nd limied
civeness f he finncil sevices
customers. Therefore, the bankingsector
competitivenessandefciencyplayakey
le in he vell pefmnce nd sbiliy
ofthenancialsystem.
Feign bnks eny in he ukinin
mke kes plce in cmpeiive en-
Table 1. Bank M&A in the euro area
20002004 20052008
Vle f dels (E billins) 182 269
Nmbe f dels 485 274
Note:Dealsinvolved10%sharecapitalandmore;for2008dataforthersthalfoftheyear.
Source: Cross-borderbankmergers&acquisitionsandinternationalinvestors.ECBMonthlyBulletin.
October2008.P.71.
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vinmen de he spply nd demnd
conditionsandinformationasymmetry.
Supplyanddemandconditions,information
asymmetryandalower,incomparisonwith
maturemarkets,levelofmarketcompeti-
tioninuenceforeignbanksmotivation
forentry.
the demnd f he bnk shes is
diven by he feign bnks esimin f
he mke penil nd heefe by spe-
cicrequirementstothetargetedUkrainian
banks.Thedemand-sidecompetitionforthe
scks f he ukinin bnks hs been p-
idly incesing since 2004 de he gwh
penil f he dynmic mke high
gwh penil f ecnmic nd bnkingservices,amoderatebankingcompetition
nd elively lwe cs f invesmens
forthemarketsharedevelopment.
the mj fcs f cmpeiive demnd
f ukinin bnks shes e he vl-
tion,monetary,macroeconomic,structural
andmarketfactors:
) he emining ndevlin f sses
intheUkrainianeconomy,including
bankingassets,determinesthepotential
f heifairmarketvaluationuponnan-
cialmarketsliberalizationandtherefore
gining mginl incme fm he
increasevalueofassets.Mid-termpros-
pecs f incesing is mke vlin
areduetoUkrainesjoiningtheWTO,
establishingafreetradezonewiththe
EUandnancialmarketliberalization;
b) he ecnmic gwh penil in
Ukraineremainsquitehigh.Itsmacro-
ecnmic develpmens demnse
balancedandstableeconomicgrowth,a
goodadjustmentcapacitytotheexternal
shocks,moderatecurrencystability,
butarelativelyhighinationasfora
transitionaleconomy.
Highratesofeconomicgrowth,capital
invesmens nd cnsmpin cse gw-
ing demnd f bnking sevices cm-
mercial,corporate,investmentandprivate.
Growingincomesfeedconsumerspending,
depsis nd cnsmes bwing cp-
city.Itbecomesamajorcumulativedemand
fc f bnking sevices nd ne f he
keymotivesfortheforeignbanksentry;
Table 2. Ukraine: major macroeconomic indicators, 20012008
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008f
GDPnominalprices,US$Bln. 38.0 42.4 50.2 64.9 86.2 106.5 140.5 171.0
RealGDPgrowthrates,% 9.2 5.2 9.6 12.1 2.7 7.3 7.3 6.5
NominalGDPpercapita,US$ 781 878 1,049 1,367 1,830 2,278 3,027 3,695Indsil pdcin el gwh,% 14.2 7.0 15.8 12.5 3.1 6.2 10.2 8.5
Cpil invesmens el gwh,% 6.0 3.4 22.5 20.5 3.9 18.7 21.9 18.0
Consumptionrealgrowth,% 9.3 5.0 10.0 9.7 15.7 11.9 14.0 10.0
NetFDIinow,US$Bln. 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.7 7.5 5.7 8.2 9.5
CPIannualchange,% 6.1 -0.6 8.2 12.3 10.3 11.6 16.6 14.0
BOPcurrentaccount,%GDP 3.7 7.5 5.8 10.7 2.9 -1.5 -3.3 -4.5
Ofcialreserves,US$Bln. 3.3 4.4 6.9 9.7 19.4 22.4 32.2 37.5
Exchangerate,UAH/US$ 5.37 5.33 5.33 5.32 5.12 5.05 5.05 5.05
S o u r c e s :MinistryofStatisticsofUkraine.2008Fmedianofdifferentforecasts.
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c) he gwh penil f bnking sevices
isquitehighintheirscopeandfuture
value.ThebankingsectorinUkraine
since2002demonstratesextremelyhigh
es f gwh de he pid mnei-zationofeconomyandhigheconomic
growth.Boththesupplyanddemandof
mney emins cive f feign in-
vestors.Theaverageannualgrowthrates
f nminl bnking sses in 20032007
wehaveestimatedat50.2%andbanks
claimsat44.5%.Ontheonehand,credit
growthsupportstheeconomy,buton
he he hnd i my esl in highe
risksfornancialstabilityandrequires
thefurthercapitalizationofthebank-
ing sysem nd bee mngemen f
nancialrisks.
the pid gwh f bnking sevices in
20022007didnotfullysaturatethemarket,
heefore,theremaininggrowthpotentialmo-
tivatesforeignbanksentry.Thebankingser-
vices mke hs gd penil f gwh
inthemedium and long-termperspective.
the mke gwh penil is deeminedby he mcecnmic fndmenls sch
ashigheconomicgrowth,investmentsand
consumption.Thebanking market growth
penil is diven by scl fcs sch
asmoderateconcentrationandcompetition,
thestartingphaseofconsolidation,lower
investmentsforincreasingthemarketshare,
agoodmarginalincome,relativelylowmar-
ketpenetration,roomforspilloverofnew
nancialproductsandtechnologies,alow
competitionfromthenon-bankingnancial
institutions.Suchapotentialisdeterminedby
he emining diffeence fm neighbing
cnies in he elive indics f bnking
servicespenetration:
Figure 1.Loans and deposits per capita in selected countries, 2006, $US
Source:NationalBankofUkraine,MinistryofStatisticsofUkraine.
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the d shw h he penein -
i f bh lns nd depsis in ukine
emins wice lwe hn in rssi nd
Kazakhstanand310timeslowerthan
inselectedCEEcountries.Theprospectsf eching cmpble penein is
in 35 yes nd especive incese f
he mj segmens f he bnking mke
cld be cnsideed s he gwh penil
ofbankingservices.Itreectstheeffect
ofso-calledacceleratinggrowthfroma
lwe sing psiin wds he level
me dvnced hn he cnys level f
economicgrowth.
the cmpeiive demnd fm feign
banksisconcentratingontheacquisitionof
lge ukinin bnks wih he esblished
mke psiin nd gd gwh pen-
tial.Ithasusuallybeendeterminedbasedon
thehomehostbiasandasetofquantitative
andqualitativecriteria.
typicl ims slly sipled by f-eign bnks f geed ukinin bnks nd
heefe plying he key le f cmpei-
tionwithotherbiddersontheM&Amarket
arethefollowing:anetworkof50branches
andmore;presenceinallmajorregionsof
thecountry;thesharecapitalbookvalueof
$US100mill.andmore;credithistorywith
foreignbanks;afullbankinglicenseforall
bankingservices,etc.
the mj fees f he demnd cm-
peiin f he lge ukinin bnks
sharesacquisitionarethefollowing:
1. The demand is concentrating on the
lges ukinin bnks becse he
majorbuyersarelargeinternational -
nncil insiins nd hei im is ge
throughacquisitionasubstantil she ftheUkrainianbankingmarket.Foreign
bnks e epesened by he lges
diversiedglobalnancialgroup,and
hei behvi deemines cmpeiive
demnd cndiins f ukinin bnks
shares.2. Foreignbanksmostlytargetattheac-
quisitionof90100%ofsharesandthus
geing n lime cnl ve he
acquiredbanks.
3. LargeUkrainianbankswithawidenet-
wk f bnches nd lge nmbe f
csmes e he ms cive ge
forforeignbanks.Suchlargebanksare
thekeytargetsforacquisitioncompeti-
tionamongforeignbanks,andtheir
she pices e highe hn f smlle
banks.
the ecnmic indicin f sch cm-
peiive demnd f lge ukinin bnks
cld be ssessed s highe evlin f
he bnk shes (s he pice bk vle
i) in cmpisn wih neighbing
countries.Therelativelevelofpricereects
he cen peviling mke end fcs-
ingacquisitioncompetitiononthespecic
targetssuchaslargebanks.Inotherwords,
he elively limied spply nde sng
competitivedemandfromtheglobalnan -
cil insiins csed pice incese f
theshares.o clclin shws h he weighed
averageP/BVforUkrainianbanksis4.2
fortheperiod20042007.Asimilarratio
forRussiais2.75.Itindicatesahigher
elive mke vlin s esl f
highe cmpeiin f he ukinin bnks
shares,reectingabettergrowthpotential
andimprovingregulatoryconditions.
the spply-side cmpeiin is dieced
wds incesing he ffeing vle nd
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sharepriceofthebanksutilizingpre-
acquisitionvalueenhancementstrategyto
getacquiredbyforeigninvestors.Sucha
strategyisemployedbythemedium-size
bnks wih limied cpbiliy incese
capitalizationandcompetewithlargeinsti-
tutions.Fromthesupplyside,competition
is dieced geing n ffe fm gd
internationalbank,sellingshareswiththe
highestpossibleP/BVratioandaclose
nscin he ime f bee mke cn-ditions.Medium-sizebanksutilizedifferent
pe-sell plicies incese hei mke
vle nd ge cive cmpeiive ffes
fromforeignbanks:
bwing fm he ineninl bnks
in de incese he cedi pfli
andassets;
develping llince-ype elins wih
majorinternationalbanks,suchas:trade
nancefacilities,letterofcreditand
bankguarantiesconrmationfacilities,
interbankstandingfacilities;develping lng-snding elins wih
Table 3. Major economic indicators of the Ukrainian banks shares acquisition by foreign
banks, 20042008
Buyer Target bak sharePrie,
mill. $UsP/BV
VilniausBankas(SEB gp membe) agi 95% 27.5 1.6RaiffeisenInternationalBankHol-Hl-Hl-
ding aG (asi)avl 94% 1028 3.2
Sbebnk (rssi) NRB-Ukraine 100% 150 3.7
BNPParibas(Fnce) uksibbnk 51% 367 3.4
Vneshgbnk (rssi) Mij 98% 70 1.6
Cedi agicle (Fnce) Index-Bank 98% 260 7.2
OTPBank(Hngy) riffeisen ukine 100% 827 5.2
EFG Ebnk (Geece) univeslny 99% 50 3
ErsteBank(asi) Pesije 100% 104 1.8
MarnPopularBank(Cyps) MTB 99% 137.4 5.1
Gein Hlding (Plnd) Pykpy 82% n/a n/a
Vlksbnk Ineninl (asi) Elecn 98% 75 3.8
Swedbnk (Sweden) taS-Kmesbnk 99% 735 4.5
PiraeusBankSA(Geece)Ineninl
cmmecil bnk99% 75 4.9
uniCedi Bank(Ily) ukssbnk 95% 2200 5.6
BankofGeorgia(Gegi) UBRP 99% 74 2.7
Commerzbank(Gemny) Fm 60% 600 5.1
SEB(Sweden) Fcil 97% 120 4.3
BankofCyprus(Cyps) Avtozaz 95% 76,1 4
BankHapoalim(Isel) ukinbnk 76% 135 2.2
Ines Snpl (Ily) Pravex 100% 750 5.2
AlphaBank(Geece) as 90% 120 1.5
Source:banksinformation,varioussources.P/BVshareacquisitionpricetoitsbookvalue.
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networkclients,forexample,through
jin cd pdcs wih mbile sevices
operators,majorsupermarketchains,
airlines,etc.;
minoritysharesselltoEBRDinorder impve bnk cpe mngemen
andrating;
miniy shes sell n IPo pive
placementinordertogetpricequotation
oninternationalmarkets;
geing sbdined ln fm he
EBRDorotherinternationalinstitutions
inordertoincreasethesharecapital;
impving cedi ing by he mj
internationalratingagencies;
ineninl bnds Ebnds plce-
ment;
branchnetworkdevelopment;
developingtheretailmarketshare;
improvingbalancesheetprotability.
Mid-sizebankpre-sellpolicysometimes
mkes hem cive f glbl bnking
gps ineesed in geing sing pl-
formfordevelopingasizablemarketshare.
Inseveralcases,asaresultoftheeffective
pe-sell segy nd cmpeiive ffes
frominternationalbanks,medium-size
bnks g sccessfl sell f shes wih
theP/BVratioclosetoorabovetheaverage
forthelargeUkrainianbanks.
the nmbe nd he mke psiin f
he feign-wned bnks in ukine hs
beengrowinginthelastthreeyears,with
he pssibiliy ccpy p 50% f he
marketin20082009.Feign bnks my becme dmining
onthemarketincaseofprivatizationofthe
w emining lge se-wned bnks
Oschadbank(SavingsBank)andUkrexim-
bank(StateExport-ImportBank).
the ps-eny cmpeiive impc f
feign-wned bnks n he ukinin bnk-
ing mke cld be evled bsed n
differentcriteria,includingscale,scopeand
performanceindicators,protability,ratings,
etc.The structural comparative approach
gives he pssibiliy idenify he es in
which feign-wned bnks hve cmpeiive
advantagesandutilizethemtogaincompara-
ively bee esls hn hei mke psiin
measuredbytheratioofthesharecapital.
Forthispurpose,itcouldbepossibleto
se cmpive nlysis f he i f
scl cmpnens f he feign bnks
assets,liabilitiesandsharecapitalrelative
he sme indics f ll bnks nd
ssess he es f cmpeiive dvnges
of foreign-owned banks. Relative mea-
semens f sse sce nd effecive
mngemen f libiliies cld be sed s
Table 4. Foreign-owned banks in Ukraine, 20032008
foreig owed bak 1.01.2003 1.01.2004 1.01.2005 1.01.2006 1.01.2007 1.01.2008
Banksnumber 20 19 19 23 35 44
% f ll bnks
% f ll bnks she
cpil
13.7 11.3 9.6 19.6 27.6 33.0
Source: NationalBankofUkraine.
Foreign-ownedbanksbanksinwhich51%andmoresharesareinforeignownership.
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acomplexapproachforevaluatingthepost-
eny impc f feign-wned bnks n he
bankingsectorstructureandcompetition.
the cmpive sce f he feign-
wned bnks sses indices h bnks
utilizethecompetitiveadvantageinretail
sevices sch s cnsme nd mgge
lending. Foreign-owned banks share in
eil lending f ll bnks (clims pive
individuals)isestimatedataround40%,
which is highe hn is elive weigh inthetotalbankssharecapital(33%).
the develpmen f eil bnking se-
vices is spped by he feign-wned
bnks cmpeiive dvnges sch s
accesstolong-termnancialliquidityand
securitization technologies. At the same
time,theretailbankingservicesaremost
protableinthelongrunandgeneratea
higheraccumulatedprotincomparison
withotherservices.Therefore,nowfour
foreign-ownedbanksholdapproximately
80%ofthemortgagenancinginUkraine.
Thecomplementaryeffectisthatatpresent,
feign cmpnies cncene me hn
50%ofthelifeinsurancemarketinUkraine,
minly hnks demnd f sch sevices
fromthemortgage-lendingbanks.
the feign-wned bnks hld simil
competitivepositioninotherprotableseg-
mens f eil sevices sch s c lns nd
consumerloans.Suchservicesalsorequireemploying access to long-term nancial
liquidity,insuranceandsecuritizationtech-
nologies.Otherinnovationspilloveronthe
eil mke e bnk cds wih debi nd
deposit management functions, cards for
smallbusinesscommercialborrowing.
Feign-wned bnks libiliies mn-
gemen indices h he scl fcs
also play a signicant role inenhancing
competitioninbanking.
Figure 2. Assets structure of foreign-owned: the ratio of foreign-owned banks to all banks in
Ukraine, 2007
Source : NationalBankofUkraine.
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
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Ontheliabilitiesmanagementside,the
feign-wned bnks cmpeiive dvnges
aredominatingsourcesofliquidityasbankslns (pimily fm he pen bnk) nd
41% f ll bnks vess hei weigh in she
capitalof33%.Thehigherweightofother
liabilities,whichmostlycomprisedocu -
mentaryoperationswiththeparentbank,
suchasbankguaranties,tradenancing,
etc.,alsoreectacomparativeadvantage
insourcingnancialliquidityanditseffec -
tiveutilization.Foreign-ownedbanksholdcmpively less depsis becse hey
useparentbankliquidityasthemainsource
oflending;forthesimilarreasontheyhold
comparativelylessreserves.
Conclusions
the sdy demnses h feign-wned
banksactivitiesexertastructuralimpact
n he mke f bnking sevices in nsi-
inl ecnmies nd hs enhnce cmpei-
Figure 3. Liabilities and own capital of foreign-owned banks: the ratio of foreign-owned banks
to all banks in Ukraine, 2007
Source : NationalBankofUkraine.
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
tion.Theresultsshowthelastingeconomic
effecs f feign-wned bnks,mainlydue
to capitalization, servicesdiversication,cross-borderbankingandinuenceonthe
developmentofthenancialsystem.Onthe
foreignbanksentrystage,thedemand-side
andsupply-sidecompetitionforacquisi-
in f he ukinin bnks shes hs
signicanteffecton increasingthe selling
priceofsharesandtheP/BVratio.Atthe
post-entrystage,theforeign-ownedbanks
utilizetheircompetitiveadvantagesandget cmpively highe mke psiin in
he key segmen f sses develpmen nd
liabilitiesmanagement.
an dvnced nlysis f he scl im-
pc f feign bnks eny in he ninl
bnking mke shld cve he isses f
entrycostandprotability,entryimpacton
bankscapitalization,thequalityofinvest-
mentsandservices,bankingsystemstability
andadjustmenttoexternalshocks.
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