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Community Advisory Committee Meeting 5 September 29, 2015 3:00 PM to 5:00 PM Moikeha Building Room A Welcome Mike Dahilig, County of Kaua‘i Planning Director

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Page 1: Community Advisory Committee Meeting 3 - Plan Kaua‘iplankauai.com/wp-content/uploads/CAC-Meeting-5... · Community Advisory Committee Meeting 5 September 29, 2015 3:00 PM to 5:00

Community Advisory Committee Meeting 5September 29, 2015

3:00 PM to 5:00 PM

Moikeha Building Room A

WelcomeMike Dahilig, County of Kaua‘i Planning Director

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Overview of Today’s Meeting

David Tarnas, Marine & Coastal Solutions InternationalMeeting Facilitator

1. Project Update and CAC Schedule – Cheryl Soon, SSFM2. Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation – Ka’aina Hull and

Marie Williams, COK Planning Department3. Entitled Lands - Melissa White, SSFM 4. Land Use and Buildout Analysis –Roy Takemoto, PBR Hawai‘i 5. Discussion6. Public Comments7. Next Activities

Project Update & CAC ScheduleCheryl Soon, SSFM International

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Project Update: Where We Are Today

Work PlanPublic Engagement StrategyTechnical Paper Review

Nov 2014-Mar 2015

Existing Conditions, Issues & OpportunitiesCAC KickoffMedia CampaignWebsite

April 2015

Community Meetings Policy Development Strategy

May 2015

Vision, Goals, Policy Development Ongoing CAC, Agency BriefingPublic Engagement

June 2015-June 2016

Administrative Draft Plan Public Review DraftCommunity Meetings

August-September

2016

Planning Commission Review Council ReviewAdoption

Fall 2016-Early 2017

WE ARE HERE

The Latest1. Issues and Opportunities paper complete (pick up a

copy on your way out – also available online at www.plankauai.com)• Informed by a review of technical studies and available plans

& policies• Issues were tested and verified through pop-up week,

community meetings, and small group meetings• The paper will be a reference throughout the CAC process

2. Technical studies online and distributed to the CAC3. Community input compiled and posted online4. Input from Farm Fair, CAC meeting 3, and other

sources is being used to update the Vision Statement5. County is working to engage middle and high school

students; Kaua‘i Community College

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Policy Development Process

Gather Information

- Review existing plans and policies - Identify current best practices - Take stock of what has happened since the 2000 General Plan- Analyze policy issues and opportunities

Incorporate Input

- Interview agencies and departments to identify challenges and opportunities- Engage the CAC in discussions about policy issues and direction for the future- Collect input from the community on policy issues and priorities

Develop Policy

- Using the information and input collected, evaluate the existing 2000 General Plan policies and recommend whether to retain, update, or replace them.- Incorporate any new information or policies that were not addressed in the 2000 General Plan- Test and refine proposed policies with County and community input

Implementation Roadmap

- Implementing Actions- Regulatory Maps- Prioritization of Actions - Benchmarks- Performance Measures

GP Chapter Topics Covered Associated Technical Reports CAC Meetings

1. Introduction - GP Process & Policy Framework- Public Involvement

#1 (March 30, 2015): CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process

2. Vision for the Future - Where We Are Today: Challenges and Successes- Demographic and Socioeconomic projections- Vision for Kaua‘i - Guiding Principles

Socioeconomic Analysis & Forecasts (SMS Research, Feb 2014)

#2 (April 30, 2015): Demographic and Socioeconomic Data

#3 (July 22, 2015): Proposed Vision for Kaua‘i 2035

3. Protecting Natural & Cultural Resources

- Historic & Cultural Resources- Scenic & Open Space Resources- Land and Water - Shoreline Areas- Climate Change & Natural Hazards

Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Assessment UH Sea Grant, June 2014)

#6 (October 20, 2015): Natural & Cultural Resources; Open Space; Hazards & Climate Change

4. Providing for Healthy, Resilient, and Vibrant Communities

- Community Health- Disaster Preparedness- Self-Sufficiency- and Community Networks- Social Equity- Entrepreneurialism- Arts and Culture

Community Health Improvement Plan (June 2014), Wilcox Hospital, COK, KCC, DOH, DOE

Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Assessment UH Sea Grant, June 2014)

#13 (June 2016): Public Facilities and Social Equity

5. Planning for the Future - Land Use- Economic Development (Agriculture, Tourism,

Growth Areas)- Infrastructure & Energy- Housing- Transportation

Land Use Buildout Analysis, (PBR Hawai‘i, 2014)

Important Agricultural Lands Study (University of Hawai‘i, Dec 2014)

Infrastructure Analysis, (RM Towill, May 2015)

#4 (July 28, 2015):Place Typing and Form Based Code #5 (September 29, 2015): Land Use Buildout & Entitled Development#8 (January 2016): Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit)#9 (February 2016): Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste#10 (March 2016): Agriculture#12 (May 2016): Economic Development (tourism, clusters)

6. Implementing the Vision - Vision & Policies for each planning district - Shared Kuleana Implementation Tools and Roadmap

#7 (November 30, 2015): Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District#11 (April 2016): Draft Land Use Map and Policies#14a (June 2016) Implementation Tools & Fiscal Analysis

7. Measuring Progress - Performance Measures & Monitoring- Accountability

#14b (June 2016) Monitoring & Performance Measures

DRAFT PLAN Review of Draft Plan August-September 2016

Kaua‘i General Plan Working Schedule for the CAC(refer to your handouts)

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Month/Year GP Chapter CAC Topics Covered

March 2015 1. Introduction CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process

April 2015 2. Vision for the Future Demographic and Socioeconomic Data

July 2015 2. Vision for the Future Proposed Vision for Kaua‘i 2035

July 2015 5. Planning for the Future Place Typing & Form-Based Code

September 2015 5. Planning for the Future Status of 2000 General Plan ImplementationLand Use Buildout AnalysisEntitled Development

October 2015 3. Protecting Natural & Cultural Resources

Natural, Historic & Cultural ResourcesOpen SpaceClimate Change & Natural Hazards

November 2015 6. Implementing the Vision Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District

January 2016 5. Planning for the Future Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit)

February 2016 5. Planning for the Future Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste)

March 2016 5. Planning for the Future Agriculture

April 2016 6. Implementing the Vision Draft Land Use Map and Policies

May 2016 5. Planning for the Future Economic Development (tourism, clusters)

June 2016 4. Providing for Healthy, Resilient, and Vibrant Communities6. Implementing the Vision7. Measuring Progress

Public Facilities and Social EquityImplementation Tools & Fiscal AnalysisMonitoring & Performance Measures

August-September 2016 Review of Draft Plan

Chronological Schedule

Technical Studies• The first Technical Study on Socioeconomic Projections was

discussed at Meeting 2• Today will include a presentation on the Land Use Inventory

and Buildout Analysis

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Status of 2000 General Plan ImplementationKa`aina Hull and Marie WilliamsCounty of Kaua‘i Planning Department

Kaua’iCountyGeneral Plan 2000IMPLEMENTAT ION

Planning Department Implementation Efforts2000 2015

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Overview

Zoning Amendments• Agriculture Cluster Subdivision• Lateral Shoreline Access• Gated Community Ban• AG ADU Sunset• Subdivision Traffic Calming• Superstore Ban• Shoreline Setback Bills• Open District Density Cap• Transient Vacation Rental Bills• Small Wind Energy Conversion• Farm Worker Housing Bill• Increase in Zoning Violation Fine Bill• Land Coverage Calculation for Shared Use Paths• AG Solar• CZO Update• Reduce Block Length• Homestay

Community Planning• K lauea Town Plan• East Kaua’i Community Plan• L hu’e Town Core Urban Design Plan

• SPA D, E, F, & G

• South Kaua’i Community Plan• SPA H, I, J

• L hu’e Community Plan

September 29, 2015

2

3

Zoning Amendments

AG Cluster Subdivisionx

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4

Zoning Amendments

AG Cluster Subdivision xLateral Shoreline Access (777, 801)

Gated Community BanxAg ADU Sunset Bill (843)

5

Zoning Amendments

Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843)Subdivision Traffic Calming

Superstore Ban (849)Shoreline Setback (863)

Open District Density (896)

x

AG Cluster Subdivision xLateral Shoreline Access (777, 801)

Gated Community Banx

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6

Zoning Amendments

Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843)Subdivision Traffic Calming

Superstore Ban (849)Shoreline Setback (863)

Open District Density (896)

x

AG Cluster Subdivision xLateral Shoreline Access (777, 801)

Gated Community Banx

Transient Vacation Rental Bills (864, 876, 904)

Small Wind Energy Conversion

Increase in Zoning Violation Fine (919)Farm Worker Housing (903)

x

7

Zoning Amendments

Ag ADU Sunset Bill (843)Subdivision Traffic Calming

Superstore Ban (849)Shoreline Setback (863)

Open District Density (896)Transient Vacation Rental Bills (864, 876, 904)

Small Wind Energy Conversion

Increase in Zoning Violation Fine (919)Farm Worker Housing (903)

AG Solar Facilities (928)CZO UPDATE (935)

x

x

Land Coverage Calculations (924)

Homestay(987)

AG Cluster Subdivision xLateral Shoreline Access (777, 801)

Gated Community Ban

Reduce Block Length (946)

x

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8

Community Planning

K laueaTownPlan

Land Use Plan for Expansion45 acres residential60% affordableBypass road

9

Community Planning

K laueaTownPlan

East Kaua’iCommunityPlan

Regional PlanLaunched in 2006Explored growth scenariosNot finalizedPolicy work to be integrated intoGeneral Plan

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10

Community Planning

K laueaTownPlan

East Kaua’iCommunityPlan

L hu’e TownCore UrbanDesign Plan

L hu’eCommunityPlan

Town Core PlanInfill and mixed use development• SPA D• SPA E• SPA F• SPA G

Regional PlanRecommended new SPAsAdd 4 5K homes by 2035

11

Community Planning

K laueaTownPlan

East Kaua’iCommunityPlan

L hu’e TownCore UrbanDesign Plan

L hu’eCommunityPlan

South Kaua’iCommunityPlan

Regional PlanNew Growth AreaAdd 2k homes by 2035• SPA H• SPA I• SPA J

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12

Community Planning

K laueaTownPlan

East Kaua’iCommunityPlan

L hu’e TownCore UrbanDesign Plan

L hu’eCommunityPlan

South Kaua’iCommunityPlan

• SPA D• SPA E• SPA F• SPA G• SPA H• SPA I• SPA J

Entitled Lands AnalysisMelissa White, SSFM International

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Entitled Lands Analysis

Methodology• Data on entitled projects was collected from the COK

Planning Department:• Major projects with an existing PDU or Class IV Zoning

Permit; and• Large zoned projects, with or without subdivision approvals,

but with a master plan. • Projects at the Land Use Commission, requesting SLUD

Boundary Amendment

• Entitled projects were mapped and tabulated by district and project type (Housing, Commercial, Resort)

Entitled Lands AnalysisCaveats• Many of these projects have been on the books for

years and their current status is uncertain. Outreach is being conducted to major landowners to obtain the status of known projects and identify future plans that may be proposed during the GP planning horizon.

• Build-out is subject to multiple factors not within County’s control: the market, construction costs, landowner willingness, State DOT infrastructure requirements, etc.

• There are no expirations on certain types of County permits, meaning that once projects are entitled, there are limited options for modifying or preventing them from proceeding. This may be something that the General Plan can address in its Update.

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Entitled Lands AnalysisHow the Analysis Will be Used• This analysis, along with the Land Use Buildout

Analysis, represent key pieces of information that tell us how Kaua‘i will grow over the next twenty years and identify opportunities that exist for shaping that growth to meet the vision.

• The understanding of where growth is planned and desired to occur will inform the development of land use policy and maps.

Landowner OutreachGeneral Outreach• County issued a press

release to media outlets, posted online at www.plankauai.com

State & Federal Landowners• Coordination is

commencing with DHHL on their lands

• A letter was sent to PMRF

Targeted Outreach• A certified letter was sent to

the following major landowners:

• Alexander & Baldwin• Gay & Robinson• Grove Farm• HG Kaua‘i Joint Venture LLC• Thane Inc.• Discovery Land Company• Kikiaola Land Company• My Kapa‘a LLC• Leland R Bertsch• Cornerstone I Condominium• Anaina Hou Land LLC• Princeville Mauka Village LLC

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Entitled Projects: East Kaua‘i

Entitled Projects: East Kaua‘i

Map # Project Name Housing Units

GP Land Use Designation

Status

1 172 Agriculture Permitted as an Agricultural development

2 Kapa‘a Highlands Phase II 769 Urban Center, Agriculture, Open

Seeking SLU Amendment

3 Pi‘ilani Mai He Kai (DHHL Anahola)

181 Urban Center, Agriculture, Open

Phase II began in 2012

TOTAL 1,122

Map # Project Name Resort Units

GP Land Use Designation

Status

4 Coconut Plantation 192 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11)

5 Coco Palms 350 Resort Approved March 2015

6 Coconut Beach Resort 335 Resort Construction to start 2015

TOTAL 877

Resort

Housing

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Map#

Project Name Housing Units

GP Land Use

Status

1 Waiola Phases I-III

196 Urban Center, Open, Residential

Final Approvals

2 Koamalu 220 Urban Center

Submitted AnnualStatus Report

3 Grove Farm WailaniResidential

1,450 Urban Center

Negotiating infrastructure andaccess issues

4 Kohea Loa – D.R.Horton

444 Urban Center

Submitted 2013 Status Report

5 DHHL , Phase I

188 Agriculture No plans for development within GP timeframe

TOTAL 2,498

Housing

ResortMap #

Project Name Resort Units

GP Land Use Status

9 Kaua‘i Lagoons 700 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11)

TOTAL 700

Map #

Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use

Status

3 Grove Farm WailaniCommercial

1,132,299 Urban Center

Unknown

6 HokuleiVillage

222,000 Urban Center

Underconstruction

7 WeinbergFoundation Renovation

24,250 Urban Center

Phase Icomplete

8 Weinberg Foundation/Ahukini

20,000 Urban Center

Seeking buildingpermits

TOTAL 1,398,549

Commercial

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-‘Ele‘ele

-‘Ele‘ele

Map # Project Name Housing Units

GP Land Use Status

1 Lima Ola (affordable) 450 Agriculture, Open

Master Plan Complete, requires GP/SLU Amendment

2 A&B ‘Ele‘eleResidential

201 Urban Center

Unknown

TOTAL 651

Housing

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Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha

Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha

Map#

Project Name

Housing Units

GP Land Use Status

1Mauka

270 Residential Unknown

2 –Field 14

56 Open, Residential

Not Constructed

TOTAL 326

Housing

Resort

Map#

Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status

3 Kapalawai Resort LLC

250 Resort Unknown

TOTAL 250

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Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘i

Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘i

Map #

Project Name

Housing Units

GP Land Use

Status

1 Brydeswood Ranch (A&B)

24 Open, Agriculture

Unknown

2 Koloa Creekside

72 Residential Ongoing

3 KukuiulaEmployee Housing

100 Residential,Open

Land deeded to County

4 Kukuiula 750 Residential, Resort

Final subdivision map approval for parcels M1, M4, Y

5 The Village at Koloa Town

34 Residential Unknown

6 Koloa Camp -Waihononu

50 Residential Underway

7 CIRI (CLDC) Subdivision

10 Resort Planning Commission approved 8/26/14

TOTAL 1,040

Housing Commercial

Map#

Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use Status

5Town

96,000 Residential Unknown

8 Rum Company Store and Cafe

9,000 ResidentialAgriculture Open

Approved Planning Commission(June 2014)

9 Kukuiula ABC Store

21,000 ResidentialOpen

Approved Planning Commission (Nov. 2014)

10Marketplace

76,000 Residential Unknown

11 Old Glass Warehouse

7,200 Residential ApprovedPlanning Commission (Nov. 2014)

TOTAL 209,200

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Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘iContinued

Map#

Project Name Resort Units

GP Land Use

Status

12 Poipu Beach Estates 110 Resort Several lots are built out

13 Village at Poipu 51 Resort Moving forward

14 Pilimai at Poipu 191 Resort Under construction

15 Kiahuna Poipu Golf Resort

282 Resort Unknown

4 Kukuiula 750 Residential, Resort

Final subdivision map approval for parcels M1, M4, Y

16 Palms at Poipu 56 Resort Unknown

17 Sheraton Kauai Expansion

173 Resort Unknown

TOTAL 1,613

Resort

Entitled Projects: North Shore

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Entitled Projects: North ShoreMap #

Project Name Housing Units

GP LandUse

Status

1 Kolopua (Princeville Affordable)

44 Resort Under Construction

TOTAL 44

Housing

Map#

Project Name Sq. ft. GP Land Use Status

2 Crossings 6,070 Residential Unknown

3 Town Center

46,800 Residential Commercial Shopping Center

4 Hanalei HaleleaOffice

2,000 Residential Approved by Commission 2013

TOTAL 54,870

Commercial

Entitled Projects: Total by District

District Total Entitled Units

2,498

East Kaua‘i 1,122

-‘Ele‘ele

651

Waimea-Kekaha

326

South Kaua‘i

1,040

North Shore

44

Total Island 5,681

Housing

District Total Commercial Square Footage

1,398,549

South Kaua‘i

209,200

North Shore 54,870

Total Island 1,662,619

Commercial

District Total Entitled Units

East Kaua‘i 877

700

South Kaua‘i

1,613

Waimea 250

Total Island 3,440

Resort

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Land Use Inventory and Buildout AnalysisRoy Takemoto, PBR Hawai‘i

Land Use Technical Study Overview

• Study Objectives• Land Use Inventory: Compile inventory of existing and

proposed residential, commercial/industrial, resort uses• Zoning Capacity. Analyze the capacity of existing zoning

relative to 2035 population and economic projections• Growth Scenarios: Pose growth policy questions based on

alternative buildout assumptions• Monitoring Implementation: Suggest a land use data

system to monitor buildout• Methodology

• Existing land use inventory. Data sources; GIS analysis• Buildout model. Community Viz (ArcGIS extension)

suitability and buildout tools

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Existing Land Use Inventory• Residential

• Census dwelling unit data per SMS Study• Not parcel-level• Multi-family dwelling units data weak

• Resort• Visitor Plant Inventory• Not parcel-level• TVR data weak, but will improve with registration system

• Commercial/Industrial• PITT code + Pictometry footprint calculation• No accounting for multi-story establishments• Previous inventory provides foundation for parcel-level data

RESIDENTIALExisting Land Use Inventory• Single-family residential (PITT 100)

• Urban-zoned• Residential-zoned: 14,500 parcels• Commercial/industrial-zoned: 50 parcels• Resort-zoned: 32 parcels (PITT 100 & 200)

• Open and Ag areas• Open: 2,100 parcels • Agricultural : 200 parcels

• Vacant and occupied parcels in the homestead areas: 1,200 parcels in the SLU Agricultural District (5,500 acres)

• Tracking actual residential growth• Problems tracking multi-family dwellings• Problems tracking second homes vs.

transient vacation units• Problems tracking residential use in multi-

use structures• Problems tracking ADU

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RESIDENTIALPopulation Projection (SMS Study)

North Shore East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i-

’Ele‘ele Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL

Census 2010 8,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091% 12% 31% 22% 17% 9% 8% 100%

2035 Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88,014

% 10% 29% 27% 19% 8% 7% 100%

Growth Rate 0.17% 0.55% 3.48% 1.75% 1.57% 0.69% 1.25%.75% 1.57% 0.69% 1.25%

North Shore12%

East Kaua‘i31%

22%

South Kaua‘i18%

-’Ele‘ele

9% Waimea-Kekaha

8%

Census 2010

North Shore10%

East Kaua‘i29%

27%

South Kaua‘i19%

-’Ele‘ele

8%

Waimea-Kekaha7%

Waimea-Kekaha

2035 Projection

RESIDENTIALZoning Capacity

North Shore

East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i

-’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha

1 Zoning Capacity (units) 3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235

2 HH Size 2.79 2.94 2.96 2.76 3.11 2.85

3 Population Capacity (persons) 8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3,520

4 2035 Projected Population 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566

5 Surplus (Deficit) Population (412) (8,281) (5,086) (1,465) (2,106) (3,046)

6 % Surplus (Deficit) -5% -33% -22% -9% -30% -46%

Notes:1. Zoning capacity: number of dwelling units that could fit within Residential zoning districts based on zoning density2. HH size: average household size from SMS Study3. Population capacity: Row #1 (dwelling units) x Row #2 (persons/dwelling unit)4. Population projection: from SMS Study5. Surplus (deficit): Row #3 (zoning capacity population) – Row #4 (projected population)6. %: Row #5 (surplus/deficit divided by Row # (zoning population capacity)

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RESIDENTIALEntitled Projects

North Shore East Kaua‘i

South Kaua‘i

-’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha

1

Zoning Capacity (units) 3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235

2 HH Size 2.79 2.94 2.96 2.76 3.11 2.85

3

Population Capacity (persons) 8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3,520

4

2035 Projected Population 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566

5

Surplus (Deficit) Population -412 -8,281 -5,086 -1,465 -2,106 -3,046

6

% Surplus (Deficit) -5% -33% -22% -9% -30% -46%

7Surplus (Deficit) Units (148) (2,817) (1,718) (531) (677) (1,069)

8 Entitled Units 44 1122 2498 1040 651 3269 Difference (104) (1,695) 780 509 (26) (743)

Notes:7. Surplus/deficit units: Row #5 (surplus/deficit population) divided by Row #2 (persons/household)8. Entitled units: from slide #269. Difference: Red= entitled # units exceed projected need; Green= entitled # units less than projected need

RESIDENTIALTakeaways• Population projections by Planning District are based

on past trends and the existing General Plan policy to

• Based on past-trends scenario, residential zoning

changes in the spatial development pattern are desired (such as upzoning in certain areas). Rezoning needed in all other districts.

• Few areas zoned to allow duplexes and multi-family units

• Residential use also occurs in Open and Agricultural districts, especially North Shore and homestead areas

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RESORTExisting Land Use Inventory

• VDA Size vs. Existing Visitor Units• South Kauai and North Shore have largest

VDAs, but existing visitor units relatively equally distributed among South Kauai, North Shore, East Kauai, and Lihue

• Higher density visitor units in East Kauai and Lihue

• Visitor Units• Visitor units inventory by HTA fluctuates yearly

due to TVR count• South Kauai has highest number of units,

followed by North Shore• North Shore has highest % of acreage

Residential districts within the VDA (10%)

• Tracking actual resort growth• Problems identifying dwellings used as TVR• HTA’s visitor inventory not parcel level• No county data on hotel and timeshare unit

counts to verify HTA

North Shore23%

East Kaua‘i25%

19%

South Kaua‘i31%

-’Ele‘ele

0%

Waimea-Kekaha

2%-

Visitor Units

North Shore

East Kaua‘i

South Kaua‘i -’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL

Visitor Units 1,751 1,946 1,437 2,384 0 183 7,701

North Shore33%

East Kauai4%

Lihue10%

South Kauai52%

Waimea1% VDA Acres

RESORTVisitor Arrivals Distribution (from SMS Study)

North Shore East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i-

’Ele‘eleWaimea-

Kekaha TOTAL

Visitor Arrivals

Existing (2010) 239,000 224,000 180,000 377,000 0 13,000 1,033,000Projected (2035) 320,000 306,000 199,000 491,000 0 14,000 1,330,000Increase 81,000 82,000 19,000 114,000 0 1,000 297,000Average annual % 1.36% 1.46% 0.42% 1.21% 0.00% 0.31% 1.15%

North Shore23%

East Kaua‘i22%

17%

South Kaua‘i37%

-’Ele‘ele

0%Waimea-Kekaha

1%Waimea-Kekaha

Existing (2010)

North Shore24%

East Kaua‘i23%

15%

South Kaua‘i37%

-’Ele‘ele

0%Waimea-Kekaha

1%Waimea-Kekaha

Projected (2035)

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RESORTZoning Capacity

North Shore

East Kaua‘i

South Kaua‘i -’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL

1

Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4,245 0 121 11,498

2

Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4,340 0 433 12,186

3

Surplus (Deficit) -308 100 489 95 0 312 688

1. Projected Need: number of visitor units projection from SMS Study2. Projected Supply: number of proposed visitor units from Visitor Plant Inventory3. Surplus/deficit: Green= supply less than demand; Yellow= supply exceeds demand

by less than 100 units; Red = supply exceeds demand by greater than 300 units

RESORTEntitled Projects

North Shore

East Kaua‘i

South Kaua‘i

-’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL

1 Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4,245 0 121 11,498

2 Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4,340 0 433 12,186

3 Surplus (Deficit) -308 100 489 95 0 312 688

4 Entitled Units 877 700 1,613 250 3,440

5 Unentitled Supply 1,868 1,509 2,727 183 6,287

6 % Unentitled 68% 68% 63% 42% 52%

Notes:4. Entitled Units. From slide # 26.5. Unentitled Supply. Row #2 (proposed units) – Row #4 (entitled units)6. % Unentitled. Row #5 divided by Row #2 (proposed units)

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RESORTTakeaways• There is a surplus of resort units in all districts

except for the North Shore• More than half of the proposed units are not

entitled• Options open to better integrate resort uses with

other policies (e.g., workers live closer to employment, setbacks for climate change, public access and trails)

• The County has policies in place to control transient accommodations outside of resort zoned lands and Visitor Destination Areas

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIALExisting Land Use Inventory

• Commercial has 49% of the commercial floor area, followed by East Kaua‘i and South Kaua‘i

• Industrial. has 81% of the floor area, followed by the Port Allen area of

-‘Ele‘ele• Methodology. PITT Code

300 was relied upon to identify commercial properties, and PITT Code 400 for industrial properties. To determine floor area, building footprint data from the County (derived from Pictometry aerial photos) and assumed all commercial and industrial buildings as one story.

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COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIALProjection

North Shore East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i

-’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL

1

Commercial Floor Area 307,751 1,244,271 3,203,654 838,018 525,826 402,239 6,521,759

2

Existing Population (2010) 8,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091

3 Commercial Ratio 38 59 218 72 85 72 97

4 2035 Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88,014

5

2035 Commercial Floor Area 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207,660 605,849 474,933 3,884,148

Notes1. Existing Commercial Floor Area. Identified commercial properties using PITT Code 300; calculated floor areas using Pictometry

footprint; assumes 1-story2. Existing Population. From Census 2010.3. Commercial Ratio. Row 1 (floor area) divided by Row 2 (population). Economic projection did not include a finer breakdown into job

types such as retail, office, resort, agriculture-related, and industrial that would have enabled a floor area per employee projection. Workaround: Ratio of existing population to commercial and industrial floor area was developed for each Planning District basd on assumption that this ratio adequately serves the existing population.

4. 2035 Population Projection. From SMS Study.5. 2035 Projected Floor Area. Row 4 (2035 population) multiplied by Row 4 (projected population). East Kaua‘i’s ratio seemed

significantly low relative to commercial potential of visitor units.

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIALZoning Capacity & Entitled Projects

Planning District North Shore Kapa’a-Wailua

South Kaua‘i -‘Ele‘ele Waimea-

KekahaCounty of Kaua‘i

1 2035 Floor Area (ft²) 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207,660 605,849 474,933 9,238,175

2CG/CN Zoning Capacity 2,293,241 1,240,467 14,623,523 6,184,967 866,465 1,000,689 26,209,352

32035 % Zoning Capacity 15% 120% 35% 20% 70% 47% 35%

4 Entitled 54,870 1,398,549 200,200

5% Entitled of 2035 16% 27% 17%

Notes:1. Projected 2035 Floor Area. From previous slide #38.2. Commercial-Zoned Capacity. Calculated in GIS using Community Viz Buildout Wizard.3. Projected Floor Area as a % of Zoning Capacity. Row 1 (2035 floor area) divided by Row 2 (zoning

capacity.4. Entitled Floor Area. From slide #26.5. Entitled Projects as a % of Projected Need. Row 4 (entitled floor area) divided by Row 1 (2035 projected

floor area need).

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COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIALTakeaways• Methodology. Best practice methodology is to estimate projected floor

area to absorb projected employment. Incorporate job types in future economic projections.

• Zoning Capacity. Based on population-ratio methodology, existing commercial zoning more than adequate to accommodate future population projection.

• Industrial. Light industrial can be accommodated within commercial districts. Existing zoning provides for heavy industrial areas near harbors and airports that require buffering from other uses.

• General Plan Designation. Current General Plan does not have a separate Commercial designation, encouraging commercial uses to be mixed with other uses in the Urban Center, Residential Community, or Resort designations.

• Mixed Use. Mixed use zoning (vs. single-use commercial or industrial zoning) provides flexibility for market to determine land use requirement rather than trying to zone in accordance with floor area projections.

Buildout Scenarios Comparison

Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario

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Comparison of Buildout Scenarios

Status Quo Scenario• Choice Drivers: People

will choose to live in existing areas and most affordable areas

• Growth Pattern: Preference for larger and affordable lots encourage more growth in Open and Ag districts; growth in all districts as projected in SMS Study

Directed Growth Scenario• Choice Drivers: People will

choose to live in affordable, close to work, livable mixed used centers; disincentives discourage living in Open and Ag districts

• Growth Pattern: Lihue, East Kauai, and South Kauai would receive significant proportion of future growth; other districts would receive less growth than SMS projection.

Buildout Scenarios vs. Building Permit Trends

Building Permits, 1995-2009 Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario

• Past buildout trends (per Building Permits) similar to Status Quo Scenario--substantial past growth in Agricultural and Open districts

• Directed Growth Scenario directs future growth to Residential and Mixed Use districts

• Past buildout trends (pper Building Permits) similar to Status Quo Scenper Building narios Quo Scen

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Building Permits (15 Years, 1995-2009) vs. Entitled Residential Units

• Number of entitled future units substantially exceed the building permits issued in the last 15 years in all districts except North Shore

• Entitled number of units for Lihue substantially greater than all districts

Discussion: Facilitated by David TarnasMarine & Coastal Solutions International

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Existing GP Policy Framework for Land Use and Development (Section 5.1.1)The 2000 General Plan frames the issue of land use and development in terms of the goal of preserving Kaua‘i’s rural character. It identified the following policies: • Enhance Urban Centers and Towns and maintain their

identity by defining the Town Center and the edges of each Town. Concentrate shopping and other commercial uses in

• Encourage residential development within Urban and Town Centers and in Residential Communities contiguous to them.

• Promote compact urban settlements in order to limit public service costs and to preserve open space.

• Define and conserve Scenic Roadway Corridors along the roadways that connect Towns, Resort areas, and Residential Communities. These corridors are intended to conserve the open space between towns and to prevent sprawl and commercial strip development.

Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2)

The 2000 General Plan set forth the following policies to provide for growth and development while preserving rural character:• Allow incremental growth of Towns, contiguous to existing

development. Concentrate primary shopping facilities within the Town Center. Support infill development.

• Provide for build-out of existing Residential Communities, to include areas zoned R-1 or higher. Allow small, neighborhood-oriented commercial sites in Residential Communities.

• Support growth of residential and business uses in master-planned developments in the Puhi- -Center and at -Kukui‘ula.

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Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2)

• In the outlying West Side and North Shore districts, plan for additional residential use to meet regional demands for housing

• Expansion contiguous to an existing town or residential community is preferred over a new residential community.

• Allow build-out of properties in existing low-density agricultural communities, including the homestead areas of Wailua, Kapa‘a, Omaosubdivisions in other parts of the island, while taking measures to assure the adequacy of County road, drainage, and water supply systems.

• Limit the development and dispersal of new agricultural communities through zoning regulations.

Discussion Question 1

1) Given the priorities outlined in the 2000 General Plan, how should the General Plan Update address currently entitled lands and set guidelines for future entitlements?

Examples might be, do nothing, Have a time limit to use the designations, or re-negotiate requirements to meet current policies. What are the pro’s and con’s of these strategies?

Should a time limit on permits be considered for the future?

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Discussion Question 2

2) The (2015) both emphasized “Mixed Use” development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? What is the same? What is different?

Discussion Question 3

3) The (2015) both emphasized “Mixed Use” development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. In some cases, design guidelines were also developed for Mixed Use areas.

a) Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? b) It can be achieved through Special zoning overlays, through regulation, and/or through design guidelines. What might be the reasons for keeping Mixed Use designations the same islandwide? What might be reasons for allowing differences between planning districts?

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Discussion Question 4

4) The land use buildout analysis showed that 25% of housing is being built on Agriculture zoned districts and 8% in Open Districts. Is this an acceptable trend? Why or why not?

Are the existing General Plan policies working to manage growth in the Agricultural District, and how might they be improved upon?

Discussion Question 5

5) The Land Use Buildout analysis shows that Industrial lands are concentrated around the ports and harbors.

Is there a need for industrial lands elsewhere? If so, where, and why?

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Any additional questions or comments from the CAC members?

Public Comment

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Next Activities:

• CAC Meeting #6, October 20:• Natural and Cultural Resources• Open Space• Climate Change and Hazards• ADVANCE READING: Technical Report on Climate Change

and Coastal Hazards; Issues and Opportunities Paper

• Place Typing Charrettes 11/2-6:• Waimea-Kekaha• North Shore• -‘Ele‘ele

MAHALO!

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