commissioner lauren azar speech to wieg february 6, 2008
TRANSCRIPT
Commissioner Lauren Commissioner Lauren AzarAzar
Speech to WIEGSpeech to WIEGFEBRUARY 6, 2008FEBRUARY 6, 2008
Today’s TalkToday’s Talk
1. Rate Update 1. Rate Update
2. MISO Update2. MISO Update
3. WIEG’s Role at the Commission3. WIEG’s Role at the Commission
Rate UpdateRate Update
PRIMARY RATE DRIVERS PRIMARY RATE DRIVERS NOWNOW
1. FUEL1. FUEL• Commodity Cost Commodity Cost • Transportation CostTransportation Cost
2. CONSTRUCTION CYCLE 2. CONSTRUCTION CYCLE • GenerationGeneration• TransmissionTransmission
MONTHLY INDEX OF NATURAL GASMONTHLY INDEX OF NATURAL GASAverage of ANR Louisiana/ANR Average of ANR Louisiana/ANR
Oklahoma Wellhead PricesOklahoma Wellhead PricesJanuary 1992 – January 2008January 1992 – January 2008
GENERATION GENERATION Recent Additions 4,105 MWRecent Additions 4,105 MW
DeveloperDeveloper Location / DescriptionLocation / Description YearYear SizeSize FuelFuel
LS Power / CoGenTrixLS Power / CoGenTrix Whitewater Co-GenWhitewater Co-Gen 19971997 227 MW227 MW GasGas
MGEMGE Rosier Wind FarmRosier Wind Farm 19991999 11 MW11 MW WindWind
MPUMPU Custer CTCuster CT 19991999 25 MW25 MW GasGas
Sky Gen (Purchased by WPSC)Sky Gen (Purchased by WPSC) DePere Phase I CTDePere Phase I CT 19991999 179 MW179 MW GasGas
WEPCOWEPCO Concord CT Inlet CoolersConcord CT Inlet Coolers 19991999 56 MW56 MW GasGas
WEPCOWEPCO Paris CT Inlet CoolersParis CT Inlet Coolers 19991999 56 MW56 MW GasGas
WPSCWPSC Lincoln Wind FarmLincoln Wind Farm 19991999 9 MW9 MW WindWind
MGEMGE West Marinette #34 CTWest Marinette #34 CT 20002000 83 MW83 MW GasGas
Southern Energy (Purchased by Alliant)Southern Energy (Purchased by Alliant) Neenah CTNeenah CT 20002000 300 MW300 MW GasGas
WEPCOWEPCO Germantown CT Inlet CoolersGermantown CT Inlet Coolers 20002000 50 MW50 MW GasGas
WEPCOWEPCO Germantown #5 CTGermantown #5 CT 20002000 85 MW85 MW GasGas
Polsky / Sky GenPolsky / Sky Gen Rock Gen – Christiana CTRock Gen – Christiana CT 20012001 450 MW450 MW GasGas
DPCDPC Elk Mound CTElk Mound CT 20012001 96 MW96 MW GasGas
Badger Wind PowerBadger Wind Power Iowa County Wind FarmIowa County Wind Farm 20012001 30 MW30 MW WindWind
WPSC WPSC Pulliam CTPulliam CT 20032003 83 MW83 MW GasGas
Wisconsin River Power Corp.Wisconsin River Power Corp. Petenwell CTPetenwell CT 20032003 20 MW20 MW OilOil
WPPIWPPI Kaukauna CTKaukauna CT 20042004 52 MW52 MW GasGas
Calpine Calpine Riverside CCRiverside CC 20042004 600 MW600 MW GasGas
Sheboygan Power, LLC Sheboygan Power, LLC Sheboygan County CTSheboygan County CT 20052005 300 MW300 MW GasGas
MGEMGE Walnut St – Madison CCWalnut St – Madison CC 20052005 150 MW150 MW GasGas
Fox Energy (Calpine) Fox Energy (Calpine) Kaukauna CC (Unit 1)Kaukauna CC (Unit 1) 20052005 315 MW315 MW GasGas
WE Power WE Power Port Washington CC (Unit 2)Port Washington CC (Unit 2) 20052005 545 MW545 MW GasGas
Fox Energy (Calpine) Fox Energy (Calpine) Kaukauna CC (Unit 2)Kaukauna CC (Unit 2) 20052005 320 MW320 MW GasGas
Manitowoc Public Utilities Manitowoc Public Utilities Manitowoc CFBManitowoc CFB 20062006 63 MW63 MW CoalCoal
DeveloperDeveloper Location/DescriptionLocation/Description Year Year Size Size FuelFuel
WPSWPS Weston 4 SCPCWeston 4 SCPC 20082008 500 MW500 MW CoalCoal
WE Power WE Power Port Washington CC (Unit 1)Port Washington CC (Unit 1) 20082008 545 MW545 MW GasGas
WEPCOWEPCO Calumet CountyCalumet County 20082008 203 MW203 MW WindWind
WPLWPL Fond du Lac CountyFond du Lac County 20082008 98 MW98 MW WindWind
Forward Energy LLC Forward Energy LLC Dodge/Fond Du Lac Dodge/Fond Du Lac CountiesCounties
20082008 200 MW200 MW WindWind
WE Power WE Power Oak Creek SCPC (Unit 1)Oak Creek SCPC (Unit 1) 20092009 615 MW615 MW CoalCoal
WE Power WE Power Oak Creek SCPC (Unit 2)Oak Creek SCPC (Unit 2) 20102010 615 MW615 MW CoalCoal
GENERATION GENERATION Under Construction 2,776 Under Construction 2,776
MWMW
DeveloperDeveloper Location / DescriptionLocation / Description YearYear SizeSize FuelFuel
MGEMGE Worth County, IowaWorth County, Iowa 20082008 30 MW30 MW WindWind
Calpine – (Active)Calpine – (Active) Fond du Lac CCFond du Lac CC 20122012 532 MW532 MW GasGas
WPPI (ownership in Prairie WPPI (ownership in Prairie States Energy Center) States Energy Center) (Cancelled)(Cancelled)
Washington County, ILWashington County, IL N/AN/A 99 MW99 MW CoalCoal
Rainy River -- (Cancelled)Rainy River -- (Cancelled) Superior CTSuperior CT N/AN/A 170 MW170 MW GasGas
Mirant fka SEI -- (Cancelled)Mirant fka SEI -- (Cancelled) Plover CC + CTPlover CC + CT N/AN/A 930 MW930 MW GasGas
Badger Gen. Co. (Cancelled)Badger Gen. Co. (Cancelled) Pleasant Prairie CCPleasant Prairie CC N/AN/A 1,050 MW 1,050 MW GasGas
GENERATIONGENERATION Approved 2,811 MWApproved 2,811 MW
DeveloperDeveloper Location / DescriptionLocation / Description YearYear SizeSize FuelFuel
WPLWPL Cassville or PortageCassville or Portage 20122012 300 MW300 MW CoalCoal
Marshfield UtilitiesMarshfield Utilities Marshfield, Wood CountyMarshfield, Wood County 20082008 55 MW55 MW GasGas
WPSWPS Howard County, IowaHoward County, Iowa 20092009 99 MW99 MW WindWind
GENERATIONGENERATIONApplications Filed 454 MWApplications Filed 454 MW
TRANSMISSIONTRANSMISSION
$ 1.2 Billion spent through 2000-2006$ 1.2 Billion spent through 2000-2006
$ 2.84 Billion expected before 2018$ 2.84 Billion expected before 2018
FUTURE RATE DRIVERSFUTURE RATE DRIVERS
Carbon Carbon
Other Environmental ControlsOther Environmental Controls
Global Warming Task Force IssuesGlobal Warming Task Force Issues
Cost of Electricity Cost of Electricity ResourcesResources
(Source: ACEEE 2006 & EPRI 2006)(Source: ACEEE 2006 & EPRI 2006)
RATE CASE PROCESSRATE CASE PROCESS
Utility estimates expenditures & income Utility estimates expenditures & income PSCW audits & adjustmentsPSCW audits & adjustments Projected revenue shortfallProjected revenue shortfall Cost of service for customer classesCost of service for customer classes Allocation of shortfall to customer Allocation of shortfall to customer
classesclasses Hearing heldHearing held Commissioners review record Commissioners review record
COMMISSION DISCRETION COMMISSION DISCRETION IN RATE CASESIN RATE CASES
Projected Costs & RevenuesProjected Costs & Revenues
ROEROE
Capital StructureCapital Structure
Deferrals Deferrals
Allocation among customer classesAllocation among customer classes
Requested vs. Authorized Revenue Requested vs. Authorized Revenue Changes Electric & Gas 14-Year Changes Electric & Gas 14-Year
Summary Summary Total Increase Total
Year Requested by Utilities Authorized by PSCW
1995 $ 38,644,000 $ (26,755,000)1996 $ 2,663,000 $ (43,971,000)1997 $ 116,844,000 $ (47,115,000)1998 $ 230,184,000 $ 183,994,000 1999 $ 82,548,000 $ 52,612,000 2000 $ 74,900,000 $ 65,590,000 2001 $ 92,016,000 $ 73,585,000 2002 $ 244,434,000 $ 162,742,000 2003 $ 140,252,000 $ 127,983,000 2004 $ 255,168,000 $ 154,052,000 2005 $ 315,681,000 $ 227,024,000 2006 $ 547,370,000 $ 421,417,000 2007 $ 354,852,000 $ 149,024,000 2008 $ 367,343,000 $ 188,925,000
Sum $ 2,862,899,000 $ 1,689,107,000
COSTS COSTS Executive CompensationExecutive Compensation
1997 Top 3 Executives for WEPCO, WPL, WPS, 1997 Top 3 Executives for WEPCO, WPL, WPS, & MGE & MGE
1997 total executive costs: $ 4.01 M1997 total executive costs: $ 4.01 M 1997 executive cost in rates: $ 2.37 M 1997 executive cost in rates: $ 2.37 M % of 1997 total executive cost in rates = 59%% of 1997 total executive cost in rates = 59%
2004 top 3 Executives for WEPCO, WPL, WPS, 2004 top 3 Executives for WEPCO, WPL, WPS, & MGE& MGE
2004 total executive costs: $ 13.94 M2004 total executive costs: $ 13.94 M 2004 executive cost in rates: $ 3.20 M2004 executive cost in rates: $ 3.20 M % of 2004 total executive costs in rates = 23%% of 2004 total executive costs in rates = 23%
ACTUAL ROE - AVERAGEACTUAL ROE - AVERAGEWEPCO, WPL, WPS, MGE, NSPWEPCO, WPL, WPS, MGE, NSP
YEARYEAR YEARYEAR YEARYEAR
19901990 13.03%13.03% 19961996 11.79%11.79% 20022002 11.44%11.44%
19911991 13.18%13.18% 19971997 9.83%9.83% 20032003 12.01%12.01%
19921992 12.11%12.11% 19981998 10.58%10.58% 20042004 11.64%11.64%
19931993 12.30%12.30% 19991999 11.39%11.39% 20052005 9.23%9.23%
19941994 11.45%11.45% 20002000 10.55%10.55% 20062006 9.99%9.99%
19951995 12.45%12.45% 20012001 11.20%11.20%
Wisconsin Rates Compared Wisconsin Rates Compared with Other Stateswith Other States
About 19 states have higher rates for About 19 states have higher rates for bothboth residential and industrial classes (YTD residential and industrial classes (YTD 9/07)9/07)
U.S. AverageU.S. Average
(Cents/kwh)(Cents/kwh)Wisconsin Wisconsin AverageAverage
(Cents/kwh)(Cents/kwh)
IndustrialIndustrial 6.386.38 6.18 6.18
ResidentiaResidentiall
10.6510.65 10.7210.72
All classesAll classes 9.189.18 8.438.43
Allocation ’07-’08 – Rate Allocation ’07-’08 – Rate ChangesChangesUtilityUtility Type Bill Type Bill '07 to '08'07 to '08
MG&E MG&E Residential Residential 5.8%5.8%
MG&E MG&E Commercial Commercial 6.5%6.5%
MG&E MG&E Industrial Industrial 10.1%10.1%
NSPW NSPW Residential Residential 9.1%9.1%
NSPW NSPW Commercial Commercial 8.4%8.4%
NSPW NSPW Industrial Industrial 10.5%10.5%
WEPCO WEPCO Residential Residential 5.2%5.2%
WEPCO WEPCO Commercial Commercial 2.4%2.4%
WEPCO WEPCO Industrial Industrial 0.7%0.7%
WP&L WP&L Residential Residential 2.1%2.1%
WP&L WP&L Commercial Commercial 3.1%3.1%
WP&L WP&L Industrial Industrial 3.3%3.3%
WPSC WPSC Residential Residential 2.0%2.0%
WPSC WPSC Commercial Commercial 3.2%3.2%
WPSC WPSC Industrial Industrial 2.7%2.7%
Conclusion on Rate Conclusion on Rate UpdateUpdate
Full Rate Cases in ’08: WPS & WPLFull Rate Cases in ’08: WPS & WPL
Reopeners in ’08: MGE & NSP Reopeners in ’08: MGE & NSP
Continuous evaluation on reducing Continuous evaluation on reducing ratesrates Fuel Rule Revisions?Fuel Rule Revisions? Statutory Changes? Statutory Changes?
Environmental Trust FundingEnvironmental Trust Funding
MISO UpdateMISO Update
HOT MISO ISSUESHOT MISO ISSUES
1. End-User Focus Group 1. End-User Focus Group
2. Resource Adequacy and Module E2. Resource Adequacy and Module E
3. Demand Response 3. Demand Response
4. ASM4. ASM
5. Stakeholders Recommendations5. Stakeholders Recommendations
WIEG’S Role At WIEG’S Role At PSCWPSCW
The EndThe End