commercial potential of ste plants

COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL OF STE PLANTS

Eduardo Garcia Iglesias

Deputy Secretary General of Protermosolar

6‐28‐2012 Almeria

•Protermosolar,

founded

in

2004,

has

now

more

than

100

associated

members

and

covers

the

whole

value

chain

of

the

Solar

Thermal

Electric

projects,

from

research

centers

to

plant

constructors

along

with

engineering

companies, component manufacturers, promoters, etc.

•All

the

operating

plants

in

Spain

as

well

as

those

others

which

are

under

construction or in an advanced planning stage in Spain

(more than 2500 MW

in total) belong to Protermosolar

members.

•Additionally,

the

largest

operating

plants

in

USA

(SEGS,

Nevada

Solar

1

&

Martin) as well as the ISCC in Morocco, Algeria and Egypt and most of the on

going projects all around the world have been constructed or are

also owned

and operated by ESTELA and Protermosolar

members.

PROTERMOSOLAR Spanish Solar Thermal Electricity Association

1.

Current Situation of Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in the world

Spanish Market

2.

Cost of STE

3.

Values of STE

4.

Future

Content


Australia 9 MWt coal plant boosting in Liddell40 MW coal plant boosting in Kogan Creek250 MW Solar Dawn in Chinchilla40 MW Solar Oasis in Wyalla

India 3 x 100 MW 3 x 50 MW3 x 10 MW 1 x 35 MW

MENA 3 x 25 MW ISCC 1 x 100 MW1 x 160 MW Programs in many countries (> 2000 MW)Anouncement in Saudi Arabia (900 MW + 25

GW)

USA 392 MW (3)110 MW (1)2 x 280 MW 250 MW (1)9000 MW in advanced promotioni

MEXICO

15 MWequiv. ISCC en Agua Prieta

China 4 x 50 MW 1 x 90 MW1000 MW in promotion

Chile 10 MW t (Minería)

Some hunderts of MW in promotion

Sudáfrica 1 x 100 MW 1 x 50 MW 250 MW (Eskom)Programs in Namibia and Bostwana


Operation+

Construction

90% of PTC

60% withstorage

The only large operational plant in other European country, apart from Spain

Archimede, Sicillia, Italy

5 MW

Plants in operation in the USA

Nevada Solar One 64 MWBoulder City, Nevada

Kimberlina 5 MWBakersfild, California

Sierra Sun Tower 5 MWLancaster, California

SEGS Plants (Total 354 MW)Mojave desert, California

ISCC 75 MW equiv. Martin County FloridaCSP as “fuel saver”

Our neighbors: First Projects in the MENA Region

150 MW ISCC at Hassi

R’Mel

470 MW ISCC at Ain

Beni

Mathar

146 MW ISCC at Kuraymat

100 MW in Abu Dhabi

Based in three main pillars:

Favorable and effective regulatory environment(in spite of recent events)

Continuous support to R&D& Educational programs

Capacity and commitmentof our industrial companies

Solar Thermal Electricity (STE) in Spain a story of success

Almeria Solar Platform (PSA) 1978‐2012

Objectives for STE:

PFER 1999‐2010: 200 MW for STE. Global objective of 12% of renewables in primary energy consumption.

PER 2005 – 2010: 500 MW for STE. Review of the PFER 1999‐2010 in order to reach the final objective of 12%.

PER 2011‐2020: 5.079 MW of STE. Global objective of 20% of renewables in primary energy consumption. More than 40% of renewables share in electricity.



RD 2366/1994Regulated Tariff

RD 2818/1998Regulated Tariff

RD 841/2002

RD 436/2004Regulated TariffPremiums

RD 661/2007Regulated TariffPremiums

RD‐LEY 6/2009Register of pre assignment

No specific tariff for STE

Review of tariffs and technologies.Establishment of different groups of technologies. Creation of the

solar group (for all solar technologies).

Modification of 2818/1998

Specific group for STE

First specific tariff for STE technology 0,120202 c€/kWh (2002)

Revision of tariffs and technologies

New tariff to boost the development of STE

Objective: 200 MW.

Objective: 500 MW. Increment of Tariffs and Premiums.Cap & Floor

system for the sale of electricity.Possibility of hybridization with gas and biomass.

Pre register of 2.500 MW of STE power that are under the R.D.

661/2007 scope.

Political support:

Research and development

Public and private investment in R&D since the early 80´s.

Reference R&D centers:

Plataforma Solar de Almeria

Cener

CTAER

Tekniker

Universities

…


• 1st

country in installed capacity with 1.581 MW in operation

• 773,5 MW in construction

• 120,4 MW pre assigned to come on line before 2014

Current SituationSpain

2.474,9 MW

By the end of 2013

www.protermosolar.com



SOLNOVA 1, 3 and 4 & PS 10 and PS 20


ANDASOL 1, 2 and 3


EXTRESOL 1


LA RISCA, Alvarado


LA FLORIDA, Alvarado


PUERTO ERRADO 1


Villarrobledo


Lebrija 1


GEMASOLAR, Fuentes de Andalucía

☺

Quick deployment / 400 MW/year in the last 3 years

☺

Relevant macroeconomic impact

☺

Plant references / proven performances

Inappropriate and unstable regulatory framework

Reduced learning curve effect

Current SituationA success story with important drawbacks

Records:• Peak production: 1.254 MWh

on the 12 of June at

4:00 pm, covering 3,98% of the demand at that point

• Day production: 19 GWh

on the 13 of July, representing 2,7% of the demand.

• Month: Last May STE produced 345 GWh

which means 1,7% of the demand.


Breaking records every day…

1.


2.

Cost of STE

3.

Values of STE

4.

Future

Content

50 MW PTC Without storageCost of STE

Estructura de inversión (€) Estructura de inversión (%)2010 2010

Campo Solar 103.019.000 54,1%Tubos receptores 13.160.000 6,9%Espejos 12.446.000 6,5%Juntas rotativas 1.050.000 0,6%Unidad hidráulica + control local 3.629.000 1,9%Estructura metálica 21.067.000 11,1%Cimentación 16.128.000 8,5%Montaje de estructura, espejos y tubos receptores: 9.979.000 5,2%Movimiento de Tierras 8.250.000 4,3%Nave de Montaje 2.082.000 1,1%Aceite Térmico 5.808.000 3,0%Tuberías de unión de lazos, accesorios, válvulas, etc.. 9.420.000 4,9%

Isla de Potencia 72.899.000 38,3%Obra Civil 8.933.000 4,7%Equipos Mecánicos (incluyendo turbina de generación) 39.037.000 20,5%Equipos Eléctricos 4.457.000 2,3%Montaje Mecánico 7.102.000 3,7%Montaje Eléctrico 2.723.000 1,4%Equipo Instrumentación y Control 1.871.000 1,0%Montaje Instrumentación y control 417.000 0,2%Tubería, Valvulería y Soportes 8.359.000 4,4%

Otros (Ingeniería, Promoción, etc..) 14.615.000 7,7%Estudios previos 282.000 0,1%Gestión de permisos y licencias 279.000 0,1%Servicios de ingeniería, dirección de obra, seguridad, salud y calidad 9.282.000 4,9%Otros 4.772.000 2,5%

Total 190.533.000 100,0%

50 MW PTC With storageCost of STE

Estructura de inversión (€) Estructura de inversión (%)

2010 2010Campo Solar 145.493.000 53,1%

Tubos receptores 18.801.000 6,9%Espejos 17.780.000 6,5%Juntas rotativas 1.500.000 0,5%Unidad hidráulica + control local 5.184.000 1,9%Estructura metálica 30.096.000 11,0%Cimentación 23.040.000 8,4%Montaje de estructura, espejos y tubos receptores: 14.256.000 5,2%Movimiento de Tierras 11.000.000 4,0%Nave de Montaje 2.082.000 0,8%Aceite Térmico 8.297.000 3,0%Tuberías de unión de lazos, accesorios, válvulas, etc.. 13.457.000 4,9%

Almacenamiento con Sales 40.778.000 14,9%Depósitos 11.025.000 4,0%Intercambiadores de Calor Sales/HTF 4.679.000 1,7%Calentadores de Sales 999.000 0,4%Sales 21.000.000 7,7%Obra Civil 3.075.000 1,1%

Inversión Isla de Potencia 72.899.000 26,6%Obra Civil 8.933.000 3,3%Equipos Mecánicos (incluyendo turbina de generación) 39.037.000 14,3%Equipos Eléctricos 4.457.000 1,6%Montaje Mecánico 7.102.000 2,6%Montaje Eléctrico 2.723.000 1,0%Equipo Instrumentación y Control 1.871.000 0,7%Montaje Instrumentación y control 417.000 0,2%Tubería, Valvulería y Soportes 8.359.000 3,1%

Otros (Ingeniería, Promoción, etc..) 14.615.000 5,3%Estudios previos 282.000 0,1%Gestión de permisos y licencias 279.000 0,1%

Servicios de ingeniería, dirección de obra, seguridad, salud y calidad 9.282.000 3,4%

Otros 4.772.000 1,7%

Total 273.785.000 100,0%

Comparison with PV and Wind

Cost of STE

Wind 2011PV 2011

STE today

40

237

2868

0.4 20

50

100

150

200

last year total

1.


2.

Cost of STE

3.

Values of STETechnical

Macro Economical

4.

Future

Content

Availability

Values of STE

The CO2 concern

Values of STE

Source

: Roadmap

2050 European Climate

Foundation

80% descarbonization

means

almost

total abatement

in the

Power, Road

Transport

and

Building

sectors

In order to follow the demand curve a great

amount of dispatchable

RE power is necessary

Source REE

Some recent data on production in SpainElectricity demand and CSP production on July 28th, 2011.

Production

along

July 2011

Source REE

Some recent data on production in Spain

STE and PV share the same resource: the sun, but they have such distinct features that comparison in terms of competition is almost impossible. Both are undoubtedly forced to complement each other

Values of STEPV or STE? Both of them, please

Peak Power + Distributed Generation Dispatchable

Power Plants

Today prices should not confuse our perceptions:Current learning curves correspond to 70 GW for PV and to less than 2 GW for STEParadoxically, STE can show much longer track record than PV regarding large plants and STE

has much larger capacity factors.Large deployment of fluent technologies like PV and Wind ‐as of today‐

will result in high

curtailment figures and fossil backup support will be required.

Therefore they can’t be the only solution for a “carbon free”

generation system

ValuesMacroeconomic Impact of the Solar Thermal Electric Sector in Spain

Download:

www.protermosolar.comAvailable in Spanish and

English

Premiums: 185 M€

Savings in CO2

rights: 5 M€

Savings from replacing

imported fossil fuels:

24

M€

Fiscal contribution (S.S.

Corporate and personal

Taxes : 407 M€

Premiums: 185 M€

Incentive policy for this technology was an efficient economic and technological decision for Spain

Contribution

to GDP: 1650 M€

+ Avoiding subsidies for 24000 employees+ Leadership of the Spanish industry

+ Reducing hourly pool price+ Regional economical convergence

+ Local taxes

Benefits STE

Other resultsBreakdown of GDP

contribution by industry sector

Other resultsSTE jobs

A very fruitful period in Spain:From the first large plants connected in 2008 till the new ones

Technology DevelopmentComponent manufacturingBasic EngineeringSite DevelopmentProject developmentEPC Detailed engineeringConstructionOperation and Maintenance

TOTAL LOCAL CONTENT 50% 80%

Past situation Current CapabilitiesSpanish Foreing

A very fruitful period in Spain:From the first large plants connected in 2008 till the new ones

2214 one year equivalent jobs on the whole value chain(promotion, engineering, comp. manufact.,& construction)

47 direct jobs for operation and related services duringits

whole

life

Jobs in a typical STE plant in Spain(50 MW, 7,5 h. alm.)

STE is the only dispachtable renewable technology with potential enough to meet the electricity needs worldwide and to achieve a carbon free generation system

Intermittent RE technologies ‐which has been largely developed until now‐ will cover only a minor part of the supply and they will always require additional investments in back up conventional fossil fuel plants

The cost of STE plants will show important reductions when passing from the current 2 GW installed to the current values of Wind (250 GW) and PV (70 GW)

Local content of STE plants will be the main drivers behind the support policies in many countries of the sun belt

Values of STE

1.


2.

Cost of STE

3.

Values of STE

4.

Future

Content

IEA Estimations

Future

Future

Does the current Spanish FiT reflect the expected STE generation costs?

Current FiTfor “2007”

projects29,5 c€/kWh

New plant designs20%

Constrained learning curve 2007‐2011

15%

Better DNI locationsUp to

30%

Unrestricted plant

sizes20%

System & Component

innovations

20%

Large deployment,scale factor from 2 to 50 GW 30%

c€/kWh

??? We will make it but we need to hurry up!

Today

Tomorrow

Thank you for your attention!

[email protected] www.protermosolar.com

www.estelasolar.euwww.stelaworld.org

commercial potential of ste plants

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