citibank property insights q1 2012
TRANSCRIPT
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INDIA ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Trends & UpdatesAccording to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI),
the wholesale price index (WPI) inflation moderatedto 6.9% in March 2012 from more than 9% during
April-November 2011. The consumer price index (CPI)
inflation went up to 8.8% in February indicating
the prevailing pressure on the prices. The food and
commodity prices picked up pace reversing the decline
registered during the initial month of 2012.
Despite much anticipation, the key policy rates
were kept unchanged during RBIs review of monetary
policy in March 2012. The repo and the reverse reporates were kept stable at 8.5% and 7.5% respectively,
primarily on account of the prevailing inflationary
pressures.
After depreciating for five consecutive months
since August 2011, the rupee was noticed to strengthen
against US dollar during the first quarter of 2012. The
appreciation in rupee was registered at approximately
4.7% over the exchange rate registered in December
2011. With the Foreign institutional investors (FII)pumping in money, the rupee reached a three month
high in February. However, during March 2012, the
exchange rate registered an increase of 2.4% due to
the slow growth in the economy coupled with renewed
inflationary pressures. While the reversal of trend is a
cause of worry, it is likely to benefit the exports.
According to the Department of Industrial Policy
& Promotion, Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in the
housing and real estate sector during the first two
months of 2012 was estimated at approximately INR
782 crores. FDI in the sector has already registered an
increase of 56.1% over the last quarter of 2011. As a
result of the increased inflow of foreign investments,
the share of housing and real estate sector in the
overall FDI also increased to 3.7% during the first two
months.
9.6%
10.1%
9.3%
9.7%
9.3%
9.4%
9.7%
8.5%
7.6%
7.5%
6.1%
5.8%
6.0%
8.6%
6.5%
8.6%
8.8%
8.9%
8.3%7.8%
7.7%
6.9%
6.10%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
G r o w t h R a t e ( % )
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH RATE
Source: Central Statistical Organisation, Govt. of India
48
47 47 4746 46
45
44
4647 47 47
46
4445 45 45
4545
4445 45
4445
48
49
51
53
51
49
50
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
I N R
/ U S D
EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT (INR/USD)
Source: MInistry of Finance, Govt.of India
171
2,121
8,749
12,62113,586
5,149
3,326
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
I N R C
r o r e
FDI INFLOW IN HOUSING AN D REAL ESTATE SECTOR
Source: Dept . of Industrial Policy & Promotion, Govt.of India
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Residential markets in NCR and Bangalore have
registered significant increase in capital values on
account of buoyant demand. Subdued sales activity
and high price points have resulted in stable capitalvalues across majority of the markets in Pune,
Mumbai and Kolkata. Additionally, select markets in
Hyderabad have witnessed marginal correction due
to the moderation in demand. Majority of the cities
have seen a slowdown in demand as a result of the
prevailing property prices, compounded by stubborn
mortgage rates. End-users across markets have put
their purchasing decisions on hold, anticipating a
revision in prices and interest rates.
Southern cities continued to outweigh other
regions in terms of residential unit launches during
the first quarter of 2012. Chennai witnessed the
maximum number of project launches during the
quarter followed by Pune. Barring Hyderabad, all
markets registered increased unit launches during
the quarter. Hyderabad registered a significant
drop of around 69% due to lack of clarity on the
regulation pertaining to land reservation. Residential
unit launches were registered across both mid and
high-end segments.
Inflation and sluggish economic growth are
expected to remain the top concerns for the RBI
whilst deciding on key policy rates in the immediate
future. Though liquidity in the markets has improved,
it is still far from desired levels and market
sentiments are expected to remain subdued. Capital
values across majority of the markets are expected
to remain stable or rise marginally due to the high
input costs despite the high unsold stock levels in
some cities.
The BSE Realty Index registered an overall surge
during the first quarter of 2012. The Index closed at
1776.96 points on 30th March 2012, 29% higher than
the value on 30th December 2011. Despite registering
a substantial increase, the index is yet to reach
the January 2011 mark. While the index picked upmomentum in February 2012 to reach 2169.96 points,
it declined in March 2012.
3273.56 3196.82
3726.86
2856.22
2337.01
2019.841762.96
1375.65
1776.96
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
I n
d e x
BSE REALTY INDEX
Source: BSE
BSE REALTY INDEXBSE REALTY INDEXBSE REALTY INDEXBSE REALTY INDEXBSE REALTY INDEXBSE REALTY INDEX
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
B an ga lo re (B urnt on Ro ad La valle R oa d) Ch en na i (B oa t Cl ub )
Hyderabad (Banjara Hills) Kolkata (Ballygunge)
Mumbai (South) NCR (Satya Niketan Anand Niketan)
Pune (Koregaon Park)
RESIDENTIAL CAPITAL VALUES GROWTH INDEX
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
11%
2%
32%
11%
21%17%
7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
New unit launches (%)
NEW RESIDENTIAL UNIT LAUNCHES ACROSS LOCATIONS IN 1Q 2012
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Residential Overview
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4
Ahmedabad 5
Bangalore 8
Chennai 12
Hyderabad 15
Kolkata 19
Mumbai 22
National Capital Region 25
Pune 29
Index
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Transaction activity in Ahmedabads residential
market was subdued as sales dropped in the first
quarter of 2012. Both end-users and investors have
shown preference for ready projects or projects
nearing completion. Most of the construction activity
was witnessed in Ring Road and Sarkhej-Gandhinagar
Highway catering to the mid-segment.
The demand for commercial office space increased
during the quarter compared. The absorptionswere mainly driven by the small and medium scale
industries.
Buoyancy was observed in the retail real estate
segment during the quarter with both malls and main
streets registering rental appreciation.
AhmedabadMarket Overview
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdateCapital values have remained stable across all
micro markets so as to sustain demand. Developers
continued to offer various incentives and favourable
payment schedules to improve demand of their unsold
inventory in the ready developments.
4600
29002600 2600
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March'12
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high segment typically include units of 2,000-4,000 sq. .
Average Capital Values High-end (INR 000/sf)
Location Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Satellite 3.8-4.3 3.9-4.6 4.0-4.6 4.0-4.8 4.3-5.0 4.3-5.1 4.3-6 4.3-6 4.3-6
Vastrapur 3.4-3.7 3.6-4.0 3.6-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-5 3.7-5 3.7-5
S.G.Highway 3.5-4.1 3.5-4.1 3.6-4.3 3.7-4.3 3.7-4.3 3.7-4.5 3.7-4.5 3.7-4.5 3.7-4.5
Prahlad Nagar 4.0-5.0 4.1-5.0 4.2-5.2 4.2-5.3 4.2-5.3 4.2-5.3 4.2-6 4.2-6 4.2-6
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New Residential LaunchesNew project launches were reduced this quarter,
Ahmedabad witnessed just three significant launchesin the first quarter of 2012. Large residential
developments were launched along the S.P RingRoad and Vadsar-Kalol Road.
Under construction Residential Property Update
Retail
Office
Construction activity has witnessed a slowdown
over the last quarter. Under construction residential
projects are mainly concentrated in locations such as
Ring Road, Bopal and Satellite Road. Developers are
offering various incentives and favourable payment
schedules in the mid-range segment so as to increase
demand.
Ahmedabad witnessed buoyant demand for mall
space during the first quarter of 2012. The Alpha
One mall in Vastrapur witnessed revival in interests
from retailers with expansion and entry of bothdomestic and international retailers. Vastrapur and
S.G. Highway have emerged high on preference due
to availability of quality retail mall space, which has
led to rentals appreciation of approximately 33% and
14% respectively. Rentals in main street locations like
Satellite Road and S.G Highway appreciated 4% and6% respectively due to limited quality availability.
Ahmedabad recorded a total absorption of over 1
lakh sf, registering an increase of approximately 6%
over the fourth quarter of 2011. However, the city did
not witness any fresh supply during the first quarter
of 2012. Rental values across the city appreciated
over the last quarter, with highest appreciation of up
to 6% noted at Ashram Road and C.G. Road due to
lack of availability of Grade A office space.
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for mid segment typically include units of 1,200-1,800 sq. .
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Average Capital Values Mid-end (INR 000/sf)
Location Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Satellite 2.8-3.4 2.8-3.6 2.8-3.8 2.8-3.8 2.8-4.1 2.8-4.2 2.8-4.3 2.8-4.3 2.8-4.3
Vastrapur 2.6-3.2 2.6-3.3 2.6-3.5 2.6-3.5 2.6-3.6 2.6-3.8 2.6-3.8 2.6-3.8 2.6-3.8
S.G.Highway 2.8-3.4 2.8-3.4 3.0-3.6 3.0-3.8 3.3-4.1 3.3-4.2 3.3-4.3 3.3-4.3 3.3-4.3
Prahlad Nagar 2.7-3.3 2.7-3.3 2.8-3.6 2.8-3.6 2.8-3.6 3.0-4.0 3.2-4.2 3.2-4.2 3.2-4.2
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Apple Woods Sandesh Propcon S.P. Ring Road 3,500 2BHK - 1,258 sf3BHK - 1,856 sf
Shubh Gruh Tata Housing Vadsar-Kalol Road 1,091 Studio - 293 sf1BHK - 384 sf1.5BHK - 457 sf
Aaryavart Heights Aaryavart Developers Satellite Road 44 2BHK - 963 sf to 1,197 sf3BHK - 1,300 sf
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Most of the new residential projects launches
are expected in the mid-end range segment. Capital
Values are expected to remain stable in the coming
months so as to attract demand.
The city is expected to see an infusion of 6,10,000
sf of new commercial space in second quarter of
2012. This infusion of commercial space is likely to
stabilize the commercial rentals in the city.
Ahmedabad is not expected to witness any new
mall supply during 2012. Therefore, with the current
upward trend in demand expected to continue,
vacancy levels are likely to reduce and rentals are
expected to remain stable due to existing vacancy
levels.
Outlook
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BangaloreMarket Overview
Bangalores residential market was characterized
by developers initiating significant project launches
during the quarter despite conservative demand. Sales
market remained subdued with buyers postponing
their buying decisions on account of the high price
points compounded further by the high mortgage
rates. The capital values mostly remained stable
during the first quarter of 2012. However, in select
micro markets they were characterized by widening
of the price bands (both in lower as well as higher
end) on account of the pricing of the new project
launches/under construction properties within the
micro markets.
The citys office space witnessed healthy
absorption and pre-commitments in the quarter.
Absorption was observed to mostly comprise of space
in the range of 10,000-40,000 sf. Whilst the IT/ITeS
sector continued to be the prime absorber, small and
medium enterprises also accounted for significant
transactions.
The city witnessed two major malls becoming
operational during the quarter with approximately 75-
80% of the spaces being leased out. Rentals in both
malls and main streets continued to remain stable
barring exceptions in select micro markets. Leasing
activities continued, though scarcity of suitable retail
space prevailed.
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdateDemand in the primary and secondary markets
remained subdued. Capital values of ready
property mostly remained stable during the
quarter across most micro markets. Substantial
availability in new properties or project launchesacross different price bands and locations were
also influential in stabilization of the prices of
ready properties.
Demand remained persistent in the rental
market for locations in South and East Bangalore
on account of availability of premium developments
as well as their proximity and easy connectivity
to the major commercial destinations. Increaseddemand was also observed for the mid-value
properties in North-West Bangalore resulting in
marginal rental escalation in the micro market.
7,000
4,100
5,750
4,450
5,2504,500
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March '12
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Average Capital Values High-end (INR000/sf)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Central 14.0-18.0 12.0-14.5 13.5-17.5 13.6- 17.6 14.0-18.0 14.00-18.00 14.0-18.0 16.0-21.0
South 7.0-9.0 6.0-8.5 6.0-9.5 6.1-9.7 6.5-10.0 6.5-10.0 6.5-10.0 6.5-10.0
Off Central 6.5-7.5 5.0-6.6 5.0-7.0 5.2-7.1 5.5-7.5 6.0-8.5 6.0-8.5 6.0-8.5
East 6.5-9.0 5.6-7.0 6.5-7.5 6.5-7.7 6.8-8.0 6.8-8.0 6.8-8.0 6.0-8.5North 6.0-8.0 5.5-7.0 5.5-7.0 5.7-7.0 6.0-7.4 6.5-8.0 6.5-8.0 6.5-8.0
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high segment typically include units of 3,000-5,000 sq. .
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High-end Segment
Central: Lavelle Road, Off Palace Road, Off Cunnigham
Road, Ulsoor Road, Richmond Road
South: Koramangala, Outer Ring Road, Bannerghatta
Road, JP Nagar
Off Central: Frazer Town, Benson Town, Richards
Town, Dollars Colony
East: Whitefield (villas)North: Hebbal, Yelahanka, Jakkur, Devanahalli
Mid-end Segment
Central: Brunton Road, Artillery Road, Ali Askar Road,
Cunningham Road
East: Marathalli, Whitefield, Airport Road
South-East: Sarjapur Road, Outer Ring Road, HSR
Layout
South: Koramangala, Jakkasandra
South-West: Jayanagar, J P Nagar, Kanakpura Road,
Bannerghatta Road, BTM Layout
North: Hebbal, Bellary Road, Yelahanka, Dodballapur
Road, JalahalliOff Central*: Vasanth Nagar, Richmond Town,
Indiranagar
Off Central*:* Cox Town, Frazer Town, HRBR, Benson
Town, etc
North-West: Malleshwaram, Rajajinagar
Key to Locations:
Average Capital values Mid range (INR000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Central 5.8-7.0 5.0-6.0 5.5-7.0 5.6-7.1 5.8-7.4 6.0-7.5 6.0-7.5 6.0-8.0
East 2.7-3.1 2.4-2.7 2.7-3.1 2.7-3.3 3.0-3.5 3.2-3.8 3.2-3.8 3.8-4.8
South East 2.9-4.0 2.5-3.2 2.8-4.0 2.8-4.3 3.0-4.5 3.4-5.0 3.4-5.0 4.0-5.5
South 5.0-6.5 4.6-5.7 4.8-6.0 4.8-6.3 5.0-6.5 5.0-6.5 5.0-6.5 5.0-7.0North 3.0-4.0 2.8-4.0 2.8-4.4 2.8-4.5 3.0-4.8 3.0-4.8 3.0-4.8 3.0-5.0
South West 2.8-4.2 2.7-3.9 3.2-4.5 3.3-4.7 3.6-5.0 3.6-5.0 3.6-5.0 3.6-5.0
Off Central* 4.0-6.0 3.7-5.7 4.0-6.2 4.2-6.4 4.5-6.7 4.5-6.7 4.5-6.7 4.5-7.0
Off Central** 3.5-6.0 3.3-5.7 3.8-6.2 3.9-6.4 4.3-6.7 4.3-6.7 4.3-6.7 4.0-6.5
North West 4.2-5.8 3.5-5.2 3.8-5.6 3.9-5.8 4.3-6.2 4.3-6.2 4.3-6.2 4.3-6.2
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for mid segment typically include units of 1,700-2,500 sq. .
Even in the backdrop of subdued demand in
the market and buyers postponing their purchase
decisions, there were some significant new launches
from prominent developers. These new projects
were across all segments with a mix of apartment
and villa developments. Prominent projects include
Purva Seasons, Sobha Habitech, Clover Greens and
Provident Harmony among others. The new launches
were spread mostly across the citys suburban and
peripheral regions and were intended to cater to a
wide range of buyers.
New Residential Launches
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Work progression continued with the same
momentum across most of the under construction
projects even in the backdrop of subdued demand.
Competitively priced under construction projects
with consistent sales were observed to record most
of the appreciation in the capital values. Developers
continued to customize their offerings by providing
value added services to the customers. With significant
number of projects under construction - buyers had a
wide range of options to choose across different price
bands, type of developments and locations among
others.
Under Construction Residential Property Update
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Purva Seasons Puravankara Projects CV Raman Nagar 660 1BHK -705 sf2BHK -1,392 sf3BHK -1,659 sf to1,980 sf
Clover Greens Assetz Homes Sarjapur Road 167 4BHK -5,608 sf to 5,365 sf
Provident Harmony Provident Housing Thanisandra 548 1BHK - 662 sf3BHK -1,241 sf to1,262 sf
Shobha Habitech Sobha Developers Whitefield HopefarmJunction
318 2BHK -1,342 sf to 1,727 sf3BHK -1,842 sf to 2,395 sf4BHK Pent house - 3,530 sf to 3,583 sf
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Bangalores commercial office market witnessed
absorption of 2.45 msf and pre-commitments of
2.9 msf approximately in the first quarter of 2012.
Peripheral markets of Whitefield and Electronics
City recorded the highest absorption on account
of comparatively reasonable rentals. The overall
vacancy level increased to 13.2% during the quarter
as majority of the new supply admeasuring 1.27 msf
was delivered in the latter part of the quarter. Rental
values in CBD/off-CBD micro markets (M.G. Road,
Millers Road, Vittal Mallya Road, Residency Road,
etc.) and suburban locations (CV Raman Nagar,
Koramangala, Bannerghatta Road, etc.) increased
17% and 12% respectively owing to limited Grade A
supply and buoyant demand.
Office
The citys retail market witnessed consistentdemand across various segments, including from
big box retailers, resulting in lease commitments
from them. The suburban micro markets witnessed
two major malls becoming operational during the
quarter. Notwithstanding the infusion of new mallsupply, scarcity of mall space prevailed, resulting in
increased pressure on the main streets which faced
by shortage of suitable retail space witnessed many
retailers vying for the same options.
Retail
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Demand in the sales market is likely to gather
momentum by the second quarter of 2012 as proper ty
buyers who have delayed their purchases are likely
to revisit their buying plans with the improvingmarket conditions. Persistent demand in the rental
market will also continue, thereby some escalations
in the rental values in select micro markets are likely.
On account of the high price points across most
micro markets, coupled with comparatively subdued
demand prevailing during the last few quarters,
significant capital value appreciations are unlikely
in the forthcoming quarters. New project launches
will continue across the citys various locations.
Moreover, in view of the high land, construction
and other associated costs, the new launches will
be at higher price bands with a greater share of
developments in the high-end segment.
Approximately 11 msf of new supply in the office
sector is likely by the end of 2012. Significant lease
transactions are expected to be closed during the
forthcoming quarters. Vacancy too is expectedto come down marginally by the end of 2012 and
absorptions in Grade B developments will continue in
the suburban markets.
Two new malls - one in CBD and another in the
peripheral market - approximating at 6,00,000 sf
are likely to become operational in the forthcoming
quarters of 2012. Scarcity of options across both the
malls and main streets are likely to get accentuated
by the end of 2012, thereby resulting in escalation inthe prime rentals.
Outlook
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Chennais housing market exhibited positive
demand sentiments during the first quarter of 2012;
end-users continued to drive the demand in the market.
Suburban locations continued to witness buoyant
demand despite the high capital values. Markets such
as Rajiv Gandhi Salai, Porur and Velachery noted
increased sales activity during the quarter.
Healthy leasing activity was registered in both
mid and high-end markets. Established markets suchas T.Nagar, Adyar and Nungambakkam registered
appreciation in rental values driven by demand due to
their close proximity to the commercial districts.
Increase in absorption over the supply of office
space during the quarter has resulted in marginal
decline in vacancy levels to 15.7%. This had effected
the rental appreciation in the CBD, off-CBD and select
suburban markets. Several lease transactions of over
50,000 sf by occupiers from the banking and financialservices sector were noted during the quarter.
Mall and main street rents remained stable during
1Q 2012 compared to the last quarter. Mall supply
admeasuring 1,50,000 sf became operational which
led to an increase in overall mall vacancy levels to
8.2% from 6.6% in the fourth quarter. Leasing activity
has been sluggish across malls and main streets due
to limited availability of quality space except in thesuburban market such as Virugambakkam which has
seen decline in vacancy levels.
ChennaiMarket Overview
13,500
9,00012,500
22,000
19,500
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March'12
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdateLimited availability in the premium residential
pockets was instrumental in driving the property
prices upwards in markets such as Poes Garden,
Nungambakkam, Anna Nagar and Adyar. Despite the
appreciation, these markets recorded robust sales
during the quarter.
The demand for ready property in suburban
locations persisted during the quar ter. While locations
with good connectivity and established infrastructure
such as Rajiv Gandhi Salai, Velachery and Mogappair
registered nominal price increase, the capital values
remained stable in other locations.
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Average Capital values High end (INR 000/sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Boat Club 18-24 18-20 18-23 19-23 19-23.5 20-24.5 20-25.0 20-25.0
R.A Puram* 13-15 13-15 13-16.5 13-16.5 13-16.5 13-16.5 14-17 14-18
Besant Nagar NA NA NA NA NA 12.5-13.5 12.5-13.5 12.5-13.5
Kotturpuram NA NA NA NA NA 12-14 12-14 12-14Adyar 5.5-10 5.5-9.5 8-12 8-12 8-12 10-13.5 11.5-13.5 12.5-14
Poes Garden** 14.5-20 14.5-18 14.5-20 15-20 15.5-20.5 15.5-23.5 17.5-24.5 18.5-25
Nungambakkam 13-16 13-16 13-16.5 13-16.5 13-16.5 13-17 13-17 14-18
Anna Nagar 6-9 6-9 7.5-10.5 8-10.5 8-10.5 8-11.5 8-11.5 9-12
Kilpauk 4-8 4-8 8-12 8. 5-12 8.5-12.5 8.5-12 9-15 9-15
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high segment typically include units of 1,800-4,000 sq. .The me series have been adjusted to re ect the updated values*RA Puram also includes Alwarpet and Abhiramapuram**Poes Garden also includes Venus Colony and Kasturi Rangan Road
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for mid segment typically include units of 1,000-2,000 sq. .The me series have been adjusted to re ect the updated values
Average Capital values Mid range (INR 000/sq.ft.)Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Adyar 4.5-6.5 4.5-6.5 6-8.5 6-8.5 6-8.5 6.5-10 8-11 8.5-12
Rajiv Gandhi Salai (Perungudi) 2.5-3.6 2.5-2.8 3.5-4.5 3.8-5 4-5.5 4-5.5 4-5.5 4.5-6
Velachery 3.8-4.2 3.5-4 3.5-5 3.5-5 3.5-5.3 3.5-5.5 3.5-5.5 4-6
T Nagar 4-6.5 4-6.5 7.5-10.5 7.5-10.5 7.7-11 8-11 8.5-11.5 8.5-13
Mylapore NA NA NA NA NA 8-12.5 8-12.5 9-14
Mogappair NA NA NA NA NA 5-5.5 5-5.5 5-6.5
Kilpauk 4.5-6 4.5-6 6-8 6-8.5 6.5-8.5 7-9 7.5-9.5 8-10
The number of project launches during the quarter
increased threefold over the previous quarter. Around
8,000 residential units were launched during the
quarter. Locations such as Porur and Manapakkam
registered maximum number of units being launched
and accounted for nearly 40% of the total units
launched. The emerging micro markets of GST, Rajiv
Gandhi Salai and Velachery also registered several
launches during the quarter. Nearly 90% of the
inventory launched during the quarter catered to
the mid-segment, located primarily in the suburban
markets.
New Residential Launches
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Bella Vista Prestige Group Mount Poonamallee Road,Porur
2,613 1BHK 600 sf2BHK 1,340 sf to1494 sf3BHK 1,990 sf4BHK 2,621 sf
Sobha Meritta Sobha Developers Vandalur-KelambakkamRoad
556 1BHK 600 sf2BHK 1,340 sf to1,400 sf3BHK 1,650 sf
Epica Casa Grande Mahalingapuram Main Road 12 2BHK -952 sf3BHK 1,377 sf4BHK 1,815 sf
Olympia Grande Olympia Group Pallavaram 780 2BHK 1,152 sf to1,313 sf3BHK 1,578 sf
Godrej Palm Grove Godrej Properties Chembarambakkam 660 2BHK 1,194 sf to1,222 sf3BHK 1,426 sf to1,489 sf
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A number of under construction projects registered
a price increase of 5-6% during the quarter, with
majority belonging to the high-end segment. A few
projects in Rajiv Gandhi Salai namely Hiranandani
Upscale, TVH Ouranya Bay and Ceebros Boulevard
were completed with some being handed over in
phases.
Under construction Residential Property Update
The demand for residential properties is
expected to persist in the following quarter.
Majority of the mid-end markets and select high-
end markets like Adyar and Anna Nagar are
expected to see price increases. On the other
hand, the rental values across most markets are
expected to remain stable.
Around 20,00,000 sf of office space is
scheduled for completion in the second quarter
of 2012. The demand levels in the market are
expected to persist in the following quarters.
The rental values are likely to register marginal
increases in the CBD and off-CBD markets.
Demand for retail spaces across main streets
is likely to remain buoyant in the forthcoming
quarters. Khader Nawaz Khan Road and Velachery
Bypass Road are expected to register moderate
rental appreciation during this time period. It is
also anticipated that close to 10,00,000 sf of mall
space will be infused during 2012.
Outlook
Fresh mall supply of 1,50,000 sf was registered
during the first quarter of 2012. Mall vacancy levels
across the city registered 8.2%. The mall rentals
across all markets remained stable during this time
period. Barring Khader Nawaz Khan Road, rentals
across other main streets registered no fluctuation
during the first quarter of 2012. The stability in rentals
may be attributed to the limited leasing options in
these markets.
Retail
Office space supply of around 3,80,000 sf
was registered during the first quarter of 2012.
Guindy witnessed the highest quantum of supply
during the quarter. The absorption was registered
at approximately 8,00,000 sf. The demand during
the quarter was driven by non-IT sectors as against
the earlier quarters. CBD and off-CBD markets have
registered a marginal rental increase in the range
of 3-4% during the quarter. Office rentals remained
stable in peripheral markets due to high vacancy
levels.
Office
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HyderabadMarket Overview
Hyderabads residential market witnessed a
slightly positive trend during the first quarter
of 2012. Projects located in prime residential
catchments of Miyapur, Kukatpally, Chandanagar
and Kondapur, in close proximity to IT & Financial
districts of Madhapur and Gachibowli have
witnessed higher enquiries along with a moderate
sales activity indicating continued optimism from
the last quarter from end-users and investorsalike. Peripheral locations such as Nallagandla and
Gopanpally with a presence of ready properties
have also witnessed a positive trend in terms of
sales enquiries. Proximity to Gachibowli, growing
infrastructure facilities and overall development
in the residential localities nearby have induced
a positive effect on these locations. Despite a
growth in the number of enquiries, developers
continued to keep the prices low in order to boost
sales. The overall capital value appreciation has
been modest, fluctuating between 2-4% in these
markets.
The demand for commercial office space market
in Hyderabad has remained moderate during the
first quarter. The overall absoprtion was recorded
at 7,10,000 sf., nearly 37% lower than the previous
quarter.
In the retail market, higher leasing enquiries
and scarcity of suitable spaces have pushed the
rentals upwards in the range of 9-20% (q-o-q)
across the citys prime retail locations such asPunjagutta, Madhapur, Abids and Himayatnagar.
A.S. Rao Nagar has witnessed the highest rental
growth at 26%.
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property Update
As the momentum witnessed in the fourth quarterof last year continued into 2012, several ready
properties in prime residential catchments of Miyapur,
Kukatpally, Madhapur, Gachibowli and their immediate
surroundings have witnessed healthy enquiries.
Projects with limited availability of ready properties
and those on the verge of completion in these locations
have marked a 7-10% rise in prices compared to lastquarter. Ready properties in distant localities such as
Nallagandla and Gopanpally that mostly cater to the
mid-value segment have also gained attention of the
end users. At the same time areas such as Begumpet,
Somajiguda and Himayatnagar have recorded price
corrections due to moderate demand.
8,3008,700
4,900
10,500
4,200
5,300
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Price (INR/s f ) March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March '12
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The city saw a 68% decline in new launches compared
to last quarter owing to continued uncertainty over the
land reservation regulation (G.O.45). Three projects
totalling approximately 528 units were launched across
the high-end segment in Gachibowli and Shankarpally.
Out of the three new launches, two projects in Gachibowli
had additional phases launched, whilst a retirement
community with approximately 328 units was launched
in Shankarpally, away from the city limits.
New Residential Launches
Average Capital values High end (INR 000/sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Banjara Hills 6.5-7.1 5.8-6.5 6.0-7.2 6.0-7.4 6.3-7.4 6.3-7.5 6.4-7.5 6.4-7.5
Jubilee Hills 6.5-7.1 5.5-6.3 6.0-7.0 6.0-7.0 6.2-7.0 6.2-7.1 6.2-7.2 6.1-7.2
Himayatnagar 3.4-4.4 3.3-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.2 3.7-4.1
West & East Marredpally 3.3-4.3 3.3-3.8 3.5-4.0 3.5-4.2 3.6-4.2 3.6-4.2 3.6-4.3 3.6-4.3Begumpet, Somajiguda 3.9-4.5 3.9-4.5 4.1-4.5 4.1-4.7 4.3-4.7 4.3-4.7 4.3-4.8 4.3-4.7
Madhapur, Gachibowli 3.8-4.4 3.5-4.3 3.8-4.9 3.8-5.0 4.0-5.0 3.9-5.0 3.9-5.3 4.0-5.3
Kukatpally 3.3-4.3 3.3-4.0 3.5-4.5 3.5-4.8 3.8-4.8 3.8-5.0 3.8-5.1 3.8-5.1
Miyapur, Nizampet Road NA 2.6-3.3 2.7-3.4 2.7-3.4 2.7-3.4 2.8-3.4 2.8-3.5 2.9-3.5
Average Capital values Mid range (INR 000/sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Banjara Hills 3.4-4.2 3.6-4.2 3.6-4.5 3.6-4.5 3.8-4.5 3.8-4.6 3.8-4.6 3.8-4.6Jubilee Hills 3.4-4.0 3.5-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.7-4.0 3.9-4.2 4.0-4.2 4.0-4.2 4.0-4.2
Himayatnagar 2.6-3.0 2.7-3.0 2.7-3.5 2.7-3.5 2.7-3.5 2.7-3.5 2.7-3.7 2.7-3.6
West & East Marredpally 2.5-3.0 2.5-2.8 2.7-3.0 2.7-3.0 2.8-3.0 2.8-3.0 2.8-3.2 2.7-3.2
Begumpet, Somajiguda 2.5-3.0 2.6-3.1 2.8-3.5 2.8-3.5 2.9-3.5 2.9-3.5 2.9-3.6 2.8-3.5
Madhapur, Gachibowli 2.6-3.0 2.5-3.1 2.6-3.4 2.6-3.4 2.8-3.4 2.8-3.3 2.8-3.5 2.8-3.7
Kukatpally 2.4-2.8 2.4-2.9 2.7-3.2 2.7-3.2 2.9-3.2 2.9-3.3 2.9-3.5 2.9-3.5
Miyapur, Nizampet Road NA 1.8-2.5 1.8-2.5 1.8-2.7 2.4-2.7 2.4-2.7 2.4-3.0 2.3-3.2
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
The above values for high end typically include units of 1,600-3,200 sq. .
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
The above values for mid range typically include units of 1,200-1,600 sq. .
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Ramky Towers Elite Ramky Estates Gachibowli 128 3BHK 2,410 sf to 2,610 sf4BHK 4,990 sf to 5,010 sf
Nagarjuna ResidencyPhase 2
Manjeera Constructions Gachibowli 72 3BHK 2,430 sf to 2,690 sf4BHK 3,170 sf
Serene Pragati Nagarjuna Constructions Shankarpally 328 1BHK 608 sf2BHK 850 sf to1296 sf3BHK 1,900 sf
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Despite a reduction in promotional offers duringthe first quarter, end-users have increasinglyevaluated properties in key residential locaitieswith higher locational advantages such as Miyapur,Kukatpally, Madhapur and Gachibowli. Sustainedpolitical stability, higher enquires, moderate rise insales along with a reduction in launches over the last
one year have all pushed the prices upwards by 5-7%(q-o-q) in these locations. Projects under variousstages of construction in the mid-priced segment suchas Aparna Hill Park Avenues, Vertex Prime, RainbowVistas, Prajay Megapolis and Emami Swan Lake haverecorderd a minor appreciation (3-5%) during thefirst quarter.
Under construction Residential Property Update
The market recorded approximately 7,10,000
sf. of office space absorption during the first
quarter.The supply was recorded at 5,60,000 sf.,
nearly 20% lower than the fourth quarter of 2011.
IT/ITeS absorption was impacted by the limited
availability of Grade A space in Special Economic
Zones and IT Parks in the suburban market coupled
with conservative sentiments in the domestic and
global markets. With moderate demand across the
city and continued infusion of second generation
space, the overall vacancy has increased slightly
to 15.7% (15% during Q4, 2011). With no major
variations in demand trends and stable vacancy
across most micro markets, office rentals have
also remained stable.
Growth of catchment areas, increasing
requirements and scarcity of options in prime retailmicro markets have pushed retailers into exploring
new locations such as Habsiguda, Vanasthalipuram,
A.S.Rao Nagar, L.B.Nagar and Chandanagar to
expand their operations. Some large format stores
have reserved space in the upcoming standalone
developments and malls. Adequate supply, flexibility
in leasing terms and favourable rentals have attracted
specialty retailers such as branded apparel stores,foot wear, premium furniture apart from food &
beverages outlets and hyper/super markets to these
locations. Rentals in the operational malls have
increased by 5-15% over the previous quarter due to
zoning modifications.
Office
Retail
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Key residential locations such as Miyapur and
Kukutpally as well as upcoming locations such
as Gopanpally and Nallagandla may witness new
projects in the short term. Price appreciation inprime residential localities is expected due to limited
availability of ready properties, reduced supply in the
short to medium term and growing enquiries in the
market.
In the commercial office market, demand for
ready properties with Grade A options in Gachibowli
is expected to rise on the back of low vacancy
levels and shortage of quality space in Madhapur
submarket. Office space rentals across the city are
likely to stabilize, except in the suburban markets due
to limited availability of suitable space options and
healthy enquiries.
In the retail segment, the market would
continue to expand and penetrate newer locations
such as Habsiguda, A.S.Rao Nagar, L.B.Nagar,
Vanasthalipuram and Chandanagar. Rentals in the
upcoming locations could remain stable to cash in on
growing enquiries. Minor appreciation in the short
term in prime retail markets such as Punjagutta,
Jubilee Hills, Banjara Hills, Somajiguda and Abids is
likely due to shortage of supply.
Outlook
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KolkataMarket Overview
During the first quarter of 2012, Kolkatas
residential market reflected positive sentiments
with increased project launches across various
segments. Steady demand for affordable and
mid-priced segments was evident and it leads
to an increased number of project launches.
Peripheral locations like Sonarpur, Kankurgachi,
and Jessore Road assumed increased importance
as a significant number of projects in bothaforementioned segments were launched in these
locations, primarily due to improved infrastructure
and affordable land prices.
The commercial office space market in Kolkata
also witnessed steady demand recording absorption
of approximately 3,00,000 sf against a supply of
6,00,000 sf in this quarter.
Retail market in Kolkata recorded increased
transactions as regional retailers seemed to expand
their operations in the city. Regional retailers
exhibited preference for standalone properties
on main streets. Simultaneously, lack of mall
supply remained a major concern which prompted
international retailers to opt for pre-commitments
in under construction malls
8,500
6,500
8,500
6,000
4,500
5,500
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March'12
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdatePremium high-end properties across the city
witnessed stable pricing trends in view of already
high property prices. Capital values remained
stable across most micro markets except for
prime locations in South Kolkata owing to limited
availability.
Average Capital values High end (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South 5.0 - 6.0 4.8-5.9 5.3-6.8 6.0-8.0 6.3-8.0 6.3-8.5 6.3-8.5 7.0-9.0
South Central 9.0-10.0 8.5-9.6 9.5-13.0 9.5-14.0 10.0-17.0 10.0-18.0 10.0-18.0 10.0-18.0
South East 4.5-5.7 4.5-5.7 4.5-8.0 5.0-8.5 5.8-9.2 5.8-9.2 5.8-9.2 5.8-9.2
South West 9.5-10.0 8.6-9.8 8.9-13.0 10.0-12.0 10.0-15.0 10.0-15.0 10.0-15.0 10.0-15.0
Central 7.5-8.5 7.2-8.1 7.5-9.2 7.8-9.5 8.3-10.2 8.3-10.2 8.3-10.2 8.3-10.2
East 4.0-5.0 4.0-4.7 4.0-4.9 4.2-5.0 4.5-5.3 4.5-5.5 4.5-5.5 4.5-5.5
North East 2.5-3.0 2.4-2.9 2.4-3.9 2.6-4.2 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high-end segment typically include units of 2,000-4,000 sq. .
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Key to Locations:
Average Capital values Mid range (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South 2.8-4.3 2.7-3.9 3.2-4.5 3.2-5.0 3.8-5.5 3.8-5.5 3.8-5.5 3.8-5.5
South Central 4.5-5.5 4.2-5.3 4.5-6.0 5.0-7.0 5.5-7.2 5.5-8.0 5.5-8.0 5.5-8.5
South East 2.5-3.0 2.4-2.8 2.5-3.2 2.7-4.0 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5 2.8-4.5
North East 1.8-2.2 1.9-2.2 2.2-2.7 2.3-2.8 2.4-3.0 2.4-3.0 2.4-3.0 2.4-3.0North 1.8-3.5 1.8-3.4 2.2-4.7 2.3-4.8 2.8-5.2 2.8-5.2 2.8-5.2 2.8-5.2
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
NNote: The above values for mid-end segment typically include units of 1,600-2,000 sq. .
South*: Southern Avenue, Dover Lane
South-Central*: Ballygunge, Queens Park, Rainy Park,
Gurusaday Road, etc.
South-East: EM Bypass
South-West: Alipore Park Road, Ashoka Road,
Belvedere Road, etc.
Central: Lansdowne, Park Street
East: Salt Lake
North-East: Rajarhat
South**: New Alipore, Golf Green, Tollygunge, etc.South-Central**: Hindustan Park
North: Kankurgachi, Lake Town, Jessore Road,
Ultadanga, etc.
First quarter of 2012, witnessed almost 1,600 unit
launches as compared to 1,300 units in the fourthquarter of 2011. Most of the projects were launched
in the peripheral locations targeting the mid-income
consumers. The projects launched during this quarterwere priced between INR.1,700 - 3,000/- per sf.
New Residential Launches
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Larica Green Hamlet Larica Estates Pailan 85 Rowhouse 1,080 sfBungalows 1,500 sf to 4,000 sf
Lord City Sonarpur Lord Group Sonarpur 37 Bungalows 1,093 sf to 3,174 sf
Rittika Residency SD Developers Rajarhat 355 2BHK 797 sf to 897 sf3BHK 1,000 sf to 1,139 sf
Daffodil Waterfront Daffodil Projects Maheshtala 105 2BHK 867 sf to 990 sf3BHK 1100 sf to 1300 sf
Trinath Local developer Baguiati 105 1BHK 540 sf to 560 sf2BHK 846 sf to 1,040 sf
Dream Exotica Purti Group Madhyamgram 455 2BHK 915 sf to955 sf3BHK 1,100 sf to1,220 sf
Astitva MCK PGE Projects LLP Kankurgachi 170 3BHK 2,142 sf to 2,525 sf4BHK 3,538 sf5BHK 4,500 sf to 5,200 sf
Omni Countryside Bengal Omnitech Sonarpur 30 3BHK 1,550 sf to 2,000 sf4BHK 2,630 sf
Omnitech Lakeview Bengal Omnitech Garia 68 3BHK 1,600 sf4BHK 2,100 sf
DumDum Heights Jessore RoadConstruction LLP
Jessore Road, 54 3BHK 972 sf to 1,402 sf
SGIL Residenzza SGIL Infra Project Jessore Road, 120 2BHK 980 sf3BHK 1,022 sf
* Es mated and as per market informa on
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Under construction projects by reputed developers
in Rajarhat New Town have witnessed at least 5%
appreciation over the last quarter. However, quite few
large format projects by reputed developers in the
same area have seen slow construction work primarily
due to the lack of physical infrastructure.
Kolkatas office market continued the previous
trend of absorptions at just over 280,000 sf and
continued to witness healthy demand as absorption
remained high by approximately 33.7% compared to
the last quarter. Rentals in prime office locations like
Park Street and Chowringhee continued to appreciate
on account of steady demand from various non-IT/
ITeS companies. Supply was recorded at 6,00,000 sf,
almost 41% higher than last quarters supply.
Kolkatas retail market exhibited positive
sentiments with increased lease transactions during
the first quarter of the year. Retailers seemed to be
on expansion spree. However, lack of mall supply
remained a major concern for retailers. Established
main streets continued to witness rental appreciation
due to increased demand from national and regional
retailers. There was no fresh mall supply during the
quarter. Mall rentals remained stable and vacancy
remained low. A number of international retailers
were seen to opt for pre-commitments in under
construction malls in view of lack of ready mall space.
Under construction Residential Property Update
Office
Retail
The residential market in Kolkata is expected
to see continued demand for affordable and mid
ranged properties. However, if high inflation rate
continues, transactions may have an impact.
Capital values are likely to remain stable as more
supply is expected to get infused in the coming
quarters. Peripheral locations like Barasat in
North and Garia in South will continue to witness
increased importance due to more numberof affordable project options and improved
infrastructure facility.
Rental values across the peripheral office
locations are expected to decline owing to the
planned supply and increase in vacancy levels in
the coming quarters. However, rental values across
central business district are likely to strengthen
owing to sustained demand and highly limited
scope for increasing supply.
Kolkatas retail market is expected to witness
approximately 3,50,000 sf of mall supply in the
next few quarters. Rents across established main
streets and malls in CBD are likely to appreciate on
account of persistent demand.
Outlook
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MumbaiMarket Overview
The residential market in Mumbai was
characterized by a cautious approach by buyers as
sales continued to be subdued and no reductions
in prices were observed over the last quarter.
High inventory levels of ready stock have lead the
developers to follow a cautious approach leading
to fewer launches compared to last quarter. End-
users exhibited reluctance to invest in under-
construction and newly launched projects due tothe high mortgage rates and price points resulting
in reduced sales activity.
The commercial office market in Mumbai
regained some momentum in the first quarter of
2012. Absorption levels improved significantly by
30% over the last quarter and were noted at 14 lakh
sf. BFSI sector remained the highest demand driver
with nearly 27% of share in absorption.
Mall rentals have remained stable during the
quarter. The existing vacancy levels and some
activity in retail locations resulted in stable rentals.
11,000
32,000
46,000
40,000
13,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March'12
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdateDespite the poor sales, capital values at most
residential locations were observed to remain
stable over the quarter as developers cited high raw
material costs and high cost of funding. However,
capital values in the high-end segment of South
Mumbai and mid-end segment of Central Mumbai
were recorded to register an annual appreciation of
7% and 11% respectively.
Average Capital values High end (INR000/sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South 43-55 42.5-58 43-60 43-60 45-65 45-65 45-65 45-65
South Central 47-67 42- 66 45-70 45-70 45-75 45-75 45-75 45-75
Central 33-53 34-55 35-55 35-55 35-55 35-55 32-54 32-54
North 27-31 22-30 24-32 24-32 24-32 24-32 24-32 24-32
Far North 9-13 10-16.5 11-16.5 11-16.5 11-16.5 11-16.5 11-16.5 11-16.5
North East 14-18 10-16 10-16 10-16 10-17 10-18 10-18 10-18
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
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Note:
High-end
- Approximately 2,500 - 6,000 sf for South, South-
Central, Central and North (Bandra & Khar)
- Approximately 1,800 - 4,000 sf for North (Santacruz
& Juhu), Far North and North-East
Mid-end
- Approximately 1,400 - 2,500 sf for South, South-
Central, Central and North
- Approximately 1,200 - 1,600 sf for Far North and
North-East
South: Colaba, Cuffe Parade, Nariman Point,
Churchgate, etc.
South Central: Altamount Road, Carmichael Road,
Malabar Hill, Napeansea Road, Breach Candy, Pedder
Road, etc.
Central: Worli, Prabhadevi, Lower Parel/ Parel
North: Bandra (W), Khar (W), Santacruz (W), Juhu, etc.
Far North: Andheri (W), Malad, Goregaon, etc.
North-East: Powai
Key to Locations:
Average Capital values Mid range (INR000/sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South 27-34 28-37 43-60 30-40 30-40 30-40 30-40 45-65
South Central 34-43 35-45 45-70 40-48 40-48 40-48 39-47 45-75
Central 18-28 15-26 35-55 17-30 17-30 17-35 17-35 32-54
North 13.5-19.5 16-24 24-32 16-25 16-25 16-25 16-25 24-32Far North 7-9 8.5-11.5 11-16.5 9-12 9-12 9-13 9-13 11-16.5
North East 6-7.4 6.4-8.5 10-16 6.5-8.5 7-8.5 7-10 6.5-10 10-18
Mumbai witnessed around 7,000 units launched
in the first quarter of 2012. Ghodhbunder Road
witnessed about 5,000 units launched in the quarter.
Several developers were also seen to launch their
successive phases, concentrated mainly in Thane.
New Residential Launches
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
Codename Dawn Lodha Group Thane 1,800 1BHK 648 sf2BHK 864 sf to 1,068 sf3BHK 1,485 sf
Lodha Dioro Lodha Group Wadala 240 2BHK 1,300 sf to 1,400 sf3BHK 1,600 sf to 2,300 sf
Hiranandani Basilus Hiranandani Developers Thane 28 5BHK 3,668 sf
Serita Uma Group Thane 24 2BHK 1,065 sf to 1,280 sf3BHK 1,375 sf
Cosmos Enclave Cosmos Group Thane 150 1BHK 700 sf2BHK 1,065 sf
Cosmos Garden Cosmos Group Thane 560 1BHK 710 sf2BHK 1,100 sf
Dosti Imperia Phase 2 Dosti Group Thane 315 2BHK 1,155 sf to 1,328 sf3BHK 1,581 sf to 1,759 sf
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Source: Cushman and Wake eld Research
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The retail market in Mumbai witnessed an
increase in enquires from new as well as existing
retailers in both malls and main street locations.
Majority of the landlords in prime main street
locations are pressing for an upward revision in
rentals so as to capitalize on higher demand and
lack of quality supply.
The commercial office market in Mumbai
regained some momentum in the first quarter of
2012 and recorded absorption of approximately 14
lakh sf spread across all micro markets. The BFSI
sector remained the highest demand driver with
nearly 27% of share in absorption. Absorption was
concentrated in BKC (29%) followed by Thane-
Belapur Road (23%) and Lower Parel (19%). The
city saw decline in pre-commitments during the
quarter since companies preferred to take up space
in ready developments due to high availability.
Additionally, supply remained subdued during
the first quarter of 2012 and was recorded at 14.4
lakh sf which is 47% less than the last quarter.
There was no change seen in the rental values
compared to last quarter and it is likely remain at
current levels owing to competitive pressure from
upcoming supply.
Retail
Office
Capital values are expected to remain stable
in the next quarter. Thereafter, capital values of
new project launches may appreciate due to the
new Development Control Rule norms announced
by the State, whereby the developers will have to
pay a premium for additional Floor Space Index forresidential developments.
Fresh supply of approximately 17.5 lakh sf of
commercial office space is expected to be infused
in the next quarter. This is likely to increase
vacancy levels in the upcoming quarters.
Main street rentals are expected to remain
stable in the upcoming quarter. However, mall
rentals in locations like Malad, Lower Parel
and Link Road are expected to exhibit a minorappreciation on account of low vacancy levels and
reduced supply in these micro markets.
Outlook
Construction activity has witnessed a revival
during the last quarter in locations like Thane and
Navi Mumbai. Developers were noticed to offer
various incentives and favourable payment schedules
to induce demand. Under construction projects have
maintained price points quoted in the previous quarter
while projects nearing completion have witnessed a
minor appreciation.
Under construction Residential Property Update
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The residential market was seen to be depicting
signs of improvement, both on demand and supply
side. The high demand and supply gap led to an
increase in capital values of 22% over the previous
quarter in select high-end locations in Delhi. On the
back of improving demand, developers have been
re-focussing on luxury/high-end projects although
mid segment projects continue to be the mainstay.
Rental values across the city saw an appreciationin the range of 5-11% compared to last quarter,
with highest increase noted in Gurgaon. According
to the media sources, the stamp duty collection
in Gurgaon in 2011 increased at least 30% in
comparison to the previous year. Also, Gurgaon
contributed more than 40% to the States total
revenue from property transactions. This indicates
the increasing real estate activity in the location.
The office market during the first quarterseemed sluggish with reduction in both supply and
demand compared to last quarter. Approximately
20 lakh sf of new developments were completed
which was double of the demand noted during the
quarter.
The retail sector also saw reduced supply with
only one mall getting operational in Gurgaon during
the quarter. Leasing activity was buoyant across
main street locations compared to the malls due tolimited availability of quality space in malls.
Infrastructure sector is the focal point of the
Government as it increased allocation to the sector
in Budget 2012-13. The allocation for Metro projects
has increased by over 12% from INR 5,166 crore to
INR 5,798.57 crore, in line with finance ministers
push for infrastructure projects through the Budget.
Out of this, the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC)
continues to have majority share of INR 2,116.69
crore which increased by 41%. Delhi Metro Rail
Corporation is expected to utilise the funds to add
around 104 km to the network in the National CapitalRegion in phase-III by the year 2016. In addition,
the Delhi Cabinet approved the transfer of INR 621
crores to the National Highway Authority of India
as its contribution to accelerate the construction
of the Kundli-Manesar (KMP Expressway). The
expressway would connect National Highway 1 at
Kundli north of Delhi with National Highway 10 just
north of Bahadurgarh, National Highway 8 south of
Manesar in Gurgaon and National Highway 2 near
Palwal. This is expected to create several corridors
that will encourage housing developments.
National Capital RegionMarket Overview
14,250
10,00012,500
10,250
26,500
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March' 12
Price (INR/s f )-March 20 12
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
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Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdatePrices of ready property have increased
significantly compared to the last quarter. Select
locations in Delhi such as South West and Central saw
a quarterly price increase of up to 20%. Similarly, the
suburban locations also saw notable increase in the
range of 5-10% during the first quarter of the year,
owing to limited completions and high demand.
Overall, rentals values across the city increased
in the range of 5-10% during the first quarter of the
year with relatively higher increment noticed in the
suburban locations.
Average Capital values High end (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South West 28-33 29-34 36-43 36-45 40-47 42-50 42-50 50-60South East 19-23 21-24 24-30 24-30 25-32 25-35 25-35 25-40
South Central 20-23 21-25 25-32 25-35 27-40 27-40 27-40 27-40
Central 45-50 40-45 50-57 50-60 50-60 50-65 50-65 60-80
Gurgaon 5.2-11 5.3-12.5 6.2-18 7.5-20 8.5-21 8.5-21 8.5-21 9.5-25
Noida 5.2-6.2 5.2-6.5 5.5-7 5.5-7 5.5-7.5 5.5-7.5 5.5-7.5 5.8-8.0
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high end segment typically include units of 2,000-4,000 sq. .
Average Capital values Mid range (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
South East 14-16 14.5-16.5 15-20 15-22 15-25 15-28 15-28 20-30
South Central 18-20 18.5-20.5 20-23.5 20-25 22-27 25-30 25-30 25-30
Gurgaon 3.8-5.2 4-6.5 4.5-7.5 4.8-8.5 5-9 5-9 5-9 6.5-9
Noida 3-4.5 3.2-5.5 3.8-5.6 4-5.6 4.2-5.8 4.2-5.8 4.2-5.8 4.5-6.0
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for mid range segment typically include units of 1,600-2,000 sq. .
High Segment
South-West: Shanti Niketan, Westend, Anand Niketan,
Vasant Vihar
South-East: Friends Colony East, Friends Colony West,
Maharani Bagh, Greater Kailash - I, Greater Kailash II.
South-Central: Defence Colony, Anand Lok, Niti Bagh,
Gulmohar Park, Hauz Khas Enclave, Safdarjung
Development Area, Mayfair Gardens, Panchsheel Park,Soami Nagar, Sarvodaya Enclave.
Central: Jorbagh, Golf Links, Amrita Shergil Marg,
Aurangzeb Road, Prithviraj Road, Sikandara Road, Tilak
Marg, Ferozshah Road, Mann Singh Road, Sunder Nagar,
Nizamuddin, Tees January Marg, Chanakyapuri.
Mid Segment
South-East: New Friends Colony, Kalindi Colony, Ishwar
Nagar, Sukhdev Vihar, Kailash Colony, Pamposh Enclave.
South-Central: Uday Park, Green Park, Saket, AsiadVillage, Geetanjali Enclave, Safdarjung Enclave,
Sarvapriya Vihar, Panchsheel Enclave, Navjeevan Vihar.
Key to Locations:
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Improved demand led to increased luxury and high-
end segment project launches during the quarter in the
suburban locations; by quantum the mid-value segment
projects continue to dominate the new launches. Most
of the developers continued to increase prices of new
projects/launches on account of improved demand.
New Residential Launches
Project Name Developer Location Number ofUnits*
Area of Units*
Amstoria BPTP Sec 102, Dwarka Ex-pressway, Gurgaon
700-800 3BR+3T 2,384 sf3BR+3T 2,435 sf to 5,374 sf4BR+6T+1ST 5,709 sf
Regal Garden DLF Ltd. Sector 90, Gurgaon 400-500 3BHK 1693 sf to 1,818 sf4BHK 2,215 sf
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Construction activity was noticed to continue at
a modest pace with a few projects in the finishing
stage in Gurgaon and Noida Expressway which are
likely to be handed over in 2012. In addition, a few
developers have commenced construction in the
upcoming pockets such Yamuna Expressway in
Greater Noida, Dwarka Expressway and Southern
Periphery Road in Gurgaon.
Under construction Residential Property Update
During the first quarter, new office supply
admeasuring 20 lakh sf was completed registering
a 10% decline compared to the last quarter.
Entire addition to the stock during the first
quarter was in Gurgaon and most of it catered to
the IT/ITeS segment. There was low absorption,
registered at 5,50,000 sf with pre-commitments
further accounting for nearly 4,50,000 sf. The
CBD locations recorded a rental appreciation
of approximately 14% over the last quarter,
attributable mainly to the prevailing low vacancy
levels and lack of supply. However, across most
other micro markets, the rental values remained
stable in the light of weak demand during the
quarter.
Office
The first quarter saw limited mall supply of
approximately 125,000 sf in Gurgaon. Due to limited
quality supply and less churn, mall rents remained
stable over the previous quarter. However, leasing
activity was buoyant across main streets mainly
driven by local retailers in the Jewellery and Food
& Beverages segments. This lead to increase in
rental values up to 10% in select markets such as
Connaught Place, South Extension and Karol Bagh.
Retail
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In the residential markets, rental values across
Delhi locations are expected to remain stable in
the short term. However, in Gurgaon they are likely
to appreciate due to limited new supply in the next
quarter. In contrast, capital values are expected to
rise for both mid and high-end properties across
prominent locations in Delhi, Gurgaon and Noida.
Approximately 43 lakh sf of new office
developments are expected to be offered for fit-
outs in the second quarter, with majority of the new
supply concentrated in Gurgaon. The rents across
the city are likely to remain stable with moderate
appreciation expected in Central Business Districts
and Gurgaon.
New mall supply admeasuring 34 lakh sf isexpected to be completed during the year 2012,
which depicts a 50% increase in supply compared
to last year. Therefore, mall rents are likely to be
under pressure in select locations such as West
Delhi and Noida where majority of the supply is
planned.
Outlook
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PuneMarket Overview
The capital values and rents remained stable across
most micro markets in Pune during the first quarter of
2012 except for Aundh and Koregaon Park. The city saw
a healthy infusion of new residential launches in the first
quarter of 2012. Locations like Somatne and Wagholi
saw the maximum number of new residential launches in
affordable housing segment. The precincts of Manjri and
Wakad saw maximum residential launches for mid and
high-end segments.
A mood of cautiousness prevailed across the
commercial real estate market of Pune in first quarter
of 2012. An uncertain global economy coupled with the
slowdown in Indian economy has resulted in a marginal
reduction in demand for commercial real estate space
across Pune.
Pune saw an infusion of 5,00,000 sf of retail space in
first quarter of 2012. The mall rentals across most micro
markets in the city did not see any fluctuations in the
first quarter of 2012. Also, limited leasing activities have
led to stable rentals across the main streets of Pune.
5,0004,563
5,3805,125
4,3894,000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Premium Ready Residen t al Property Values in March'12
Price (INR/s f )-March 2012
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Trends & Updates
Ready Residential Property UpdateThe first quarter of 2012 saw the completion and
handover of highend residential projects like Lunkad
Sky Vie at Viman Nagar and Castel Royale Towers at
Baner.
The established residential micro markets of Aundh
and Kalyani Nagar recorded an appreciation of 18%
and 7.5% in capital values respectively in the high-end
segment in the first quarter of 2012 compared to the
previous. Similarly, Koregaon Park witnessed a slight
appreciation of approximately 4% at the upper end of
mid-range capital values.
Average Capital values High end (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Koregaon Park, Bundh Garden 9.6-12.7 8.5-10.7 9-13 9-13 9-13 9-13 9-13 9-13
Aundh 4.9-6.1 5-5.2 5-5.5 5-6 5-6 5-6 5-6 6-7
Kalyani Nagar 7.6-9.6 7.3-9.2 8-12 8-12 8-12 7.5-12 8-12.5 8.5-13
Wanowrie 3.4-4.5 3.3-3.6 4-5 4-5 4-5 4-5.5 4-5.5 4-5.5
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for high segment typically include units above 1500 sq. .
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Nearly 5,000 units consisting primarily of
apartments catering to all segments were launched
in the first quarter of 2012. Primarily located in the
suburban and peripheral locations of the city, these
projects were launched at pricing levels almost
similar to the pricing levels of projects launched in
the previous quarter.
New Residential Launches
Average Capital values Mid range (INR 000/Sq.ft.)
Location 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Koregaon Park, Bundh Garden 4.5-5 4.5-5.5 6-7 6-7 6-7 6-7 6-7 6-7.5
Aundh 3.5-4 3.6-4.2 4-5 4.5-5.5 4.5-5.5 4-5 4.5-5.5 4.5-5.5
Baner 3-3.8 2.9-3.6 3.5-5.5 3.8-5.5 4-5.5 4-5 4-5.5 4-5.5
Wakad 2.5-3 2.2-2.8 3.5-4 3.5-4.2 3.8-4.4 3.7-4.5 3.7-4.5 3.7-4.5Kalyani Nagar 4.5-5.5 4.5-5.5 6.5-7 6.5-7.5 6.5-7.5 6.5-7 6.5-7.5 6.5-7.5
Wanowrie 3-3.2 2.8-3.1 4-5.5 4-5.5 4-5.5 4-4.7 4-5.5 4-5.5
Source: Cushman & Wake eld Research
Note: The above values for mid segment typically include units of 1,600-2,000 sq. .
* Es mated and as per market informa on
Project Name Developer Location Number of Units* Area of Units
B.A. Vermont Bhandari Associates Wagholi 84 1BHK 675 sf2BHK 885 sf to 978 sf
Marvel Cascada Marvel Realtors Balewadi 124 2BHK 1,370 sf3BHK 1,920 sf3.5BHK 2,610 sf
Forest Trail (Phase II) Paranjape Schemes Construc-tion Limited
Bhugaon 396 2BHK 765 sf to 790 sf3BHK 965 sf to 1,245 sf
Suyog Nisarg PureHomes Suyog Development Corpora-tion Ltd Wagholi 600 1BHK 585 sf to 597 sf2BHK 810 sf to 1,015 sf
Manjri Greens Annexe B.K. Jhala & Associates Manjri 416 2BHK 795 sf to 982 sf3BHK 1,221 sf to 1,608 sf
Park Titanium (PhaseII)
Pride Purple Group Wakad 52 3BHK 1,450 sf to 1,800 sf
Sai Eshanya Manikchand- Vasudha JV Balewadi 116 2BHK 1,059 sf to 1,200 sf2.5BHK 1,321 sf
Avenair Goldfinger Infra Ventures PvtLtd.
Wakad 73 2BHK 1,102 sf to 1,128 sf3BHK 1,395 sf to 1,402 sf
Elmwoods Sukhwani Constructions Pimple Saudagar 112 2BHK 1,060 sf to 1,175 sf2.5BHK 1,400 sf to 1,475 sf3BHK 1,502 sf to 1,550 sf
Daffodil Next Sree Mangal Projects Somatne 800 1BHK 600 sf2BHK 900 sf3BHK 1,400 sf
Meadows Mystique Nagpal Group Wagholi 24 3BHK 2,393 sf to 2,683 sf
Elementa Akshar Group Wakad 1200 1.5BHK 950 sf2BHK 1,075 sf to 1,330 sf2.5BHK 1,445 sf
Florence Kolte Patil Developers Limited Margosa Heights, NIBMAnnexe
190 2BHK/3 BHK/4 BHK 1,015 sf to1,630 sf
Gini Viviana Gini Construction Pvt Ltd Balewadi 226 2BHK 1,075 sf to 1,110 sf2.5BHK 1,190 sf to 1,280 sf3BHK 1,480 sf to 1,550 sfPenthouse 2,170 sf to 2,490 sf
Lagoona Woods Sudarshan Developers Near Temghar Dam 37 3BHK 12,000 sf
Simpli-City (Phase II) B.K. Jhala & Associates Handewadi Road, Ha-dapsar 532 2BHK 820 sf to 1,110 sf
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The city saw an infusion of 5,00,000 sf of retail
space in first quarter of 2012. With the rise in number
of malls, a number of national and international brands
have opened up their outlets in Pune. Some of the new
retailers who have opened up their stores in the firstquarter of 2012 include The Collective, LOccitane,
Adolfo Dominique, Kitsch, Sukho Thai and Riva Lounge
among others. Retailers have been in a better position
to negotiate with the landlords/developers due to high
supply infusion. Limited leasing activities across the
main streets of Pune have led to stable rental valuesin the first quarter of 2012.
Approximately 55% Punes office space supply
was in Special Economic Zones (SEZs) during Q1 2012.
During the same period, the city recorded absorption
of just over 7,00,000 sf. Absorption was highest
in SEZs which accounted for 47% followed by the
Software Technology Parks (STPs) and commercial
non-IT office buildings, absorbing 38% and 15% of
the office space respectively. Rentals across the city
have been stable compared to the last quarter except
for minor appreciation noted at approximately 3% in
micro markets of Kharadi, Hadapsar and Hinjewadi.
Retail
Office
Owing to a slew of residential projects in
pipeline, the capital values in new developments
are not likely to see any fluctuations in Pune. The
demand from employees working in IT/ITeS sector
is likely to keep the rental values high across micromarkets located closest to offices catering to the
sector viz., Baner, Aundh, Kharadi and Hadapsar.
The city is likely to see an infusion of
approximately 20 lakh sf of commercial space in
the second quarter of 2012. With this infusion, the
rental values are likely to remain stable across
most micro markets in Pune.
The city is likely to witness an additional supply
of 7,00,000 sf of retail space in the second quarter
of 2012 in the micro market of Hadapsar. The mainstreets of Pune like J.M. Road, F.C. Road and M.G.
Road may witness some rental appreciation, due to
lack of availability of quality space and continued
enquiries from international brands looking to
establish their presence in these micro markets.
Outlook
A slew of residential projects catering to the mid
and high-end segments in suburban and peripheral
like NIBM Road and Wakad are in advanced stages
of construction. The micro markets of Hadapsar andLulla Nagar has seen the completion of residential
projects catering to the affordable segment.
Construction activities have been noticed across
the upcoming residential locations of Talegaon,
Hinjewadi, Pimpale Saudagar, Wakad and Ravet.
Under construction Residential Property Update
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GENERAL DISCLOSURE
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