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Page 1: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

China’sInvestmentAbroad

Page 2: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Mo4va4onsforFDIAbroad

•  PersistentCurrentAccountSurpluses•  MaturityofLeadingChineseEnterprises•  StrategicBusinessConsidera;ons–GlobalSupplyChainandcompe;;veConsidera;ons

•  ValueChainUpgrade•  StrategicResourceRequirements•  EnhancementofInnova;onCapacity

217-01-12

Page 3: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:DanielRosen&ThiloHanwmann,ChinaDirectInvestmentinCalifornia,AsiaSociety,2012,p.48

ChinaintheGlobalEconomy:ShareofGlobalTotal

17-01-12 3

Page 4: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

hVp://economists-pick-research.hktdc.com/business-news/ar;cle/Research-Ar;cles/China-Takes-Global-Number-Two-Outward-FDI-Slot-Hong-Kong-Remains-the-Preferred-Service-Pla]orm/rp/en/1/1X000000/1X0A804W.htm

Page 5: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:LihuanZhou,“China’sOverseasInvestments,Explainedin10Graphics,WorldResourcesIns;tute,January28,2015

ChinaasthemostImportantemergingeconomyinvestor

Page 6: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.3

Page 7: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:AliciaGarcia-Herreroet.al.,Chinaoutboundforeigndirectinvestment:Howmuchgoeswherea<er

round-trippingandoffshoring,BBVAWorkingPaper,June2015.

HowChinahasInvested:2013

Page 8: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.12

Top10Des4na4onsofChina’sFDI(USDmillion),2009-13

Page 9: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:hVp://economists-pick-research.hktdc.com/business-news/ar;cle/Research-Ar;cles/China-Takes-Global-Number-Two-Outward-FDI-Slot-Hong-Kong-Remains-the-Preferred-Service-Pla]orm/rp/en/1/1X000000/1X0A804W.htm

Page 10: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

hVp://economists-pick-research.hktdc.com/business-news/ar;cle/Research-Ar;cles/China-Takes-Global-Number-Two-Outward-FDI-Slot-Hong-Kong-Remains-the-Preferred-Service-Pla]orm/rp/en/1/1X000000/1X0A804W.htm

Page 11: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.2

InboundandOutboundForeignDirectInvestmentinChina,2003-2015(USDbillion)

Page 12: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:AliciaGarcia-Herreroet.al.,Chinaoutboundforeigndirectinvestment:Howmuchgoeswherea<erround-trippingandoffshoring,BBVAWorkingPaper,June2015.

ChinaasaNetCreditortotheWorld

Page 13: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

SlowTransi;onAwayfromSOEs

Source:ChinaBusinessInsight,TUSAID,February2013,p.4

17-01-12 13

Page 14: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.17

RisingImportanceofPrivateEnterprisesinChina’sFDI

Page 15: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:LihuanZhou,“China’sOverseasInvestments,Explainedin10Graphics,WorldResourcesIns;tute,January28,2015

Page 16: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:LihuanZhou,“China’sOverseasInvestments,Explainedin10Graphics,WorldResourcesIns;tute,January28,2015

STOCKOfFDI:ResultofFDIflowsover4me

Page 17: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:ChinaBusinessInsight,TUSAID,February2013,p.917-01-12 17

Page 18: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

China-CanadaBilateralDirectInvestment

17-01-12 18

Page 19: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Energy74%

Mining23%

Finance0%

Greenenergy2%

Misc.1%

Other3%

Distribu4onofChineseFDIbySector(2005-2012)

Source:Companies’newsreleases

Sectoraldistribu4onofChineseinvestmentinCanada

17-01-12 19

Page 20: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

WhathasChinaInvestedin?

Page 21: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:ChinaBusinessInsight,TUSAID,February2013,p.8

M&Adealshavehighunitvalue

17-01-12 21

Page 22: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:DanielRosen&ThiloHanwmann,ChinaDirectInvestmentinCalifornia,AsiaSociety,2012,p.18

ChineseFDIintheUS,200-2001(MillionsofUS$&numberofDeals)

17-01-12 22

Page 23: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:DanielRosen&ThiloHanwmann,ChinaDirectInvestmentinCalifornia,AsiaSociety,2012,p.44

ChineseFDIbyEntryMode,CaliforniaVs.US,2000-1011

Averageinvestment$2.3million

AverageInvestment$23million

17-01-12 23

Page 24: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:DanielRosen&ThiloHanwmann,ChinaDirectInvestmentinCalifornia,AsiaSociety,2012,p.45

AverageSizeofChineseInvestments,CaliforniaVs.US,2000-2011

Mostlysmallopera4ons&startupsInICTfields

17-01-12 24

Page 25: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:DanielRosen&ThiloHanwmann,ChinaDirectInvestmentinCalifornia,AsiaSociety,2012,p.43

ChineseFDIintheUSbyFirmOwnership,2000-2011

17-01-12 25

Page 26: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:JohnLarum&JingminQian,ALongMarch:TheAustralia-ChinaInvestmentRela;onship,AustraliaChinaBusinessCouncil,Oct2012,p.7

China’sOverseasFDITransac4onSuccessRate

17-01-1226

AdifferenttrendinCanada??

Page 27: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

ReturnsofChineseFDI:AustraliaasaCaseStudy

Returnshavebecomeanimportantcriterion

Source:JohnLarum&JingminQian,ALongMarch:TheAustralia-ChinaInvestmentRela;onship,AustraliaChinaBusinessCouncil,Oct2012,p.9

17-01-12 27

Page 28: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.18

MainRiskFactors&ChallengesinChina’sFDIFlows

Page 29: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

17-01-12 29Source:Accenture,GrowthJourneys:HelpingAsianCompaniesRealizetheValueofTheirInterna;onalExpansionStrategies,2013,p.14

ExternalChallengesFacedbyAsianCountriesinInterna4onalExpansion

KeyconcernsforChinaFDIOverseas

regulatory,businessandculturalenvironments

Page 30: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

TrendtowardDiversifica4on

Page 31: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.6

FromEnergytoDiversifica4on

Page 32: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.14

TrendtowardDiversifica4on:TheCaseofChina’sFDIintheUS

Page 33: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:JohnLarum&JingminQian,ALongMarch:TheAustrali-ChinaInvestmentRela;onship,AustraliaChinaBusinessCouncil,Oct2012,p.9

ChineseOverseasFDIinAustraliaandOtherCountriesbySectorJan2005-2012,ForInvestmentoverUS$US

IstheAustraliaExperienceaguideforCanada?

17-01-12 33

Page 34: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Source:LihuanZhou,“China’sOverseasInvestments,Explainedin10Graphics,WorldResourcesIns;tute,January28,2015

Datafrom2013

Page 35: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.10

China’sForeignM&ADeals:EnergyandMining

Page 36: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.19

NumberofChineseM&AinEuropebySectorin2014(2013)

Page 37: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.7

China’sForeignM&ADeals:Technologies,Media&Telecommunica4ons

Page 38: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.11

China’sForeignM&ADeals:RealEstate,HospitalityandConstruc4on

Page 39: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.7

China’sOverseasM&ADeals:AgricultureandFood

Page 40: China’s Investment Abroad · Inbound and Outbound Foreign Direct Investment in China, 2003-2015 (USD billion) Diagram source: Alicia Garcia-Herrero et.al., China outbound foreign

Diagramsource:EY,Ridingthesilkroad:Chinaseesoutboundinvestmentboom,March2015,p.5

OneBeltOneRoad:InvestmentOpportuni4es