Childcare Sufficiency

Assessment of

Derby City's

Early Years 0 – 5

Childcare

Autumn Term 2020

Contents

Executive summary

1. Introduction and aims of this childcare sufficiency assessment

2. Local authorities Covid-19 response

3. Parental demand

4. Supply data

5. Funded places data

6. Childcare providers Covid-19 impact response

7. Gaps Analysis

8. Methodology

9. Contact details

Appendix 1

Table 1: Map of city showing wards

Appendix 2 - supply data of 0 to 5 years old places Table 1: 0 to 5 year old places by provider type and ward Table 2: Childcare Quality by Ofsted outcomes Table 3: Funded 2 year old eligibility, take up and places Table 4: Funded 3 and 4 year old places and universal take up Table 5: Funded 3 and 4 year old places and extended place take up Table 6: Population data

Executive summary

The Council has a statutory duty to report annually on how the local authority is meeting its duty to secure sufficient childcare and to make an assessment report publicly available.

This 0 - 5 year old Childcare Sufficiency Assessment (CSA) is a strategic tool; it is available to a range of stakeholders and incorporates key local intelligence, demographic and supply data. It can be used to support new and existing childcare providers to make business decisions that will impact on the supply of childcare in the City and the strategic planning of the Council's childcare sufficiency priorities.

The Council has mapped the current supply of childcare and identified current pressure points linked to the sufficiency of early year’s provision for 0 to 5 years olds. All wards offer a choice of childcare options to parents; however, some wards do not offer all types of childcare provision.

Nationally there have been reports of childcare providers closing as a result of the changing economy and the Covid-19 pandemic, in Derby no group providers, to date, have permanently closed and the drop in childminder numbers are within the normal ‘churn’ of providers in this sector.

Both the parental and provider survey confirm that families are using less paid for and funded hours of childcare due to the Covid-19 pandemic. There is no single reason identified for this but both surveys indicate that changing work patterns, furloughed staff and the risk of infection are key to parents’ decision regarding their use of childcare.

Each year there has been a decrease in the number of registered childminders in the city:

Year Number of registered childminders % Reduction

2016 203

2017 197 -3%

2018 182 -8%

2019 149 -18%

2020 137 -8

This represents a 32.5% reduction in childminders which reduces choice to parents and the number of places available in home based childcare provision.

In the parental survey, parents stated that the biggest barrier to them accessing or using more childcare is cost. Average costs data indicates that childcare is most expensive in Abbey (£4.93) and least expensive in Sinfin (£3.90).

There may be a shortfall of 0 to 5 year old childcare places in some ward within the City, Normanton, Mackworth and Allestree have the highest child to place ratios. However as not all families choose or need to use childcare in their pre-school years and some families will use informal childcare such as extended family members. It is also the

case, for some families, that they choose to use childcare in other parts of the city on route to or close to where they work or attend education / training.

Across the City there are possibly 328 surplus funded places for 2

years olds a slight increase of surplus places on 2019. Yet in Normanton and Chaddesden where the child to place ratios is highest there may not be sufficient places. Normanton, Arboretum and Chaddesden have the lowest percentage of 2 year old take up.

Across the City there are 1586 surplus funded places for 3 and 4 years olds. However, there may be insufficient places in Normanton, Allestree and Sinfin where the child to place ratios is highest.

Ofsted has judged that 78% of childcare providers in the City are delivering ‘Good’ or ‘Outstanding’ childcare whilst 15% are awaiting their first Ofsted inspection. Nevertheless, it should be noted that Ofsted has not undertaken any inspections since the start of the lockdown in March 2020.

What happens next

The Council’s Childcare and Family Information Team (CFIT) will ensure that the 0 to 5 year old CSA is produced annually and made available to elected members, parents and childcare providers as directed by Statutory Guidance.

CFIT will use the 0 to 5 years old CSA 2020 as a key strategic planning tool and work with all childcare providers to look at possible sufficiency gaps; and support the creation of new places where demand and long term sustainability can be evidenced.

FIS will work on increasing the numbers of childminders in the city and will continue to offer New Provider Briefings and support childminders to become Ofsted registered.

CFIT will closely monitor, through termly provider contact, local demand, supply and availability of all childcare places so that the full impact of the Covid-19 pandemic can be assessed and childcare providers medium and long term sustainability can be reviewed and where possible supported through active business support and guidance. CFIT will focus on Normanton, Mackworth and Allestree where the highest 0 to 5 children per place ratios are recorded and investigate further, working with local providers to assess the sufficiency of places verses possible demand. Whilst gaining a further understanding on the effects of childcare migration in the City.

CFIT will focus on Normanton and Chaddesden where the child to place ratios is highest for 2 year old funded places and will also aim to raise awareness of and subsequent take up of funded places in Normanton, Arboretum and Chaddesden. However, it should be noted that without place creation there may not be sufficient places to increase take up particularly in Normanton and Chaddesden where there already appears to be a pressure on places.

CFIT will focus on Normanton, Allestree and Sinfin where the child to place ratios is highest for funded 3 and 4 year old places and work to identify local demand as well as investigate further the impact of migration to neighbouring wards to assess if any market management actions are needed. The planned work to focus on place development in Normanton and Arboretum will be resumed post pandemic when the impact of the pandemic can be assessed further regarding take up and place availability.

CFIT will also work with providers across the city who have seen a decrease in the take up of funded places to raise awareness and increase parents’ confidence to use childcare whilst considering Covid-19 safety concerns. FIS will continue to collate childcare providers’ availability and child attendance data in line with the DfE data requirements. This data will be used locally to monitor availability and providers’ medium to long term business sustainability. CFIT will prioritise support given to providers who indicate their ongoing sustainability is not secure. With cost being stated as a major barrier to accessing childcare, CFIT will work with all providers to encourage them to register and accept Tax Free Childcare payments. Providers will also be encouraged to promote Tax Free Childcare to parents by including information in their welcome packs and on their websites. FIS will continue to deliver an active social media campaign to raise awareness of all childcare funding support options. Minimal information was secured from the parental survey about how the childcare needs of children with SEND are being met within the city. Therefore, further investigation will be undertaken to assess the sufficiency of suitable childcare and the availability/allocation of additional funding to support all childcare providers meet children’s individual needs. CFIT will work with the STePS team to identify providers delivering inclusive places and contact targeted parent groups to understand further any barriers to access they may have experienced.

CFIT will work with the Council’s Regeneration Team and Derby’s Recovery Task Force to identify common actions that link with their agendas and supporting the City to have the flexible and affordable childcare market that it needs.

1. Introduction 1.1 The Childcare Act 2006 Part 1 sections 6 - 11 covers the duties on local

government in England so far as is reasonably practical to:

• Secure sufficient childcare for working parents and those undertaking training or education, with the intention of returning to work and to assess supply, taking action to fill any gaps in provision, including choices for parent/carers.

• consider ways that they can work with childcare providers to improve the affordability of childcare.

• have regard to the provision of childcare which is suitable for disabled children. 1.2 A strong childcare market is critical to the success and regeneration of Derby's local

economy by improving outcomes for young children and for parents to go out to work, education or training. This Childcare Sufficiency Assessment (CSA) 2020 will focus on the sufficiency of early year’s childcare for 0 to 5 year olds across the City and will identify possible sufficiency pressure points. Early year’s childcare plays a crucial role in the lives of many families, supporting parent/carers back into work, education or training.

1.3 Local Authorities are accountable for ‘managing the childcare market and have a

statutory duty to ensure that there are sufficient childcare places for 0 to 5 year olds. To do this the Council has to adopt the role of ‘market facilitator’ and respond to changes in the supply and demand. The Council also has a responsibility to support all childcare providers and consider the changing demand for childcare places, the creation of additional childcare places as well as encouraging providers to delivery modules flexibly to meet parents’ needs. The constantly changing level, nature and quality of childcare in the City means it is often a difficult market to predict in terms of gaps, over-provision and how well this matches families' needs; provision can look very different within a short period of time, this is particularly relevant in this CSA as we start to assess the short, medium and long term impact Covid-19 has had on the childcare market and ever changing need for childcare.

1.4 The Council’s expectation is that existing and prospective childcare providers

undertake their own market research to fully understand local childcare needs and reference the indicative information set out within in this CSA.

2. Aims of this 0 – 5 Early Years Childcare Sufficiency Assessment (CSA) 2.1 To robustly map the supply of childcare for the 0 – 5 early years provision in the

City. 2.2 To robustly map the supply of funded 2, 3 and 4 year old places and match this data

against take up figures using Department of Works and Pensions (DWP) and population data.

2.3 To link with the Derby Economic Recovery Task Force, a partnership of public and

private sector organisations, including Derby City Council, the University of Derby, Marketing Derby, D2N2, East Midlands Chamber and representatives of a number of the city’s businesses to ensure parents are able to take up childcare places as they return to work or studying.

2.3 To use demographic data and a parental survey to assess possible changes in

demand for childcare due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the resulting recession.

2.4 To identify any possible gaps in the supply of childcare. 2.5 To fulfil the Council's market facilitator role by raising awareness of the current

childcare market for 0 – 5 year olds with new and existing childcare providers. 2.6 To meet the Council's statutory duty on the sufficiency of 0 – 5 year olds childcare

to identify and undertake any actions needed to minimise risk in relation to lack of childcare places for parents.

3 Local Authorities Covid-19 response

3.1 Since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, the childcare sector has delivered a critical frontline service enabling key workers to remain in work and offered quality childcare to vulnerable children. Government and DfE guidance have informed much of what providers need to consider, to deliver a safe service.

On the 23 March 2020, the government introduced a ‘Stay at Home’ order; this meant that only vulnerable children and children of key workers could attend childcare. A significant number of childcare providers closed at this point for a number of reasons, including but not limited to:

➢ Insufficient staff available due to Covid-19 infection or self-isolation or the need to shield.

➢ Insufficient child attendance numbers to viably remain open. ➢ No access to their registered premises where these were in a shared venue

for example, community buildings or village halls. Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, the Council’s Family Information Service (FIS) has and continues to robustly monitored childcare availability.

Time period Open providers

Vulnerable children attending

Children of key workers attending

Total Children attending

April - Summer term

38 64 144 208

June – Summer term

77 123 696 819

December – Autumn term

239 all children now entitled to attend

5618

3.2 The Local Authority has been pivotal in cascading information and support to

childcare providers, this section outlines some of the key information and support that the Childcare and Families Information Service in partnership with the Quality team has delivered:

• Facilitated daily newsletter collating guidance and DfE updates.

• Increased the start of Autumn term headcount payment from 70% to 85% to support providers’ cash flow.

• Ensured, Autumn 2020 payments for funded childcare places where based on Autumn 2019 take up figures in line with DfE guidance.

• Developed and delivered a targeted grant for providers to claim back the cost of their Personal Protective Equipment (PPE).

• Sort and gained agreement, from the Regeneration Team, for childcare providers to access all possible business support grants such as the Covid-19 Small Business Discretionary Grant and the Local Restrictions and

Additional Restrictions Grant - with in excess of £325k being awarded to the childcare sector.

• Directed providers to government business loans such as the Bounce Back Business loans.

• Worked in partnership with the Council’s Business Rates team to support and ensure all eligible childcare providers accessed the Covid Business Rates relief initiative – with in excess of £458k being awarded to the childcare sector.

• Organised a range of training events for providers that looked at business sustainability, Covid recovery and providers use of social media to promote their service.

• Set up and facilitated a Covid-19 Early Years Sector Action Group to look at sustainability concerns, staff retention, common support needs and provide a transparent voice for the Early Years sector to the Council.

• Offered and delivered one to one business support where providers had concerns about their on-going business sustainability.

• Delivered DfE mandatory data request by collecting provider availability and child attendance data weekly to return to the DfE.

• Facilitated a busy social media campaign for parents, raising awareness of funded places, things to do during lockdown that support children’s learning and development and where to find support. Derby’s Families Information Service was so successful with their Facebook campaign that engagement rocketed, and they were nominated and won the inaugural NAFIS Best Use of Social Media award.

• Developed a Covid-19 safe childcare leaflet for providers to use with parents who are concerned about the risk of Covid-19 in a childcare setting.

• Developed and published an on-line childcare directory listing providers who were open during the Covid-19 lockdown.

4 Childcare providers Covid-19 impact response 4.1 As part of the Childcare Providers Survey, undertaken in October 2020, providers

were asked a series of questions about the impact that Covid-19 has had and is continuing to have on their business sustainability. In total 112 group childcare providers (91%) and 83 childminders (61%) responded to the survey.

Childminders impact summary:

4.2.1 6% of childminders that responded stated that they had increased their opening times, whereas 22.9% stated that they had decreased their opening times.

4.2.2 1.2% responded that they had increased the number of days that they open for, whereas 10.8% stated that they have decreased the number of days they open for.

4.2.3 28.9% confirmed that they had decreased the number of children that they care for. 4.2.4 12% stated that they had decreased the number of staff they employ to deliver their

childminding service.

4.2.5 Group providers impact summary: 4.2.6 6.3% of group providers that responded stated that they had increased their

opening times, whereas 6.3% confirmed that they had decreased their opening times.

4.2.7 0.9% responded that they had increased the number of days that they are open for, whereas 1.8% stated that they had decreased the number of days that they open for.

4.2.8 0.9% stated that they had increased the number of children that they care for; whilst 8% confirmed that they had decreased the number of children that they care for.

4.2.9 4.5% of group providers responded that they had increased the number of staff that they have, whereas 11.6% stated that they had reduced the number of staff that they employ.

4.2.10 Of the 195 providers’ surveys submitted: 4.2.11 28% mentioned that the main effect of Covid-19 was the subsequent reduction in

their occupancy levels and the impact this will have on their business going forwards.

4.2.12 23% of providers informed us that they are concerned about their sustainability in the next 3 months.

4.2.13 14% were concerned about the effects that any future enforced lockdowns or closures due to isolating would have on their business.

4.2.14 7% informed us that the increase in costs due to Covid-19 safety precautions was a concern.

4.2.15 6% have been having difficulty in maintaining their staffing levels. 4.2.16 The most common concerns that parents have expressed to providers: 4.2.17 13% of providers reported their parents were reluctant for their children to return

over fears of catching Covid-19. 4.2.18 3.6% have had parents express concerns over the cost of childcare as they are

facing financial issues due to Covid-19

5. Parental Demand

5.1 This section presents a picture of the potential scale of childcare insufficiency across the city, by applying the data collected from the survey undertaken with parents/carers during November 2020, to the overall number of families in the City. It gives an indicative figure only of the scale of potential challenges.

5.1.1 The survey was available on-line during October and November 2020, it was

promoted via our Facebook site, FIS web pages, via childcare providers and key partners such as Children Centres. The survey was completed by 239 families and responses were received from all wards in the City: Mackworth (17%), Allestree (12%), Alvaston (11%) and Derwent (9%) had the highest number of returned surveys whilst Arboretum (2%), Blagreaves (2%) Sinfin (2%), Spondon (2%) and Normanton (1%), had the lowest response rate.

5.1.2 The parent survey captured information on the childcare needs of children aged between 0 and 4 years old. The largest number of childcare needs were captured for 128 children in the 3 to 4 age group (45%) whilst the lowest number was captured for 2 year olds at 61 children (22%). 94 of the children were under 2 (33%).

5.1.3 Some communities may be underrepresented by the results of the survey. Derby’s

wards with the highest proportion of BME residents, Normanton (67.4%), Sinfin (34%), Arboretum (66.8%) Blagreaves (36.1%) had the lowest proportion of survey returns. Therefore, it may be that any possible cultural differences in approaches to early year’s childcare are not accurately reflected in this report.

5.2 What parents told us 5.2.1 Overall parents were very satisfied with their childcare arrangements. 92% of

families were either Very Satisfied (65%) or Satisfied with their childcare arrangements.

5.2.2 92% of families were satisfied or very satisfied with the quality of their childcare (over 2 thirds were very satisfied).

5.2.3 Cost continues to be the main barrier facing families, with 5% of all families surveyed not being able to use childcare due to either cost or lack of financial support. 65% of families facing barriers to using childcare stated that cost was their main barrier.

5.2.4 The parental survey indicates that Covid-19 has had a significant impact on the demand for childcare. Concerns about Covid-19 have been a barrier to 31% of families using childcare. One quarter of families’ childcare needs have changed due to Covid-19.

5.2.5 There may be a decrease in the number of paid for 2 year olds in childcare, as the survey indicated a reduction in the use of nurseries and childminders for 2 year olds, with an increase of the use of family and friends, whilst take up of funded 2 year old places remains steady at 70.4%.

5.2.6 There appears to be a shift in working patterns for families in Derby, likely due to the ongoing economic effects of Covid-19. More families are facing unemployment than in 2019 and there has been a significant rise in home working.

5.3 Use of Childcare: 5.3.1 Under 2

41% of families told us they have used a day nursery, down from 62% in 2019 56% of families told us that they have used a family member, up from 52% in 2019 26% of families used a childminder, similar to 24% of families in 2019 14% had used friends, up from 4% in 2019

5.3.2 Aged 2 47% of families used a family member, up from 42% in 2019 58% of families used a day nursery, down from 74% in 2019 14% used a childminder, down from 23% in 2019 Friends (12%) is up 5% from 2019 and School Nursery (11%) is up 8%

5.3.3 3-4 Year olds 51% of families used day nurseries, in line with the 50% from 2019 36% of families used pre-school/playgroup, as opposed to 42% in 2019 36% used a family member, similar to the 34% reported in 2019 34% of families reported using a school nursery, up from 25% in 2019 19% used childminders down from 23% in 2019

5.4 Barriers to accessing childcare: 5.4.1 From families that indicated they had faced barriers in using childcare, two thirds of

families (65%) reported that they had been stopped from using the childcare that they need because it is too expensive.

5.4.2 One third of families (31%) reported that worry about Covid-19 and their children mixing with other children was a barrier for them.

5.4.3 Over a quarter (27%) mentioned that childcare was not available at times that they needed it, which may be affected by the fact that 38% of parents work irregular hours.

5.4.4 Only 4% of families indicated that they weren't satisfied with their childcare arrangements.

5.4.5 One in six (17%) of families indicated that they weren't satisfied with the cost of their childcare arrangements.

5.4.6 92% of families indicated that they were satisfied or very satisfied with the quality of their childcare arrangements. 3% were dissatisfied.

5.5 Location of childcare:

Being closest to home was the most important factor in childcare locations according to 9 out of 10 families (88%), up from 79% in 2019. The shift may be explained by an increase in families working from home. 3 out of 10 families indicated that being close to work was important.

5.5.1 Why families use childcare 72% of families indicated that one of the main reasons for using childcare was their child’s learning and development, up from 52% in 2019. 71% indicated it was because they work, down from 87% in 2019. This could be explained by an increase in working from home or a rise in unemployment due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

5.5.2 Barriers to using childcare Of families that have not used childcare in the last 12 months, 50% say that they choose to look after their children themselves. 50% of families reported that childcare is too expensive. 43% gave a reason that they don’t receive financial support for childcare whilst 1 in 5 families that didn’t use childcare indicated that they would worry about leaving their children in the care of people they don’t know. 3 families informed us that they could not find suitable childcare.

5.6 Availability of childcare

77% of families agreed or strongly agreed that they have found it easy to get the type of childcare they want in their local area (71% 2019). 11% disagreed. 40% of families agreed that there should be more childcare in their local area.

One in 8 families (12%) disagreed that childcare is available at the times of day that they need it.

6% disagree that they can get childcare during the weeks that they need it.

1 in 5 (19%) of families agree that they would change their childcare if they had any other choice.

5.7 Funded early years places

92% of families indicated that they use their funded hours for eligible 2 year olds. Of these families, 96% used 11-15 hours per week. 30% of families indicated that they pay for additional hours. Two thirds of these families use their extra hours during term time, whilst one third spread them across the year. 44% of families that don’t currently use additional hours would like to, but 8 out of 10 families that would like additional hours say they can’t because of the costs.

Of the families with a 3 or 4 year old child, 86% indicated that they use the funded 15 hours funded entitlement. 95% of these families use 11-15 hours, with the remainder using 6-10 hours per week. Three quarters (76%) of families use their hours during term time with one quarter (24%) choosing to spread the hours across the year.

5.8 Additional Hours

1 in 5 families indicated that they need more childcare in addition to what they are already using. 39% of families pay for extra hours in addition to the funded 15 hours early education entitlement, down from 54% in 2019. 1 in 5 families (21%) purchase additional weeks. Of the families that indicated the number of extra hours they paid for; the average was 13 hours per week. Around three quarters of families (74%) used the additional hours that they purchased spread across the year, one quarter (26%) of families only used extra hours during term time. Under a third of families (30%) that don’t currently buy extra hours would like to, down from (54%) in 2019 Cost is the biggest factor preventing families purchasing extra hours, two thirds of families (68%) indicating that this stops them from purchasing extra hours.

5.9 Extended entitlement 3 and 4 year olds 94% of families indicated that they know of the extended entitlement of funded childcare for working parents, up from 90% in 2019. 59% of families indicated that they are eligible for the extended entitlement, down from 65% in 2019. Of those families that are eligible, over two thirds (85%) use some or all of the extended entitlement. 9 out of 10 families (91%) use the extended entitlement at the same provider they use for the 15 hours funded early years entitlement.

5.10 Covid-19 Only 2% of families were dissatisfied with the safety precautions their childcare provider had taken considering Covid-19. 89% of families were satisfied or very satisfied. Only 4% of families indicated that they did not feel safe and comfortable with their children returning to their childcare setting. 1 in 4 families said their childcare needs have changed since the Covid-19 pandemic began.

Of these families over a third (35%) required more hours, a quarter (26%) required less hours and 1 in 6 (17%) changed the times that they needed childcare. 2 thirds of families (66%) have been notified by their childcare providers of changes to their service.

One third of families (31%) have been stopped from using the childcare that they need due to worry about Covid-19 and their children mixing with other children.

5.11 Parent employment and training

The survey indicates a rise in unemployment for both the primary carers and their partners and consequently a fall in working hours for families compared to the parental survey completed in 2019. The November 2020 Survey shows 18% of respondents and 5% of respondent’s partners are unemployed. This is a rise from 6.8% of respondents and 1% of respondents’ partners in 2019. This rise in unemployment could largely be attributed to the financial issues and uncertainty raised by the Covid-19 pandemic.

There is also an overall fall in 30 hours plus and 16-29 hours for both the respondents and their partners compared to the 2019 survey. The effects of Covid-19 may also be seen in a change in working patterns from 2019, with a rise in working from home, up to 11% from 8% of respondents in 2019, with respondents partners working from home up from 4% in 2019 to 8% in 2020.

There is a notable increase in shift work, rising from 8% in 2019 for respondents to 12% in 2020, with partners rising from 15% in the 2019 survey to 24% now.

6 Supply Data

6.1 Many parents will need to use childcare to enable them to work and/or study, however they may face difficulties in finding the right childcare for their child that offers the flexible access that they need or availability on the days that childcare is needed. The delivery of childcare differs greatly in each of the five localities across Derby and there is limited choice and provision in some parts of the City. See appendix 1 for locality and ward map of the City.

6.2 In this CSA, supply data has been established by asking childcare providers what

places they offer rather than rely on Ofsted registered numbers. Providers have confirmed that they are offering a total of 5,858 full time equivalent places for 0 to 5 year olds. There are a number of reasons that providers offer fewer places than they are registered for this could be local demand for places, staff recruitment and business modelling.

6.3 Types and numbers of childcare providers: 6.3.1 0 to 5 year old childcare is delivered by a variety of providers such as but not limited

to, childminders, day nurseries, pre-school playgroups, nursery schools and nursery units. The provision can be delivered in a variety of venues and those operating from school sites may be delivered by the school themselves or by third party childcare providers. All childcare provides include in this CSA are registered by Ofsted on the Early Years Register and or the Childcare Register.

6.3.2 Childminders can care for children from birth onwards, looking after them in their

own home and usually offer an all year-round service. 6.3.3 Day nurseries usually care for children from birth to five years between 8am and

6pm each weekday and are open all year round. Some provide care before and after school and in the school holidays for school age children.

6.3.4 Pre-school playgroups mainly care for children aged two to five years old. Some

Pre-School playgroups offer part-time places with either morning or afternoon sessions and others offer longer sessions such as 9am to 3pm. Pre-schools playgroups only run during term time.

6.3.5 Nursery School and units mainly care for children aged two to five years old. Some

offer part-time places such as either morning or afternoon sessions and others offer longer days such as 9am to 3pm. Most nurseries only run during term time.

6.3.6 For the purpose of this CSA group providers are either private, voluntary,

independent, or maintained providers that care for children on non-domestic premises.

6.3.7 For the purpose of this CSA childminders are providers that care for children on

domestic premises. 6.4 CFIT encourages providers to offer flexibility of delivery, so that parents' needs can

be met, and parents are supported back into work and or study.

6.5 Supply data by ward: Please note that for information included in this section refer to the data tables in Appendix 2. The data was compiled in December 2020 and a provider survey was undertaken in October 2020 in readiness for this CSA.

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Locality 1 Chaddesden has 213 full time equivalent (FTE) 0 to 5 year old childcare places which is the second lowest number of places by ward in the city; it has no day nurseries and only 1 pre-school playgroup but a higher than average number of nurseries (5). The ratio of eligible 2 year old to funded places is 1:9 which suggests that there are insufficient funded places and this may explain why Chaddesden has the third lowest take up rate of 53%. Derwent has 277 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places, and they have the third lowest hourly rates (£3.68) charged by childminders. It has no pre-school playgroups. The ratio of children to both 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old funded places is 0:8 and 1 respectively which suggest that there are sufficient funded places to meet local demand. Oakwood has 241 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; it has the second lowest number of nursery schools (1) and no pre-school playgroups. There are 2 day nurseries in Oakwood and 2 day nurseries that neighbour Oakwood but have Derbyshire addresses however these settings are used by Oakwood children. The ratio of children to both 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old funded places is 0:9 and 1 respectively which suggest that there are sufficient funded places to meet local demand. Spondon has 374 FTE 0 to 5 childcare places. It has the second highest number of childminders (14) who between them offer the highest number of pre-school places (72) for this provider type. It has the third lowest number of nursery places (52) in the City. There are no pre-school playgroups in Spondon. It has the second lowest 0 to 5 year old population and the second lowest 0 to 5 year old child to place ratio (1.7 children to 1 place). Locality 2 Alvaston has the second highest number of 0 to 5 childcare places at 500 FTE. It has the highest number of day nurseries (6) who between them are offering the second highest number of places (347) for this provider type. It has the lowest number of pre-school playgroup places (15). It has the second highest number of 2 year old funded places (174) and the second highest number of 3 and 4 year old funded places (761), which is reflected in both the place ratios being less than one. Boulton has 259 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; it has one day nursery and has the second lowest hour rate charged (£4.09) by this provider type in the City. Boulton has the second highest take up of funded 2 year old places at 90%. Both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places is less than one which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. Chellaston has 363 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places. Between them the 3 pre-school playgroups offer the highest number of places (92) for this provider type. Both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places is less than one which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. Sinfin has 330 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; it has one of the lowest number of childminders (3) and the lowest hour childcare cost (£3.90). Sinfin has the third highest 0 to 5yr old child population (1240) and the third highest number of eligible 2 year olds (115). Take up of 2 year old funded places is 70% and with a place ratio below one (0.9 children to one place), indicating there are sufficient funded 2 year old places available locally.

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Locality 3 Abbey has 422 FTE 0 to 5 childcare places. It has one of the highest number of day nurseries (5) which between them are offering the third highest number of places (300) for this provider type. Childminders have the highest hourly rate (£5.09) and there are no pre-school playgroups in the ward. Although the place to child ratio indicates there is one child for every funded 2 year old place the take up remains high at 85%. Arboretum has 480 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places, the third highest number by ward in the City; it has the lowest number of childminders (2) who between them are offering the lowest number of places (6). It has the highest number of nursery school / classes (7) which between them offer the highest number of places (182) for this provider type. Although Arboretum has a 0.8 children to one place ratio for 2 year old places the take up is the second lowest in the City at 54%. Normanton has 274 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; the ward has the highest ratio of children to places (6.8 children to one place). It has the highest number of eligible 2 year olds (205) and the lowest take up rate 47% which may be due to insufficient funded 2 year old places as the place to child ratio is 2.1 children for place. Locality 4 Blagreaves has 238 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places, the third lowest number of places by ward in the City; it has the third highest number of childminders (13) and the second lowest number of nurseries (1) and pre-school playgroups (1). Both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places is less than one which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. Littleover has 349 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; it has the highest number of childminders (15) delivering the second highest number of places (48) by provider type. Pre-school playgroups hourly rate is the highest (£5.00), between them the 3 pre-school playgroups offer the third highest number of places (70) for this provider type. Littleover has the third lowest population to 3 and 4 year old funded places ratio at 0.6 children to one place. Mickleover has 316 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places; between them the 3 pre-school playgroups offer the second highest number of places (77) for this provider type. It has the third highest take up of funded 2 year old places at 87% and both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places is less than one which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. Locality 5 Allestree has 170 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places which is the lowest number of places by ward in the City. It has the second lowest number of day nurseries (1) offering the second lowest number (90) of places offered by this provider type. There are no nursery schools or classes in the ward. Allestree has the lowest number of eligible children for 2 year old funding (6) and its take up rate is 117% which suggests that children from neighbouring ward travel to Allestree to access a funded 2 year old place. The ratio of children to funded 2 year old places is 0.2 children to one place which suggests these children to be comfortable accommodated. Darley has 611 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places which is the highest number of place by ward. It has the second highest number of day nurseries (5) who between them are offering the highest number of places (423) by provider type. It has 5 nurseries which includes 1 nursery attached to an independent school that also

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delivers funded places, the nurseries offer the highest number of places (179) by provider type. Darley has the lowest 0 to 5yr old child to place ratio (1child to 1 place) and both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places is less than one which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. Mackworth has 238 FTE 0 to 5 year old childcare places the second lowest number of places by ward; there are no pre-school playgroups in Mackworth. Both the ratio for funded 2 year old and 3 and 4 year old places are one or lower which suggests that there are sufficient local funded places to meet demand. However, it has the second highest child to place ratio (4.4 children per one place) for 0 to 5 year olds.

6.6 Childcare quality by Ofsted inspection outcomes – Appendix 2 Table 2. Ofsted assesses the quality of childcare being delivered by registered childcare providers in Derby. Due to the Covid-19 pandemic Ofsted has postponed all inspections and therefore inspections due since March 2020 have not been carried out by Ofsted. 74% of childcare is delivered by providers judged as ‘Good’ 4% of childcare is delivered by providers judged as ‘Outstanding’ 0.5% of childcare is delivered by providers judged as ‘Requires Improvement’ 0.5% of childcare is delivered by providers judged as ‘Inadequate’ 15% of childcare is delivered by providers pending their first Ofsted inspection.

6.6.1 It should be noted that 2 childminders in the City are registered with a childminding agency and do not receive an Ofsted inspection outcome but are monitored and inspected by the agency and that 22 childminders, 9 day nurseries and 1 pre-school playgroup are newly registered and are pending their first Ofsted inspection.

6.6.2 The majority of childminders currently hold an Ofsted inspection outcome of Good (95), 3 have been judged as Outstanding, 1 as Requires Improvement and none as Inadequate. 13 childminders had a judgement of Met and 2 of Not Met – these gradings either indicates that the childminders only provider childcare for children over 5 years old and are on Ofsted’s Childcare Register or that they are on the Early Years register but had no children present at the time of inspection.

6.6.3 The majority of day nurseries currently hold an Ofsted inspection outcome of Good (42), 5 have been judged as Outstanding, none as Requires Improvement and one as Inadequate.

6.6.4 Nearly all pre-school playgroups currently hold an Ofsted inspection outcome of Good (17) and 1 pre-school holds an Outstanding judgement.

7 Funded places for 2, 3 and 4 year olds

7.1 All 3 and 4 year olds and 2 years olds, who met an eligibility criteria, are entitled to 570 hours funded early education entitlement (FEEE), generally delivered as 15 hours a week over 38 weeks (school term time) a year. The entitlement can be taken as a stretched offer with fewer hours a week taken over more weeks in the year. Further information on 2 year old funding eligibility and how to access a funded place can be found on:

https://www.derby.gov.uk/community-and-living/childcare/funded-early-learning-2-year-olds/ Further information on 3 and 4 year old eligibility and how to access a place can be found on:

https://www.derby.gov.uk/community-and-living/childcare/funded-early-learning-3-to-4-year-olds/ 7.2 To support childcare providers who delivered funded 2, 3 and 4 year old places

during the Covid-19 pandemic Autumn 2020 headcount payment have been matched to Autumn 2019 payment, in line with guidance given by the DfE.

7.2.1 During the Spring and Summer 2021 terms, CFIT will closely monitor local demand, supply and accessibility of funded places so that the full impact of the Covid-19

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pandemic can be assessed and childcare providers medium and long term sustainability can be reviewed and where possible supported.

7.3 The City has a mix of childcare providers delivering funded places across all types of providers. There are 220 funded providers in total, made up of 101 childminders (46%), 52 day nurseries (24%), 50 nursery units/schools (23%), 19 pre-schools (9%) and 1 out of school.

7.4 2 year old funded places: 7.4.1 The Council promotes this offer as ‘Flying Start for Two Year Olds’. FIS uses the

termly data from the Department for Works and Pensions (DWP) to identify potentially eligible 2 year olds. DWP data is then used as the benchmark to assess demand for and take up of 2 year old funded places.

7.4.2 Appendix 2 Table 3 provides a breakdown by ward of eligible children and evidences 70.4% take up levels for Autumn 2020. It should be noted that take up of the 2 year old funded places was higher in Autumn 2019 (74%). Current national take up data for Autumn 2020 is not available but early indication suggest that it has dropped significantly although this is not evidenced in Derby. To address the national decline in places take up and support local authorities (LAs) the DfE has launched a national programme to be delivered by Hempsalls, supporting 20 LAs to increase the take up of 2 year old funded places.

7.4.3 Data suggests that there are 328 surplus funded places for 2 year olds in the City. However, ward place data evidences that there may be insufficient places in Normanton (2.1 children:1 place) and Chaddesden (1.9 children:1 place) where the child to place ratios is highest. It should be noted that without place creation there may not be sufficient places to increase take up in the wards of Normanton (47%), and Chaddesden (58%) where take up levels are significantly lower.

7.5 3 and 4 year old funded places: 7.5.1 CFIT assesses the demand for 3 and 4 year old funded places using population data

projections provided by the Councils Corporate Performance and Intelligence Team. Appendix 2 Table 5 details 2020 to 2025 projected population levels for children aged 0 - 4 years. Whilst there is a predicated decrease in the 0 - 4 year old population over the next five years of 857 children (5.15%), the number of 3 and 4 year olds remains relatively static with 7,059, 3 and 4 year olds in 2020 compared to 7004 in 2025.

7.5.2 In January 2020 the DfE published statistical data on Education provision: children under 5 years of age, which evidences that Derby’s take up of the funded places for 3 and 4 year olds was 95% in January 2020. Derby’s take up is higher than the national level of 93% and higher that the East Midlands level of 94%.

7.5.3 An initial overview of Autumn 2020 take up levels indicates take up levels have decreased by 7.8%. This could be linked to Covid-19 and parents’ concerns about using childcare or their employment status changing. Sinfin (22.9%), Derwent (21.1%), Abbey (20%) and Littleover (20%) have seen the highest decrease in take up.

7.5.4 However Spondon (11.7%), Alvaston (10.9%), Mickleover (7%) and Blagreaves (4.9%) all saw an increase in the take up of funded places for 3 and 4 year olds.

7.5.5 When comparing the predicted number of 3 and 4 year olds in 2020 (7058) against the number of 15 hours funded places data suggests there are 1586 surplus places for 3 and 4 year olds. However local place data evidences that there may be insufficient places in Normanton (1.9 children:1 place), Allestree (1.3 children:1 place) and Sinfin (1.1 children:1 place) where the child to place ratios is highest.

7.5.6 CFIT will focus on Normanton, Allestree and Sinfin where the child to place ratios are highest and undertake further activities to assess local demand, as well as investigate further the impact of migration to neighbouring wards. This in-depth assessment will then be used to inform any market management actions.

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7.6 Extended entitlement for 3 and 4 year olds 7.6.1 The extended entitlement for eligible three and four 4 year olds is commonly referred

to as 30 hours childcare. This was implemented by the Government from September 2017 and is aimed at reducing the cost of childcare for working families and supporting parents in to work.

7.6.2 The 3 and 4 year olds extended entitlement offers an additional 570 hours of childcare funding to eligible families, taking the entitlement to 1140 hours a year. The initial estimates provided by the DfE / HMRC in September 2017 stated that 2052 children which equates to 28.5% of all current 3 and 4 year olds would be eligible for these additional funded hours.

7.6.3 The take up of the extended entitlement has seen significant growth in the City since its introduction with 1778 children accessing it in summer 2018 and 2062 children accessing it in summer 2019. Autumn numbers are normally lower as a significate cohort of 4 year old move into reception classes, however, take up numbers have dropped to 1167 children in Autumn 2020 compare to 1277 in autumn 2019. This drop evidences a 8.6% decrease in take up against Autumn 2019 figures, which could be a response to the Covid-19 pandemic and parents changing work patterns such as increased home working, staff being furloughed or made redundant.

7.6.4 There has been significant take up differences across the City with Mickleover (38.8%), Alvaston (21.95), Boulton (11.1%), Chaddesden (7.8%), Mackworth (2.1%) and Spondon (2.1%) all seeing an increase in the number of extended entitlement places being taken.

7.6.2 Whereas Blagreaves (-50.9%), Sinfin (-45%), Mickleover (-38.8%) Littleover (-33.9%) and Derwent (-30%) have seen a sharp decrease in the take up of extended entitlement places.

8 Gaps Analysis

8.1 The gaps analysis table below summarises the source data found in appendix 2 and demonstrates the high and low pressure points by ward across the City.

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Locality Ward Chi

ldm

inde

rs

Day

nur

seri

es

Pre-

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s

Nur

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Sch

oo

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Cla

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our

Tota

l pla

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0 to

5 y

ears

old

popu

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on

pro

ject

ion

2020

Rat

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f 0

to 5

yea

r

old

chi

ldre

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pla

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2 ye

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ld 1

5hr

fund

ed

plac

es

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P 2

year

old

dat

a

% t

ake

up a

gain

st

DW

P

Rat

io o

f 2

year

old

child

ren

to p

lace

s

3 an

d 4

year

old

15

hr

fund

ed p

lace

s

3 to

4 y

ear

old

popu

tati

on

pro

ject

ion

2020

Rat

io o

f 3

and

4 ye

ar

old

chi

ldre

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pla

ces

Locality 1 Chaddesden 8 0 1 5 £4.24 213 776 3.6 32 60 58% 1.9 440 337 0.8

Derwent 4 3 0 4 £4.46 277 1061 3.8 131 106 70% 0.8 464 457 1.0

Oakwood 10 2 0 1 £4.53 241 653 2.7 34 30 87% 0.9 270 264 1.0

Spondon 14 4 0 2 £4.50 374 643 1.7 77 28 68% 0.4 507 259 0.5

Locality 1 Total 36 9 1 12 £4.43 1105 3133 2.8 274 224 71% 0.8 1681 1317 0.8

Locality 2 Alvaston 13 6 1 2 £4.55 500 1222 2.4 174 100 67% 0.6 761 547 0.7

Boulton 8 1 2 3 £4.09 259 922 3.6 108 67 90% 0.6 443 398 0.9

Chellaston 11 3 3 2 £4.25 363 896 2.5 84 44 73% 0.5 582 388 0.7

Sinfin 3 3 2 4 £3.90 330 1240 3.8 132 115 70% 0.9 495 559 1.1

Locality 2 Total 35 13 8 11 £4.20 1452 4280 2.9 498 326 75% 0.7 2281 1892 0.8

Locality 3 Abbey 6 5 0 4 £4.93 422 994 2.4 88 85 85% 1.0 566 405 0.7

Arboretum 2 6 1 7 £4.31 480 1651 3.4 242 195 54% 0.8 670 663 1.0

Normanton 5 2 0 4 £4.31 274 1861 6.8 100 205 47% 2.1 422 796 1.9

Locality 3 Total 13 13 1 15 £4.52 1176 4506 3.8 430 485 62% 1.1 1658 1864 1.1

Locality 4 Blagreaves 13 4 1 1 £4.33 238 758 3.2 84 55 64% 0.7 386 318 0.8

Littleover 15 2 3 2 £4.63 349 895 2.6 43 35 71% 0.8 581 374 0.6

Mickleover 11 2 3 3 £4.41 316 708 2.2 36 23 87% 0.6 522 298 0.6

Locality 4 Total 39 8 7 6 £4.46 903 2361 2.6 163 113 74% 0.7 1489 990 0.7

Locality 5 Allestree 6 1 2 0 £4.59 170 662 3.9 31 6 117% 0.2 237 302 1.3

Darley 3 5 0 5 £4.43 611 638 1.0 104 32 75% 0.3 880 261 0.3

Mackworth 5 3 0 3 £4.58 238 1059 4.4 101 87 82% 0.9 418 432 1.0

Locality 5 Total 14 9 2 8 £4.53 1019 2359 2.3 236 125 91% 0.5 1535 995 0.6

Grand Total 137 52 19 52 £4.43 5655 16639 2.9 1601 1273 70.4% 0.8 8644 7058 0.8

Colour code

Section 10: Gaps Analysis

Low High

Source: Families Information Service December 2020 8.2 All wards offer a choice of childcare options to parents, however Chaddesden does

not offer a day nursery, other wards do not offer pre-school playgroups (Abbey, Darley, Derwent, Mackworth, Normanton, Oakwood, Spondon) and Allestree does not offer nursery schools/classes. All wards have some childminders although numbers vary with lower provider numbers in Arboretum 2, Darley 3 and Sinfin 3.

8.3 Average costs data indicates that childcare is most expensive in Abbey (£4.93) and

least expensive in Sinfin (£3.90) 8.4 There are a total of 5655 full time equivalent childcare places in the City for the 0 to 5

age group, when this is compared with population data Normanton (6.8), Mackworth (4.4) and Allestree (3.9) have the highest child to place ratios. Data suggests that there is a short fall of places when compared to population. However, it should be noted that not all families choose or need to use childcare in the pre-school years and some families will use informal childcare such as extended family members. Therefore, further analysis would be needed to fully understand if this shortfall needs active market management.

8.5 There are a total of 1601 funded 15 hour 2 year old childcare places in the City, when

this is compared with the Department of Works and Pensions (DWP) data which identifies eligible families Normanton (2.1) and Chaddesden (1.9) have the highest child to place ratios. However, across the City, the data suggests that there are 328 surplus funded places for 2 years olds. This is particularly concerning when take up is factored in, as Normanton (47%) and Chaddesden (58) have some of the lowest take up and therefore should be wards that are targeted for take up growth. However, it should be noted that sufficient places may not be available.

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8.6 There are a total of 8,644 funded 15 hour 3 and 4 year old childcare places in the

City, made up of 6051 universal places and 2593 extended entitlement places, when this is compared with population data Normanton (1.9), Allestree (1.3) and Sinfin (1.1) have the highest child to place ratios. However across the city, the data suggests that there are at least 1586 surplus funded places for 3 and 4 years olds, considering that a number of 4 year old are accommodated in reception classes the surplus number of funded 3 and 4 year old places could be higher.

9 Methodology 9.1 The 2020 CSA has drawn on providers’ stated places delivered and historical funded

places available data, rather than Ofsted registered numbers; this has enabled FIS to benchmark real places available to the childcare market and to accurately plot this against population data. It also considers the impact Covid-19 restrictions have had on place availability, where providers have continued to work in bubbles to reduce risk to staff, children and families. The CSA has drawn on data provided by the Derby City Council’s FIS, a provider survey and a survey of parents and carers with additional desk research to inform an assessment of current supply and future need.

9.2 Desk research has been undertaken to ensure that demand for childcare takes

account of current concerns regarding the Covid-19 pandemic and future trends as parents’ working patterns change to home working or their economic circumstances change with uncertainty in and around employment opportunities.

9.2.1 Providing a context for the CSA by analysing population numbers. 9.2.2 Providing an assessment of quality based on Ofsted inspection outcomes. 9.3 An online questionnaire survey of parents and carers was published in October 2020

with the aim of exploring current use, barriers to use, changing and unmet demand for childcare. The online survey was completed by 239 parents and carers. FIS incentivised the survey with a £100 cash prize and raised awareness of the survey with webpage articles, Facebook posts, engagement with childcare providers, Children Centres, Schools, Health, Job Centre Plus, Libraries and Leisure services.

9.4 Supply data held by FIS provided details of Ofsted registered provision, including

places and vacancy data and fees charged. A provider survey was used to collect real time availability, vacancies and the impact of Covid-19 on their short, medium and long term sustainability and was collected in November 2020.

9.5 CFIT has worked with the Council's, Information Management and the Policy

Research and Engagement Teams to provide population data and local intelligence for this CSA for children aged 0 to 5 years of age.

9.6 Funded early education place sufficiency and take up has been mapped against local

Autumn term take up data and reflects the impact that Covid-19 has had on place availability and parents’ confidence to use childcare. Data on entitlement for a funded early education place for 2 year olds is provided by the Department for Work and Pensions.

9.7 Assessing childcare places is generally complex but particularly so in 2020 where the

Covid-19 pandemic has affected providers’ ability to remain open, deliver their normal childcare place numbers and have sufficient staff available to maintain ratios. The analysis is based upon a combination of gathering existing local intelligence, making future predictions and horizon scanning to drill down and give the most up to date picture of a local ward/locality.

Page 23 of 31

9.8 There are a number of significant risks factors in assessing childcare sufficiency. It

should be noted that any analysis can only be a best estimate of local sufficiency and is a snapshot in time. This is particularly relevant in 2020 where we have seen such an impact due to Covid-19. Childcare providers considering creating or extending existing provision would need to review this analysis to ensure that unmet parental demand still exists and that any new provision/expansion would be sustainable in the medium to longer term.

10 For further information please contact details:

Judith Allbutt Families Information Service Co-ordinator Families Information Service School Organisation and Provision People’s Services Directorate Derby City Council The Council House Corporation Street Derby DE1 2FS Email: judith.allbutt@derby.gov.uk Tel: 01332 6426124

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Appendix 1 Table 1: Map of city showing localities and wards

Table 1: 0 to 5 year old places by provider type and ward

Locality Ward Ch

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ers

Ch

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Ch

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cost

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Day

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Day

nu

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y:

cost

per

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ur

Pre

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up

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Pre

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up

s:

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Pre

-sch

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up

: co

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ur

Nu

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/ C

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Nu

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ho

ol /

clas

ses:

co

st p

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Tota

l pla

ces

per

war

d

Locality 1 Chaddesden 8 27 £3.41 0 n/a n/a 1 30 £5.00 5 156 £4.30 213

Derwent 4 15 £3.68 3 129 £5.25 0 n/a n/a 4 133 £4.45 277

Oakwood 10 40 £4.15 2 175 £5.05 0 n/a n/a 1 26 4.38 241

Spondon 14 72 £3.90 4 250 £4.91 0 n/a n/a 2 52 £4.69 374

Locality 1 Total 36 154 £3.79 9 554 £5.07 1 30 £5.00 12 367 £4.46 1105

Locality 2 Alvaston 13 60 £4.53 6 347 £5.28 1 15 £4.00 2 78 £4.39 500

Boulton 8 42 £4.25 1 32 £3.00 2 44 £4.35 3 141 £4.76 259

Chellaston 11 40 £4.25 3 179 £5.10 3 92 £3.28 2 52 £4.38 363

Sinfin 3 9 £3.40 3 133 £3.67 2 66 £4.17 4 122 £4.38 330

Locality 2 Total 35 151 £4.11 13 691 £4.26 8 217 £3.95 11 393 £4.48 1452

Locality 3 Abbey 6 18 £5.09 5 300 £5.31 0 n/a n/a 4 104 £4.38 422

Arboretum 2 6 £4.00 6 266 £4.08 1 26 £4.50 7 182 £4.66 480

Normanton 5 13 £3.28 2 94 £4.60 0 n/a n/a 4 167 £5.05 274

Locality 3 Total 13 37 £4.12 13 660 £4.66 1 26 £4.50 15 453 £4.70 1176

Locality 4 Blagreaves 13 42 £4.14 4 144 £4.80 1 26 £4.00 1 26 £4.38 238

Littleover 15 48 £4.20 2 189 £4.95 3 70 £5.00 2 42 £4.38 349

Mickleover 11 42 £4.28 2 119 £4.65 3 77 £4.32 3 78 £4.38 316

Locality 4 Total 39 132 £4.21 8 452 £4.80 7 173 £4.44 6 146 £4.38 903

Locality 5 Allestree 6 24 £4.63 1 90 £4.80 2 56 £4.34 n/a n/a n/a 170

Darley 3 9 £3.83 5 423 £4.85 0 n/a n/a 5 179 £4.61 611

Mackworth 5 15 £4.30 3 116 £4.65 0 n/a n/a 3 107 £4.80 238

Locality 5 Total 14 48 £4.25 9 629 £4.77 2 56 £4.34 8 286 £4.71 1019

Grand Total 137 522 £4.08 52 2986 £4.68 19 502 £4.30 52 1645 £4.52 5655

Source: Families Information Service December 2020

Page 26 of 31

Table 2: Childcare quality by Ofsted outcome

Locality Ward Chi

ldm

inde

rs

Out

stan

ding

Go

od

Req

uire

s Im

pro

vem

ent

Inad

equa

te

Met

not

met

wit

h ac

tio

ns

pend

ing

firs

t in

spec

tio

n

Day

nur

seri

es

Out

stan

ding

Go

od

Req

uire

s Im

pro

vem

ent

Inad

equa

te

pend

ing

firs

t in

spec

tio

n

Pre-

scho

ol p

layg

roup

s

Out

stan

ding

Go

od

Req

uire

s Im

pro

vem

ent

Inad

equa

te

pend

ing

firs

t in

spec

tio

n

Locality 1 Chaddesden 8 0 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Derwent 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oakwood 10 0 5 0 0 1 0 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Spondon 14 0 11 0 0 0 0 3 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Locality 1 Total 36 0 24 0 0 1 1 10 9 1 7 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1

Locality 2 Alvaston 13 0 10 0 0 1 0 2 6 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0

Boulton 8 0 7 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 0

Chellaston 11 1 7 0 0 0 1 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0

Sinfin 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0

Locality 2 Total 35 1 27 0 0 1 1 5 13 0 12 0 0 1 8 0 8 0 0 0

Locality 3 Abbey 6 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 5 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arboretum 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 6 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0

Normanton 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Locality 3 Total 13 0 6 1 0 2 0 3 13 2 11 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0

Locality 4 Blagreaves 13 1 10 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0

Littleover 15 0 9 0 0 5 0 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 2 0 0 0

Mickleover 11 0 9 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0

Locality 4 Total 39 1 28 0 0 7 0 3 8 1 6 0 1 0 7 1 6 0 0 0

Locality 5 Allestree 6 1 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0

Darley 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 6 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

Mackworth 5 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Locality 5 Total 14 1 10 0 0 2 0 1 10 1 6 0 0 3 2 0 2 0 0 0

Grand Total 137 3 95 1 0 13 2 22 53 5 42 0 1 5 19 1 17 0 0 1

2% 69% 1% 0% 10% 2% 16% 9% 79% 0% 2% 9% 5% 89% 0% 0% 5%

Table 2: Childcare quality by Ofsted outcomes

Source: Families Information Service December 2020

Percentage

Page 27 of 31

Table 3: Funded 2 year old by DWP eligibility and take up

Comparison by Ward - December 2020

Ward

2 year olds accessing a funded place

% take up against DWP

DWP List

Abbey 72 84.7 85

Allestree 7 116.7 6

Alvaston 67 67.0 100

Arboretum 106 54.4 195

Blagreaves 35 63.6 55

Boulton 60 89.6 67

Chaddesden 35 58.3 60

Chellaston 32 72.7 44

Darley 24 75.0 32

Derwent 74 69.8 106

Littleover 25 71.4 35

Mackworth 71 81.6 87

Mickleover 20 87.0 23

Normanton 96 46.8 205

Oakwood 26 86.7 30

Sinfin 80 69.6 115

Spondon 19 67.9 28

47

Grand Total 896 70.4 1273

*Note: 47 postcodes did not match to a Derby Ward

Source: Families Information Service December 2020

Page 28 of 31

Table 4: Funded 3 and 4 year old places and universal take up data

Autumn

2019 Autumn 2020

Ward

3 and 4 year

olds

accessing a

funded place

3 and 4 year

olds

accessing a

funded place

% decrease in

take up

compaired to

Autumn 2019

Abbey 223 178 -20.0%

Allestree 61 58 -4.9%

Alvaston 248 275 10.9%

Arboretum 337 305 -9.5%

Blagreaves 162 170 4.9%

Boulton 182 177 -2.7%

Chaddesden 194 189 -2.6%

Chellaston 224 201 -10.3%

Darley 333 311 -6.6%

Derwent 204 161 -21.1%

Littleover 265 212 -20.0%

Mackworth 152 150 -1.3%

Mickleover 185 198 7.0%

Normanton 279 237 -15.1%

Oakwood 105 85 -19.0%

Sinfin 231 178 -22.9%

Spondon 179 200 11.7%

Total 3564 3285 -7.8%

Source: Families Information Service December 2020

Universal Hours Entitlement Comparison by Ward

Page 29 of 31

Table 5: Funded 3 and 4 year old places and extended place take up data

Autumn 2019 Autumn 2020

Ward

3 and 4 year

olds accessing

an extended

hours place

3 and 4 year

olds accessing

an extended

hours place

% decrease

in take up

compaired to

Autumn 2019

Abbey 94 80 -14.9%

Allestree 36 35 -2.8%

Alvaston 105 128 21.9%

Arboretum 49 36 -26.5%

Blagreaves 57 28 -50.9%

Boulton 36 40 11.1%

Chaddesden 64 69 7.8%

Chellaston 112 90 -19.6%

Darley 168 156 -7.1%

Derwent 70 49 -30.0%

Littleover 112 74 -33.9%

Mackworth 47 48 2.1%

Mickleover 85 118 38.8%

Normanton 25 25 0.0%

Oakwood 61 61 0.0%

Sinfin 60 33 -45.0%

Spondon 95 97 2.1%

Total 1276 1167 -8.5%

Source: Families Information Service December 2020

Extended Entitlement Hours Comparison by Ward

Page 30 of 31

Table 6: Population data Locality 1

AgeChaddesden Derwent Oakwood Spondon

Total

2020

Total

2021

Total

2022

Total

2023

Total

2024

Total

2025

Age 0 146 191 137 131 605 589 572 557 542 526

Age 1 145 198 117 131 591 572 552 532 514 494

Age 2 148 215 135 122 620 602 586 569 552 534

Age 3 161 224 132 126 643 630 617 604 592 580

Age 4 176 233 132 133 674 670 662 655 647 640

Total 0-4 776 1,061 653 643 3,133 3,063 2,989 2,917 2,847 2,774

Locality 2

AgeAlvaston Boulton Chellaston Sinfin

Total

2020

Total

2021

Total

2022

Total

2023

Total

2024

Total

2025

Age 0 214 159 157 217 748 721 691 662 633 607

Age 1 223 174 171 223 791 768 745 720 698 675

Age 2 237 191 180 241 849 834 819 803 787 772

Age 3 274 192 183 272 921 913 905 896 889 880

Age 4 274 206 205 287 972 973 975 976 978 982

Total 0-4 1,222 922 896 1,240 4,281 4,209 4,135 4,057 3,985 3,916

Locality 3

AgeAbbey Arboretum Normanton

Total

2020

Total

2021

Total

2022

Total

2023

Total

2024

Total

2025

Age 0 208 322 314 844 827 810 792 775 759

Age 1 195 336 359 890 879 867 856 845 835

Age 2 186 329 392 908 901 894 888 880 874

Age 3 196 328 399 922 920 918 915 913 910

Age 4 209 335 397 941 947 953 959 965 971

Total 0-4 994 1,651 1,861 4,506 4,474 4,442 4,410 4,378 4,349

Locality 4

AgeBlagreaves Littleover Mickleover

Total

2020

Total

2021

Total

2022

Total

2023

Total

2024

Total

2025

Age 0 135 172 138 445 445 445 444 444 444

Age 1 150 173 130 454 452 450 449 447 446

Age 2 155 176 141 472 471 472 473 473 474

Age 3 150 189 146 485 485 485 485 484 485

Age 4 168 185 152 505 505 506 506 505 506

Total 0-4 758 895 708 2,361 2,358 2,358 2,357 2,353 2,355

Locality 5

AgeAllestree Darley Mackworth

Total

2020

Total

2021

Total

2022

Total

2023

Total

2024

Total

2025

Age 0 99 118 207 423 417 411 404 398 392

Age 1 124 130 205 459 459 457 458 456 456

Age 2 138 129 214 482 483 485 487 490 492

Age 3 144 129 226 499 506 511 516 522 528

Age 4 157 132 206 495 500 505 511 516 522

Total 0-4 662 638 1,059 2,359 2,365 2,369 2,376 2,382 2,390

Grand Total 16,640 16,469 16,293 16,117 15,945 15,784

Source: Corporate Performance and Intell igence December 2020 - using most recent data available.

This material is intended to give a flavour of future populations; it is in no way intended to be a rigid guide to what the future population structure of the city will be, as

regardless of the complexity of calculation there will always be a significant margin of error. Consequently extreme caution should be used as to this material.

Page 31 of 31

Derby City Council, Peoples Services Directorate,

1st Floor, The Council House, Corporation Street, Derby DE1 2FS

Tel: 01332 640758

www.derby.gov.uk