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Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 1 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

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Page 1: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World

Carlos H Brito Cruz

Science Director

FAPESP

120130325 scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 2: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Fapesp: São Paulo Research Foundation

• Mission: support research in all fields

• Funded by the taxpayer in the State of São Paulo with 1% of all state revenues

• All proposals are peer reviewed (26,000 proposals in 2014)

– Average time for decision – 65 days

• Expenditures 2014: $PPP 500 M

– Fellowships

• 2,500 SI, 1,800 MSc, 3,500 DrSc, 1,800 Post-docs, 800 other

– Academic R&D

• RIDC/11 yrs, Thematic/5 yrs, Young Investigator/4 yrs, Regular/2 yrs

– University-Industry Joint R&D:

• Microsoft, Agilent, Braskem, Oxiteno, SABESP, VALE, Natura, Petrobrás, Embraer, Padtec, Biolab, Cristalia, Boeing , GSK, BP, BG, PSA (Peugeot-Citröen), ... (total of 100+ companies)

• Engineering Research Centers (ERC): PSA, Natura, GSK, BG

– Small bussiness R&D: 1,200 SBE’s (two awards per week in 2014)

20130325 2scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 3: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

FAPESP’s Bioeconomy Research Programs

• BIOEN - bioenergy– Initiated 2009– 300+ Pis (52 foreign); core of fundamental resaearch– Connections to application through partnership with companies

• Oxiteno, Braskem, Dedini, ETH, BP, Microsoft Research, Boeing, Peugeot-Citroen

– Training: Joint Graduate Course USP/Unicamp/UNESP (started 2014)

• BIOTA – biodiversity– Initiated 1997– 200+ Pis

• FGCCRP – Global Climate Change– Initiated 2009– 100+ PIs

20130325 3scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 4: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Bioenergy drivers

• Energy security

• Mitigating climate change

• Regional development

20130325 4scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 5: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Energy consumptionOECD and Non-OECD

520130325

Source: International Energy Outlook 2009

Estimate for 2010

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 6: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Mitigating wedges:Carbon emissions reduction in NPS

620130325

Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2012

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Bioenergy

Wind

Solar

Biofuels

23%

15%

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WHAT DOES A REAL WORLD WEDGE POLICY LOOKS LIKE?

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 720130325

Page 8: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

1980-2013: change in energy sources in the State of São Paulo, Brazil

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 820130325

Oil and oil products

Hydroelectricity

Sugar cane

Other

Natural gas

14%

62%

32%

38%

State of São Paulo

• 42 million people

• 32% of Brazil’s GNP

• 55% of Brazilian

ethanol production

1980 – 2013

• Oil down from 62%

to 38%

• Cane up from 14%

to 32%

Source: Balanço Energético SP, 2008-2014 (values from 1980-1990 interpolated for visualization)

Page 9: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Vehicles per population

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 920130325

SÃO PAULO CITY

SÃO PAULO STATE

BRAZIL

Page 10: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

São Paulo: Land Use Change, 1970-2006

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 1020130325

Forest

Agriculture

Pasture

Source: Boddey, R.M, “GHG Emission Mitigation Though Ethanol from Sugarcane in Brazil”, Circular Técnica Embrapa 27 (04/2009)

Sugarcane x Pasture:

fixation of 0,5 Mg C/ha.yr

Page 11: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

95% of cars sold monthly are Flex-Fuel (FF

in Brazil: E10 – E100)

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 1120130325

First FF cars

launched

95%

cars sold

in Apr09

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Ethanol and Gasoline use in Brazil

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN 1220130325

Source: ANP, 2012 and author tabulations

Page 13: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Sugarcane for ethanol uses 0,6% of total area

1320130325

Area used for sugarcane for ethanol (4,8

MHa, 0,6%)

Area used for agriculture (76,7 MHa, 9%)

Rural properties area (355 MHa, 42%)

Total country area (851 MHa, 100%)

Source: Horta Nogueira e Seabra (2008)

modified for 2008 data

Small bioenergy footprint

scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Page 14: Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World ...Challenges for Large-scale Bioenergy Production in the World Carlos H Brito Cruz Science Director FAPESP 20130325 scope-20150414.pptx;

Biofuels, according to the Nuffield Council on Bioethics

1) Biofuels development should not be at the expense of people‘s essential rights (including access to sufficient food and water, health rights, work rights and land entitlements).

2) Biofuels should be environmentally sustainable.3) Biofuels should contribute to a net reduction of total greenhouse gas

emissions and not exacerbate global climate change.4) Biofuels should develop in accordance with trade principles that are fair

and recognize the rights of people to just reward (including labour rights and intellectual property rights).

5) Costs and benefits of biofuels should be distributed in an equitable way.

6) If the first five Principles are respected and if biofuels can play a crucial role in mitigating dangerous climate change then, depending on additional key considerations, there is a duty to develop such biofuels.

20130325 14scope-20150414.pptx; FAPESP BIOEN

Nuffield Council on Bioethics, “Biofuels: Ethical Issues” (http://www.nuffieldbioethics.org/biofuels-0).

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