central asia energy-water development program
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World Bank, Building energy and water security through regional cooperationTRANSCRIPT
Building energy and water security through regional cooperation
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program(CAEWDP)
January 2011
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Cooperation changes development
Major constraints to economic growth and political stability
1 Over $2 billion savings from increased energy trade, with environmental benefits in reduced greenhouse gas emissions
2 $7m/yr savings in public expenditures from a 1% increase in water pumping efficiency in one country
3 $200m/yr new revenues from energy experts to South Asia from initial phases of CASAREM project
1 600 million m3 potential water shortages (Syr Darya)
2 2 million households experiencing winter heat and power shortages
3 90% less energy traded within Central Asia since 1990
4 1% loss in GDP per year from weather-related disasters (in Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic)
Accelerated investment, enhanced environmental quality and improved livelihoods
The consequences of doing nothing Potential benefits of intervention
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
CAEWDP builds on global lessons
Successful programs:
• Work with countries to build on national aspirations and priorities
• Nurture donor coordination
• Address a package of three core issues:
1 Physical, intellectual and management hubs for regional cooperation
2 Objective analysis of the costs and benefits of cooperation to national interests
3 Investments to deliver infrastructure and strengthen livelihoods
“Regional programs offer substantial potential to achieve results on development issues… regional projects have successfully built new assets and protected existing ones in ways expected to benefit all participating countries.” (Independent Evaluation Group (2007) Evaluation of World Bank Support of Multicountry Operations )
Transboundary water management Regional energy markets
Eastern Nile River Development
Energy Community of South East Europe
Mekong River Basin; NT2 Hydropower
Senegal River Basin
West AfricaPower Pool
India Power Grid
South Asia Water Initiative
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Indus River Treaty
Eastern China Power Markets
Danube RiverBasin
Turkey PowerInterconnection
Red Sea/Dead SeaWater conveyance
Nile Equatorial Lakes River Basin
Zambezi River Basin
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Investment Preparation
Water Productivity
Diagnostics and Analysis
Energy-Water Linkages
Regional Institutions
Energy Development
CAEWDP: An integrated program
Supported by
• Global experience• International panel of advisors• Donor support
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Partnerships are critical
National Governments• Unique national interests and priorities • National technical experts
Regional Organizations• ESCC Energy Action Plan (with ADB)• EC-IFAS Third Aral Sea Basin
Management Program
Donors• Strong portfolios in energy and water;
World Bank fills a recognized gap in the energy-water nexus• Joint activities are underway; Interest
in new investment opportunities
National Governments
Regional Organizatons
Donors
World Bank
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-Water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacity Planned
Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Agricultural water expert forum Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure Planned
Program Foundations ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-Water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacityPlanned
Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure
Program Foundations ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
CASA 1000 and UAP (CASAREM)
Objective: Diversify Central Asia energy markets by connecting energy deficits in South Asia .
Activities: For CASA: Feasibility studies, Environmental and Social impact assessment; Capacity building; Specialist support for all countries. For UAP: Feasibility assessment started
Budget: $3m Timeline: 2010 - 2013
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacityPlanned
Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Complete Plan for Kyrgyz and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure
Program Support ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
Energy-water modeling Objective: Establish a common platform for analysis, accepted by and useful to all countries ; Support both collective and national dialogue on regionally significant initiatives.
Activities: National and regional workshops for model design, Model inventory and assessment, Model development and integration of existing tools ; Regional expert team supported by international colleagues.
Budget: $3m Timeline: 2011-2013
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-Water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacityPlanned
Winter energy Scoping Study Completed Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure
Program Support ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
Regional Hydrometeorology Program
Objective: Improve coordination and training between National Hydrometeorological Services of the Central Asian countries to strengthen data quality and quantity, and data sharing
Activities: Draft MOU and program of regional activities and investments (completed); Improve capacity of CA NMHSs, Improved early warnings, Systems integration, Regional system of training and professional development.
Budget: $5m Timeline: 2011- 2014
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-Water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacityPlanned
Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure
Program Foundations ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
Third Aral Sea Basin program
Objective: Support range of proposals from Central Asian country experts to improve water management
Activities: Assist in identifying strategic opportunities; Convene national experts; Fund specific initiatives focused on water productivity
Budget: $5-8m Timeline: 2011 - 2014
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
A comprehensive set of activities
Energy-Water Linkages ($12M)
Energy-Water Modeling Reg model architecture Underway Reg Model Development Planned Regional Hydrometeorology Initiated
Climate Vulnerability: Energy Underway
Dialogue Rogun dialogue Initiated Energy-water experts forum Planned
Energy Development ($9m)
Energy Infrastructure PlanningRegional Infrastructure Master Plan Diagnostic Study [ADB] Completed Complete Plan [ADB] Initiated Planning capacityPlanned
Winter energy Scoping Study Underway Plan for Kyrgyz Rep and Tajik Planned
Regional Energy Trade Trade Diagnostic Completed Recommendations from diagnosticPlanned Regional Energy Markets Assistance [USAID] Initiated
Inter-Regional Energy Trade CASA 1000/UAP/NS Transmission Underway
Energy Accountability Planned
Institutional Development ESCC Dialogue/Expert Forum Underway
Water Productivity ($12m)
Capacity Strengthening Ag Water Capacity Needs Assessment Planned Capacity Strengthening Planned Establishment of Ag Water Specialists’ Platform Planned
Infrastructure and Management Opportunities IFAS/ARAL Sea Basin Package Initiated
National Action Plans for Water Productivity Planned
Rehabilitation of Energy and Water Infrastructure
Program Foundations ($7M)
Regional institutions InitiatedExpert Panel InitiatedCoordination Underway
International Panel of Advisors
Objective: Provide independent advice and international state-of-the-art expertise
Activities: Identification and funding of experts for specific stated needs (e.g., program development, project assessment)
Budget: $4m Timeline: Program life
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
World Bank Energy-Water Portfolio in Central Asia
Country Examples of Recent Projects Amount ($M) Status
KGZ Emergency support 4 Approved
TAJ Emergency winter shortage support 15 Approved
UZB Energy Efficiency Fund for Industrial Enterprises
25 Approved
KGZ Emergency recovery project (covering budget and energy sector)
70 Submitted to Board
KAZ Alma Transmission Project 78 Under process
KAZ Syr Darya Control & Northern Aral Sea Phase II Project
165 Under process
UZB Ferghana Valley Water Resources Management Phase-I Project
65 Approved
KGZ Second On-farm Irrigation Project 16 Approved
TAJ Community Agriculture & Watershed Management Project
11 Approved
CAEWDP complements national initiatives
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Moving forward
1 Maintain momentum on work program implementation (complete current activities; initiate new ones)
2 Deepen dialogue with national governments
3 Secure financing and donor involvement
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Central Asia Energy–Water Development Program
Opportunities for donor involvement
Regional challenges CAEWDP solution Expected benefits Why now, why the World Bank? What will be delivered, and when? Opportunities for donor collaboration
Opportunity How? Example
Exploit synergies Take advantage of common program objectives
IFAS institutional supportEU Central Asia Investment Facility
Undertake joint activities
Collaborate on methodologies or technical assistance activities
USAID climate change ADB Energy Sector Coordinating Cttee
Support multi-donor trust fund
Donor contributions to fund core program activities
Swiss seed fundsDFID Administrative Arrangement (in preparation)
CAEWDP welcomes different avenues for cooperation