幻灯片 1 - hcia.co · sanity check description early on in the process it is important to do a...
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presentation
2018 2
The Case Competition Toolbox
DisclaimerThis Toolbox is a collection of useful tips, tools, advices
and frameworks that have proven useful for several
different case solvers and winners in the past. The Case
Competition Toolbox is developed by past case team
members and winners and therefore all material rights
belongs to The Case Competition.
For further information, please visit:
www.thecase.hk
About the ToolboxThe Case Competition Toolbox is a collection of useful
guidelines and frameworks that will assist your case solving
process. Although its primary objective is to be used for Beat the
Elite, you may also find it useful for other case solving exercises,
such as in classes or in job
interviews.
Much of the content in the Toolbox is meant to serve as a
foundation for non-experienced case solvers. Thus, the Toolbox
does not contain a certain right way to solve a case. It does
however contain a lot of useful tips and tricks. It is not intended
to be a winning formula, but by
reading through this collection of frameworks and guidelines the
team might be one step closer to be able to Beat the Elite.
Enjoy.
presentation
Introduction•
•
•
Problem solving:
This section describes how to structure the problem
solving part of your solution.
Presentation:
This section describes how to set up your presentation
and ensure the output looks nice, neat and professional.
Practicalities:
This section describes some of the practical things that
can be done before the case launch, as well as some
insiders tips from previous participants.
Industry overview:
This section highlights the key traits for a wide range of
industries. It is intended to enlighten people with limited
knowledge of business on what areas to focus on during
the case solving.
Additional reading:
External sources and readings.
Content
•
•
•
•
•
Problem solving
Presentation
Practicalities
Industry overview
Additional reading
pp. 4-8
pp. 9-24
pp. 25-27
pp. 28-36
pp. 37
•
•
2018 4
Problem Solving
IntroductionContent
•
•
•
•
Hypothesis-driven problem solving
MECE approach
Issue tree
Sanity check
Structuring of the problem solving process is very important.
The teams are only given 24 hours to solve a complex
problem and hence a systematic approach will help prioritize
and structure the task at hand. This section is about exactly
how to do that.
Hypothesis-driven problem solving:
This section describes one of the most time efficient ways to approach a problem.
MECE approach:
The MECE approach is widely used within the management consulting industry and for a good reason; This framework ensures that the whole problem solution space is tested.
Issue tree:
Issue trees are often combined with the MECE approach in order to prioritize and break down the problem.
Sanity check:
This section describes the importance of doing a sanity check.
2018 5
Formation of
next step
hypothesis
Research,
analysis and
conclusion
Stating initial
hypothesis
Hypothesis-driven problem solving
DescriptionHypothesis-driven problem solving is, as the
name states, all about forming a hypothesis
and then testing whether one is right or
wrong concerning the initial hypothesis.
As an example look at the figure on the right.
This example describes the hypothesis that
changing the quality of the product will lead
to an increase in the price and thus the
profitability of the product sold.
First the initial hypothesis is stated, this is
then followed by an analysis which can lead
to either confirming or refuting the initial
hypothesis.
After this, a series of new hypothesis can
then be formed, here are two examples:
Do not look for profit by changing quality
since the analysis shows that neither in- or
decreasing quality will change profitability.
Or check if reduction of quality instead will
lead to increased profitability.
Confirm or refute
Looking at price
sensitivity,
consumer demand,
capital investments
needed and uptake
rates.
After analysis we
refute the
hypothesis.
Increasing quality
will not increase
profit pr. item.
Reducing quality by
20% will lead to 5%
increase in volume
and 10% increase
in price pr. item.
Increasing quality
of the product by
5-10% will lead to a
2% increase in
profit pr. item.
Hypothesis
Analysis
Analysis
conclusion
Data
Refute
hypothesis
or
Confirm
hypothesis
New
hypothesis /
conclusion
or
No additional profit
can be found by
changing quality.
New
hypothesis /final
conclusion
2018 6
MECE
Description
MECE stands for Mutually Exclusive and
Collectively Exhaustive and is a tool commonly
used within the management consulting industry.
The framework makes it easier to break complex
problems down into smaller, more simple
problems. If the ”breakdown” is MECE the team
ensures that all the sub-issues collectively
exhaust the total solution space (no grey area is
left uncovered) and that the sub-issues are
mutually exclusive (no sub-issues are overlapping)
as seen on the right. By structuring a problem this
way the team ensures that they do not miss any
possible solution options. It will also be possible to
distribute the work among the team members
without duplication of any work, thus the limited
time will be used more efficiently.
A non-MECE issue tree
A MECE issue tree
Total possible solution space
Sub-issue #1 Sub-issue #4
Sub-issue #3Sub-issue #2
Sub-issue #1 Sub-issue #4
Sub-issue #2 Sub-issue #3
2018 7
A MECE issue tree
DescriptionThe issue tree deconstructs an issue into its sub-
issues and the sub-issues into its sub-issues and so
forth. A complete issue tree makes identification of
possible solutions easier and guides the problem
solving process.
In this example an issue tree is constructed around a
profit problem in a company, so in order to know how
to fix the profit problem, a MECE issue tree can be
constructed.
The overall issue is profit. On the next level, profit is
deconstructed into revenue and cost. Please note that
revenue and cost are the only drivers of profit and
they are not overlapping -henceforth the issue tree is
MECE at this level.
Looking at revenue this is deconstructed into ”price /
item” and ”volume,” again this is two MECE elements
of revenue.
This issue tree is MECE but all branches are not fully
developed.
priority.
Note: No issue tree is the only right way to structure a problem but many are wrong, which is why making it MECE must be top
2018 8
Sanity check
DescriptionEarly on in the process it is important to do a sanity check of your solution. As seen in the figure, the sanity check is supposed to make sure that the proposed solution is bothcreative, has sound analysis to back it up, is feasible and has impact. If all these four elements are in place the team could have a winning solution.
The sanity check is also a good opportunity for the team to
stop working, take a step back and ask the question: ”Is this
solution something that the company might actually
consider?”
Again, there is not one way to get it right, but many ways to
get it wrong. An example of a creative, but non-feasible
solution, could be to open a store on Mars. An example of a
solution that have all elements but creativity, could be to optimize all current operations by 2%.
Neither solution are winning solutions due to their complete
lack of one of the four elements. So make sure that at least
these four are somewhat present.
casecompetition.org
Presentation
DescriptionThis section entails everything you need in order to convey your
solution in a compelling and convincing way.
There are two major parts of a good storyline:
1. Structure of content – telling the right things.
2. Structure of argumentation – telling it the right way.
If you have these two elements you have a good storyline.
This section first describes and exemplifies a logical way to
tructure the content of your presentation.
That is which analysis and finding to present in which order.
Then, this section describes the two most used argumentation
structures, the inductive and the deductive which is then
exemplified.
Lastly, in the final part of this section everything is put together in
an example of a good case solution storyline.
Content
• Storyline pp. 10-15
– Structure of content
– Structure of argumentation
– Inductive vs. Deductive
reasoning
•
•
– Putting it all together
The executive slide
PowerPoint do’s
and don’ts
p. 16
pp. 17-24
201810
How to structure your content in a logical way
Description
An often used structure of the content in the
resentation is based upon what the reader
expects to come next.
On the right is an example of how to structure the
different parts of your solution. This flow ensures
that the structure of the solution is easy to follow
for the reader/listener. These four parts are based
upon what you are telling the reader, as seen on
the right.
First the overall situation of the company is
presented.
Then, the implication (problem) of that situation is
identified.
In the third part of the story, the solution to the
problem is presented. In the solution part it is also
vital to present the arguments as to why the team
has settled on that particular solution.
Lastly, the impact of the solution should be
presented.
4: What is the impact
of our solution?
Setting the
stage
Identify
problem
Solution
• Arg. 1
• Arg. 2
• …
Impact
Logic of structure - we are telling you…
1: Where are we now?
2: Why is this a problem and
what is the problem?
3: What is our solution
to the problem?
The four major elements
2018 11
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wo
farg
um
en
tF
low
ofa
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en
t
How to structure a strong logical argument
throughout your presentation
Inductive method:1. Tell your recommendation/solution up front
in the presentation.
2. Then, in the following section tell why you
recommend what you do.
Deductive method:
1.
2.
First, show all your analysis and
conclusions.
Then, in the end serve your final
recommendation for the company based on
the results of your analysis.
Note:While the deductive method can be really powerful if used correctly, it is recommended that the team uses the inductive
storylining. If using the deductive reasoning, the team must be absolutely sure that the reader will agree on the results and the
logic of the argumentation or else the complete argument for the solution could fall apart. The inductive also has the advantage
that it follows the logic of: First tell them what your going to tell them, tell them and then tell them what you told them.
DescriptionHaving secured that the structure of the content in
the presentation is good, the team must also make
sure that the storyline follows a strong logical
argument. That is, how to structure the four
elements. This means that it should be easy for the
reader to follow the logical flow of why the next
slide looks like it does. E.g. setting the stage: ”the
companies revenue is stalling due to maturity in
market” the next slide identifies the problem of
the situation.
Broadly speaking there are two possibilities for how
to build the logical argumentation of a good
storyline. A good story in a solution almost always
follows either the inductive or the deductive method.
Solution
Argument
Argument
Solution
2018 12
Reasons for going to China1. Because the market potential is huge
The growth is strong
Current markets are mature
There are certain risks but they are limited
We will be able to boost revenue by USD 1bn by
moving into China
•
•
•
•
The company should expand their business to China…
…By first targeting the coastal region…
…And pack items in smaller packages…
…Resulting in a net turnover growth of USD 1bn in 2018
•
2.
3.
4.
5.
•
6. Which is more than other considered possibilities
Why to target the coastal region
1.
2.
3.
Large share of population
Fastest growing region
Highest share of net wealth people
• Reasons to consider productmodifications
1.
2.
3.
Cultural differences make Chinese
consumers seek different value
propositions
Small is beautiful in China
Current consumer trends support ”smaller”
•
•
Financial analysis of revenuegrowth by 2018
Wrap up
Example of the inductive storyline
…because… (supportive analysis and conclusions)
Note:
This box is basically
what to tell on the
executive slide
We recommend that…
2018 13
The company should expand their business to China…
…By first targeting the coastal region…
…While considering product modifications…
…Resulting in a net turnover growth of USD 1bn in 2018
1. The market potentials
2.
3.
4.
The growth rates
Current markets potential
Risks involved
5. Revenue possibilities in different markets
➢➢ China comes up as the most
lucrative market
1.
2.
Distribution of population and their net wealth
Growth across Chinese regions
1. Cultural differences
–
–
–
Value propositions needed
Spending patterns
Consumer trends
➢➢ Packaging in smaller bundles isneeded
➢➢ Financial analysis of revenuegrowth by 2018
➢➢ Wrap up➢➢ The coastal area is where the
Chinese expansion should start
…leads us to recommend that…
Example of the deductive storyline
Note:
Again, this box is
similar to the content of
the executive slide.
•
•
•
•
Looking at… (analysis and conclusions)
2018 14
Another example of the inductive storyline
DescriptionOne can see how this structure is
closely linked to the MECE
framework. In fact a good logical
structure will almost always follow
from a correctly constructed MECE
tree.
In the figure on the right it is shown
how one argument builds upon the
underlying arguments.
• First the solution and its impact
is told.
• Then on level 2 the possible
markets are presented.
• On level 3 the different analysis
are presented.
The Chinese outperformed taking
market size, risk analysis, impact
and ease of implementation into
account.
• Finally, on level 4 the roll out
plan is ustified.
Chinese market
Risk analysis Roll out plan
Consumerbehavior
Financial impact
Current markets
Market size &growth
Other markets
Market size &growth
Market size &growth
Which new market should the company expand to
Expand to China
realizing a USD 1bn
revenue growth
Risk analysis
Product
portfolio &
channels
Region
feasibility
2018 15
Putting it all together: Telling a story during
the progression of the presentation
•
•
Logic of progression through the presentation should be easy to follow
By reading only the headers, the reader should be able to understand the case solution. See the example below
Executive slideWe recommend the companyto expand their business to China
and gain USD 1bn in revenue because home markets are under pressure.
Home market is weak…• We see weak growth• Increased competition• Weak spending due to financial crisis
…So other revenue sources
are needed…1. Brazil 2. Russia
3. India 4. China
➢➢ China is the best option
…China is the most promising
market…
• High growth• Large market• Weak customer loyalty• Resistance towards western brands
…And will make further
expansion possible.
• Start in major cities• Expand to coastal region
• 500 stores by 2018
…They can be won by adapting
product…
• Given consumer behaviour, best
way to enter is:
1. Enter
2. Adapt
3. Expand
…Although Chinese customers
are different…
• Resistance towards western brands due to
1. Reason 1
2. Reason 2
…Our solution will grow
topline by USD 1bn
USD 1 bn
2020
So while still taking risks into
account…
• Risk 1
• Risk 2
• Risk 3
➢How to mitigate risks
➢
Note:This presentation is not a solution for
how you need to structure (or design)
your presentation, but only meant as
an illustrative example.
Wrap up
Tell them what you told
them.
Key Focus areas:
2018 16
[Setting the stage]
What is the current situation for the firm?Setting
the stage
Identify
problem
Solution
• Arg. 1
• Arg. 2
• …
Impact
Description
It is recommended to put an executive slide in the beginning of your presentation, since this supports the inductive
reasoning.
The executive slide should…
– Make the reader able to understand your solution and why you have reached your conclusions
– Be the introductory slide for the presentation presented to the judges, should the team reach the finals
– Tell the same story as all the headlines of the presentation
Example A
Executive slide
Example B
Executive slide
[Identify the problems(s) or opportunity]
[Propose solution]
• Argument 1
• Argument 2
• …
[Discuss impact/implications]
Financial and strategic impact
The executive slide
2018 17
PowerPoint do’s & don’ts
IntroductionThis following sub-section is a collection of do’s and don’ts
regarding the visual setup of your slides. Since you only have 10
slides, it is vital that nothing is lost in translation, meaning do not
succumb to the usual PowerPoint mistakes.
The following examples are not an exhaustive list of all
powerpoint mistakes but a collection of some of the most
common mistakes that can easily be avoided. By making sure
that your slides look more like the ”do”-examples and less like
the ”don’t”- examples you increase the possibility for the reader
to understand the slides as it was intentionally meant to be
understood. On the right you will find a list of the following slides.
Overview
•••
•
•
•
•
Notation on graphsKey takeaway in headerOne message pr. slide
Less is more in graphs
Less is more in effects
Supporting the message
Illustrate instead of excessiveuse of bullets
pp. 18pp. 19pp. 20
pp. 21
pp. 22
pp. 23
pp. 24
2018 18
Remember notations on your graphs
Do Don’t
600
500
400
300
200
Note: Only include data labels if they are needed to prove your point.Also remember to include your source in the bottom of the slide. This adds credibility to your presentation.
2018 19
Make sure to put the key takeaway from
your slides in the header
Don’t
Recent financial development
Do
Case Company has faced stagnating revenue growth and swindling
margins since financial crisis in 2009
2018 20
Tell only one key message per slide
Do
Note: Due to the limitation of 10 slides per solution, it may prove necessary to cram more information into every slide,
but it is strongly recommended to only deliver one key message per slide.
Don’t
Cost saving ini;a;ves from ”2018-‐Plan” • Reduce overhead by 10%
Divest subsidiary1 •
Procurement Savings Plan •
• Tager: 50M DKK
Outsource of produc;on to India •
2018 21
Less is more when it comes to data
presentation
Do Don’t
Note: Design your graph so the reader quickly and easily can read it.
2018 22
Less is more when it comes to colours and
effects
Don’tDo
Note: …and it looks unprofessional
2018 23
Make sure only things that back up the
message of the slide is included
Do Don’t
Note: Images should only be included if they help to make a point clearer. Here this is hardly the case, even on the left-hand
slide the value added from the images is limited.
2018 24
A “figure” is worth a thousand bullets
Do Don’t
Note: Excessive use of bullets dilutes their purpose. A bullet point is a short concise point – don’t put 20 short concise points
on one slide. Not only is it tedious to read, it also hides the message of the slide.
2018 25
Practicalities
DescriptionThis section describes some of the most important racticalities
that lies outside the actual problem solving process and case
solution. That being said, the practicalities included and
described in this section has a high probability of making the
24 hours of case solving easier. If ignored, there is a high
probability of making the case solving hours more difficult.
Time management:
Due to the time pressure, a good plan will ensure that the
team makes the most of the available time.
Quotes from the insiders:
This section includes some insiders’ tips for what things the
teams should strive to have under control before the actual
case launch.
Content:
•
•
Time management
Quotes from the
insiders
pp. 26
pp. 27
2018 26
Draw up a time plan before the case launch
The time plan does not have to be as specific as this
one, but a rough time plan will certainly prove helpful
as it will help the team not spend too much time on
unnecessary tasks. E.g. analysis of markets irrelevant
for the case solution, spending too much time on data
search etc.
Also the team should note that the time plan will
almost certainly not be held, as unavoidable events will
happen during the case solving.
However, making a time plan will keep reminding the
team that time is precious and spending it unwisely is
not recommended.
Lastly, this time plan is not the golden rule as to how to
allocate the 24 hours but only an example. The golden
rule that does persist is, the more specific the time
plan, the more it will help throughout the process.
Description
08:00 09:00
Example
2018 27
Quotes from the insiders
“Remember to buy snacks, snacks,
snacks & more Snacks”
“Set up the master slide before the
case launches. We wasted at least 3
hrs. setting up and agreeing on the
layout.”
“It is very wise to save some time in the end for
iteration, going through every slide asking the
questions: What do we want to tell with this
slide and will the reader understand it.”
“Practice makes perfect. It was so evident
that the more training cases we did, the
better we got.”
“Know your data sources. Having the best
data available is a competitiveadvantage.”
“My five cents on practicalities would definitely
be to assign team roles and know each others
relative strengths and weaknesses. Having the
discussion before the launch as well as a time
manager saved us time.”
2018 28
Industry Overview
Description
This section describes some of the typical industries that
cases revolve around. The given industry description serves
as a guideline of the key aspects to consider within a
particular industry. Please note that the industry list is not
exhaustive, and there may therefore be additional industries
that you may need to do research on yourself. Also, please
note that the industry snap shots are not a recipe for
success, but rather a guideline and help for those who have
limited knowledge about the industry (for instance non-
business students).
Each industry snapshot entails a short description of key
trends, competitive landscape, customers, channels, and
profit summary.
Content:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Transportation
Consumer Packaged
Goods (CPG)
Finance
Manufacturing
Media
Pharmaceuticals
Entertainment
Technology
p. 29
p. 30
p. 31
p. 32
p. 33
p. 34
p. 35
p. 36
2018 29
Transportation
• Transportation companies provide transport services for passengers and/or for freight, and
can be done either via rail, road, air, or water
• Increase of cost competition as more transportation service types become more freely
available
• Can be seasonal for certain types of transportation services
• Private individuals• Corporations/small businesses
• Travel web sites/resellers
• Fare revenues; administrative & handling fees; add-on service sales
• Variable costs: fuel; food and beverage; staff/hourly employees
• Fixed costs: fleet leases; gate/port leases; IT/admin costs; salaried employees
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 30
Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG)
• CPG companies provide consumers with a range of household products and the like, such
as soaps, pet supplies, snack foods etc
• Consumer lifestyle, e.g. aging population, social networks, online ads, go green, etc
• Product mix and brand management are critical to CPG companies
• Private customers
• Business customers
• Volume of goods sold; price premium on branded goods; new product introductions
• Branding; sales; marketing; COGS (commodity costs – raw & packaging material)
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 31
Finance (Consumer Banking)
• Broad range of financial products (deposit services, credit cards, loans, etc.) are sold by
banks whose main function is to collect money from those who have savings and loan
money to those who need it
• Financial crisis threatened solvency of industry due to illiquid and un-valuable assets
• Consolidated, mature industry with growth through acquisitions
• Demographic shift creating a large market for retirement products
• Individual consumers, especially high net worth consumers
• Small/medium businesses without sufficient size for larger investment banking financing
services
• Difference between the bank’s borrowing cost and the interest rates charged to borrowers;
administrative fees for services
• Administration; salaries; writing off bad debt, bank branch offices
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 32
Manufacturing
• This sector includes companies that are in the business of mechanical, physical, or chemical transformation of
materials/substances/components into new products
• Subsectors of manufacturing include: textile, paper, chemical, computer/electronics, transportation equipment, machinery
• Manufacturing is highly cyclical in most sectors
• Higher cost structure (labor in many cases) leads companies to outsource manufacturing to lower-cost regions of the world
• End-consumer; OEM (original equipment manufacturer); B2B (Business-to-business)
• Diversity of customers; volume; emerging markets; adjacent industries; new technologies/ products
• Potential outsourcing quality costs; supply chain management (inventory turns); labor; raw material; channel management;
marketing; capital investment in equipment
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 33
Media
• The media sector includes print, audio, and video content generation
• Primarily an advertising-supported industry, the traditional media space faces unprecedented challenges as online media
continues to disrupt traditional business models
• The rapidly advancing speed of the internet and wireless devices change the consumption pattern of media
• The proliferation of “free” content has harmed content generators but created opportunities for new channels.
• Individual end-consumers
• Business users
• Advertisers
• Advertising; subscriptions; individual sales
• Variable costs: salaries; technological equipment
• Fixed costs: Studios/press offices; overhead; marketing; advertising
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 34
• Pharmaceutical companies produce original patent-protected (for a certain period of time) drugs for human
and animal diseases
• Generic drug producers produce ‘copy-cat’ drugs (with the same medical result) at a lower development cost
when the originator drug’s patent expires
• Price competition from generic drug manufacturers
• Increasing pressure from health insurance companies and hospital chains to reduce prices
• R&D challenge of finding high revenue drugs
• Doctors who prescribe these medicines
• Insurance companies that pay for them
• Patients/consumers who need these drugs/medicines
• Patent premium; buy-in from doctors that will prescribe; speed to market; niche products
• Variable costs: sales; marketing; raw material, salaries
• Fixed costs: R&D; equipment; machines
Pharmaceuticals
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 35
Entertainment
• The entertainment industry provides different services and products for customers' leisure time
• Increasing competition from stay-at-home or other free alternatives of entertainment
compared to traditional entertainment types
• Individual customers
• Business arrangements
• Service/product/ticket sales, subscriptions, gadgets sales; add-on sales
• Variable costs: raw materials; salaries
• Fixed costs: equipment, venue areas; advertising
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 36
Technology
• The technology industry broadly consists of the systems (PCs, servers), semiconductors,
communications equipment software, internet, and IT services subsectors
• Increasing M&A activity: aggregation offering customers a one stop shop proposition
• Co-opetition: Leading vendors co-exist as competitors and collaborators
• Cloud Computing: Offering IT as outsourced utility has implications across subsectors
• Individual customers• Enterprise, SMB (small/medium businesses)
• Retail channel customers
• Subscriptions; licenses; maintenance; renewals, revenue per click
• Variable costs: salaries, advertising
• Fixed costs: R&D; equipment: gross margins, R&D
Description
Key trends
Customers
Revenue drivers
Cost drivers
2018 37
Additional reading
Online
Here we have listed external sources and additional
readings that are also useful for the case solving
team.
• Choosing the right kind of chart:
http://extremepresentation.typepad.com/files/cho
osing-a- good-chart-09.pdf
• Previous cases:
http://www.thecase.hk/case_solving/
previous_cases
www.caseinterview.com
www.bcgperspectives.com
• Data sources:
http://www.eiu.com/
http://research.thomsonib.com/
Offline
• How to structure your argument:
Barbera Minto – The pyramid principle
• Presentation design advice:
Gary Reynolds – Presentation Zen
Nancy Duarte - Slideology