catherine aliana gucciardi garcez "climate change adaptation, vulnerability and resilience:...
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DLDD and climate changeTRANSCRIPT
Climate Change Adaptation, Vulnerability and Resilience: Three
case studies in the Brazilian Semi-aridStéphanie Nasuti, Diego P. Lindoso, Catherine A. Gucciardi
Garcez, Marcel Bursztyn, Izabel Ibiapina, Gabriela Litre, Raquel Fetter, Carlos Henke de Oliveira, Saulo Rodrigues
FilhoApril, 2013 – Bonn
Source: RedeCLIMA │©S. Nasuti, 2012
Sub-Network: Regional Dev. & Climate Change
Source: IBGE and sub-network RD&CC │©S. Nasuti, 2012 Photos: Raquel Fetter and Carolina Pedroso
Characterization of the sample80% rain-fed agriculture
High dependence on climatic conditionsVulnerability to lack of water and drought (Bahia,
Piauí, Ceará) / excess rainfall (Seridó-RN) Generalized perception of changing
precipitations regimesPerception of displacements and
unpredictabilityCongruent with data collected from weather
stations
Photos: Diego Lindoso, Stéphanie Nasuti, and Carolina Pedroso
Do family farmers have the capacity to plan their crops?
Little access to adequate weather forecastMainly “We do the same thing every year”
Gilbués-PI
Seridó-RN
Juazeiro-BA
Illiterate or poor level of education
74% 73% 85%
No technical assistance
95% 62% 69%
Responsive adaptation is observed
Abandoning the most fragile crops (rice, cassava, corn); adapting the size of the field;
Selling the animals; improvising “fodder” (mixture cassava, corn, cactus)
Little to no storing of fodder Migration strategies (people and cattle)
Gilbués-PI Seridó-RN Juazeiro-BA
Abandoned a crop 54% 45% 8%
Photos: Stéphanie Nasuti
Conclusion
Policies focus on reducing the symptoms of vulnerability, not the causes of vulnerability
Agriculture and animal breeding remains highly vulnerable to rains conditions Lack of alternatives: technical, financial, cultural
challenges
Adaptation actions responsive (to extreme events), individual/domestic scaleAim is to guarantee economic/food securityCharacteristic of developing nations
Gilbués-PI Seridó-RN Juazeiro-BAReceive at least one social benefit
95% 93% 90%
Policy RecommendationsAccess to appropriate technical and
meteorological informationAlternatives to agricultural production:
Payment for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (i.e. Bolsa Verde “Green Grant” for the Caatinga)
Income from (solar and wind) energy production; public and private investments
Poverty reduction and reduced inequalities:Education to combat low literacy rates;
technical training to support human capital and improve livelihoods
Future stepsAggregating data from the 4th case study;
CearáPlanning return visits to allow for
temporal comparisons (contingent upon securing funding)
Preparing booklets for outreach for the communities
Comparisons between biomes
Photos: Stéphanie Nasuti and Carolina Pedroso
Thank you!
Special appreciation to:
www.cds.unb.br
redeclima.ccst.inpe.br
Funding:
Travel support: OAS
CNPq CAPES Banco do Nordeste