caspar_chung_undergraduate_honor
TRANSCRIPT
The spatial and temporal distribution of aerosol optical depths in China
Caspar J. Chung Abstract
China’s economy is rapidly growing, and it is suspected that this has caused an increase in
aerosols among East Asian countries. Every early spring, dust storms containing mass amounts of
aerosols occur in China and move eastward, eventually reaching Korea, Japan, and even the western
region of North America. Aerosols are a complex mixture of organic and inorganic chemicals that can
be classified as air pollutants. They can affect human health seriously. They may cause lower respiratory
symptoms, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lowering lung function, and even decreasing life
expectancy. Most aerosols in China are generated by anthropogenic activities including industrialization
and urbanization in the east and southeast region and desertification in the Gobi desert caused by land
overuse and increase in population. Monitoring the spatial and temporal distribution of aerosols is
essential for predicting future trend and setting suitable policies for regulating further increase of
aerosols. In this study, mean monthly aerosol optical depth was measured (from March 2000 to
September 2005) using MISR (Multi-angle SpectroRadiometer) in order to observe aerosol distribution
in China.
Keywords: Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), PM, MISR
1. Introduction
Every year in the spring, yellow dust clouds, or Asian dust, occur in China’s arid land
and moves eastward, over the Yellow Sea, Korea, Japan, and further to the Pacific Ocean
[Duce et al., 1980; Jaffe et al., 2003]. In addition, a mass of chemicals in the atmosphere,
emitted from industries and other human activities, are constantly affecting this region. Both
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Asian dust and these chemicals can be categorized as aerosols, or particulate matter (PM).
Particulate matter (PM), sometime called aerosols, is a complex mixture of organic
and inorganic particles and can also be classified as an air pollutant1. PM originates from
various sources; volcanoes, dust storms, forest and grassland fires, vegetation, erosion and
anthropogenic activities (burning fossil fuels, land cover change)2. Especially, aerosols caused
by anthropogenic activities are contributing about 10 % of the total amount of aerosols in the
air3. Due to a rapid increase of human activity, this estimation may also increase.
PM breaks down into two groups based on its size; PM10 and PM2.5. PM10, larger
aerosols mostly from smoke and dust, are particulate matter smaller than 10 micrometers in
diameter, and for this size is possible to infiltrate into lungs and airways’ upper part4. PM2.5,
which is less than 2.5 micrometers of diameter and refers to smaller aerosols mostly from
toxic compounds and heavy metal5 is more dangerous than PM10 since they can reach to
deeper part of the lung and even the alveolar region6.
As its tiny size makes possible to reach to the human’ respiratory organs, PM affects
human health seriously. There is a case study showing that an exposure to PM in the long-
term may cause increasing lower respiratory symptoms and chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease, lowering children and adults’ lung function, and even decreasing life expectancy due
to lung cancer and cardiopulmonary disease6.
The issue that PM contributes to climate change is still inconclusive and controversial.
With the current level of technology, experts admit that they still have a lack of skill to
1http://www.euro.who.int/document/mediacentre/fs0405e.pdf 2http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Aerosols/ 3http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Aerosols/ 4http://www.euro.who.int/document/mediacentre/fs0405e.pdf 5http://www.airinfonow.org/html/ed_particulate.html 6http://www.euro.who.int/document/mediacentre/fs0405e.pdf
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measure the relative impacts of aerosols on climate and have an insufficient observation over
earth’s atmosphere based on global scale in terms of trends of aerosols7. However, a recent
study shows that an increase of aerosols in the air can lead to increasing the number of
droplets within the clouds, which works to reduce rainfall8. The consequence of this event
would significantly affect on the condition of the biomes and landscape which may contribute
to a degradation of the ecosystem.
As a magnitude of China’s economy is rapidly increasing, there is a strong suspicion
that this may greatly correlated with an increase of aerosols from anthropogenic activities
including an increase of industrial and agricultural activities [Li et al., 1995]. As long as a
current phenomenon continues in China, a possible climate change (although it is still
controversial) and an increase of health risk in this area (including Korea and Japan) may
become a possible threat to human and nature. Considering a significance of an increase of
aerosol and its possible influence over this area, a monitoring a spatial and temporal
distribution of aerosol and analyzing its result is essential for setting a suitable policy for
regulating human activities
2. China
An increase amount of aerosols in China contributes to desertification and industrialization
mainly caused by humans. Although recently the group of scientist have found that human activity has a
less contribution to dust storm compared to the factor of meteorology and climate in China [Gong et al,
7http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Aerosols/ 8http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/Pollution/pollution.html
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2004], still the academic world in general believes that human activity has a potential effects on this
region, especially in the Gobi desert (Figure 1). Soil erosion, overuse of the land for farming, and
increase of population are known as causing factors of desertification, which significantly related to
human factor. Some research indicates that every year in the northern area of China, nearly 900 square
miles (about 2,300 km2) of the farmland transforms into desert, which its size of the area is greater than
twice the size of Honk Kong9.
An increase of aerosols caused by anthropogenic activities strongly correlates to the fast-paced
industrialization of China. Air pollution, a largest contributor of aerosols along with dust from the desert
in China has been worsening since a rapid growth of China’s economy. The typical sources of air
pollution are coal usage which is a major source of energy, gas emissions from vehicles around in
Gobi Desert
Figure 1.
9http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2001/06/0601_chinadust.html
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populated major cities and provinces10. Coal combustions accounts for 80% of total energy [Gu et al,
2006] and its emission contains SO2 which is possible to go through a transformation of SO2 into sulfate
and black carbon [Lefohn et al., 1999; Xu, 2001]. Another major contributor of aerosols is NOx
(nitrogen oxides), which comes from motor vehicles, electric utilities, factories and houses burning gas10.
A rapid economic development and urbanization for last decades in the east and southeastern regions
including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, the Pearl River delta, and the Yangtze delta have increased the
numbers of vehicles11 and usage of energy in industrial, commercial and residential areas (Figure 2).
The influence of aerosols, contributed by the northern area where experiencing desertification
in progress and heavily industrialized area in east and southeast region in China, becomes severe in
Beijing
Shanghai & the Yangtze delta
Guangzhou & the Pearl River Delta
Figure 2.
10http://www.epa.gov/oar/urbanair/nox/what.html 11http://www.iupac.org/publications/pac/2004/pdf/7606x1227.pdf
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winter and early spring as a Siberian cold front passes northwestern of China, Inner Mongolia region and
Gansu province12. The cold front triggers dust storms which move from west to east, extending its
influence from China to Korea and Japan. The dust storm reduces visibility and quality of air which
provoke the global conflicts between the East Asian nations.
3. Data and Methods
The purpose of this observation is to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of aerosols in
China. In this observation, mean monthly aerosols optical depth of six years (from March 2000 to
September 2005) derived from MISR (Multi-angle SpectroRadiometer) were used and acquired from
the Atmospheric Science Data Center at NASA Langley Research Center13.
MISR is one of the instruments aboard NASA's Terra spacecraft launched in August 199913.
With cameras viewing earth at nine different angles, it provides imagery of earth observation in four
different wavelengths (blue, green, red, and near infrared). These wavelengths and different angled
cameras allow MISR to measure the brightness, contrast, and colors of sunlight reflected from earth14.
Aerosol optical depth (AOD) is one of the MISR products addressed by the change of reflection due to
atmospheric particles14.
With acquired images of mean monthly AOD of six years (total 67 images) the mean annual
AOD, the mean seasonal AOD, and the mean AOD averaged for 67 months from 2000 to 2005 were
calculated and used to generate images (Figure 3 and Figure 4). The mean annual AOD was generated
by averaging total months for each year. The mean seasonal AOD was generated by averaging relevant
12http://www-airs.jpl.nasa.gov/News/Features/FeaturesChinaDustStorm/ 13http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/ 14http://www-misr.jpl.nasa.gov/
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months for each season between 2000 and 2005, for example, spring (March, April, May), summer
(June, July, August), fall (September, October, November), and winter (December, January, February).
The mean AOD over six years (2000-2005) was acquired by averaging all images.
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2000-2005 Annual AOD
Figure 3.
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Averaged Seasonal AOD from 2000 to 2005
The mean annual and seasonal AOD of China and each of administrative divisions were
generated by applying Zonal Statistics in ArcMap. The boundaries of China and
administrative divisions were used in this task and the result was rendered in maps and tables
(Figure 5 and 6, Table 1 and 2). In order to find a significance of statistical correlation
between the continent and each administrative division of China, paired t-test was performed
based on the mean annual and seasonal AOD (Table 3 and 4).
Figure 4.
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2000-2005 Annual AOD (Zonal Statistics)
Figure 5.
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Averaged Seasonal AOD from 2000 to 2005 (Zonal Statistics)
Figure 6.
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Annual Means and Standard Deviations of AOD (2000-2005)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
x σ x σ x σ x σ x σ x σ
China 0.23 0.14 0.22 0.15 0.25 0.16 0.22 0.15 0.23 0.16 0.30 0.19
Anhui 0.44 0.12 0.43 0.15 0.44 0.09 0.38 0.08 0.46 0.10 0.65 0.35
Beijing 0.30 0.09 0.28 0.09 0.35 0.10 0.37 0.10 0.31 0.09 0.51 0.10
Fujian 0.26 0.09 0.31 0.10 0.28 0.13 0.21 0.06 0.27 0.10 0.27 0.08
Gansu 0.18 0.09 0.18 0.12 0.17 0.09 0.17 0.08 0.16 0.07 0.27 0.15
Guangdong 0.30 0.07 0.39 0.10 0.43 0.09 0.43 0.16 0.44 0.15 0.48 0.20
Guangxi 0.31 0.09 0.42 0.14 0.36 0.13 0.40 0.09 0.53 0.14 0.46 0.17
Guizhou 0.33 0.10 0.33 0.09 0.28 0.08 0.24 0.06 0.40 0.15 0.43 0.17
Hainan 0.36 0.13 0.52 0.11 0.35 0.20 0.37 0.08 0.46 0.10 0.41 0.14
Hebei 0.35 0.18 0.31 0.14 0.36 0.19 0.42 0.21 0.28 0.14 0.49 0.22
Heilongjiang 0.15 0.04 0.12 0.03 0.17 0.06 0.14 0.04 0.12 0.04 0.17 0.06
Henan 0.44 0.11 0.44 0.10 0.51 0.14 0.50 0.13 0.42 0.09 0.66 0.24
Hong Kong 0.29 0.00 0.51 0.00 0.51 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.43 0.00 0.48 0.00
Hubei 0.36 0.17 0.43 0.16 0.40 0.17 0.48 0.21 0.39 0.14 0.54 0.23
Hunan 0.38 0.15 0.42 0.12 0.42 0.14 0.46 0.14 0.48 0.09 0.56 0.16
Jiangsu 0.43 0.09 0.32 0.07 0.43 0.07 0.36 0.05 0.49 0.14 0.55 0.08
Jiangxi 0.28 0.06 0.33 0.06 0.42 0.10 0.36 0.11 0.38 0.09 0.43 0.15
Jilin 0.14 0.03 0.12 0.03 0.23 0.05 0.16 0.04 0.15 0.04 0.23 0.07
Liaoning 0.16 0.05 0.16 0.05 0.24 0.10 0.23 0.14 0.21 0.13 0.24 0.07
Nei Mongol 0.17 0.05 0.16 0.08 0.17 0.06 0.16 0.05 0.13 0.05 0.22 0.08
Ningxia 0.19 0.04 0.22 0.08 0.18 0.04 0.22 0.06 0.20 0.03 0.36 0.09
Qinghai 0.22 0.10 0.16 0.09 0.19 0.09 0.15 0.08 0.17 0.07 0.25 0.12
Shaanxi 0.26 0.14 0.25 0.15 0.23 0.12 0.19 0.12 0.22 0.11 0.33 0.17
Shandong 0.35 0.10 0.39 0.16 0.43 0.15 0.46 0.13 0.43 0.14 0.56 0.21
Shanghai 0.37 0.11 0.42 0.15 0.47 0.03 0.41 0.22 0.88 0.39 0.49 0.13
Shanxi 0.29 0.08 0.29 0.11 0.27 0.10 0.24 0.09 0.22 0.09 0.36 0.12
Sichuan 0.26 0.22 0.25 0.20 0.32 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.30 0.27 0.30 0.25
Tianjin 0.52 0.07 0.33 0.04 0.39 0.06 0.61 0.09 0.46 0.08 0.59 0.08
Xinjiang 0.25 0.11 0.22 0.11 0.24 0.12 0.22 0.11 0.22 0.12 0.30 0.13
Xizang 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.09 0.12 0.07 0.17 0.11
Yunnan 0.13 0.10 0.16 0.11 0.18 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.17 0.12 0.22 0.16
Zhejiang 0.30 0.13
0.32 0.12
0.40 0.14
0.28 0.22
0.49 0.24
0.41 0.14
Table 1
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Seasonal Means and Standard Deviations of AOD (2000-2005)
MAM JJA SON DJF x σ x σ x σ x σ
China 0.34 0.18 0.34 0.20 0.23 0.17 0.36 0.30
Anhui 0.49 0.10 0.59 0.13 0.34 0.17 0.86 0.78
Beijing 0.43 0.08 0.62 0.12 0.31 0.12 0.67 0.15
Fujian 0.30 0.11 0.33 0.09 0.28 0.10 0.26 0.11
Gansu 0.27 0.11 0.25 0.10 0.17 0.09 0.28 0.23
Guangdong 0.40 0.21 0.44 0.17 0.32 0.11 0.45 0.20
Guangxi 0.40 0.12 0.53 0.19 0.38 0.11 0.53 0.34
Guizhou 0.33 0.08 0.35 0.13 0.36 0.17 0.49 0.24
Hainan 0.22 0.03 0.39 0.22 0.39 0.10 0.31 0.13
Hebei 0.50 0.17 0.57 0.21 0.36 0.22 0.60 0.44
Heilongjiang 0.28 0.11 0.23 0.08 0.11 0.05 0.24 0.15
Henan 0.70 0.27 0.56 0.11 0.37 0.10 0.73 0.67
Hong Kong 0.53 0.00 0.54 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.49 0.00
Hubei 0.62 0.35 0.49 0.15 0.41 0.26 0.46 0.25
Hunan 0.56 0.27 0.51 0.12 0.51 0.26 0.49 0.21
Jiangsu 0.51 0.10 0.75 0.29 0.34 0.09 0.54 0.26
Jiangxi 0.45 0.26 0.41 0.10 0.28 0.07 0.44 0.23
Jilin 0.29 0.06 0.32 0.09 0.10 0.04 0.45 0.23
Liaoning 0.30 0.09 0.43 0.15 0.12 0.03 0.35 0.15
Nei Mongol 0.29 0.08 0.27 0.08 0.15 0.07 0.35 0.17
Ningxia 0.27 0.03 0.33 0.05 0.17 0.06 0.47 0.22
Qinghai 0.36 0.12 0.28 0.14 0.19 0.15 0.34 0.25
Shaanxi 0.29 0.15 0.25 0.11 0.26 0.15 0.32 0.18
Shandong 0.46 0.10 0.69 0.22 0.31 0.14 0.61 0.34
Shanghai 0.54 0.02 1.18 0.37 0.23 0.00 0.70 0.34
Shanxi 0.49 0.13 0.34 0.10 0.32 0.09 0.35 0.13
Sichuan 0.28 0.19 0.24 0.18 0.29 0.28 0.34 0.38
Tianjin 0.54 0.05 0.88 0.04 0.54 0.18 0.36 0.08
Xinjiang 0.36 0.16 0.38 0.19 0.24 0.13 0.41 0.25
Xizang 0.25 0.16 0.26 0.22 0.14 0.15 0.19 0.16
Yunnan 0.19 0.10 0.19 0.14 0.20 0.17 0.11 0.08
Zhejiang 0.47 0.18 0.64 0.24
0.27 0.21
0.40 0.41
Table 2
Seasons: MAM – March through May, JJA – June through August, SON – September through November DJF-December through February
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Annual Paired t-test (2000-2005)
China Administrative Divisions t p r
Anhui -8.42 0.00 0.90
Beijing -5.10 0.00 0.85
Fujian -1.46 0.20 0.01
Gansu 9.32 0.00 0.87
Guangdong -7.75 0.00 0.24
Guangxi -5.47 0.00 0.03
Guizhou -4.05 0.01 0.36
Hainan -5.10 0.00 0.05
Hebei -5.51 0.00 0.56
Heilongjiang 10.49 0.00 0.47
Henan -9.91 0.00 0.85
Hong Kong -5.00 0.00 0.09
Hubei -9.22 0.00 0.46
Hunan -11.43 0.00 0.56
Jiangsu -7.33 0.00 0.63
Jiangxi -7.27 0.00 0.44
Jilin 5.95 0.00 0.65
Liaoning 2.49 0.05 0.27
Nei Mongol 11.71 0.00 0.77
Ningxia 0.74 0.49 0.75
Qinghai 6.34 0.00 0.75
Shaanxi -0.50 0.64 0.66
Shandong -9.55 0.00 0.66
Shanghai -3.39 0.02 0.00
Shanxi -2.93 0.03 0.64
Sichuan -3.02 0.03 0.33
Tianjin -5.98 0.00 0.18
Xinjiang 0.30 0.78 0.89
Xizang 12.83 0.00 0.59
Yunnan 10.98 0.00 0.75
Zhejiang 4.05 0.01 0.13
Table 3
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Seasonal Paired t-test (2000-2005)
China Administrative
Divisions Spring (MAM)
Summer (JJA)
Fall (SON)
Winter (DJF)
t p r t p r t p r t p r
Anhui -7.04 0.00 0.04 -8.98 0.00 0.33 -11.71 0.00 0.15 -8.00 0.00 0.84
Beijing -2.61 0.02 0.50 -5.56 0.00 0.48 -3.69 0.00 0.54 -1.16 0.27 0.61
Fujian 1.62 0.12 0.04 0.97 0.35 0.11 -1.49 0.16 0.14 0.73 0.48 0.22
Gansu 1.94 0.07 0.16 5.91 0.00 0.55 9.77 0.00 0.66 8.92 0.00 0.82
Guangdong 0.29 0.78 0.00 -0.19 0.85 0.27 -6.91 0.00 0.46 -2.30 0.04 0.21
Guangxi 3.03 0.01 0.01 -0.55 0.59 0.01 -4.58 0.00 0.17 -0.47 0.65 0.11
Guizhou 2.19 0.04 0.03 3.53 0.00 0.00 -1.37 0.19 0.06 0.28 0.78 0.02
Hainan -0.93 0.36 0.03 1.17 0.26 0.16 -4.67 0.00 0.15 -3.99 0.00 0.02
Hebei -4.17 0.00 0.43 -8.13 0.00 0.71 -6.52 0.00 0.51 -2.83 0.01 0.45
Heilongjiang 3.27 0.00 0.60 4.77 0.00 0.44 4.83 0.00 0.02 0.36 0.73 0.32
Henan -10.51 0.00 0.08 -9.23 0.00 0.37 -12.31 0.00 0.38 -7.57 0.00 0.27
Hong Kong -1.74 0.10 0.00 -1.27 0.22 0.36 -6.27 0.00 0.08 -3.48 0.00 0.12
Hubei -6.20 0.00 0.10 -5.74 0.00 0.39 -7.99 0.00 0.36 -7.20 0.00 0.13
Hunan -2.10 0.05 0.02 -3.68 0.00 0.36 -6.74 0.00 0.38 -2.67 0.02 0.12
Jiangsu -9.11 0.00 0.35 -6.95 0.00 0.28 -7.26 0.00 0.02 -13.93 0.00 0.78
Jiangxi -2.54 0.02 0.00 -4.22 0.00 0.29 -7.83 0.00 0.30 -2.71 0.02 0.16
Jilin 1.03 0.32 0.49 1.93 0.07 0.40 3.98 0.00 0.18 -2.30 0.04 0.86
Liaoning -0.75 0.46 0.59 -2.33 0.03 0.44 0.64 0.53 0.07 -2.96 0.01 0.66
Nei Mongol 0.31 0.76 0.82 1.05 0.31 0.80 8.70 0.00 0.50 1.39 0.18 0.93
Ningxia -1.99 0.06 0.04 -1.48 0.16 0.30 0.56 0.58 0.44 -0.15 0.88 0.89
Qinghai 1.33 0.20 0.25 7.56 0.00 0.24 9.94 0.00 0.61 6.30 0.00 0.92
Shaanxi 0.56 0.58 0.02 0.37 0.72 0.29 1.01 0.33 0.62 1.86 0.08 0.43
Shandong -8.08 0.00 0.58 -8.06 0.00 0.58 -8.88 0.00 0.34 -6.90 0.00 0.42
Shanghai -0.87 0.40 0.15 -2.51 0.02 0.05 -2.42 0.03 0.22 -5.80 0.00 0.30
Shanxi -2.45 0.03 0.01 -4.19 0.00 0.62 -2.60 0.02 0.67 -1.43 0.18 0.22
Sichuan 4.51 0.00 0.02 4.09 0.00 0.05 -0.12 0.90 0.24 1.10 0.29 0.18
Tianjin -4.85 0.00 0.35 -8.29 0.00 0.24 -4.93 0.00 0.36 -2.80 0.01 0.04
Xinjiang -7.76 0.00 0.46 -5.93 0.00 0.51 0.26 0.80 0.70 -2.57 0.02 0.92
Xizang 11.46 0.00 0.37 16.02 0.00 0.49 18.27 0.00 0.60 22.44 0.00 0.84
Yunnan 8.83 0.00 0.00 14.33 0.00 0.08 10.07 0.00 0.43 10.13 0.00 0.18
Zhejiang -1.94 0.07 0.01 -2.03 0.06 0.04 -4.07 0.00 0.14 -3.48 0.00 0.09
Table 4
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Despite the advantage of using zonal statistics when describing a general AOD trend
based on administrative divisions, a relatively large size of each divisions works as a
disadvantage when observing the target area in detail. The variation of AOD within the
division may exist which indicates a possibility of misleading the viewer to generalize the
outcome as a single value when using zonal statistics which yields only an averaged value
within the zone. In order to make up for the weak points in using zonal statistics, the map of
the Aerosols Distribution of China (Figure 7) was made with using a method of Unsupervised
Classification. Unsupervised classification accumulates the pixels based on the similarities of
the class, and then regenerates the image according to the newly specified classes15. The
mean AOD image over six years (2000-2005) was used as a target feature for performing this
method. Figure 7, an outcome of using unsupervised classification, provides a good reference
for analyzing a general trend of mean AOD in China from 2000 to 2005.
Figure 7.
15http://geog.hkbu.edu.hk/virtuallabs/rs/classification3.htm
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4. Results
Operating zonal statistics yielded an annual means of AOD of administrative
divisions in China from March 2000 to September 2005 (Table 1) and some divisions
revealed interesting outcomes compared to other divisions. According to the result, Shanghai,
Henan, Tianjin, Anhui, and Hunan were ranked within top five highest mean values.
Particularly, Shanghai had a record of 0.88 in 2004, which indicates the highest value among
any other divisions during this study period. Guangdong, Hong Kong, Hubei, Jiangsu, and
Shandong also ranked next to the previous top five groups. These divisions correspond to the
target area revealed in Figure 2, which indicates the east, and southeastern regions where
rapid economic development and urbanization is in progress. This trend also can be identified
in Figure 7, which shows a heavy concentration of high AOD around east and southeast
region of China. Regarding that the Gobi desert contributing to forming dust storms, the
divisions near the desert including Gansu, Nei Mongol and Xinjiang were expected to show a
high mean AOD, however, the result indicated that their means are around the China mean or
much lower. Overall mean AOD of China maintained between 0.23 and 0.25 except in 2005
(0.30).
The averaged seasonal mean AOD values (Table 2) indicated seasonal patterns based
on the geographical location. The divisions adjacent to Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and
South China Sea except Hebei and Guangdong revealed the highest AOD in summer. These
divisions are known to have a rapid and active economic development where we can
normally expect to see large amounts of chemical gas emissions. Shanghai was ranked first
among other divisions in terms of mean AOD (1.18) in summer. On the other hand, the
divisions around Gobi desert including Gansu, Nei Mongol and Xinjiang revealed to have the
highest AOD in winter, although their values were relatively lower than those divisions in
east and south coast of China. This result may imply the movement of dust storm caused by
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Siberian cold front during winter. Figure 4 reveals a seasonal pattern that corresponds to
result from Table 2. Circular shape of AOD concentration can be found around in the east and
southeast area in the image of summer (JJA). Overall, winter image (DJF) reveals a
somewhat spread-out pattern. However, a partial concentration of AOD is noticeable around
Nei Mongol and northwest of China.
For assessing a significance of statistical difference between the continent of China
and each administrative division, the annual and seasonal paired t-test was performed based
on the mean annual and seasonal AOD (Table 3 and 4). The t-value indicates whether the
mean of China as a whole is greater or less than each division. Negative t-value indicates that
the division has a higher AOD than China mean. The p-value less than 0.05 indicates that
there is a statistical difference in mean AOD between China and division. The r-value implies
a degree of correlation between two study groups. If the r-value is positive and closer to one,
it indicates a very strong positive correlation. The r-value around zero reveals a very weak
correlation or no correlation. While Shanghai, one of the heavily developed area in the east
coast, stood out with its very high annual mean AOD throughout the years in Table 1 and its
negative t-value (-3.39) proved it is greater than China mean , its r-value was near 0 which
indicates a non-directional correlation. However, still Shanghai revealed to have a negative t-
value and a zero p-value indicating the statistical difference exist compared to national
average. Some parts of east and southeast divisions in general showed high negative t-values
with low p-values (p<0.05) and r-values near to 1, which indicates they have significantly
greater mean AOD than China mean and have strong positive correlation. Hunan (-11.43) has
the highest negative t-value, followed by Henan (-9.91) and Shandong (-9.55). The rest of the
divisions that were ranked within top 10 in terms of high mean annual AOD also revealed
high t-values, though r-values were low. Except Anhui (-8.42) and Jiangsu (-7.33),
Guangdong (-7.75), Tianjin (-5.98), Hong Kong (-5.00), Hubei (-9.22) had r-values that are
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lower than 0.5 which indicates a weak correlation. Unlike the east and southeast regions
where the industrialization is accelerating, the divisions around the Gobi desert showed an
opposite trend. Gansu (9.32), Nei Mongol (11.71), and Xinjiang (0.30) have positive t-values
which indicate that the surrounding regions of the Gobi desert has lower mean AOD than the
China mean. Overall, negative t-values throughout the east and southeast areas corresponded
to a rapid economic development and urbanization in this area16, which we can infer that high
AOD is correlated to the gas emission from major cities and industrial complexes. The
surrounding areas of Gobi desert showed positive t-values. Considering that the area contains
great amounts of dust and it is well known as where the dust storm forms, the positive t-value
was not expected result.
The result of seasonal paired t-test (Table 4) reveals a similar trend to that of Annual
paired t-test, which shows high t-values in east and southeast regions. Compared to other
divisions, Henan stood out throughout the season in terms of high negative t-values. Except
winter (-7.57) when ranked third, it had the highest negative t- value for spring (-10.51),
summer (-9.23), and fall (-12.31). Anhui continuously ranked second from summer to winter,
which also remarkably stood out. Shandong also showed consistency with high negative t-
values which was placed within top five throughout the seasons. Xinjiang, located in
northwestern area of China and near to Gobi desert, brought my attention with showing
negative t-values in spring (-7.76) and winter (-2.57). The result may support a frequent
occurrence of ‘dust storm’ in early spring around in Gobi desert.
5. Summary
The observation illustrates the advantage of using MISR data for measuring and
monitoring the trend of spatial and temporal distribution of aerosol optical depth over China.
Using techniques of zonal statistics, paired t-test, and unsupervised classification yielded
16http://www.iupac.org/publications/pac/2004/pdf/7606x1227.pdf
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tables and images, indicating east and southeast region of China is experiencing a high
concentration of AOD. Seasonal pattern was also found in northwestern and Gobi desert
regions which showed the highest AOD in winter compared to the other seasons. The increase
of aerosols throughout China is expected in long term since an industrialization coupled with
desertification mostly caused by human factors looks evident and it is continuously
intensifying. In order to prevent the further influence of aerosols accumulation over China
and East Asia in the future, monitoring the spatial and temporal variability of AOD should be
continued and integrated to the later study.
Acknowledgements
I would like to thank Professor Thomas Frank for advising my undergraduate
research. I would also like to acknowledge the advice received from Dr. Dave Diner, Chief
Scientist, MISR Mission, Jet Propulsion Lab with regard to problems with MISR AOD values
over the Sea of Japan.
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