cars, crashes and countermeasures · 8/20/2011 · update: annual crashes potentially prevented or...
TRANSCRIPT
www.iihs.org
Cars, Crashes and Countermeasures
The Basic Principles of Risk Management and Insurance: Insurance 101 for State Legislators
Columbus, OH ● August 20, 2011
David S. Zuby
www.iihs.org
The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety,
founded in 1959, is an independent, nonprofit, scientific, and educational
organization dedicated to reducing the losses — deaths, injuries, and
property damage — from crashes on the nation's highways.
The Highway Loss Data Institute,
founded in 1972, shares and supports this mission through scientific
studies of insurance data representing the human and economic losses
resulting from the ownership and operation of different types of vehicles
and by publishing insurance loss results by vehicle make and model.
Both organizations are wholly supported by auto insurers.
www.iihs.org
Motor vehicle crashes2009
• 5,498,000 police-reported crashes
• 2,242,000 injured
• 33,808 killed
• Additional crashes are not reported to police but result in
insurance costs
www.iihs.org
Insurance losses from motor vehicle crashes15 million crashes resulting in 22 million claims in 2009
• $50 billion in property damage claim losses
– $30 billion in 1st party damage (collision coverage)
– $20 billion in 3rd party damage (property damage liability)
• $35 billion in injury claim losses
– $11 billion in 1st party injuries
$7 billion in PIP coverage
$4 billion in MedPay coverage
– $24 billion in 3rd party injuries (BI coverage)
www.iihs.org
0
20
40
60
80
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
1950 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 2000 05
Motor vehicle crash deaths and deaths per billion vehicle miles traveled1950-2009
motor vehicle deaths
deaths per billion vehicle miles traveled
11.3 per billion
33,808
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Haddon matrixRecognizing opportunities to make a difference
crash phase
changes in… before during after
people
•graduated licensing
•impaired driving laws
•licensing laws
•belt use
•helmets
•alcohol
vehicles
•lane departure warning
•daytime running lights
•electronic stability control
•airbags
•vehicle structure
•bumpers
•OnStar
•fuel system integrity
environment
•roundabouts
•red light cameras
•speed cameras
•trouble spot treatment
•roundabouts
•breakaway poles
•speed cameras
•emergency medical
sservices
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Teenage drivers
www.iihs.org
10
20
30
40
50
1996 1997 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
Fatal crashes per 100,000 peoplePassenger vehicle drivers, by driver age, 1996-2009
-68%
-52%
-43%
-39%
-33%
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Percent reduction in crash ratesamong drivers 15-17 years oldBy graduated licensing component
0 5 10 15 20
30 hours of practice driving
teen passengers limited to 0 or 1
9 pm driving restriction
1 year delay in license age
1 year delay in permit age
fatal crashes per population
collision claim frequencies
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21 percent potential reduction in teens’ fatal crash rate in North Carolina if adopted New York provisions
New York North Carolina
minimum permit age 16 15
hours of
practice driving50 0
license age 16½ 16
nighttime restriction9 pm;
lifted age 17
9 pm;
lifted age 16½
passenger
restriction
no more than 1;
lifted age 17
no more than 1;
lifted age 16½
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36 percent potential reduction in teens’ fatal crash rates in North Dakota if some provisions were added
current
provisions
hypothetical
changes
minimum permit age 14 14
hours of
practice driving-- 50
minimum intermediate
license age14½ 14½
nighttime restriction --10 pm;
lifted age 17
passenger restriction --no passengers;
lifted age 17
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19 percent potential reduction in teens’ fatal crash rate in Ohio if adopted New York provisions
New York Ohio
minimum permit age 16 15½
hours of
practice driving50 50
license age 16½ 16
nighttime restriction9 pm;
lifted age 17
12 am;
lifted age 17
passenger
restriction
no more than 1;
lifted age 17
no more than 1;
lifted age 17
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Recent press conference on STANDUP Act
www.iihs.org
Proposed STANDUP ActSafe teen and novice driver uniform protection
Learner’s phase
• Minimum age 16
• 6 month duration
• Cellphone and nighttime driving restrictions
Intermediate phase
• At least 6 months; graduate no younger than age 18
• Cellphone, nighttime driving, and passenger restrictions
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Red light cameras
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www.iihs.org
stop sign34%
other7%
no traffic control27%
7,358 deaths at intersections in 2009Distribution by type of traffic control
red light
running
crash
deaths
9%
23%
signal light
32%
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red light running driver36%
occupants of vehicles that didn’t
run light46%
pedestrian, bicyclist, other
6%
676 deaths in red light running crashes in 2009Distribution by type of road user
12%
passengers in
red light running vehicles
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Reductions in red light violations at intersections with signal lightsWith and without cameras, per 10,000 vehicles
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
Fairfax, VA Oxnard, CA
with cameras
without cameras
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US communities with red light cameras1992-2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
1992 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
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Study cities with and without red light cameras,by population in 2004-08
red light cameras
no cameras
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Percent change in fatal crash rates in large cities with and without red light cameras2004-08 vs. 1992-96
cities with
red light
cameras
cities without
red light
cameras
rate of red light
running fatal
crashes
-35 -14
rate of fatal
crashes at
intersections
with signal lights
-14 +2
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Percent difference in actual fatal crash ratesduring 2004-08 in cities with red light camerasvs. expected rates without cameras
-30
-20
-10
0
red light running fatal crashes
fatal crashes at intersections with signal lights
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Crash testing andvehicle crashworthiness
www.iihs.org
IIHS Crashworthiness EvaluationsFront and side crash tests, roof strength and whiplash mitigation
www.iihs.org
TOP SAFETY PICKHelps consumers identify safest models
• 2006 criteria
– Gold: Good front, side and rear ratings
– Silver: Good front & side ratings plus acceptable rear rating
• 2007/08 criteria
– Good front, side & rear ratings
– Available with ESC
• 2009/10 criteria
– Good front, side, rear and roof strength ratings
– Available with ESC
www.iihs.org
2011 TOP SAFETY PICK winners, as of August 2011Large cars
Buick LaCrosse
Buick Regal
BMW 5 series
Cadillac CTS sedan
Chrysler 300
Dodge Charger
Ford Taurus
Hyundai Equus
Hyundai Genesis
Infiniti M37/M56
Lincoln MKS
Mercedes E class
Saab 9-5
Toyota Avalon
Volvo S80
Midsize carsAudi A3
Audi A4 sedan
Chevrolet Malibu
Chrysler 200
Dodge Avenger
Ford Fusion
Hyundai Sonata
Kia Optima
Lincoln MKZ
Mercedes C class
Subaru Legacy
Subaru Outback
Volkswagen CC
Volkswagen Jetta sedan
Volkswagen Jetta SportWagen
Volvo C30
Volvo S60
Small carsChevrolet Cruze
Chevrolet Volt
Ford Focus
Honda Civic 4-door
Hyundai Elantra
Kia Forte
Kia Soul
Lexus CT 200h
Mazda 3 sedan/hatchback
Mini Cooper Countryman
Mitsubishi Lancer
Nissan Cube
Nissan Juke
Nissan Leaf
Scion tC
Scion xB
Subaru Impreza
Toyota Corolla
Toyota Prius
Volkswagen Golf
Volkswagen GTI
MinicarFord Fiesta
MinivansHonda Odyssey
Toyota Sienna
Large SUVsBuick Enclave
Chevrolet Traverse
GMC Acadia
Volkswagen Touareg
Large pickupsFord F-150
Toyota Tundra
Midsize SUVsAudi Q5
Cadillac SRX
Chevrolet Equinox
Dodge Durango
Dodge Journey
Ford Edge
Ford Explorer
Ford Flex
GMC Terrain
Hyundai Santa Fe
Infiniti EX35
Jeep Grand Cherokee
Kia Sorento
Lexus RX
Lincoln MKT
Lincoln MKX
Mercedes GLK
Saab 9-4X
Subaru Tribeca
Toyota Highlander
Toyota Venza
Volvo XC60
Volvo XC90
Small SUVsHonda Element
Hyundai Tucson
Jeep Patriot
Kia Sportage
Subaru Forester
Volkswagen Tiguan
www.iihs.org
Low-speed vehiclesType defined by NHTSA in 1998
“to make short trips for shopping, social, and recreational
purposes primarily within retirement or other planned
communities with golf courses”
• 4 wheels and top speed of at least 20 mph but not more
than 25 mph
• Exempt from most federal motor vehicle safety standards
• Not required to meet any criteria for vehicle crashworthiness
• Must be equipped with headlights, taillights, stoplights,
reflectors, mirrors, parking brake, windshield, and safety belts
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Low-speed vehicles
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Roads where low-speed vehicles are permittedAugust 2011
MD
DE
DC
MA
OR
RINJ
NH
ME
PA
WV
NC
SC
GA
FL
OH
MI
INIL
WI
IA
MO
LA
NM
CO
SD
ID
CA
WA
TN
VT
MS
MT ND
NV
AZ
UT
WY
NE
KS
OK
TX
AR
MN
AL
KY VA
NY
CT
AK
HI
25 mph or less
30 mph or less
35 mph or less
45 mph or less
doesn’t impede traffic
local option
no state law
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Truck underride testing
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Crash avoidance technologies
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Examples of crash avoidance technology
lane departure prevention blind spot detection
forward collision warning
and auto braking
adaptive headlights
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Update: annual crashes potentially prevented or mitigated, 2004-08By type of system
all injury fatal
forward collision
warning1,162,000 66,000 742
lane departure warning 179,000 37,000 7,529
blind zone detection 395,000 20,000 393
adaptive headlights 142,000 29,000 2,484
total unique crashes 1,863,000 148,000 10,106
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Percent of crashes that potentially could be prevented or mitigated, 2004-08
all injury fatal
all crashes 5,825,000 698,000 33,035
total unique crashes 1,863,000 148,000 10,106
percent of crashes 32% 21% 31%
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www.hldi.org
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Property damage liability claim frequencies for 2010 Volvo XC60With City Safety vs. other 2009-10 midsize luxury SUVs
www.hldi.org
Bodily injury claim frequencies for 2010 Volvo XC60With City Safety vs. other 2009-10 midsize luxury SUVs
0
20
40
60
80
100
www.hldi.org
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Collision claim severities for 2010 Volvo XC60With City Safety vs. other 2009-10 midsize luxury SUVs
www.hldi.org
Volvo XC60 City Safety
vs. other Volvosclaim
frequency
claim
severity
overall
losses
property damage liability -24.5% -19.2% -13.7% $488 $646 $794 -$5 $2 $7
bodily injury -62.3% -49.2% -31.4%
collision -20.2% -16.7% -13.0% -$362 -$147 $58 -$72 -$53 -$36
vs. other midsize
luxury SUVs
claim
frequency
claim
severity
overall
losses
property damage liability -29.3% -26.6% -23.9% $174 $270 $362 -$21 -$17 -$125
bodily injury -58.9% -51.1% -41.8%
collision -23.8% -22.0% -20.1% -$645 -$517 -$392 -$109 -$98 -$86
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Dedicated to reducing deaths, injuries,and property damage on the highway