cambridge office & lab market report · •age therapeutics is in early talks to lease anywhere...
TRANSCRIPT
CAMBRIDGE OFFICE & LAB MARKET REPORT
FIRST QUARTER 2019
CAMBRIDGE OFF TO A HOT START ONCE AGAINCambridge star ted 2019 maintaining incredibly low of f ice and lab vacancy rates with
asking rents continuing to move up. Last year, Massachusetts received roughly $12 bill ion
of venture capital funding and lead the nation in R&D funding per capita. Cambridge’s
reputation as one of the world’s premier technology and innovation markets is at the
forefront of driving this growth and funding. With prestigious universities such as Harvard
and MIT deeply embedded in Cambridge’s fabric, some of the world’s most innovative
new companies are eager to expand in or relocate to the tech hub.
Largely fueled by the explosive growth of the life science, technology & biotech sectors,
Cambridge has over one million square feet of spec life science space under development
for delivery between 2019 and 2021; most experts agree that the majority of this space
will deliver to market 100% pre-leased. Looking forward, Cambridge’s future remains
extremely bright with a deep concentration of intellectual and investment capital keeping
the market fueled for years to come.
3.0%FEBRUARY
MASSACHUSETTS UNEMPLOYMENT
# 3.8%FEBRUARY NATIONAL
UNEMPLOYMENT
$12BMASSACHUSETTS ANNUAL (2018) VC FUNDING
#1NATIONALLY
R&D FUNDINGPER CAPITA
MARKET TRENDS
GLOBAL DESTINATIONWorld leader in medical innovation and
technology advancement
TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION HUB
Fortune 500 leaders and 1,900 homegrown startups
LIFE SCIENCE SECTOR SURGESHuge demand from National and
International companies
WHERE IS THE RELIEF?Small and medium size users face
historic competition
MARKET RATES KEEP RISING
Demand out-pacing supply,no relief for price sensitive users
COWORKING SPACE DISRUPTING MARKET
Tenants like flexibility and shorter term commitments
INVESTMENT SALES PRICING CLIMBING
Properties are setting record pricing
$28.00
$34.00
$40.00
$46.00
$52.00
$58.00
$64.00
$70.00
$76.00
$82.00
Average Asking Rate
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720060%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Direct Vacancy (%)
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
$35.00
$40.00
$45.00
$50.00
$55.00
$60.00
$65.00
$70.00
Average Asking Rate
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720060%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Direct Vacancy (%)
OFFICE CLASS AASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
OFFICE CLASS BASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
DIRECT VACANCY RATE BY SUBMARKET
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%
East - Lab
Mid - Lab
East - O�ce
West - Lab
Mid - O�ce
West - O�ce
none
none
VACANCY
1.9%
CAMBRIDGE OFFICE STATS AT A GLANCE
SUBLEASE
4.0%ABSORPTION
24,100 sf
ASKING RATE
$75.93/sf
WEST CAMBRIDGE
OFFICE $52.20/SF
LAB $64.36/SF NNN
MID CAMBRIDGE
OFFICE $67.12/SF
LAB $80.43/SF NNN
EAST CAMBRIDGE
OFFICE $88.06/SF
LAB $86.26/SF NNN
AVAILABILITY
10.3%CONSTRUCTION
2.8MM sf
CLASS A & B OFFICE
#1.9% DIRECT VACANCY
4.0% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
#10.3% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
24,100 SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$75.93/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• While many developers are looking to build new space in
order to satisfy demand for office, others are taking a different
re-purposing strategy. New England Development plans to
convert the third floor of the CambridgeSide Galleria Mall
from traditional retail to 140,000 square foot of contiguous
office space. In addition, developers are working on permitting
a mixed-use project that would replace the current Best Buy,
Sears, and Macy’s locations with four buildings that mix office
and lab uses along with ground-floor retail. In addition, the
long-stalled Middlesex Courthouse conversion, which would
create 430,000 square foot of office space as well as 24 income
restricted housing units, is reportedly inching closer to fruition
with some experts believing construction could start by the
end of this year.
• Boston Properties received unanimous approval from the
Cambridge Planning Board and Cambridge Redevelopment
Authority for a 16-story glass tower in Kendall Square. The
building will replace the MIT Coop at 325 Main Street and
Google recently confirmed plans to lease roughly 362,000
square feet. The project could also feature a new entryway
for the MBTA’s Kendall Square station as well as a connection
to Google’s current offices at 355 Main Street. Across the
street, Boston Properties continued construction of 314 Main
Street which will house Boeing, Apple and Capital One when
completed next year.
• As vacancy in Cambridge hovers around two percent and rents
approach triple digits, tenants are more frequently seeking
alternative locations just outside the city’s limits. Areas like
Somerville, Boston and Watertown are legitimate alternatives.
Most recently, Amazon announced that its Alexa Business unit
will lease 50,000 square feet at One Cabot in Medford with
access to the MBTA orange line and the robotics workforce
which tends to cluster north and west of the city. Securing
Amazon is a big win for Medford and lends further credibility
to inner suburban markets which also recently secured a major
relocation and consolidation from Puma into 150,000 square
feet at Assembly Row.
ADDRESS SUBMARKET TENANT SF
325 Main Street East Cambridge Google 320,000
314 Main Street East Cambridge Capital One 78,300
One Main Street East Cambridge Aegerion 31,500
One Main Street East Cambridge Alnylam 23,350
One Main Street East Cambridge Genevant 11,150
One Main Street East Cambridge nFerence 7,600
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
CLASS A & B OFFICE
$20.00
$27.00
$34.00
$41.00
$48.00
$55.00
$62.00
$69.00
$76.00
$83.00
$90.00
20192018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820070.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
2019201820172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
West Mid East
OFFICE & LAB DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
145 BROADWAY Office & Lab
314 MAIN STREET Office
250 NORTH STREET Office & Lab
238 MAIN STREET Lab
400/500 CAMBRIDGE DISCOVERY Office & Lab
325 MAIN STREET Office
350 DAWES Office
450 DAWES Lab
CLASS A & B LAB
0.1% DIRECT VACANCY
0.2% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
#0.5% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
# (28,600) SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$83.54/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• Sage Therapeutics is in early talks to lease anywhere between
250,000 and 350,000 square feet of office at Cambridge
Crossing in DivcoWest’s 45-acre East Cambridge mixed-use
development. Sage’s rumored expansion comes after the U.S.
Food and Drug Administration approved Zulresso, Sage’s drug
to help treat postpartum depression. The Cambridge-based
company currently has 58,000 square feet at 215 First Street
and just over 40,000 square feet at 245 First Street. This would
only add to Cambridge Crossing’s prominence after Sanofi
signed a 900,000 square foot lease at the end of 2018.
• Invaio Sciences, a biomaterials and biotechnology company,
signed a full building lease for 37,500 square feet at 75 Moulton
Street, part of The Davis Companies and Invesco’s Quad
campus. The same ownership team has also commenced a
lab conversion program at the neighboring 10 Wilson Road
property. Meanwhile at their holding on the other side of the
tracks, Syros Pharmaceuticals signed a 53,000 square foot lease
at The Arc on Cambridgepark Drive.
• Back in East Cambridge, Alexandria RE completed its
construction of 399 Binney Street which is home to Celsius
Therapeutics, Relay Therapeutics, and Rubius Therapeutics.
The 165,000 square foot project which began construction on a
speculative basis was quickly pre-leased and becomes the latest
addition to East Cambridge supply.
• Pricing in the investment sale market remained extremely
competitive. HCP purchased a 60% interest of 75-125 Binney
Street for $1,880 per square foot with Alexandria RE remaining
on board. HCP also recapped 87 Cambridgepark Drive in
West Cambridge partnering with familiar friend, King Street
Properties. At $1,110 per square foot the transaction represents
the new highwater mark for the Alewife submarket.
• Perhaps drafting off the success of neighboring Cambridgepark
Drive, Bulfinch Company has begun construction on a
speculative 270,000 square foot lab building that will become
West Cambridge’s newest asset when it comes online.
ADDRESS SUBMARKET TENANT SF
35 & 40 Landsdowne Street East Cambridge Millennium/Takeda 417,100
300 Third Street East Cambridge Alnylam 129,000
301 Binney Street East Cambridge Cyclerion Therapeutics 114,500
35 CambridgePark Drive West Cambridge Syros Pharma 52,900
45 Sidney Street Mid Cambridge BluePrint Medicines 39,400
75 Moulton Street West Cambridge Invaio Sciences 37,500
399 Binney Street East Cambridge Rubius Therapeutics 20,000
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
CLASS A & B LAB
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
West Mid East
$25.00
$30.00
$35.00
$40.00
$45.00
$50.00
$55.00
$60.00
$65.00
$70.00
$75.00
$80.00
$85.00
$90.00
201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
BEHIND THE SCENES WHATS DRIVING DEMAND?
VC INVESTMENT BEING CONCENTRATED INTO FEWER DEALS, BUT TOTAL INVESTMENT GROWING
OFFICE RENTS
55%
IN THE PAST 5 YEARS
MA Funding (2018)
$2.9 BILLION
HIGHER THAN STATEWIDE17%
$83,100MEDIAN HH INCOME
180 BASIS POINTS LOWER THAN NATIONAL AVERAGE
CAMBRIDGE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
START-UP, TECHNOLOGY & LIFE SCIENCE COMPANIES
TECHNOLOGYINCUBATORS
BOSTON IS THE #2 TOP NATIONAL
STARTUP HUB
15% OF CAMBRIDGE'S TOP 25 EMPLOYERS
LIFE SCIENCE & VC HUB
OFFICE & LAB REPORT STATS
OfficeTotal
Inventory (SF)Direct
VacancySublease
AvailabilityTotal
Availability Quarterly
Absorption (SF)12 Month
Absorption (SF)Average
Asking Rate
TOTAL A & B
Cambridge 11,117,200 1.9% 4.0% 10.3% (20,150) 24,100 $75.93
East Cambridge 6,051,350 1.0% 3.5% 11.5% (6,450) 5,650 $88.06
Mid Cambridge 3,135,700 2.0% 2.5% 5.9% (450) (4,550) $67.12
West Cambridge 1,930,150 4.4% 8.2% 13.9% (13,250) 23,050 $52.20
CLASS A
Cambridge 7,360,450 1.7% 5.3% 7.5% (8,600) 23,300 $81.41
East Cambridge 5,032,500 0.9% 4.1% 5.5% 10,550 (21,250) $89.33
Mid Cambridge 1,224,500 1.0% 4.8% 5.8% - 25,400 $71.08
West Cambridge 1,103,450 5.7% 11.5% 18.4% (19,150) 19,150 $56.75
CLASS B
Cambridge 3,756,700 2.5% 1.5% 16.0% (11,550) 800 $65.18
East Cambridge 1,018,850 2.0% 0.5% 41.2% (17,000) 26,900 $81.75
Mid Cambridge 1,911,200 2.7% 1.0% 6.1% (450) (30,000) $64.58
West Cambridge 826,650 2.5% 3.7% 8.0% 5,900 3,900 $46.13
LabTotal
Inventory (SF)Direct
VacancySublease
AvailabilityTotal
Availability Quarterly
Absorption (SF)12 Month
Absorption (SF)Average
Asking Rate
TOTAL A & B
Cambridge 14,662,550 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 98,050 (28,550) $83.54
East Cambridge 9,660,700 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% (1,150) 2,850 $86.26
Mid Cambridge 4,336,800 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 4,900 (5,300) $80.43
West Cambridge 665,000 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 94,300 (26,100) $64.36
CLASS A
Cambridge 12,174,400 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% (1,150) 2,850 $85.14
East Cambridge 9,005,750 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% (1,150) 2,850 $86.50
Mid Cambridge 3,039,550 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% - - $81.75
West Cambridge 129,100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - $70.00
CLASS B
Cambridge 2,488,100 0.4% 0.5% 2.4% 9,900 19,500 $75.74
East Cambridge 654,950 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% - - $83.00
Mid Cambridge 1,297,250 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 4,900 (5,300) $77.33
West Cambridge 535,900 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 5,000 24,800 $63.00
Lincoln Property Company | 53 State Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA | 617.951.4100 | LPCBoston.com
Lincoln Property Company’s Boston Office Report is produced by the Boston Office’s research team in collaboration with our Cambridge Brokerage Group. If you have any questions regarding market conditions and the information found in this report, please contact Ethan Robert.
ETHAN ROBERTDirector of Research 617.951.4160 [email protected]
CONNOR MALONEYAnalyst 617.951.4141 [email protected]