business & general aviation -...
TRANSCRIPT
Business & General Aviation
Investor MeetingNovember 9, 2005
2 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
These materials contain certain statements that may be deemed “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, that address activities, events or developments that we or our management intends, expects, projects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based upon certain assumptions and assessments made by our management in light of their experience and their perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. The forward-looking statements included in these materials are also subject to a number of material risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to economic, competitive, governmental, and technological factors affecting our operations, markets, products, services and prices. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, andactual results, developments and business decisions may differ from those envisaged by such forward-looking statements.
Forward Looking Statements
3 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Agenda
• Introduction• Who We Are and What We Do:
- Products- Organization
• Business Aviation Market Outlook• Market and Product Strategy • Advanced Technology• Summary• NBAA Booth Tour• Dinner
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• 117,000 employees in nearly 100 countries
• A Fortune 75 company – $27.6 billion in sales in 2005
• One of 30 select companies in the DJIA
Honeywell Today
34%16%
16%12%15%
7%
Automation & Control
Specialty Materials Transportation
Defense & Space
Air Transport & Regional
Business & General Aviation
Products and Organization
6 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Aerospace
Business & General Aviation
$1.8BIn
2005ESales
$4.2BIn
2005ESales
Air Transport & Regional Defense & Space
$4.5BIn
2005ESales
OE 45%AM 55%
2003 2004 2005E
Global MixGlobal Mix
Sales GrowthSales Growth
-9%22%
27%
Business & General Aviation Sales CAGR 25%
1%11%
88%AmericasEurope/
Middle EastOther
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Honeywell Products In Business Aviation
Integrated AvionicsFlight Management Systems
Cockpit DisplaysSafety and Terrain Systems
Lighting Systems
Cabin Management/Entertainment Systems
8 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Mechanical Systems
Diversified Product Offering
Platforms • Bombardier Challenger 300, Learjet 40, Learjet 45• Dassault Falcon 900EX, 50EX • Raytheon Hawker 800XP
G0123-3
Mechanical ~ 55% of Sales
• Gulfstream G150, G350, G450, G550• Cessna Citation X, Citation VII • Bell 407
Turbofan Engines (jet) • HTF 7000• TFE 731• CFE 738
APUs • 336-100/150• RE-220• RE-200• RE-100
Turboshaft Engines (Helo) • HTS 900• HTS 800
Turboprop Engines • TPE 331
Environmental Control Systems • Cabin Pressure• Heat Exchange • Air Compression
Engine and Mechanical Components• Fuel systems • Valves • Hydromechanical
9 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Avionics and Electronic Systems
Diversified Product Offering
Platforms • Bombardier Global Express, Global 5000, Challenger 604• Dassault Falcon 900EX, 2000 EX • Raytheon Hawker Horizon, Hawker 800XP
Avionics and Electronics ~ 45% of Sales
• Gulfstream G350, G450, G550• Cessna Sovereign, Citation X, Citation XLS • Pilatus
Integrated Avionics Systems• Primus Epic • Primus 2000 • Primus 1000
Safety And Surv. Products • EGPWS (Terrain
Awareness)• TCAS (Traffic) • RAAS (Runway
Awareness) • Weather Radar
Communications • Navigation Radios • Communications Radios• Flight Recorders
Flight Management Systems
Display Systems
Flight Controls • Autopilots • Fly By Wire Systems
Cabin Management/ Entertainment • Ovation E-series • Satcomm (e.g. TV) • Moving Maps
Lighting Systems• Exterior • Interior
10 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Production, Sales and Support
Global Sales, Support, Production, Development
Americas
• 15 Production Facilities
• 22 HON Repair and Overhaul Facilities
• 15 Engineering and Development Centers
• 170 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical Support Professionals
Americas
• 15 Production Facilities
• 22 HON Repair and Overhaul Facilities
• 15 Engineering and Development Centers
• 170 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical Support Professionals
EMEA• 3 Production Facilities• 6 HON Repair and Overhaul
Facilities• 4 Engineering and Development
Centers • 38 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical
Support Professionals
EMEA• 3 Production Facilities• 6 HON Repair and Overhaul
Facilities• 4 Engineering and Development
Centers • 38 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical
Support Professionals
Asia Pacific
• 4 Production Facilities• 7 HON Repair and Overhaul Facilities • 3 Engineering and Development
Centers • 20 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical
Support Professionals
Asia Pacific
• 4 Production Facilities• 7 HON Repair and Overhaul Facilities • 3 Engineering and Development
Centers • 20 Sales, Direct Customer/Technical
Support Professionals
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KEY:Avionics/ElectronicEngine/MechanicalOther MechanicalR&D/Key Support Locations
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11 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Direct contact point
What APU upgrades are available to
increase power?
Greater Simplicity for Complex CustomersCustomer Interaction - BeforeCustomer Interaction - Before
Falcon 900EXQuestions
Faster, Simpler, More Accountable
Avionics AftermarketBRGA (Avionics)
Air Frame Sys.
Engine Systems(ESS)
Propulsion
I’m interested in RAAS.
Where do I Turn?
Customer Interaction - BGACustomer Interaction - BGA
Aerospace Electronics Systems (AES)
Aftermarket Services Engine Sys. Accessories
Dealers/ Operators
Helicopter/GA OEMs
Gulfstream
Dassault
Cessna
Bombardier Raytheon
What MSP options do I have for my
fleet?
Falcon 900EX Questions
Service Centers
Business Aviation Market OutlookPublished by Honeywell
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Business Aviation Forecast Methodology
Primary Market Research (telephone survey with >1,400
representative operators, ~17% of
total population)
Econometric model (based on historical
economic/industry correlations)
Honeywell internal workshop to consider external factors
(e.g. supply chain bottlenecks)
OEM production input based on Honeywell
position as a supplier on virtually all aircraft
models
Annual Outlook Released at NBAA
(14th Year)
Forecast Developed Using Several Inputs
14 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Historical Industry Outlook Accuracy
14 Year Track Record
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Airc
raft
Del
iver
ies
Prior Year OutlookCurrent Year OutlookActual Deliveries
Post WarRevision
(April ‘03)
Accurate within 6%
15 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
World Fleet Growing@ 5.1% since 1995
World Fleet GrowingWorld Fleet Growing@ 5.1% since 1995@ 5.1% since 1995
World Operator Base Expanding@ 4.9% since 1995
World Operator Base ExpandingWorld Operator Base Expanding@ 4.9% since 1995@ 4.9% since 1995
World Fleet Count (thru 9/05 13,175 Jets)
World Operator Count (thru 10/05 8,323 Jet Operators)
World Business Jet Fleet and Operator Base
Over 13,000 Jets And 8,000 Operators
16 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
0
200
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1200
1965
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2011
2013
2015
Airc
raft
History Forecast
V-Light
Light
Light-Med
Medium
Medium-Large
Large
LR
ULRLong Range
2005 Industry Outlook for Executive Turbofan Deliveries
9,900 New Aircraft Deliveries From 2005-2015
2005-15 CAGR 3.4%
17 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
1985
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2005
2007
2009
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2013
2015
Con
stan
t $20
05 (M
)
History Forecast
V-LightLight
Light-MedMedium
Med-Lrg
Large
Long Range
Ultra Long Range
2005 Industry Outlook for Executive Turbofan Deliveries
$156B In New Aircraft Deliveries From 2005-2015
2005-15 CAGR 3.2%
18 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Forecast Results: 5 Year Industry Jet Demand
N. America60%
Asia Pacific & Rest of World
7%Europe
15%
Latin America14%
Middle East4%
New Turbofan Aircraft Only - Excludes Fractionals
3,500 3,500 -- 3,600 Aircraft Forecast for 20053,600 Aircraft Forecast for 2005--09; 09; Fractionals add additional ~525Fractionals add additional ~525--575 575
North America Majority…Demand Growing Faster In Other Regions
Market and Product Strategy
20 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
2X+
2X+
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Entry Light Lt-Med Medium Med-Lrg Large LongRange
Very LongRange
Business Aviation Growth
Honeywell Aligned With Aircraft Growth Areas
Airc
raft
Sale
s Va
lue
( 200
4 $M
) Avg. 2005-2014Avg. 1995-2004Areas of greatest $ opportunity
TFE731
Primus EPICPrimus 1000
HTF7000
Avionics
Engines
Business Jet Segment Evolution
Highest Growth In Larger Aircraft Where Honeywell Has Leading Products
21 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Integrated Avionics - Primus EPIC
• Embraer 170/175/190/195• Gulfstream G350, G450, G550 • Dassault F7X, 900EX, 900DX, 2000EX• Cessna Sovereign• Agusta AB139• Raytheon Hawker Horizon• Sino Swearingen SJ30-2
Foundation For Future Success
388
974
1855
Forecast Number of Primus EPIC Aircraft
• Center Of All Cockpit Information Processing– Safety/Communication/Navigation– Software Upgradeable – Prognostics/Diagnostics
• Engineering Familiarity– Utilize Current Architecture for Future Applications– Ease In Certification
• Cost Improvement – Software Development Scale Benefits – Reduction Of Module Count Leveraging Integration/Commonality
In Service Success, Achievements
Platform for Future Success
2005
2007
2010
22 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Unique Features
• Fully assembled propulsion system
• 90% of maintenance on wing/site
• Up to 5% lower fuel consumption
• Lower noise levels
• 50% fewer parts than TFE 731
• Service Centers around globe
HTF 7000 Entry into Service
Number of Engines in Service
Dispatchability Rate (Percent)
Hours Flown (thousands)
Number of in-flight shutdowns
HTF 7000 Well Positioned For Future Platforms
62
99.9
110
0
HTF 7000 Performance on Bombardier Challenger 300 Fleet (Entry into Service – Jan 2004)
Reliability very high
23 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Honeywell Delivery Outlook – Helicopters
24%24%
49%49%
20%
SegmentShare of
Deliveries
Approximately 5,800 Deliveries 2005-2015
7%7%
2005-09 ~2600+ a/c
Light Single-Engine
Light Twin-Engine
Intermediate Twin-Engine
0
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Helic
opte
r Un
its
Heavy-Lift
History Forecast
2010-14 ~ 2600 a/c2005-09 ~ 2600 a/c
11 Year Delivery Outlook – Civil Turbine Powered Helicopters
24 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
... Resulting in Opportunities for Continued Honeywell Success
Top Areas for Desired Improvement Cited by Operators (interviewed 10% of fleet)…
• Retrofits/Mods/Upgrades (RMUs)– Safety
• Cockpit Safety/Reliability – CDS/R• Runway/Airport Safety – RAAS• Synthetic Vision System – SVS
– Reliability/Cost of Ownership • APU, Engine upgrades • Software upgrades for Primus EPIC
– Passenger Comfort• Cabin Data and Entertainment Systems• Better weather detection
• Operator Service Programs– Better Cost of Ownership
• Engines, Avionics, APUs
Aftermarket Needs
Safety
Increased reliability/up-time
Maint & Operating Costs
Passenger Comfort
Weighting (%)
Meeting Operator Needs In Aftermarket
39
31
18
12
0 20 40 60
RMUs - Significant Sales
Opportunity
25 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
CDS/R Creates “EPIC Like” RetrofitCDS/R• Cockpit displays upgrade- from CRT to
LCD displays• Upgrade cost < 10% of hull value for
many aircraft
Benefits• Reliability
– Displays 3x+ improvement • Safety
– Situational awareness improvements – Better displays of terrain/weather/position
– Charts and maps– Weather (accuracy, timeliness)
• Maintenance and Operating Costs– Improved resale value
Customer Interest Growing• Planning for Variety of Platforms (~6) • Key Aftermarket Partner participation
From This
To This
Retrofit Allows Operators To Stay Current In Cockpit
26 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
RAAS – Improving Operator Safety RAAS• Runway Awareness and Advisory System• Software upgrade to Enhanced Ground
Proximity Warning System (EGPWS)• Provides verbal advisory messages on runway
information
Benefits • Reduced likelihood of accidents during taxi,
takeoff and landing• Every day a runway incursion occurs • Every 3 days a runway collision is “barely
avoided”• RAAS addresses primary causes
Customer Interest Growing• Installed on nearly 600 jets today with strong
growth forecast
Safety – Core Customer Need
27 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Additional Software Upgrades
Improving Operator Reliability, Safety And Comfort
FANS (Future Air Navigation System)• Provides Operator More Efficient Flight
Plans And Routes• Benefits
– Cost - Fuel Usage– Passenger Comfort - Reduced Flight Times
FMS (Flight Management Systems)• Primary Flight Processing Center For
Communication/Navigation• Benefits
– Reliability – Improved Flight Planning – Functionality – Better Data Accuracy
RNP (Required Navigation Performance)• Allows For Reduced Horizontal Separation
Between Aircraft• Benefits (Similar To RVSM)
– Reliability - Improved Air Space Utilization– Safety - Better Situational Awareness
85-125%125-200%
2004 Percent of Capacity
Shorter Routes
28 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Aftermarket Service ProgramsSatisfaction
(5=max)Enrollment
(%)
TFEEngine
HTFEngine
Avionics
APUs
4.4
N/A (warranty)
4.6
4.4
74%
90+%
10%
25%
Opportunity For Honeywell Value Added Services
Operator Benefits
•Controls costs •Enhances aircraft resale value• Improves reliability / Service level for operators
Maintenance Service ProtectionAvionics Protection Plan
Advanced Technology
30 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Partnership with Government Agencies Enables Continuous Technology Pipeline
Key Technology Drivers
Phase I Phase II
IHPTET VAATE
Low CostFuel EconomyHigh Power DensityEnvironmentally Friendly
Fuel Efficiency
1985 2005 2017
Phase I Phase II Phase IIIPhase III
PowerDensity
AffordableCapability
-20% -30% -40%
+40% +80% +120%
JTAGG I JTAGG II
JTAGG III
SHFE
AATE
FATE
3X 4X 5X
CompletePlanned
2XSTF
IHPTET
VAATE
ASTEVNERT
S&T
31 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
ReducedNoise
High Value Technologies Pave the Way to Future Products Low Cost/Durability
Fuel Economy ReducedEmissions
High PowerDensity
+ +
32 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
-30-25-20-15-10-50
Noi
se (E
PN
dB)
TFE731 HTF7000 Hon NextEngine Goals
Technology Key to Achieving Noise Goals
Noise Reduction Goal: 30 EPNdB below Stage 3
Noise Reduction Goals Meet Communities Demands
Novel Acoustic
Treatment• Light weight materials• Low cost manufacturing
Advanced Nozzles
• High mixing efficiency• Low cost and weight
Analytical Tools
•Multi-microphoneSignal Processing
•Computational Aero acoustics
•Quiet High Speed Fan
33 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Committed to Cleaner Air
Lowering Emissions Supports “Green” Goal
0
20
40
60
80
100
Rel
ativ
e N
Ox
Em
issi
ons
TFE731-60 (< 6000 lbs)
HTF7000 Hon NextEngine Goal
Low Emissions Design
• Lower Emissions• Improved
Operability
55% Emissions Reduction Goal
High Durability Combustor
• Lower Maintenance Cost
• Extended life
Advanced Fuel/Air Mixer
• Improved fuelatomization
• Lower emissions• Low smoke
34 Business & General Aviation Investor Meeting – November 9, 2005
Summary
Honeywell Strategic Focus
Growth In Larger AircraftGrowth In Larger Aircraft
Safety Key Aftermarket NeedSafety Key Aftermarket Need
Market Outlook
• Market Growing Over Long Term; Lots of Opportunity
• Major Products Well Positioned for High Growth OEM Segments
• Building on Aftermarket Success
• Developing Long-term Technology Leadership
Engines Well Positioned
Build On Primus Epic Success
Service, Retrofits and Upgrades
Honeywell Well Positioned In A Great Business