building bridges for a better tomorrow masfaa 2005 late stage delinquency assistance: a bridge over...
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Building Bridges for a Better Tomorrow MASFAA 2005
Late Stage Delinquency Assistance:
A Bridge Over Troubled Water
Mark Walsh Amy KerwinFSA Default Prevention Team Great Lakes Higher Education
U.S. Department of Education Guaranty Corporation
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What We’ll Talk About
• The Big Picture
• Reducing delinquent loans through LSDA– Why should I get involved?– What should I do?
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Student Loan Statistics
• Approximately $400 billion in outstanding federal student loans
• Nearly 30 million borrowers
• More than 50% of the outstanding FFEL and DL balance is in consolidation
• The average outstanding loan balance in consolidation is $18,240
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Composition of the OutstandingLoan Portfolio
Type of Loans Number of loans% to Total
Total Principal & Interest
% to Total
Stafford Sub. 39,048,155 49.1% $107,325,080,770 26.7%Stafford Unsub. 22,036,060 27.7% $75,908,037,857 18.9%Consolidation 10,432,719 13.1% $190,301,070,660 47.4%PLUS 2,978,623 3.7% $16,245,320,583 4.0%SLS 803,898 1.0% $3,321,484,742 0.8%Refinanced 56 0.0% $205,809 0.0%FISL 324,974 0.4% $274,390,715 0.1%Perkins 3,867,933 4.9% $8,461,713,993 2.1%Total 79,492,418 100.0% $401,837,305,129 100.0%
Average per Consolidated Loan 18,241$ Average per Non-Consolidated Loan 3,063$
Combined Title IV Loans
Source: NSLDS and Common Services for Borrowers (CSB) Data Mart (July 31, 2005)
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Composition of the OutstandingLoan Portfolio
Type of Loans Number of loans% to Total
Total Principal & Interest
% to Total
Stafford Sub. 24,953,347 50.2% 65,789,040,209$ 24.1%Stafford Unsub. 15,405,457 31.0% 53,731,132,895$ 19.7%Consolidation 7,123,780 14.3% 141,896,541,085$ 52.0%PLUS 1,984,025 4.0% 10,605,833,577$ 3.9%SLS 203,078 0.4% 624,594,911$ 0.2%Refinanced 20 0.0% 60,842$ 0.0%Total 49,669,707 100.0% 272,647,203,519$ 100.0%
Average per Consolidated Loan 19,919$ Average per Non-Consolidated Loan 3,073$
FFELP LoansNon-defaulted
Source: NSLDS (July 31, 2005)
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Composition of the OutstandingLoan Portfolio
Type of LoansNumber of
loans% to Total
Total Principal & Interest
% to Total
Stafford Sub. 8,367,739 48.8% 24,198,134,843$ 28.0%Stafford Unsub. 5,265,757 30.7% 17,742,313,004$ 20.5%Plus 803,704 4.7% 4,663,194,125$ 5.4%Consolidation 2,719,901 15.9% 39,930,285,841$ 46.1%Total 17,157,101 100.0% 86,533,927,813$ 100.00%
Average per Consolidated Loan 14,681$ Average per Non-Consolidated Loan 3,228$
Direct LoansNon-defaulted
Source: CSB Data Mart (July 31, 2005)
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Comparisons
• 1989-1990: 21% of undergraduates received Title IV financial aid
• 2003-2004: 46% of undergraduates received Title IV financial aid
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Comparisons
Average Defaulted Loan as of 9/30/03:
$3,830
Average Defaulted Loan as of 9/30/04:
$3,940
Average Defaulted Loan as of 9/12/05:
$4,130
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Cohort Default Rates
• All-Time High?
1990 CDR 22.4%
• All-Time Low?
2003 CDR 4.5%
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
4 Year Private
4 Year Public
2 Year Public
2 Year Private
CareerRepresents Direct Loan & FFEL Portfolio
Cohort Default Contribution by School Type
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Defaulter Characteristics• 84% did not receive their full 6 month grace
period due to late enrollment notification
• 71% withdrew without completing studies
• 56% had bad phone numbers
• 83% were not successfully contacted by phone during the 360-day collection effort during delinquency
Represents Direct Loan Portfolio Only
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Delinquency Management: Should I Be Concerned?
• All schools contribute to the problem– It’s not just about CDR– Dollars and Accounts
• Unnecessary costs to:– Borrowers– Schools– Servicers– Department of ED– Guaranty Agency
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What Schools Can Do
Take advantage of the opportunities to minimize delinquent borrowers at three stages:
#1 While borrower is enrolled #2 Before borrower leaves school #3 After borrower is gone
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Secretary’s Sample DefaultPrevention and Management Plan
• Revised 9/30/05
• Useful information for all schools
• Promotes student and school success
• Available on IFAP
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Borrowers Who Leave Early
• Exit Counseling
• For those who leave early– Find out why they left and use this information!– Collect updated contact numbers and
addresses so you can reach them later
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After The Borrower Leaves
• Promptly update the enrollment change
Important Note:
• Most defaulters do not receive their full grace period– Why not?– Why is this important?– What is the solution?
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Borrowers in Late Stage Delinquency
• Who are these borrowers?
• My lender was unsuccessful – How can I make a difference?
• Late Stage Delinquency Assistance (LSDA) Why and how does it work?
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Why is Late Stage DelinquencyAssistance Working?
• Schools feel it is the right thing to do• Students respond well to schools• Minimal resources and effort required• The results are dramatic!
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Stafford Borrower Delinquency Pattern
12 Month Average
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
31-60 61-90 91-120 121-150 151-180 181-210 211-240 241-270 271-300 301-330 331-360
Days Past Due
Per
cen
tag
e o
f T
ota
l D
elin
qu
ency
Borrower Delinquency Pattern
Represents Direct Loan Portfolio Only
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Late Stage Delinquency Tools and Techniques
Amy KerwinGreat Lakes Higher Education
Guaranty Corporation
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Where to Start?
• What is the maximum number of defaults included in your target cohort default rate?
• How can you project your cohort default rate through the end of the cohort period?
• Which delinquent borrowers do you want to target?
• What default prevention activities can you perform?
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What is the maximum number of defaults included in your target cohort default rate?
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Target cohort default rate: 4.00%
Maximum number of defaults allowed: 200
Maximum Number of Defaults Allowed
Number of borrowers who entered repayment between 10-01-04 and 9-30-05:
Increase in 2005 cohort default rate for every borrower who defaults during the cohort period
5,000
0.02%
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How can you project your cohort default rate through the end of the current cohort period?
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Which delinquent borrowers do you want to target?
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Delinquent Borrower Segments
• Borrowers >= 320 days delinquent who can impact your current CDR
• Borrowers < 320 days delinquent who can impact your current CDR
• Borrowers who entered repayment before or after the start of the current cohort year
• PLUS borrowers
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Why a Late Stage Delinquency Focus?
• The segment of borrowers more than 320 days delinquent is the smallest and most manageable.
• Most delinquencies are resolved before the borrower becomes 150 days delinquent.
• Lenders and guaranty agencies try independently to reach delinquent borrowers until the claim is filed. At claim time, a new strategy is needed.
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What default prevention activities can you perform?
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Send Letters, Postcards or Emails• Customize your text to match the targeted
borrower segment. For late stage:– Indicate that a default will be reflected on the
borrower’s “permanent record”
– Describe the consequences of default
– Ask the borrower to contact you to learn about options available to avoid default.
• Provide your phone number and the number of your guarantor.
• Personalize each piece of correspondence.
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Make Phone Calls
• Enlist your guarantor’s support.– “Connecting With Delinquent Borrowers (A
Step-by-Step Guide to Making Default Aversion Calls)”
– “What Happens When a Borrower Defaults”– “Repayment Options for Student Loans”– Transfer calls to your guarantor or initiate a 3-
way call
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Take Advantage of Other Resources
• www.mapping-your-future.org
• Your guarantor’s website
• FSA Assessments– www.ifap.ed.gov/gamodule/Default
Management/DefaultManagement.html
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Contact Us:Mark WalshLead - FSA Default PreventionU.S. Department of Education(816) [email protected]
Amy KerwinChief Guaranty OfficerGreat Lakes Higher Education Guaranty [email protected]