bruce dickson professor of political science and international affairs george washington university...
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Bruce DicksonProfessor of Political Science and
International AffairsGeorge Washington University
Updating the China Model
![Page 2: Bruce Dickson Professor of Political Science and International Affairs George Washington University Updating the China Model](https://reader033.vdocuments.site/reader033/viewer/2022061306/55148e1b550346b2598b516c/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Updating the China ModelCreating “national champions”Emerging middle classImproved governanceGlobal outreach and backlash
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Creating National Champions“Made in China”Export Strategy without Chinese
Brands
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Creating National Champions“Made in China”Export Strategy without
Chinese Brands
Lenovo Haier
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Creating National ChampionsGovernment policies
Favor state-owned enterprises (SOEs)
Limit entry into Chinese marketNew “innovation” policy
Challenges
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Creating National ChampionsImplications for US
Business environment in ChinaGovernment focus on exchange rate and trade balance
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Emerging Middle ClassRecent trend:
Less export driven, more domestic consumption
Less based on cheap labor, more on skilled labor and urban middle class
MotivesInequalityBalanced growthNext phase of economic development
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Emerging Middle ClassGovernment
policiesPopulismUrbanization
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Emerging Middle ClassGovernment
policiesPopulismUrbanizationEncourage rising
wages
Strike at Honda plant
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Emerging Middle ClassGovernment
policiesPopulismUrbanizationEncourage rising
wages
Suicide Nets
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Emerging Middle ClassGovernment
policiesPopulismUrbanizationEncourage rising
wages
Suicide Nets Happy Foxconn worker
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Emerging Middle ClassGovernment
policiesPopulismUrbanizationEncourage rising
wagesSubsidizing
consumer goods
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Emerging Middle ClassChallenges
Beneficiaries of export orientation
Rising aspirationsImplications for US
Support for status quoRising nationalism
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Improved GovernancePolitical reforms
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Improved GovernancePolitical reformsBut not democratization
Village election
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Improved GovernanceOld strategy: hasten economic
developmentRoads, railroadsTelecommunicationsEducation
New Strategy: consequences of growth and reformHealth carePensionsEnvironmentWelfare
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Improved GovernanceChallenges
Consultation without accountabilityRising demands
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Improved GovernanceChallenges
Consultation without accountabilityRising demands
Implications for USDemocracy promotionBut most Chinese are satisfied with
status quo
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Global Outreach and BacklashSecurityResourcesCounter US influence
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Global Outreach and BacklashAid without linkageBut still strings attached
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Global Outreach and BacklashAid without linkageBut still strings
attached
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Global Outreach and BacklashChallenges
International image
Fears of dependence
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Global Outreach and BacklashChallenges
International image
Fears of dependence
Popular backlash
Peru
Kyrgyzstan
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Global Outreach and BacklashImplications for US
Defense against rising ChinaImproved relations with a variety of countriesBacklash may lessen China’s appeal as
international leader
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SummaryThese four goals address China’s basic
goalsChallenges and opportunities
for ChinaFor US and other countries