brief review and expectation asian monsoon years (amy) brief review and expectation guoxiong wu 26...
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Asian Monsoon Years (AMY)
Brief Review and ExpectationBrief Review and Expectation
Guoxiong WU
26 January, 2008 Yokohama, Japan
1st AMY Workshop1st AMY Workshop
Asian Monsoon Year 2008 Asian Monsoon Year 2008 (AMY08)(AMY08)
International WorkshopInternational Workshop
April 23rd-25th, 2007April 23rd-25th, 2007
Beijing, ChinaBeijing, China
More than 50 scientists from 13 countries and
regions are attending this workshop.
Session 1: Introduction of relevant programs – 1.5 days;
Session 2: Coordinate the field experiments: observation sites,
periods, variables and the need of Intensified Observation
Periods (IOP);
Session3: Discuss the data sharing, assembling, quality
controlling and assimilation-- 0.5 day;
Session 4: Modelling and prediction –0.5 day;
Session 5: IMY & Set up working groups and Scientific
Steering Committee –0.5 day.
Self introduction
Agenda approval
Following the resolution of the First International Workshop on AMY’08 at Beijing, the Second AMY’08 workshop was held at Bali, Indonesia on September 3-4, 2007.
The major objectives of 2nd workshop are to discuss and finalize the Science plan and Implementation Plan for AMY’08.
2nd AMY Workshop2nd AMY Workshop
http://mahasri.cr.chiba-u.ac.jp/
Jun Matsumoto & Bin Wang
The 2nd AMY’08 Workshop
at Bali, Indonesia, September 3-4, 2007
Kuta Beach in the morning of September 2, 2007
AMY’08 Science and AMY’08 Science and Implementation PlanImplementation Plan
AMY
Some concluding remarks
Howard Cattle
AMY AMY brings together some 21 regional projects
plus other national and international programme contributions. But what does AMY bring us?
At one level, AMY acts to provide communication between these facilitating interactions between them
Challenge is to meld AMY into a coordinated international programme rather than a loose collection of projects/activites - on way (this meeting)
Science plan - still work to do on observation, modelling and data management issues
How will AMY be delivered - need for focussed Implementation Plan
AMY Science Plan
Science Plan identifies a wide range of science questions; classified according to timescale (diurnal -> decadal) and against a number of science foci:
Science plan objectives which emerge are focused around: Ocean-atmosphere interaction Land-atmosphere interaction Improve skill in seasonal to interannual prediction of the Asian monsoon Development of a hydrometeorological prediction system and database Human interactions with the monsoon
SSC plus Working Groups are against observations, modelling and data management
Doesn’t yet bring a fully coordinated science approach between inputs and objectives
Classification of projects
1. Continental hydroclimatology; land-atmosphere interactions and weather-monsoon interactions
2. Impact of the Tibetan Plateau3. Aerosol/cloud/radiation/water cycle interactions4. Ocean-atmosphere interactions; tropical
cyclones5. Monsoon prediction including climate trends6. Interactions between human and natural
componentsPlus contributions from wider national/international activities
1-3 above part of land surface interactions overall. Hydromet prediction system can be added in (MAHASRI)
Classification of Projects
Hydroclimatology, weather
CEOP, SACOL, PRAISE, SCHeREX, SoWMEX/TiMREX, IITM/rain, CTCZ, STORM, MAHASRI/JEPP
Tibetan Plateau
ITP/TORP JICA/Tibet
Aerosols CEOP, SACOL, IITM/CAIPEX, JAMEX, EAST-AIRE & AMF, SMART-COMMIT, ARCS-ASia
Ocean interactions
AIPO, CTCZ, JEPP/IO, PALAU2008, TCS08
Monsoon prediction
AAMP, APEC, CEOP, …
Human interactions
MAIRS; others link across
Plus other National & International contributions
Implementation Plan strawman
1.Overall aims and objectives of AMY & key deliverables
2.Overall strategy for implementing AMY3.How/do the project activities integrate?4.Cross programme integrated modelling
and observational programmes and data management
5.Links to international activities6.Others…
IP - development Finalize science plan - soon Develop IP asap through e.g:
A. SSC (Sections 1, 2, 5)
B. Working groups (Sections 4) with feed in/interactions with:
C. Email science area groups (Sections 3.4) each led by SSC member against mapping of projects to existing objectives or
Land surface interactions
Hydroclimatology, weather
Tibetan Plateau
Aerosols
Ocean interactions
Monsoon prediction
Hydromet prediction system
Human interactions
Timescale - over next few months?
AMY-08
AMY “year” 08/09Many projects extend beyond thisSome have main phase on later
timescale (e.g CTCZ)What is vision beyond 08/09?Should timeframe be extended? e.g
08-09 spin up period 09/010 main AMY year 010-011 consolidation phase
Logo?
AMY Logo prepared by AMY Office for selection
1 2 3
64 5
Finalize the AMY SP and IP;
Activate Working Group Coordination;
bring coordinated science approach between
inputs and objectives
Schedule the Activities in 2008/2009;
Discuss the Strategic Plan of IMS…
3rd AMY Workshop3rd AMY Workshop
Science Plan for Asian Monsoon Years (2007-2011)--- AMY
(Revised, January 19 2008)
Table of Content
Summary
1. Introduction
1.1 Programmatic development
1.2 Participants
2. Background
2.1 Observational and process studies
2.2 Modeling and prediction
2.3 The monsoon environment and its future change
3. Science foci
3.1 Cross-cutting themes
3.2 Overarching science questions
4. Goals and objectives
4.1 The overarching goals
4.2 Objectives
5. Strategy
5.1 Balanced and integrated approach
5.2 Geographic foci and capacity building
5.3 Utilization of satellite observations
5.4 Organization
5.5 Collaboration and linkages
6. Planned activities
6.1 Observations
6.2 Data management
6.3 Modeling and prediction
7. Expectations