boston's economy and demographics 2009-2010
DESCRIPTION
Profile of Boston's demographics and economyTRANSCRIPT
Overview of Boston’s Demographics and
Economy
Boston Redevelopment Authority Research Division
Outline of Presentation
• Selected demographic trends
• Total population
• Housing Units
• Age, race, and ethnicity
• Educational attainment of the population
• Countries of origin for the foreign-born population
• Selected economic trends
• Historic employment and unemployment trends
• Employment by industry
• Educational requirements by industry
2
Selected Demographic Trends
3
801,444
697,197
641,071
562,994
574,283
589,141
617,594
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
700,000
750,000
800,000
850,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Historic Trends – Boston’s Population • Boston reached its population peak in 1950
• Boston’s population, like many major cities, declined after 1950
• In recent decades, Boston’s population has grown
• The 2010 Census marks the first time since 1970 that Boston’s population has been over 600,000
Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
4
Major Northeastern Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census
City Total Population
Population Change 2000-2010
2000 2010 N %
Washington (DC) 572,059 601,723 29,664 5.2%
Worcester (MA) 172,648 181,045 8,397 4.9%
Boston (MA) 589,141 617,594 28,453 4.8%
Cambridge (MA) 101,355 105,162 3,807 3.8%
Elizabeth (NJ) 120,568 124,969 4,401 3.7%
Hartford (CT) 121,578 124,775 3,197 2.6%
Providence (RI) 173,618 178,042 4,424 2.5%
New York (NY) 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1%
Newark (NJ) 273,546 277,140 3,594 1.3%
Springfield (MA) 152,082 153,060 978 0.6%
Philadelphia (PA) 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6%
Baltimore (MD) 651,154 620,961 -30,193 -4.6%
Pittsburgh (PA) 334,563 305,704 -28,859 -8.6%
Buffalo (NY) 292,648 261,310 -31,338 -10.7%
Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
• Boston’s population growth since 2000 compares favorably to most other northeastern cities
5
25 Largest US Cities and Population Change, 2010 Census
City Total Population Population Change 2000-2010
2000 2010 N %
Fort Worth (TX) 534,694 741,206 206,512 38.6%
Charlotte (NC) 540,828 731,424 190,596 35.2%
Austin (TX) 656,562 790,390 133,828 20.4%
San Antonio (TX) 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0%
El Paso (TX) 563,662 649,121 85,459 15.2%
Jacksonville (FL) 735,617 821,784 86,167 11.7%
Columbus (OH) 711,470 787,033 75,563 10.6%
Nashville (TN) 545,524 601,222 55,698 10.2%
Phoenix (AZ) 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4%
Seattle (WA) 563,374 608,660 45,286 8.0%
Houston (TX) 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5%
San Diego (CA) 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9%
San Jose (CA) 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7%
Washington (DC) 572,059 601,723 29,664 5.2%
Indianapolis (IN) 781,870 820,445 38,575 4.9%
Boston (MA) 589,141 617,594 28,453 4.8%
San Francisco (CA) 776,733 805,235 28,502 3.7%
Los Angeles (CA) 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6%
New York City (NY) 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1%
Dallas (TX) 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8%
Philadelphia (PA) 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6%
Memphis (TN) 650,100 646,889 -3,211 -0.5%
Baltimore (MD) 651,154 620,961 -30,193 -4.6%
Chicago (IL) 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9%
Detroit (MI) 951,270 713,777 -237,493 -25.0%
Source: US Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis
• Boston’s population growth rate since 2000 was higher than the rates for New York and San Francisco
• Four of the 25 largest cities experienced population declines between 2000 and 2010
6
Housing Units and Average Household Size
222,079
238,695 232,401
241,304
250,863 251,935
272,481
200,000
210,000
220,000
230,000
240,000
250,000
260,000
270,000
280,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
3.39
2.95
2.77
2.40 2.37 2.31 2.47
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010*
Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
• Boston’s housing stock as grown consistently over the last 60 years
• Boston’s housing stock grew 8.2% since 2000 – the strongest growth in more than half a century
7
Household Occupancy and Ownership,
by Planning District
8 Source: 2010 Census data, BRA Research Division Analysis.
4%
12%
12%
7%
8%
4%
6%
5%
9%
8%
6%
9%
8%
9%
5%
4%
0% 5% 10% 15%
Allston-Brighton
Back Bay-Beacon Hill
Central
Charlestown
East Boston
Fenway-Kenmore
Hyde Park
Jamaica Plain
Mattapan
North Dorchester
Roslindale
Roxbury
South Boston
South Dorchester
South End
West Roxbury
Housing Vacancy Rates21%
34%
27%
46%
27%
9%
58%
35%
36%
30%
50%
23%
40%
41%
33%
64%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Allston-Brighton
Back Bay-Beacon Hill
Central
Charlestown
East Boston
Fenway-Kenmore
Hyde Park
Jamaica Plain
Mattapan
North Dorchester
Roslindale
Roxbury
South Boston
South Dorchester
South End
West Roxbury
Owner-Occupied Housing Units
Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
Educational Attainment of Population,
1980 and 2005-2009 • Boston has one of the most highly-educated populations among major American cities. According to the
2005-2009 American Community Survey, 42.9% of Boston’s adult population has at least a bachelor’s degree,
ranking Boston 5th amongst the 30 largest cities in the nation.
9
31.5%35.0%
13.1%
20.3%15.8%
23.3%
18.0%
42.9%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
Less than High School High School graduate or GED equivalent
Some College or Associates Degree
Bachelor's, Master's or Professional Degree
1980 Population 2005-2009 Population
1980 % of Population 2005-2009 % of Population
Demographic Breakdown of Boston’s Population
Source: Age – 2010 Census, BRA Research Division Analysis
Nativity – 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
• Boston is a young city. Currently Boston has the 2nd highest concentration of young adults (20-34) amongst
the largest 25 cities in the US.
• Boston is a diverse city. Today, Boston ranks 6th among the 25 largest cities in the US in proportion of the
population that is foreign-born.
10
22%
35%
24%
19%
Age
0-19 years 20-34 years35-54 years 55 and older
73%
27%
Nativity
Native Foreign-Born
Racial and Ethnic Breakdown for Boston’s Population,
1980-2010 • Over the last several decades, the racial and ethnic composition of Boston has changed a great deal
• In 1980, close to 70% of Boston was white. Today, only half the city is white.
• The last two Census reports show Boston as a “majority-minority” city
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, BRA Research Division Analysis.
Note: 2000 was the first year the Census compiled data on individuals who identified themselves as “multiracial”
68%
22%
6% 1% 3%
1980
47%
22%
18%
0%
9% 2% 2%
2010
50%
24%
14%
0% 8% 1% 3%
2000
59% 24%
11%
0% 5% 1%
1990
11
Planning District Diversity Index: 2000-2010
12
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
North
Dorchester South
Dorchester
Harbor
Islands
Boston
South End
Roslindale
Hyde Park
Jamaica Plain
Roxbury
East Boston
Feneway/
Kenmore
Allston/
Brighton
Central
West
Roxbury
Charlestown
Mattapan
South Boston
Back Bay/
Beacon Hill
2010 2000
Source: US Census 2010
Proportion of the Population that is Foreign-Born,
1850-2009
• Historically, Boston has had a greater proportion of foreign-born residents than both the Commonwealth of
Massachusetts and the nation as a whole.
• Since the 1970s, the proportion of foreign-born residents in Boston has grown dramatically.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1850
1860
1870
1880
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2006
2009
Boston
Massachusetts
United States
13
Countries of Origin for Boston’s Foreign-Born
Population, 2009
• Most of Boston’s immigrants today come from the Caribbean, Latin American, and Asia
Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
2.2%
3.7%
4.0%
4.2%
4.4%
4.5%
4.6%
7.9%
9.0%
9.4%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
Ireland
Jamaica
Colombia
Cape Verde
Brazil
El Salvador
Vietnam
Haiti
China
Dominican Republic
Share of the Foreign-Born Population in Boston
14
Top 5 Countries of Origin for Foreign-Born Population,
by Planning District
15 Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
43.0%
6.4%
6.2%
3.5%
3.2%
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
China
Vietnam
Italy
India
Japan
Central
15.3%
11.7%
6.9%
3.7%
3.6%
0 0.1 0.2
China
Brazil
Russia
El Salvador
Ukraine
Allston-Brighton
15.3%
7.3%
6.2%
6.2%
3.7%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2
China
Canada
United Kingdom
France
Colombia
Back Bay-Beacon Hill
31.5%
23.3%
4.6%
3.1%
2.5%
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
China
Dominican Republic
Russia
Canada
Philippines
Charlestown
Top 5 Countries of Origin for Foreign-born Population,
by Planning District (cont.)
16 Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
26.6%
20.6%
11.0%
9.7%
5.1%
0 0.1 0.2 0.3
El Salvador
Colombia
Brazil
Mexico
Italy
East Boston
12.6%
8.6%
8.0%
7.4%
6.3%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15
Japan
China
Brazil
Dominican …
Korea
Fenway-Kenmore
30.6%
29.4%
29.4%
10.6%
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Brazil
Middle Africa
Jamaica
Belize
Harbor Islands
32.7%
9.5%
8.9%
4.7%
4.7%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
Haiti
Dominican Republic
Jamaica
Nigeria
Guatemala
Hyde Park
Top 5 Countries of Origin for Foreign-born Population,
by Planning District (cont.)
17 Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
14.0%
13.8%
6.3%
3.3%
2.8%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15
Dominican Republic
China
India
Ireland
United Kingdom
Jamaica Plain
28.8%
12.5%
10.6%
7.7%
5.3%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
Haiti
Jamaica
Cape Verde
Dominican Republic
Trinidad and Tobago
Mattapan
23.3%
13.2%
7.8%
7.8%
4.9%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25
Cape Verde
Vietnam
Albania
Dominican Republic
Haiti
North Dorchester
17.8%
10.3%
6.4%
6.3%
4.0%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2
Dominican Republic
Haiti
Albania
Guatemala
Ireland
Roslindale
Top 5 Countries of Origin for Foreign-born Population,
by Planning District (cont.)
18 Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
23.9%
13.9%
8.0%
6.3%
4.9%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3
Dominican Republic
Haiti
Jamaica
Cape Verde
Trinidad and Tobago
Roxbury
32.9%
15.8%
6.9%
4.0%
3.9%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
Dominican Republic
China
Cape Verde
Philippines
Vietnam
South Boston
19.2%
10.9%
10.7%
10.3%
7.6%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25
Vietnam
Jamaica
Haiti
Cape Verde
Dominican Republic
South Dorchester
29.2%
11.3%
5.0%
4.0%
3.9%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
China
Dominican Republic
Ethiopia
Colombia
Canada
South End
Top 5 Countries of Origin for Foreign-born Population,
by Planning District (cont.)
19 Source: 2005-2009 American Community Survey, BRA Research Division Analysis.
12.4%
10.1%
8.7%
7.6%
6.0%
0 0.05 0.1 0.15
Haiti
China
Dominican Republic
Ireland
Greece
West Roxbury