bnpac ko01: air conditioning units government...

Version: 1.1 First created: 01/06/2009 Updated: 18/06/2010 http://efficient-products.defra.gov.uk Last reviewed: 18/06/2010 1 of 24 0845 600 8951

BNPAC KO01: Air Conditioning Units Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Key Outputs

Version 1.1

This Briefing Note and referenced information is a public consultation document and will be used to inform Government decisions. The information and analysis forms part of the Evidence Base created by Defra’s Market Transformation Programme.

1 Introduction

• The aim of this Briefing Note is to provide a year-by-year summary of the main outputs from the Market Transformation Programme (MTP) 2009 models.

• There are four main sections to this Briefing Note, corresponding to the main outputs from the MTP modelling:

o Stock o Sales o Energy Consumption o Government Standards – Charts and Tables


2 Stock

• The following table details the MTP modelling outputs in terms of UK installed base of products:

Table 1 - Air Conditioning, Chiller and Air Handling Units Stock (All Scenarios)

Stock (000s)

Packaged AC Units Central Plant AC Units

Moveables Indoor Window Close Ctrl Rooftop D-Splits Minisplits Air Chiller Wat Chiller Abs Chiller AHU FCU Totals

2000 206 5 32 71 15 3 872 25 5 1 177 838 2,250

2001 242 7 33 75 17 3 954 26 5 1 180 888 2,431

2002 273 9 33 76 19 3 1,023 27 5 1 188 958 2,615

2003 314 18 34 75 22 3 1,091 27 5 1 194 996 2,780

2004 383 28 35 76 22 3 1,182 28 5 1 201 1,021 2,985

2005 433 34 36 76 23 3 1,257 28 5 1 205 1,040 3,141

2006 435 41 37 77 23 3 1,360 29 5 1 211 1,056 3,278

2007 468 46 35 80 24 4 1,452 30 5 1 217 1,080 3,442

2008 459 50 33 84 25 4 1,482 31 6 1 220 1,095 3,490

2009 440 53 30 85 25 4 1,485 32 6 1 222 1,100 3,483

2010 421 55 28 87 25 4 1,502 32 6 1 224 1,100 3,485

2011 405 57 25 88 25 4 1,553 33 6 1 227 1,097 3,521

2012 396 59 22 89 24 4 1,640 33 6 1 229 1,092 3,595

2013 390 60 20 89 24 4 1,810 34 6 1 232 1,083 3,753

2014 388 60 17 90 24 4 1,996 35 6 1 234 1,070 3,925

2015 391 61 15 90 24 4 2,196 35 6 1 237 1,054 4,114

2016 396 61 14 90 25 4 2,406 36 7 1 240 1,038 4,318

2017 403 60 13 90 25 4 2,622 37 7 1 243 1,024 4,529

2018 410 60 12 90 26 4 2,839 38 7 1 245 1,013 4,745

2019 416 60 11 90 27 4 3,049 39 7 1 246 1,005 4,955

2020 421 60 11 91 28 4 3,246 39 7 1 247 1,001 5,156

2021 427 60 10 91 30 4 3,426 40 8 1 247 1,003 5,347

2022 431 61 10 91 32 4 3,588 41 8 2 247 1,008 5,523

2023 436 61 9 91 34 4 3,731 41 8 2 246 1,018 5,681

2024 440 62 9 92 36 4 3,857 42 8 2 245 1,032 5,829

2025 444 63 8 92 38 4 3,970 43 9 2 244 1,049 5,966



2026 449 65 7 93 41 4 4,072 43 9 2 242 1,068 6,095

2027 453 66 7 93 43 4 4,166 44 9 2 241 1,090 6,218

2028 458 67 6 94 46 4 4,253 45 10 2 239 1,114 6,338

2029 462 69 6 95 49 4 4,334 46 10 2 238 1,139 6,454

2030 467 70 5 96 52 4 4,410 46 11 2 236 1,166 6,565

• In all cases, the stock are estimated and do not refer to actual market data. They are outputs based upon sales and lifetime inputs.


3 Sales • The following table details the MTP modelling outputs in terms of annual UK sales:

Table 2 - Air Conditioning, Chiller and Air Handling Units Sales

Sales (‘000s)


Moveables Indoor Window Close Ctrl

Rooftop D-Splits Minisplits Air Chiller Wat Chiller

Abs Chiller

AHU FCU Totals

2000 54 1 4 8 2 0 149 2 0 0 11 119 350

2001 55 2 4 9 3 0 153 2 0 0 11 87 326

2002 54 2 4 7 3 0 148 2 0 0 16 109 345

2003 70 9 5 5 4 0 157 2 0 0 15 77 344

2004 104 10 5 7 2 0 190 2 0 0 16 65 401

2005 92 7 5 6 1 0 184 2 0 0 14 61 372

2006 50 7 5 6 2 0 221 2 0 0 16 59 368

2007 88 6 2 8 2 0 221 3 0 0 15 69 414

2008 52 5 2 9 2 0 168 3 0 0 13 62 316

2009 47 4 2 7 2 0 149 2 0 0 12 56 281

2010 51 4 1 7 2 0 172 2 0 0 12 56 307

2011 56 4 1 7 2 0 215 2 0 0 12 58 357

2012 62 4 1 8 2 0 258 2 0 0 13 60 410

2013 63 4 1 7 2 0 348 2 0 0 13 61 501

2014 63 4 1 7 2 0 370 3 0 0 13 62 525

2015 64 4 1 7 2 0 390 3 0 0 13 62 546

2016 64 5 1 7 2 0 408 3 0 0 14 64 568

2017 65 5 1 7 3 0 423 3 0 0 14 65 586

2018 66 5 1 7 3 0 438 3 0 0 14 67 604

2019 66 5 1 7 3 0 451 3 0 0 14 69 619

2020 67 5 1 7 3 0 464 3 0 0 13 70 633

2021 68 5 1 7 4 0 475 3 0 0 13 72 648

2022 68 5 1 8 4 0 486 3 0 0 13 74 662

2023 69 6 1 8 4 0 496 3 0 0 13 76 676

2024 70 6 1 8 4 0 506 3 0 0 13 78 689

2025 70 6 1 8 4 0 515 3 0 0 12 80 699

2026 71 6 1 8 5 0 523 3 0 0 12 82 711


Moveables Indoor Window Close Ctrl

Rooftop D-Splits Minisplits Air Chiller Wat Chiller

Abs Chiller

AHU FCU Totals

2027 72 6 1 8 5 0 531 3 0 0 12 84 722

2028 73 6 0 8 5 0 539 3 0 0 12 86 732

2029 73 6 0 8 6 0 547 3 0 0 12 88 743

2030 74 6 0 8 6 0 554 3 0 0 11 90 752

• Historical sales data has been based on available market data and future extrapolation based on expert opinion as to the likely evolution of the market.

• Cells shaded orange is reported data that has been directly taken from BSRIA Reports 13A for window, indoor and moveable air-conditioning units; 13B for split units; 13C for large packaged and close control units; 6A for chillers; and 6B for airside products.

• Cells shaded peach is forecast data, constructed by BSRIA in Reports 13A for window, indoor and moveable air-conditioning units; 13B for split units; 13C for large packaged and close control units; 6A for chillers; and 6B for airside products.

• Please refer to the relevant Key Inputs GSBN for further details of actual sales/stock data used to calibrate the model.


4 Energy Consumption1

• The following tables detail the MTP modelling outputs in terms of annual UK energy consumption.

• Note: The policy energy consumption corresponds to the Government standards. All scenarios are the same until 2009. The scenarios diverge in 2010 under the Reference scenario, which takes into account legislation affecting the market that is already in force and the Policy scenario that models the effect of Building Regulations, EuP and ECA on the market; against a comparison of the Best Available Technology for each product.

Table 3 - Air Conditioning, Chiller and Air Handling Units Reference Scenario Energy Consumption

Energy Consumption (GWh) – Reference Scenario



2000 107 2 41 1,707 314 11 1,843 3,038 2,126 996 3,393 392 13,970

2001 125 2 42 1,818 356 11 2,017 3,108 2,126 1,017 3,455 416 14,493

2002 140 3 42 1,861 392 12 2,162 3,201 2,141 1,085 3,601 449 15,089

2003 160 6 43 1,827 445 12 2,301 3,256 2,110 1,056 3,709 466 15,391

2004 194 9 44 1,866 462 13 2,474 3,322 2,074 1,013 3,847 478 15,796

2005 211 11 44 1,881 466 14 2,611 3,402 2,086 971 3,931 487 16,115

2006 206 13 44 1,911 480 14 2,796 3,493 2,110 1,036 4,054 494 16,651

1 Energy consumption figures for the non-domestic sector in the ‘Product policy analysis and projections 2010’ document were scaled down to match DECC projections for overall

energy demand (www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/dukes/dukes.aspx). MTP data represents the best currently available information based on a bottom-up modelling approach. MTP’s data is the basis for detailed energy calculations in the ‘Product policy analysis and projections 2010’ document. However, DECC projections indicate that overall energy demand in the non-domestic sector is lower than projected by MTP’s detailed models. MTP has assumed that the differences between the DECC overall projections and its detailed bottom-up projections are due to incomplete data on the following inputs for some of its non-domestic products:

• existing product stock;

• existing product efficiency;

• product usage. The energy consumption figures in these GSBNs have not been scaled down, in order to enable constructive stakeholder comment on the MTP input data, and therefore differ from

the ones presented in the ‘Product policy analysis and projections 2010’ document.



2007 212 15 41 1,986 498 15 2,971 3,685 2,124 1,069 4,239 506 17,361

2008 201 16 37 2,087 510 15 3,034 3,835 2,122 1,091 4,400 513 17,861

2009 187 17 34 2,133 511 15 3,039 3,918 2,097 1,108 4,524 515 18,098

2010 171 18 30 2,165 505 15 3,075 3,972 2,065 1,130 4,650 515 18,311

2011 157 18 26 2,196 498 15 3,185 4,043 2,040 1,154 4,782 514 18,628

2012 146 19 22 2,227 490 15 3,371 4,137 2,023 1,180 4,917 511 19,058

2013 137 19 19 2,236 481 15 3,754 4,237 2,012 1,202 5,054 507 19,673

2014 131 19 16 2,242 474 14 4,173 4,342 2,012 1,223 5,191 501 20,338

2015 127 19 13 2,247 469 14 4,621 4,458 2,024 1,245 5,339 493 21,069

2016 126 19 11 2,252 467 14 5,091 4,585 2,036 1,272 5,499 486 21,858

2017 126 18 10 2,256 470 13 5,572 4,705 2,050 1,305 5,646 479 22,650

2018 126 18 9 2,259 478 13 6,051 4,819 2,076 1,343 5,777 474 23,443

2019 127 18 8 2,263 491 12 6,513 4,926 2,113 1,391 5,892 470 24,224

2020 128 17 8 2,266 508 12 6,946 5,029 2,148 1,453 5,990 469 24,974

2021 128 17 7 2,270 528 12 7,340 5,127 2,181 1,526 6,070 469 25,675

2022 129 17 7 2,275 553 11 7,692 5,223 2,222 1,608 6,133 472 26,342

2023 130 17 6 2,282 582 11 8,002 5,317 2,271 1,693 6,180 477 26,968

2024 131 17 6 2,291 615 11 8,276 5,410 2,330 1,778 6,211 483 27,559

2025 130 17 5 2,302 647 11 8,520 5,503 2,399 1,867 6,228 491 28,120

2026 130 17 5 2,316 682 11 8,740 5,596 2,479 1,964 6,233 500 28,673

2027 130 18 5 2,332 720 11 8,942 5,688 2,571 2,070 6,228 510 29,225

2028 130 18 4 2,350 760 11 9,128 5,779 2,677 2,186 6,212 521 29,776

2029 130 18 4 2,370 803 11 9,302 5,866 2,797 2,312 6,188 533 30,334

2030 131 18 3 2,392 848 11 9,467 5,950 2,932 2,449 6,155 546 30,902


Table 4 - Air Conditioning, Chiller and Air Handling Units Policy Energy Consumption

Energy Consumption (GWh) – Policy Scenario



2000 107 2 41 1,707 314 11 1,843 3,038 2,126 996 3,393 392 13,970

2001 125 2 42 1,818 356 11 2,017 3,108 2,126 1,017 3,455 416 14,493

2002 140 3 42 1,861 392 12 2,162 3,201 2,141 1,085 3,601 449 15,089

2003 160 6 43 1,827 445 12 2,301 3,256 2,110 1,056 3,709 466 15,391

2004 194 9 44 1,866 462 13 2,474 3,322 2,074 1,013 3,847 478 15,796

2005 211 11 44 1,881 466 14 2,611 3,402 2,086 971 3,931 487 16,115

2006 206 13 44 1,911 480 14 2,796 3,493 2,110 1,036 4,054 494 16,651

2007 212 15 41 1,986 498 15 2,971 3,685 2,124 1,069 4,239 506 17,361

2008 201 16 37 2,087 510 15 3,034 3,835 2,122 1,091 4,400 513 17,861

2009 185 17 33 2,132 506 15 3,038 3,911 2,093 1,108 4,524 513 18,075

2010 169 18 29 2,143 500 15 3,056 3,937 2,048 1,119 4,619 512 18,165

2011 155 18 26 2,152 492 15 3,145 3,977 2,009 1,132 4,718 510 18,349

2012 145 19 22 2,161 483 15 3,306 4,037 1,977 1,145 4,821 506 18,637

2013 131 19 18 2,111 467 14 3,466 4,102 1,950 1,155 4,924 500 18,857

2014 121 18 15 2,058 452 14 3,650 4,171 1,933 1,164 5,027 493 19,116

2015 114 18 13 2,004 438 13 3,855 4,249 1,926 1,173 5,122 484 19,409

2016 109 17 10 1,949 428 13 4,078 4,335 1,921 1,186 5,226 475 19,747

2017 105 17 9 1,895 421 12 4,314 4,415 1,918 1,204 5,317 467 20,094

2018 103 16 8 1,841 418 11 4,557 4,488 1,925 1,227 5,393 461 20,448

2019 102 16 7 1,789 421 11 4,798 4,556 1,943 1,259 5,455 455 20,812

2020 101 15 6 1,737 426 10 5,014 4,620 1,959 1,304 5,500 452 21,144

2021 101 15 6 1,688 436 10 5,216 4,681 1,973 1,360 5,529 452 21,467

2022 101 14 5 1,645 450 9 5,403 4,741 1,994 1,423 5,542 453 21,780

2023 101 14 5 1,609 468 9 5,574 4,802 2,024 1,487 5,541 457 22,091

2024 102 14 5 1,579 490 9 5,730 4,865 2,062 1,551 5,528 462 22,397

2025 102 14 4 1,554 514 9 5,856 4,926 2,096 1,619 5,504 469 22,667

2026 103 14 4 1,537 541 9 5,972 4,990 2,141 1,695 5,471 477 22,954

2027 103 14 4 1,526 571 9 6,079 5,056 2,196 1,780 5,432 486 23,256

2028 104 14 3 1,521 604 9 6,180 5,123 2,264 1,876 5,388 497 23,583

2029 104 14 3 1,521 639 9 6,275 5,190 2,344 1,983 5,340 508 23,930

2030 105 15 3 1,524 676 9 6,367 5,256 2,437 2,099 5,289 520 24,300


Table 5 - Air Conditioning, Chiller and Air Handling Units Best Available Technology Energy Consumption

Energy Consumption (GWh) – BAT Scenario



2000 107 2 41 1,707 314 11 1,843 3,038 2,126 996 3,393 392 13,970

2001 125 2 42 1,818 356 11 2,017 3,108 2,126 1,017 3,455 416 14,493

2002 140 3 42 1,861 392 12 2,162 3,201 2,141 1,085 3,601 449 15,089

2003 160 6 43 1,827 445 12 2,301 3,256 2,110 1,056 3,709 466 15,391

2004 194 9 44 1,866 462 13 2,474 3,322 2,074 1,013 3,847 478 15,796

2005 211 11 44 1,881 466 14 2,611 3,402 2,086 971 3,931 487 16,115

2006 206 13 44 1,911 480 14 2,796 3,493 2,110 1,036 4,054 494 16,651

2007 212 15 41 1,986 498 15 2,971 3,685 2,124 1,069 4,239 506 17,361

2008 201 16 37 2,087 510 15 3,034 3,835 2,122 1,091 4,400 513 17,861

2009 181 17 33 2,079 501 15 2,964 3,840 2,071 1,098 4,476 512 17,787

2010 162 17 29 2,059 489 15 2,914 3,825 2,015 1,110 4,554 510 17,699

2011 144 17 25 2,037 476 14 2,919 3,821 1,965 1,122 4,636 506 17,682

2012 127 18 21 2,014 461 14 2,979 3,833 1,920 1,135 4,722 501 17,745

2013 113 17 17 1,955 443 14 3,100 3,847 1,880 1,145 4,808 494 17,833

2014 103 17 14 1,893 426 13 3,247 3,864 1,827 1,154 4,893 486 17,937

2015 96 17 12 1,832 410 12 3,419 3,887 1,782 1,163 4,988 476 18,094

2016 92 16 9 1,771 397 12 3,615 3,916 1,739 1,176 5,091 466 18,300

2017 91 15 8 1,711 388 11 3,832 3,939 1,699 1,194 5,182 456 18,526

2018 90 15 7 1,655 383 10 4,062 3,956 1,666 1,218 5,260 448 18,770

2019 90 14 6 1,602 383 10 4,297 3,969 1,642 1,250 5,322 442 19,027

2020 90 14 6 1,552 387 9 4,512 3,980 1,617 1,294 5,368 438 19,267

2021 90 13 5 1,508 395 9 4,715 3,991 1,592 1,350 5,399 436 19,503

2022 91 13 5 1,471 407 8 4,901 4,005 1,572 1,413 5,415 436 19,737

2023 92 13 4 1,441 423 8 5,069 4,024 1,557 1,478 5,419 439 19,967

2024 92 13 4 1,418 443 8 5,221 4,050 1,549 1,543 5,411 443 20,195

2025 93 13 4 1,403 467 8 5,357 4,083 1,548 1,612 5,394 449 20,431

2026 94 13 4 1,394 493 8 5,483 4,124 1,557 1,690 5,371 456 20,687

2027 95 13 3 1,391 523 8 5,599 4,171 1,575 1,777 5,342 465 20,962

2028 96 13 3 1,393 554 8 5,708 4,222 1,605 1,875 5,310 475 21,262

2029 97 13 3 1,398 588 8 5,812 4,276 1,647 1,982 5,274 485 21,583

2030 98 13 3 1,406 624 8 5,911 4,331 1,702 2,099 5,234 496 21,925


4.1 Differences in energy consumption compared to last published figures

• The local air conditioning market (moveables, indoor units, window and through-wall units) energy consumption is modelled showing a decrease for moveable and window/through wall products compared to last year. In the short term, this is due to uncertainty in the incidence of warm summers, which heavily affect the sales of these products. In the longer term, the projections show a decrease compared to last year’s models for these two products. However indoor air conditioners are modelled to increase energy consumption by a significant amount due to popularity in commercial applications.

• The projection for close control unit energy consumption shows a decline compared to the previous model. This is due to data available from BSRIA2 this year that indicates fewer sales between 2000 and 2009, and therefore a lower volume of stock. However, the trend of lower energy consumption continues as units are modelled with tighter efficiency requirements as a result of EuP legislation as well as market incentives such as ECA supporting more efficient products.

• The energy consumption of the rooftop unit is modelled to increase compared to the previous years’ projections. This is largely due to significant growth in the sales projections this year.

• The splits market (ducted- and mini-) demonstrates significantly less energy consumption than in the previous model. Again, this is due to better resolution of the actual number of units sold from 2000 to 2009 from BSRIA, and the resulting energy consumption of the installed stock in these years. Ducted split energy consumption is projected to significantly decline as competing technologies such as minisplits displace them in the market and the ducted split market becomes one largely for replacement. Minisplits, although experiencing considerable growth in sales compared to the previous model, are modelled to have lower energy consumption due to the effects of the tight efficiency metric modelled in the Reference Scenario.

• Water cooled and absorption chillers increase in energy consumption compared to the previous year’s model. This is also due to more accurate sales data for the years 2000 to 2009 from BSRIA. This indicates that water-cooled and absorption chillers (especially water-cooled chillers) displace air-cooled chiller market share due to improvements in efficiency and mandates on specific fan power.

2 Sales data was based upon market analysis by BSRIA, which included actual number of units sold and a short-term (2009-12) forecast of sales. The documents used were BSRIA

50571; 6A Chillers; 6B Airside Products; 13A Windows and Moveables; 13B Splits; 13C Large Packaged and Close Control Units


5 Government Standards

• As part of its commitments in May 2007’s Energy White Paper, the government, via its Market Transformation Programme, is obliged to “publish a series of consultation papers setting out [its] analysis of how the performance of energy-using products will need to improve over the next 10-20 years, including proposals for product standards and targets to phase out the least efficient products”

• The Government recently published its ‘Product policy analysis and projections 2010’ document. The product standards which would achieve the Policy Scenario for products in the Air Conditioning Products Annexe of this document are given below. These are represented in both graphical and tabular form, in order to be helpful to a wide range of audiences.

5.1 Charts

● The following charts illustrate the expected market distribution over time of the products addressed against the relevant efficiency metric for that product. Coefficient of Performance (CoP) is used for heat pumps whilst an efficiency metric has been used for fan-driven systems (AHUs and FCUs). The efficiency metric for AHUs is simply an efficiency (expressed equally as a decimal or percentage point, e.g. 0.8 and 80%). Due to the difficulties in constructing efficiency metrics for the FCU market, given that fans of various sizes and efficiencies are employed in FCUs and that the actual energy consumption is a small proportion of the total energy delivered to the unit, it was determined that ‘dummy’ efficiencies would be used. These were input with the Reference scenario given an efficiency index (CoP) of 1.00 and so the Policy and BAT scenarios would have indices scaled proportionately to the efficiency index in the Reference case. Therefore, for example, in the Policy scenario an efficiency of 1.05 would actually refer to a 5% improvement in efficiency above that achieved in the Reference scenario.

• Exact presentation of these charts will vary between product areas, due to variation in efficiency metric applicable.


Figure 1 - Expected evolution of efficiencies for air-cooled chillers under the Reference and Policy Scenarios

Reference Scenario

2.1

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

<100kW 100-500kW 500-700kW >700kWSize

Co

P

2009 2010 2020 2030 Policy Scenario

2.1

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

<100kW 100-500kW 500-700kW >700kWSize

Co

P

2009 2010 2020 2030

Figure 2 - Expected evolution of efficiencies for water-cooled chillers under the Reference and Policy Scenarios

Reference Scenario

3.3

3.5

3.7

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.5

4.7

4.9

5.1

5.3

<100kW 100-500kW 500-700kW >700kW

Size

Co

P


3.3

3.5

3.7

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.5

4.7

4.9

5.1

5.3

<100kW 100-500kW 500-700kW >700kW

Size

Co

P

2009 2010 2020 2030


Figure 3 - Expected evolution of efficiencies for absorption chillers under the Reference and Policy Scenarios

Reference Scenario

0.54

0.56

0.58

0.6

0.62

0.64

0.66

0.68

0.7

0.72

All Absorption Chillers

CoP


0.54

0.56

0.58

0.6

0.62

0.64

0.66

0.68

0.7

0.72

All Absorption Chillers

CoP

2009 2010 2020 2030

Figure 4 - Expected evolution of efficiencies for AHUs and FCUs under the Reference and Policy Scenarios

Reference Scenario

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

AHUs FCUs Product

Eff

icie

ncy

2009 2010 2020 2030

Policy Scenario

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

AHUs FCUs Product

Eff

icie

ncy

2009 2010 2020 2030


Figure 5 - Expected evolution of efficiencies for Local and Room Air Conditioning Units under the Reference and Policy Scenarios

Reference Scenario

2.1

2.3

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.3

3.5

Indoors and Ducted

Splits

Windows, Moveables

and Rooftops

Close Control Minisplits

Product

Co

P2009 2010 2020 2030

Policy Scenario

2.1

2.6

3.1

3.6

4.1

4.6

Indoors, Windows

and Moveables

Close Control Rooftop and Ducted

Splits

MinisplitsProduct

Co

P

2009 2010 2020 2030


5.2 Tables

• The market distributions illustrated in the previous section, translate to measurements of average sales efficiency over time (stated in terms of efficiency, power consumption or efficiency formulae for example).

• The following tables illustrate the profile of CoPs and efficiencies under the Policy scenario consumption over time of the products addressed. Note: These tables reflect one possible mix of sales distributions to achieve the government standards.


Table 6 – Local and Room Air Conditioning Units - Government Standard Average CoP

CoP Indoor Moveables Rooftops and Ducted Splits Minisplits

Year <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <12kW >12kW <5 kW 5-7 kW 7-12 kW >12 kW

2000 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2001 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2002 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2003 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2004 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2005 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2006 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2007 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2008 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80

2009 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 3.00 3.00 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82

2010 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.00 3.00 2.95 2.95 2.95 2.95

2011 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.00 3.00 2.95 2.95 2.95 2.95

2012 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.00 3.00 2.95 2.95 2.95 2.95

2013 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2014 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2015 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2016 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2017 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2018 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2019 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2020 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2021 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2022 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2023 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2024 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11


CoP Indoor Moveables

Rooftops and Ducted Splits

Minisplits

Year <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <12kW >12kW <5 kW 5-7 kW 7-12 kW >12 kW

2025 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2026 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2027 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2028 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2029 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2030 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

CoP Window Close Control

Year <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW

2000 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2001 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2002 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2003 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2004 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2005 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2006 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2007 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2008 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.60 2.60 2.60 2.60

2009 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65

2010 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.97 2.97 2.97 2.97

2011 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.97 2.97 2.97 2.97

2012 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.97 2.97 2.97 2.97

2013 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2014 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2015 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2016 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2017 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01


CoP Window Close Control

Year <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW <3.5kW 3.5-5kW 5-12kW >12kW

2018 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2019 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.01 4.01 4.01 4.01

2020 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2021 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2022 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2023 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2024 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.11 4.11 4.11 4.11

2025 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2026 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2027 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2028 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2029 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

2030 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21

Table 7 – Air-Cooled Chiller Units - Government Standard Average CoPs under Policy Scenario

Air-cooled Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2000 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2001 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2002 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2003 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2004 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2005 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2006 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2007 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25

2008 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25


Air-cooled Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2009 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.43 2.49 2.49

2010 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2011 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2012 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2013 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2014 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2015 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2016 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2017 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2018 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2019 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2020 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2021 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2022 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2023 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2024 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.65 2.72 2.72

2025 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

2026 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

2027 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

2028 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

2029 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

2030 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.71 2.78 2.78

Table 8 – Water-Cooled Chiller Units - Government Standard Average CoPs under Policy Scenario

Water-cooled Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2000 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2001 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2002 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40


Water-cooled Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2003 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2004 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2005 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2006 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2007 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2008 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40

2009 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.40 3.47 3.47 3.47 3.76 4.18 4.18

2010 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2011 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2012 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2013 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2014 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2015 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2016 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2017 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2018 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2019 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2020 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2021 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2022 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2023 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2024 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.90 3.90 3.90 4.00 4.80 4.80

2025 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21

2026 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21

2027 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21

2028 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21

2029 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21

2030 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.65 5.21 5.21


Table 9 – Absorption Chiller Units - Government Standard Average CoPs under Policy Scenario

Absorption Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2000 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2001 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2002 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2003 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2004 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2005 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2006 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2007 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2008 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2009 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2010 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2011 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2012 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2013 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2014 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2015 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2016 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2017 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2018 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2019 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2020 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2021 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2022 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2023 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2024 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2025 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2026 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2027 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70


Absorption Chillers

Year <12kW 12-

17.5kW 17.5-50kW

51-100kW

101-200kW 200-350kW 350-500kW 500-700kW 700-900kW >900kW

2028 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2029 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

2030 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70

Table 10 – Air Handling and Fan Coil Units - Government Standard Average Efficiencies (as defined in Section 5.1)

AHUs (in kW by class in m3/s) FCUs

Year <1.53m3/s 1.54-2.36m3/s 2.37-4.25m3/s 4.26-6.61m3/s 6.62-9.44m3/s 9.45-18.9m3/s >18.9m3/s All

2000 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2001 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2002 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2003 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2004 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2005 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2006 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2007 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2008 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.00

2009 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 1.05

2010 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.05

2011 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.05

2012 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.05

2013 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.05

2014 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.05

2015 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2016 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2017 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2018 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2019 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2020 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05


AHUs (in kW by class in m3/s) FCUs

Year <1.53m3/s 1.54-2.36m3/s 2.37-4.25m3/s 4.26-6.61m3/s 6.62-9.44m3/s 9.45-18.9m3/s >18.9m3/s All

2021 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2022 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2023 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2024 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2025 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2026 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2027 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2028 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2029 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05

2030 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.05


Related MTP information

• BNCAC 01 Central Air Conditioning Plant Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Key Inputs

• BNCAC 02 Central Air Conditioning Plant Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Reference Scenario

• BNCAC 03 Central Air Conditioning Plant Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Policy Scenario

• BNCAC 04 Central Air Conditioning Plant Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Best Available Technology Scenario

• BNPAC01 Package Air Conditioning Units Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Key Inputs

• BNPAC02 Package Air Conditioning Units Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Reference Scenario

• BNPAC03 Package Air Conditioning Units Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Policy Scenario

• BNPAC04 Package Air Conditioning Units Government Standards Evidence Base 2009: Best Available Technology ScenarioJ

Changes from previous version

• Minor changes to the template.

Consultation and further information

Stakeholders are encouraged to review this document and provide suggestions that may improve the quality of information provided, email [email protected] quoting the document reference, or call the MTP enquiry line on +44 (0) 845 600 8951. For further information on related issues visit http://efficient-products.defra.gov.uk

bnpac ko01: air conditioning units government...

Documents