big opportunities in india - madhav pai - embarq india - transforming transportation 2013 - embarq...
TRANSCRIPT
Big Opportunities in India!
Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Presented at Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Madhav Pai!! Director!! EMBARQ India!
Big Opportuni,es in India
!
200-230 Million !New Urban Residents
by 2030!
Rapid Urbanization!
Source: McKinsey, 2010
12 Million !New 2 Wheelers!
(2012)!
Accelerated Motorization!
Source: IIHS, 2011
120,000 India
1,200,000 Worldwide
(Road Fatalities 2008)!
Road Fatalities Comparison (2001 – 2009)!
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Fatalities per million population (major Indian cities)
2001
2009
712,000 South Asia
2,100,000 Worldwide
(Outdoor Air pollution Related Deaths)!
Urban transport energy use,
emissions will increase 5-7 fold in the next 20 years!
Urban Transport – 2030 Scenarios
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1980 2000 2030: BAU 2030 FuelEff.
2030:TWW
2030: SUT 2030 ExtraEffort
EJ
Tota
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ed E
nerg
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Rail
Buses
3 Wheelers
2 Wheelers
Cars
Schipper L. Banerjee I. and Ng W.S. “CO2 Emissions from Land Transport in India Scenarios of the Uncertain”, TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, January 2009
27% Less Energy as compared with 2030 BAU
AHMEDABAD!
Rapid Urban Growth!
3.3 million 1992! 6.4 million 2011!
Today 2041Automobility Sustainable Transport
Population (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75Area (Sq. Km.) 1330 6484 3242Emissions(million Tons CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97Traffic Fatalities (per yr) 175 5,232 1,225
Potential to Limit Urban Sprawl
Ahmedabad
Transport Infrastructure Investment Estimates
Source: CEPT University, 12FYP, 2011
10 Million 2030
0.4 Billion USD/Year
0.6 Billion USD/Year
1.2 Billion USD/Year
0.8 Billion USD/Year
JnNURM!
! 1.1 Billion – Bus Rapid Transit!
! 1 Billion – Buses for Cities!
! 0.4 Billion – Support Technology + Infrastructure for Transit!
! 19 Billion – Rail Metro!
Draft 12th 5 Year Plan2013-2018!
20 Year Horizon
Urban Transport Investment Estimates
Q1 – Is this enough to adequate build public transport ?
!
Q2 – What policies,
instruments will we need to ensure land-‐use
transport integra,on? !
Thank You!
Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Co-organized by EMBARQ and The World Bank!! More information at:!! EMBARQ.org!! worldbank.org/transport!
! Questions? Comments? Contact us at [email protected]!! Follow us on Twitter: @EMBARQnetwork!
Transforming Transportation 2013!