bg thi truong tien te viet nam 08.2012.pdf

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    TH TRNG TIN TVIT NAM

    Trnh by: Nguyn c Mu

    Thng 8 nm 2012

    Th trng tin t Vit Nam

    Ni dungNhngvncbncathtrngtint

    Th trngtintVit Nam

    Mtsbtcpcathtrngtint

    Vit Nam

    Nguyn nhn

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    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

    Khi nim

    Chc nng

    Cng c

    Thnh vin th trng Phng thc hot ng

    nhnghaiu 9 khon 2 Lut Ngn hng Nh nc quy

    nh: Th trngtint l thtrngvnngnhn,ni mua, bn cc giyt c gi ngnhn, bao gmtn phiu kho bc, tn phiu NHNN, chngchtingi v cc giyt c gi (GTCG) ngnhn khc.

    Tnm 2004, NHNN cho php sdngc GTCGdi hn trong giao dchnghipvthtrngm.

    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

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    Chc nng ca th trng tin tL knh ngn hng nh nc Vit Nam

    thc hin chnh sch tin t quc gia

    Chuyn vn tm thi nhn ri n ni thiu

    vn, c sut sinh li cao

    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

    Cc cng c giao dch trn th trngTn phiu kho bc

    Tn phiu NHNN

    Hp ng mua li

    Cc loi giy t c gi ngn hn khc

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    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

    Thnh vin tham gia thtrngtintVitNam

    NHNN

    Tchc tn dng (ngn hng thngmi, cng tyti chnh, cng ty cho thu ti chnh, khc)

    Doanh nghip

    Chnh ph, chnh quynaphng

    C nhn

    Nhng vn c bn ca thtrng tin t

    Phng thchotngGiao dchtrctiphoc gin tip

    Phng tin giao dch: inthoi, fax, hthng giao dchint.

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    Th trng tin t Vit Nam

    Th trng ni t lin ngn hng

    Th trng giy t c gi

    Th trng ngoi t lin ngn hng

    Th trng hp ng mua li

    Th trng ni t lin ngn hng

    Thnh phn tham gia: T chc tn dng, chyu l cc ngn hng thng mi Mc chm bo d tr bt buc

    D tr bt bucQun l DTBB ca NHNN

    m bo thanh khonKhch hng rt tinGii ngn.

    Kinh doanh vn tm thi nhn ri

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    Th trng ni t lin ngn hng

    Cs hnh thnh giao dchCnc vo xphngnib: cphnmc

    giao dch cho i tc.Hnmc:

    Tnh cam kt: huht l hnmc khng cam ktTn chp: khng c ti snmbo

    Tchc giao dch: Phi tp trung OTC

    Th trng ni t lin ngn hng

    Gi c Li sut do hai bn tha thun: hnh thnh trn c s quan h cung

    cu, quan h i tc, xp hng Ty thuc k hn: thng thng ngn hn thp hn di hn. Gi bui sng khc bui chiu. L giao dch OTC: Cng 1 k hn c nhiu mc gi trn th trng.

    K hn Qua m, 1 tun, 2 tun, 1 thng, 2 thng, 3 thng. Hu ht l di 3

    thng.

    Phng thc giao dch in thoi, fax hp ng. S dng h thng Reuters dealing

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    Th trng giy t c gi

    Tn phiu kho bcTh trng s cp:Li sut, s lng pht hnh do B Ti chnh,

    Tng Gim c Kho bc quyt nh

    K hn: 364, 273, 182 v 91 ngyLu k: ti NHNN

    Th trng giy t c gi

    Tn phiu kho bcTh trng th cpHu ht cc ngn hng mua Tn phiu Kho bc

    c xu hng gi ti khi o hn, him c giaodch mua bn li gia cc ngn hng

    Cc ngn hng s dng Tn phiu Kho bc tham gia Th trng m.

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    Th trng giy t c gi

    Tn phiu ngn hng nh nc Li sut: do NHNN quyt nh ph hp vi mc tiu thc hin

    chnh sch tin t K hn: 7, 14, ..35, 42, 91, 182, 273 hoc 364 ngy Thnh phn tham gia: TCTD Li sut: Do NHNN cng b ph hp vi mc tiu iu hnh

    chnh sch tin t quc gia

    Hnh thc tham gia:iu kin thng thng: T nguyn Khi NHNN thc hin chnh sch tin t tht cht: Bt buc

    Thc t: hiu qu s dng cng c ny khng cao do t TCTDmua c tr trng hp bt buc

    Th trng giy t c gi

    NHNN thc hin ti chit khu, ti cp vn chocc TCTD:Chit khu, ti chit khu giy t c gi

    Hng qu NHNN cp hn mc cho TCTD cn c vo: Vniu l, d n cho vay nn kinh t, d n cho vay lnh vcnng nghip, mc tiu ca chnh sch tin t quc gia, khoch cung tin

    K hn: khng qu 91 ngyLi sut: Li sut ti chit khu do NHNN cng bHnh thc: chit khu k hn cn li hoc chit khu c k

    hnThc t: Hn mc cp thng nh, t gia nm 2008:

    khng cp.

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    Th trnggiyt c gi

    NHNN thc hin ti chit khu, ti cp vn chocc TCTD

    Ti cp vn cho TCTDCho vay thu chi qua m trong hot ng thanh ton in

    t: TCTD s dng GTCG ( lu k NHNN) m bo

    cho khon vayCho vay c m bo bng cm c chng t c gi

    Li sut thng cao hn li sut trn th trng m

    K hn cho vay di hn k hn trn th trng m

    Thc tin ca hnh thc ny:

    Th trnggiyt c gi

    Th trng m Thnh vin tham gia: NHNN, TCTD

    iu kin tham gia: L thnh vin th trng m Th tc ng k n giniu kin tham gia: Phi nm gi nhiu GTCG

    Phng tin giao dch: qua mng Phng thc u thu:

    Li sut S lng

    Thi hn thanh ton: c rt ngn xung (T+0) t (T+2)

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    Th trnggiyt c gi

    Phin ugi

    Loi giao dch Khn(ngy)

    Khilng trngthu (t VND)

    Li sut trng

    thu (%)

    25-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 14

    25-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 1,000 14

    26-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 14

    26-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 1,000 14

    27-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 14

    27-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 1,000 14

    28-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 14

    28-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 1,000 14

    29-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 14

    29-Jul-11 Reverse Repo 7 1,000 14

    Source: Reuters

    Th trng mHng ha giao dch:Tn phiu kho bcTn phiu ngn hng Nh ncTri phiu chnh phTri phiu cng trnh trung ngCng tri

    Tri phiu Ngn hng Pht trinTri phiu chnh quyn a phng do UBND thnh ph

    H Ni v TPHCM pht hnh

    Th trng giy t c gi

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    Th trnggiyt c gi

    Th trng m T l chnh lch gia gi tr giy t c gi ti thi im nh

    gi v gi thanh ton trong giao dch mua, bn c k hn giaNHNN v TCTD:i vi: TPKB, TPNHNN, TPCP, TPCTTW, CT:

    Di 1 nm: 0% T 1 nm n 5 nm: 5% T 5 nm n 10 nm: 10%

    T trn 10 nm tr ln: 15%

    Tri phiu Ngn hng Pht trin: 20% Tri phiu chnh quyn a phng do UBND thnh ph H Ni

    v TPHCM pht hnh: 30%

    Th trng giy t c gi

    Th trng m T l giao dch ca cc loi GTCG: Tri phiu NHPT v TP

    chnh quyn a phng c php giao dch theo t l ti akhng qu 50% tng gi tr ca mi phin giao dch th trngm

    Mc ch tham gia th trng m ca TCTD: Thanh khon Kinh doanh: vay NHNN vi li sut trn th trng m, cho vay li

    TCTD khc hng chnh lch li sut.

    iu hnh th trng m ca NHNN phn nhiu l Cung tin.Vic Rt tin qua th trng m (c ch th trng) cn chamnh.

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    Chng ch tin gi Bn cht: l cng c n khng c m bo c pht hnh

    bi cc TCTDiu kin c pht hnh:

    Kt qu kinh doanh Phng n s dng vn

    K hn:

    Ngn hng: Di 1 nm: bo co Trn 1 nm: Phi xin php

    TCTD khc: ch c pht hnh CD c k hn trn 1 nmGiao dch th cp: Khng ph bin

    Th trng giy t c gi

    Thnh phn tham gia: NHNN, TCTD Chc nng

    NHNN: m bo d tr ngoi t, phc v yu cu thanh ton cakhch hng,

    Gi kt thc giao dch: (cut off times): theo khu vc a l ca ccng tin: JPY trc VND 2 h, EUR. USD.

    Cng c: Thc hin chnh sch tin t thng qua cc bin phpnhm n nh t gi, tc ng n tng cung tin TCTD: p ng nhu cu thanh khon cc loi ngoi t ngoi VND,

    Mua bn ngoi t: giao ngay, k hn Giao dch vay, gi Eurodollar: qua m, k hn. Hp ng hon i ngoi t: Lu : giao dch SWAP gia NHNN v

    TCTD: tc ng n tng cung tin.

    Th trng ngoi t lin ngn hng

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    Cng ty CKNh u t:Hnh thc: mi cng ty mt kiu hp ng

    Chng khon repo: Trc nm 2009

    T u 2009: c phiu nim yt blue chip hoc c

    phiu OTC c thanh khon cao nh: Eximbank, MBThi hn: thng l ngn hn, khng qu 6

    thng

    Li sut: cao!!!???

    Th trngHpng mua li

    Vai tr ca NHNN: NHNN cn thc hin dt khot v r rng chc nng ngi

    cho vay cui cng trong mi thi im Li sut ch o phi v cht: phi l nh hng v theo

    st th trng Can thip iu hnh chnh sch tin t phi v lng:

    Lng tin cung hoc rt qua th trng m; Lng ngoi t bn ra can thip vo th trng ngoi hi.

    Cc cng c ti cp vn, ti chit khu: thc hin cha lin tcv nht qun, th tc cn nng th cng

    MtsbtcpcathtrngtintVit Nam

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    Mt s bt cp ca th trng tint Vit Nam

    Vai tr ca NHNN:iu hnh chnh sch tin t vn s dng cng c trc tip: t

    l tng trng tn dng. Cng c gin tip vn cha thc s lm tng s ph thuc

    vo NHNN ca TCTD. Cng c tc ng gy nh hngmnh v nhanh l: DTBB & Tn phiu NHNN bt buc. Cccng th trng m, ti cp vn: nhiu ngn hng hu nh

    khng s dng Nn c c ch cho vay qua m vi TCTD cng nh thc

    hin giao dch th trng m vi k hn qua m.

    MtsbtcpcathtrngtintVit Nam

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    1/1/2010

    3/1/2010

    5/1/2010

    7/1/2010

    9/1/2010

    11/1/2010

    1/1/2011

    3/1/2011

    5/1/2011

    7/1/2011

    Rate

    Monetary policy rate

    Discount rate

    Base rate

    Refinancing rate

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    Mt s bt cp ca th trng tint Vit Nam

    TCTD Tp qun giao dch cha ng nht Qun l iu ha ngun vn trong cc TCTD cha tt: khi

    tha khi thiu. Lin kt gia cc TCTD khng tt. Khi th trng thiu thanh

    khon: c xu hng phng th. Lin kt yu gia cc TCTDdn n kh nng chng vi khung hong km

    Tnh thi v ca th trng tin t Vit Nam kh cao(Tt dng lch, m lch, np thu)

    Thanh khon ca th trng khng n nh: lc thacng tha, lc thiu cng thiu

    Nguyn nhn

    Th trng vn km pht trin: n nay TCTDvn m ng vai tr quan trng nht trongvic cung cp vn cho nn kinh t

    Tp qun th trng v k hn gi tin, thanhton, gi giao dch cui cng (cut off times).

    Hot ng tn dng cha theo kp chun mcquc t: tr n vay trc hn,

    Khung php l cha hon chnh, ng b Cha c tp qun giao dch chun cho th

    trng: code of conduct

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    Nguyn nhn

    Cha hnh thnh benchmark v li sut chun cho thtrng, ng cong li sut (yield curve) cha c

    Chnh sch ti kha v chnh sch tin t nhiu thiim phi hp cha tt

    Li sut c bn c n nh trn c s no?? Vai tr ca ngi to lp th trng khng c hoc m

    nht (ngi to lp th trng cn c s h trmnh ca NHNN) Tnh minh bch ca cc t chc tham gia th trng

    km: bo co ti chnh theo chun mc, c ch & kcng b thng tin

    Nguyn nhn

    Cha c cc cng ty xp hng tn nhim (S&P, Moody,Fitch..) Kh xp hng tn nhim, nh gi ri ro i tc Khng xp hng c GTCG : kh nh gi trong giao dch

    Khng c c s pht trin th trng thng phiu(commercial paper) Cng c quan trng ca th trng tin t cc nn kinh t

    ln, c bit l Hoa K L u mi to nn s lin thng vi th trng vn

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    Nguyn nhn

    Cng c ca th trng cn ngho nn: Bankersacceptance ? Commercial Paper?...

    K hn ca cc cng c th trng tin t cha adng, c bit l Tn phiu kho bc: cha c k hnngn nh: 1 thng, 2 thng..

    NHNN hn ch t l cho vay cm c GTCG Lu k chng khon mi trong giai on u

    Ni thc hin lu k: NHNN, Trung tm lu k (Cng ty CK,NH lu k)

    Vic mapping.