bdx dcf valuation and graham stock analysis
DESCRIPTION
http://www.oldschoolvalue.comBDX stock analysis, DCF valuation and Graham's formula. See why Buffett bought BDX for Berkshire Hathaway.TRANSCRIPT
Author
Jae Jun | Old School Valuemail questions or comments to: [email protected]
http://www.oldschoolvalue.com
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Becton Dickinson & Co www.oldschoolvalue.com
8/15/2009
BDX 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM
Revenue 3,418.4$ 3,618.3$ 3,754.3$ 4,033.1$ 4,527.9$ 4,934.8$ 5,414.7$ 5,834.8$ 6,359.7$ 7,155.9$ 7,177.5$
COGS 1,711.7$ 1,848.3$ 1,913.3$ 2,083.7$ 2,336.3$ 2,500.4$ 2,662.0$ 2,886.9$ 3,071.9$ 3,492.6$ 3,451.3$
COGS (%) 50.1% 51.1% 51.0% 51.7% 51.6% 50.7% 49.2% 49.5% 48.3% 48.8% 48.1%
Gross Profit 1,706.7$ 1,770.0$ 1,841.0$ 1,949.4$ 2,191.7$ 2,434.4$ 2,752.7$ 2,948.0$ 3,287.8$ 3,663.4$ 3,726.2$
Gross Profit (%) 49.9% 48.9% 49.0% 48.3% 48.4% 49.3% 50.8% 50.5% 51.7% 51.2% 51.9%
SG&A 931.9$ 973.9$ 983.3$ 1,032.0$ 1,207.5$ 1,311.5$ 1,449.9$ 1,537.5$ 1,602.4$ 1,715.1$ 1,728.3$
SG&A (%) 27.3% 26.9% 26.2% 25.6% 26.7% 26.6% 26.8% 26.4% 25.2% 24.0% 24.1%
R&D 254.0$ 223.8$ 211.8$ 220.2$ 235.1$ 235.7$ 271.6$ 360.0$ 482.2$ 396.2$ 404.9$
R&D (%) 7.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 7.6% 5.5% 5.6%
Other 75.5$ 57.5$ NaN 21.5$ -NaN 100.0$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$
Other (%) 2.2% 1.6% #VALUE! 0.5% #VALUE! 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Operating Income 445.3$ 514.8$ 645.9$ 675.7$ 749.1$ 787.3$ 1,031.2$ 1,050.5$ 1,203.2$ 1,552.1$ 1,593.1$
Operating Income (%) 13.0% 14.2% 17.2% 16.8% 16.5% 16.0% 19.0% 18.0% 18.9% 21.7% 22.2%
Net Int Inc & Other (72.6)$ 5.1$ (69.1)$ (47.1)$ (39.4)$ (34.4)$ (26.3)$ (15.5)$ 0.8$ 1.5$ (8.7)$
Earnings Before Taxes 372.7$ 519.9$ 576.8$ 628.6$ 709.7$ 752.9$ 1,004.9$ 1,035.0$ 1,204.0$ 1,553.6$ 1,584.4$
Income Taxes 96.9$ 127.0$ 138.4$ 148.6$ 162.7$ 170.4$ 312.6$ 279.4$ 347.8$ 425.7$ 429.6$
Earnings After Taxes 275.7$ 392.9$ 438.4$ 480.0$ 547.1$ 582.5$ 692.3$ 755.6$ 856.2$ 1,127.9$ 1,154.8$
Acctg Changes -$ -$ (36.8)$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$
Disc Operations -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ (115.1)$ 30.0$ (3.3)$ 33.9$ (0.9)$ (2.2)$
Ext Items -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$
Net Income 275.7$ 392.9$ 401.7$ 480.0$ 547.1$ 467.4$ 722.3$ 752.3$ 890.0$ 1,127.0$ 1,152.6$
Net Income (%) 8.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.9% 12.1% 9.5% 13.3% 12.9% 14.0% 15.7% 16.1%
Diluted EPS, Cont Ops$ 1.0$ 1.5$ 1.6$ 1.8$ 2.1$ 2.2$ 2.7$ 3.0$ 3.4$ 4.5$ 4.8$
Diluted EPS$ 1.0$ 1.5$ 1.5$ 1.8$ 2.1$ 1.8$ 2.8$ 2.9$ 3.5$ 4.5$ 4.8$
Shares 265 263 269 268 264 264 260 256 255 244 241
Cash and Equiv 59.9$ 49.2$ 82.1$ 243.1$ 519.9$ 719.4$ 1,042.9$ 1,000.3$ 511.5$ 830.5$ 542.7$
Short-Term Investments 4.7$ 5.6$ 4.6$ 1.9$ -$ 32.1$ 86.8$ 106.4$ 158.0$ 199.9$ 187.5$
Accts Rec 812.5$ 751.7$ 768.1$ 746.0$ 781.3$ 807.4$ 842.8$ 885.8$ 1,083.2$ 1,079.1$ 1,062.1$
Inventory 642.5$ 678.7$ 707.7$ 697.7$ 795.0$ 738.8$ 776.0$ 875.7$ 1,052.0$ 1,080.4$ 1,180.7$
Other Current Assets 164.1$ 175.5$ 200.5$ 240.0$ 242.3$ 343.7$ 226.9$ 317.1$ 325.9$ 424.8$ 434.8$
Total Current Assets 1,683.7$ 1,660.7$ 1,762.9$ 1,928.7$ 2,338.6$ 2,641.3$ 2,975.3$ 3,185.3$ 3,130.6$ 3,614.7$ 3,407.8$
Net PP&E 1,431.2$ 1,576.1$ 1,716.0$ 1,765.7$ 1,844.8$ 1,881.0$ 1,933.7$ 2,133.6$ 2,497.3$ 2,744.5$ 2,663.1$
Intangibles 1,034.7$ 948.1$ 900.8$ 1,186.4$ 1,196.8$ 1,039.1$ 966.8$ 1,090.8$ 1,234.9$ 715.4$ 1,167.2$
Other Long-Term Assets 287.4$ 320.2$ 422.6$ 159.7$ 192.1$ 191.1$ 196.2$ 414.9$ 466.6$ 838.4$ 337.8$
Total Assets 4,437.0$ 4,505.1$ 4,802.3$ 5,040.5$ 5,572.3$ 5,752.6$ 6,072.0$ 6,824.5$ 7,329.4$ 7,912.9$ 7,575.8$
Accts Payable 209.4$ 184.0$ 205.1$ 224.7$ 221.5$ 206.9$ 252.3$ 243.6$ 267.0$ 260.9$ -$
Short-Term Debt 631.3$ 637.7$ 454.0$ 434.6$ 121.9$ 49.3$ 206.5$ 427.2$ 207.6$ 201.3$ 405.6$
Taxes Payable 23.4$ 32.3$ 50.1$ 57.2$ 75.0$ 86.7$ 70.9$ 34.6$ 86.9$ 28.9$ -$
Accrued Liabilities 465.3$ 499.6$ 555.5$ 535.9$ 625.0$ 692.9$ 769.8$ 870.9$ 917.3$ 519.1$ -$
Other Short-Term
Liabilities -$ -$ NaN NaN -$ 14.2$ NaN -$ -$ 406.4$ 1,105.1$
Total Current Liabilities 1,329.3$ 1,353.5$ 1,264.7$ 1,252.5$ 1,043.4$ 1,050.1$ 1,299.4$ 1,576.3$ 1,478.8$ 1,416.6$ 1,510.7$
Long-Term Debt 954.2$ 779.6$ 783.0$ 803.0$ 1,184.0$ 1,171.5$ 1,060.8$ 957.0$ 955.7$ 953.2$ 747.7$
Other Long-Term
Liabilities 384.8$ 416.0$ 425.8$ 497.1$ 447.9$ 463.1$ 427.8$ 455.0$ 532.9$ 607.6$ 513.5$
Total Liabilities 2,668.3$ 2,549.1$ 2,473.5$ 2,552.5$ 2,675.3$ 2,684.7$ 2,788.0$ 2,988.3$ 2,967.4$ 2,977.4$ 2,771.8$
Total Equity 1,768.7$ 1,956.0$ 2,328.8$ 2,488.0$ 2,897.0$ 3,067.9$ 3,284.0$ 3,836.2$ 4,362.0$ 4,935.6$ 4,804.0$
Total Liabilities & Equity 4,437.0$ 4,505.1$ 4,802.3$ 5,040.5$ 5,572.3$ 5,752.6$ 6,072.0$ 6,824.5$ 7,329.4$ 7,913.0$ 7,575.8$
Net Income 275.7$ 392.9$ 401.7$ 480.0$ 547.1$ 467.4$ 722.3$ 752.3$ 890.0$ 1,127.0$ 1,152.6$
Depr & Amort 258.9$ 288.3$ 305.7$ 304.9$ 344.5$ 357.2$ 387.5$ 405.1$ 441.3$ 477.4$ 479.2$
Deferred Taxes 4.6$ 37.3$ 37.4$ 57.2$ (1.0)$ (31.4)$ 63.2$ (129.3)$ (115.5)$ 80.1$ 97.3$
Other (107.4)$ (102.9)$ 33.9$ (6.0)$ 15.2$ 307.0$ 50.9$ 48.3$ 20.2$ 3.5$ (201.6)$
Cash from Operations 431.8$ 615.5$ 778.7$ 836.0$ 905.7$ 1,100.3$ 1,223.9$ 1,076.4$ 1,236.1$ 1,688.0$ 1,527.5$
Cap Ex (311.6)$ (376.4)$ (370.8)$ (259.7)$ (261.0)$ (265.7)$ (317.6)$ (459.3)$ (556.4)$ (602.0)$ (559.2)$
Purchase of Business (374.2)$ (21.3)$ (31.0)$ -$ -$ (24.3)$ -$ (231.5)$ (339.5)$ (41.3)$ -$
Other (130.1)$ (5.8)$ (140.2)$ (101.4)$ (88.3)$ (105.3)$ (64.4)$ (95.8)$ (122.3)$ (139.8)$ (206.2)$
Cash from Investing (815.9)$ (403.4)$ (541.9)$ (361.1)$ (349.4)$ (395.2)$ (382.0)$ (786.5)$ (1,018.3)$ (783.0)$ (765.4)$
Net Issuance of Stock 26.8$ 34.7$ 82.9$ (185.9)$ (263.4)$ (273.9)$ (426.5)$ (301.1)$ (319.5)$ (364.6)$ (470.1)$
Net Issuance of Debt 79.2$ (60.0)$ (100.1)$ (6.6)$ 396.6$ (21.7)$ (104.5)$ (0.8)$ (100.8)$ -$ -$
Dividends (88.1)$ (95.7)$ (101.3)$ (102.5)$ (104.1)$ (152.4)$ (182.2)$ (212.4)$ (239.8)$ (278.5)$ (297.8)$
Other 346.8$ (98.5)$ (82.6)$ (18.8)$ (320.8)$ (56.5)$ 188.8$ 172.2$ (66.0)$ 57.3$ 16.3$
Cash from Financing 364.7$ (219.5)$ (201.1)$ (313.7)$ (291.7)$ (504.4)$ (524.5)$ (342.2)$ (726.0)$ (585.8)$ (751.6)$
Currency Adj (4.0)$ (3.3)$ (2.7)$ (0.2)$ 12.1$ 1.6$ 3.9$ 9.7$ 15.0$ 0.8$ (26.5)$
Change in Cash (23.3)$ (10.7)$ 32.9$ 161.0$ 276.8$ 199.5$ 323.5$ (42.6)$ (488.8)$ 319.0$ (18.3)$
Cash from Operations 431.8$ 615.5$ 778.7$ 836.0$ 905.7$ 1,100.3$ 1,223.9$ 1,076.4$ 1,236.1$ 1,688.0$ 1,527.5$
Cap Ex (311.6)$ (376.4)$ (370.8)$ (259.7)$ (261.0)$ (265.7)$ (317.6)$ (459.3)$ (556.4)$ (602.0)$ (559.2)$
Free Cash Flow 223.0$ 304.8$ 336.6$ 525.2$ 630.6$ 558.9$ 792.2$ 698.1$ 774.9$ 1,002.4$ 1,072.6$
Book Value Per Share 6.67$ 7.44$ 8.66$ 9.28$ 10.97$ 11.62$ 12.63$ 14.99$ 17.11$ 20.23$ 19.93$
ticker
BDX
Financial Data
Company Name
Income Statement
Operating Expenses
Other Income and Expense
Balance Sheet
Free Cash Flow
Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity
Cash Flows Statement
Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Assets
Cash Flows From Financing Activities
all figures in $Mil
8/15/2009 User Growth www.oldschoolvalue.com
10.00%
Desired MOS Growth Discount % Price Share Value Buy under Actual D/C % 52Wk High 52Wk Low
50% 10.0% 9.0% 66.39$ 87.38$ 43.69$ 24% $89.24 $58.14
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Revenue 3,418.4$ 3,618.3$ 3,754.3$ 4,033.1$ 4,527.9$ 4,934.8$ 5,414.7$ 5,834.8$ 6,359.7$ 7,155.9$
Gross Profit 1,706.7$ 1,770.0$ 1,841.0$ 1,949.4$ 2,191.7$ 2,434.4$ 2,752.7$ 2,948.0$ 3,287.8$ 3,663.4$
Operating Income 445.3$ 514.8$ 645.9$ 675.7$ 749.1$ 787.3$ 1,031.2$ 1,050.5$ 1,203.2$ 1,552.1$
Net Income 275.7$ 392.9$ 401.7$ 480.0$ 547.1$ 467.4$ 722.3$ 752.3$ 890.0$ 1,127.0$
Diluted EPS 1.0$ 1.5$ 1.5$ 1.8$ 2.1$ 1.8$ 2.8$ 2.9$ 3.5$ 4.5$
Cash from Operations 431.8$ 615.5$ 778.7$ 836.0$ 905.7$ 1,100.3$ 1,223.9$ 1,076.4$ 1,236.1$ 1,688.0$
Free Cash Flow 223.0$ 304.8$ 336.6$ 525.2$ 630.6$ 558.9$ 792.2$ 698.1$ 774.9$ 1,002.4$
Current Assets 1,683.7$ 1,660.7$ 1,762.9$ 1,928.7$ 2,338.6$ 2,641.3$ 2,975.3$ 3,185.3$ 3,130.6$ 3,614.7$
Current Liabilities 1,329.3$ 1,353.5$ 1,264.7$ 1,252.5$ 1,043.4$ 1,050.1$ 1,299.4$ 1,576.3$ 1,478.8$ 1,416.6$
Total Liabilities 2,668.3$ 2,549.1$ 2,473.5$ 2,552.5$ 2,675.3$ 2,684.7$ 2,788.0$ 2,988.3$ 2,967.4$ 2,977.4$
Tangible Shareholder Equity 734.0$ 1,007.9$ 1,428.0$ 1,301.6$ 1,700.2$ 2,028.8$ 2,317.2$ 2,745.4$ 3,127.1$ 4,220.2$
Gross Margin 49.93% 48.92% 49.04% 48.34% 48.40% 49.33% 50.84% 50.52% 51.70% 51.19%
Operating Margin 13.03% 14.23% 17.20% 16.75% 16.54% 15.95% 19.04% 18.00% 18.92% 21.69%
Net Margin 8.07% 10.86% 10.70% 11.90% 12.08% 9.47% 13.34% 12.89% 13.99% 15.75%
Current Assets>1.5 times 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.6
CROIC 10.76% 13.83% 12.77% 20.19% 18.93% 15.26% 20.82% 16.79% 16.79% 17.34%
FCF/Sales 6.5% 8.4% 9.0% 13.0% 13.9% 11.3% 14.6% 12.0% 12.2% 14.0%
Inventory Turnover 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.3 2.9 3.2
Return On Assets (ROA) 6.66% 8.79% 8.63% 9.75% 10.31% 8.25% 12.22% 11.67% 12.58% 14.79%
Retun On Equity (ROE) 16.78% 21.62% 19.12% 20.26% 20.59% 15.85% 22.85% 21.13% 21.71% 24.24%
Debt to Equity 150.9% 130.3% 106.2% 102.6% 92.3% 87.5% 84.9% 77.9% 68.0% 60.3%
Capitalization Ratio 35.0% 28.5% 25.2% 24.4% 29.0% 27.6% 24.4% 20.0% 18.0% 16.2%
FCF to Debt 8.4% 12.0% 13.6% 20.6% 23.6% 20.8% 28.4% 23.4% 26.1% 33.7%
2003-2007 2004-2008 2003-2006 2004-2007 2005-2008 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 2006-2008 Median
Shareholder Equity 16.5% 20.1% 17.3% 15.5% 22.1% 16.7% 16.3% 16.2% 24.0% 16.7%
Free Cash Flow 5.3% 15.7% 3.4% 11.5% 8.2% 12.1% 11.8% -1.1% 19.8% 11.5%
CROIC 16.8% 16.8% 17.9% 16.8% 17.1% 18.9% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8%
FCF/Sales 12.2% 12.2% 12.9% 12.1% 13.1% 13.9% 12.0% 12.2% 12.2% 12.2%
ROA 11.7% 12.2% 11.0% 11.9% 12.4% 10.3% 11.7% 12.2% 12.6% 11.9%
ROE 21.1% 21.7% 20.9% 21.4% 22.3% 20.6% 21.1% 21.7% 21.7% 21.4%
Revenue Growth 8.9% 9.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.7% 8.4% 10.7% 8.9%
Gross Margin 50.5% 50.8% 49.9% 50.7% 51.0% 49.3% 50.5% 50.8% 51.2% 50.7%
Operating Margin 18.0% 18.9% 17.3% 18.5% 19.0% 16.5% 18.0% 18.9% 18.9% 18.5%
Net Margin 12.9% 13.3% 12.5% 13.1% 13.7% 12.1% 12.9% 13.3% 14.0% 13.1%
Earnings Growth 13.9% 26.0% 12.3% 25.4% 17.2% 15.7% 28.7% 12.2% 23.4% 17.2%
Cash from Ops Growth 8.1% 11.3% 5.9% 4.0% 11.3% 16.2% -1.1% 0.5% 25.2% 8.1%
Growing at 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
10% 1,103$ 1,213$ 1,334$ $1,414.97 $1,542.32 $1,681.13 $1,832.43 $1,869.16 $2,020.56 $2,184.23
Growing at 3% (Default) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
2,249.75$ 2,317.25$ 2,386.77$ 2,458.37$ 2,532.12$ 2,608.08$ 2,686.33$ 2,766.91$ 2,849.92$ 2,935.42$
Total Value
Shares Outstanding
Per Share Value
Margin of Safety
Purchase Price
Current Price
Actual Discount
Enterprise Value
Enterprise Value/EBITDA
66.39$
24%
Becton Dickinson & Coall figures in $Mil
7.844
Cash Flow Data
50%
43.69$
Projection of future Free Cash Flow
16,330.00$
20,931$
Company Name ticker
87.38$
Free Cash Flow and Tangible Shareholder Equity TrendCompany Valuation
BDX
User Input Params
Balance Sheet Data
Financial Data
Efficiency & Profitability
Margins
239.53
Income Sheet Data
Multi-Year Performance
Debt Related
$223.0 $304.8 $336.6 $525.2 $630.6 $558.9
$792.2 $698.1 $774.9 $1,002.4
$734.0 $1,007.9
$1,428.0 $1,301.6 $1,700.2
$2,028.8 $2,317.2
$2,745.4 $3,127.1
$4,220.2
$-
$500.0
$1,000.0
$1,500.0
$2,000.0
$2,500.0
$3,000.0
$3,500.0
$4,000.0
$4,500.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
FCF
Shareholder Equity
Sales, Receivables, Inventory
Efficiency & Profitability Debt
Multi-Year Performance Graph
Margin Percentages
49.93% 48.92% 49.04% 48.34% 48.40% 49.33% 50.84% 50.52% 51.70% 51.19%
13.03% 14.23%17.20% 16.75% 16.54% 15.95%
19.04% 18.00% 18.92%21.69%
8.07%10.86% 10.70% 11.90% 12.08%
9.47%13.34% 12.89% 13.99%
15.75%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Net Margin
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
CROIC FCF/Sales ROA ROE
$-
$1,000.0
$2,000.0
$3,000.0
$4,000.0
$5,000.0
$6,000.0
$7,000.0
$8,000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 TTM
Sales Accts Receivable Inventory
50.5% 50.8% 49.9% 50.7% 51.0% 49.3% 50.5% 50.8% 51.2%
18.0% 18.9% 17.3% 18.5% 19.0%16.5% 18.0% 18.9% 18.9%
12.9% 13.3%12.5% 13.1% 13.7%
12.1%12.9% 13.3% 14.0%
13.9%
26.0%
12.3%
25.4% 17.2%15.7%
28.7%12.2%
23.4%11.7%
12.2%
11.0%
11.9%12.4%
10.3%
11.7%
12.2%
12.6%21.1%
21.7%
20.9%
21.4%22.3%
20.6%
21.1%
21.7%
21.7%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
160.0%
2003-2007 2004-2008 2003-2006 2004-2007 2005-2008 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 2006-2008
Gross Margin Operating Margin Net Margin Earnings Growth ROA ROE
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
160.0%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Debt to Equity Capitalization Ratio FCF to Debt
Company Name
Becton Dickinson & Co www.oldschoolvalue.com
Desired MOS Growth Discount % Price Share Value Buy under Actual D/C % 52Wk High 52Wk Low
50% 10.0% 9% 66.39$ 87.38$ 43.69$ 24% 89.24$ 58.14$
Historical Stock Price Vs Intrinsic Value Per Share
ticker
BDXall figures in $Mil 8/15/2009
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
12/2/2002 6/2/2003 12/2/2003 6/2/2004 12/2/2004 6/2/2005 12/2/2005 6/2/2006 12/2/2006 6/2/2007 12/2/2007 6/2/2008 12/2/2008 6/2/2009
Historical Price Intrinsic Value Buy Price Linear (Historical Price)
8/15/2009 User Growth
10.00% www.oldschoolvalue.com
Desired MOS Growth Price Actual DC% Share Value Buy under P/B Ratio
66% 10.0% 66.39$ 40% 111.27$ 37.83$ 3.28
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.04$ 1.49$ 1.49$ 1.79$ 2.07$ 1.77$ 2.77$ 2.93$ 3.49$ 4.46$
2009 2010 2011 2012
4.20$ 4.95$ 5.24$ 5.78$
Median
2003-2007 2004-2008 2003-2006 2004-2007 2005-2008 2003-2005 2004-2006 2005-2007 2006-2008
Earnings Growth 13.9% 26.0% 12.3% 25.4% 17.2% 15.7% 28.7% 12.2% 23.4% 17.2%
EPS Weighted Average 2.61$ 3.08$ 2.39$ 2.74$ 3.41$ 2.20$ 2.49$ 3.06$ 3.63$ $2.7
4.33$
10.00%
5.12
20.23
3.28
74.37$
111.27$
66.00%
37.83$
66.39$
40%
all figures in $Mil
Diluted EPS
Multi-Year Performance
Enterprise Value Per Share
Company Stats
Normal Earnings
Expected 5 Year Growth
10 yr AA Corp Bond Rate
Actual Discount
Company Name ticker
Becton Dickinson & Co BDX
Earnings
User Input ParamsNet Net Working Capital
(2.73)$
Purchase Price
Current Price
Company Valuation
Per Share Value
Desired MOS
Book Value Per Share
Price to Book Ratio
$1.04 $1.49 $1.49
$1.79 $2.07
$1.77
$2.77 $2.93
$3.49
$4.46 $4.20
$4.95
$-
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EPS
Linear (EPS)
Company Name ticker
Becton Dickinson & Co BDX8/15/2009
BDX ACL BAX BCR HSIC PDCO Industry Ranking
Stock Price 66.39 127.31 55.23 73.62 51.39 25.26 NA NA
Market Cap (millions) 15,890 38,030 33,290 7,190 4,630 3,110 NA NA
52-Week High 89.24 178.56 71.53 101.61 $60.42 $33.70 NA NA
52-Week Low 58.14 66.64 45.46 68.94 32.08 15.75 NA NA
% off 52-Week Low 14.2% 91.0% 21.5% 6.8% 60.2% 60.4% NA NA
Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio (TTM) 13.86 18.39 16.07 15.43 17.86 14.97 1.66 6
Price to Sales (TTM) 2.25 6.14 2.72 2.91 0.73 1.01 0.24 4
Price to Book (MRQ) 3.05 7.96 5.08 3.44 2.21 2.6 2.62 4
Price to Tangible Book (MRQ) 3.95 9.37 7.77 5.77 4.92 14.27 3.9 6
Price to Cash Flow (TTM) 9.56 16.65 12.15 12.44 12.88 13.54 1.29 6
Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) 27.88 21.95 36.38 15.89 17.18 33.97 41.3 3
Enterprise Value/Revenue (TTM) 2.28 5.86 2.89 2.72 0.74 1.12 NA NA
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (TTM) 7.844 15.005 10.511 8.285 8.624 9.23 NA NA
Dividends
Dividend Yield 2.01 2.83 1.89 0.93 NA NA 0.08 2
Dividend Yield - 5 Year Avg. 1.28 1.35 1.47 0.73 0 0 0.89 3
Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate 23.3 48.17 9.42 6.96 0 0 13.32 2
Payout Ratio (TTM) 25.83 0 28.49 13.31 0 0 1.29 2
Growth Rates
Sales (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago -1.57 -3.35 -2.07 1.22 -1.82 0.19 0.37 3
Sales (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago 2.25 6.14 2.72 2.91 0.73 1.01 0.24 4
Sales - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 9.65 13.06 6.76 11.34 14.89 9.46 6.55 4
EPS (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago 17.2 3.22 12.49 47.14 14.91 -11.17 59.22 2
EPS (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago 11.4 16.79 19.86 36.9 3.47 -0.84 0 4
EPS - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 16 28.78 14.03 20.47 12.39 9.23 11.44 3
Capital Spending - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 14.99 15.1 3.79 -9.81 5.47 10.49 10.43 2
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 1.99 2.12 1.35 4.25 1.28 2 1.83 4
Current Ratio (MRQ) 2.73 2.43 2.08 5.43 1.98 2.8 2.44 3
LT Debt to Equity (MRQ) 28.46 1.19 54.84 7.17 12.46 44.62 15.84 3
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 36.25 19.69 58.49 7.17 19.91 46.47 31.07 3
Profitability
Gross Margin (TTM) 52.43 76.92 51.1 61.74 29.46 33.72 5.54 3
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 50.98 75.09 45.73 61 28.86 34.61 45.81 3
EBITD Margin (TTM) 29.38 38.97 27.12 30.25 8.1 12.17 0 3
EBITD - 5 Yr. Avg. 26.02 36.37 21.75 26.82 7.29 12.92 20.16 3
Operating Margin (TTM) 22.64 35.74 22.27 26.26 6.85 11.19 1.6 3
Operating Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 19.44 31.71 16.51 23.76 6.09 11.96 14.78 3
Pre-Tax Margin (TTM) 22.47 33.82 21.31 26.26 6.58 10.33 1.48 3
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 19.22 31.74 15.34 23.76 5.86 11.61 14.61 3
Net Profit Margin (TTM) 16.77 33.67 17.56 19.67 4.43 6.45 1.15 4
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 13.86 27.06 12.11 17.7 3.81 7.29 9.47 3
Management Effectiveness
Return On Assets (TTM) 13.97 27.83 13.76 18.34 7.89 9.48 1.05 3
Return On Assets - 5 Yr. Avg. 12.45 24.2 9.05 15.89 7.06 10.71 7.31 3
Return On Investment (TTM) 17.11 41.23 17.75 20.51 11.19 11.71 1.57 4
Return On Investment - 5 Yr Avg 15.62 40.4 12.45 19.3 10.04 13.35 9.74 3
Return On Equity (TTM) 23.07 48.25 31.14 24.26 13.06 18.22 2.5 4
Return On Equity - 5 Yr. Avg. 22.15 47.86 24.85 22.39 13.23 18.01 11.29 4
Efficiency
Revenue/Employee (TTM) 250187 402104 252144 224727 506549 441402 386369 NA
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 41947 135370 44289 44200 22446 28479 35485 NA
Receivable Turnover (TTM) 6.1 4.74 5.62 6.06 8.66 7.37 0.59 NA
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 2.86 2.32 2.36 3.2 6.24 7.44 0.3 NA
Asset Turnover (TTM) 0.83 0.83 0.78 0.93 1.78 1.47 0.09 4
www.oldschoolvalue.com
Company Name
Becton Dickinson & Cowww.oldschoolvalue.com
TTM 2008/09 2007/09 2006/09 2005/09 2004/09 2003/09 2002/09 2001/09 2000/09 1999/09 TTM 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12
16.8% 15.7% 14.0% 12.9% 13.3% 9.5% 12.1% 11.9% 10.7% 10.9% 8.1% 1503.2 1687.1 1269.9 1073.1 1223.9 1100.3 905.7 836.0 778.6 615.5 431.8
% Change 12.5% 8.5% -3.3% 40.8% -21.6% 1.5% 11.2% -1.5% 34.6% -- % Change 32.9% 18.3% -12.3% 11.2% 21.5% 8.3% 7.4% 26.5% 42.5% --
Now 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12 Now 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12
46.1% 53.8% 55.8% 44.9% 46.3% 47.3% 46.2% 49.8% 52.8% 52.8% 52.1% 13.0% 12.3% 9.0% 8.6% #VALUE! 9.0% 11.9% 12.2% 10.8% 10.2% 10.2%
% Change -3.6% 24.2% -3.0% -2.0% 2.2% -7.2% -5.6% 0.0% 1.2% -- % Change 36.4% 4.6% #VALUE! #VALUE! -24.6% -2.7% 12.8% 6.3% -0.2% --
2009/06 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12 2009/06 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12
13.5% 14.2% 12.1% 11.0% 11.9% 8.1% 9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 8.7% 6.2% 23.0% 22.8% 20.4% 19.6% 22.0% 15.4% 19.1% 19.6% 19.2% 20.5% 16.0%
% Change 17.4% 10.0% -7.6% 46.9% -17.3% 3.2% 4.4% 4.6% 40.3% -- % Change 11.8% 4.1% -10.9% 42.9% -19.4% -2.6% 2.1% -6.3% 28.1% --
2009/06 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12 2009/06 2007/12 2006/12 2005/12 2004/12 2003/12 2002/12 2001/12 2000/12 1999/12 1998/12
2.7 2.6 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8
% Change 20.5% 4.8% -11.7% -9.0% 12.2% 45.6% 10.5% 13.6% -3.1% -- % Change 27.3% -4.1% -13.4% -6.6% 22.5% 50.5% 17.8% 15.0% -7.4% --
Magic Formula Investing -- Earnings Yield
Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE)
Current Ratio Quick Ratio
8/15/2009
ticker
BDX
Net Profit Margin
Magic Formula Investing -- Return on Capital
Cash Flow (Continuing Operations)
16.8%15.7%
14.0%12.9% 13.3%
9.5%
12.1% 11.9%10.7% 10.9%
8.1%
46.1%53.8% 55.8%
44.9% 46.3% 47.3% 46.2%49.8% 52.8% 52.8% 52.1%
13.5% 14.2%12.1%
11.0%11.9%
8.1%9.8% 9.5% 9.1% 8.7%
6.2%
2.7 2.6
2.1 2.02.3
2.52.2
1.51.4
1.2 1.3
1503.21687.1
1269.91073.1
1223.91100.3
905.7 836.0 778.6615.5
431.8
13.0% 12.3%
9.0% 8.6%
0.0%
9.0%
11.9% 12.2%10.8% 10.2% 10.2%
23.0% 22.8% 20.4% 19.6% 22.0%
15.4%
19.1% 19.6% 19.2%20.5%
16.0%
2.01.8
1.4 1.51.7
1.8
1.5
1.00.8 0.7 0.8