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    BATTLESWARM A NEW FORM OF WARFARE

    In todays world, the main threat to many states, includingspecifically the US, no longer comes from other states.

    Instead, it comes from small groups and other organisations

    which are not states. Either we make the necessary

    changes and face them today, or what is commonly

    known as the modern world will lose all sense of security

    and will dwell in perpetual fear.

    - Martin Van Creveld

    Introduction

    Since the advent of warfare the main effort to win the war has been to put

    maximum combat power at the decisive point of the battlefield. In the

    information age with rapid advancements in Information Technology (IT) this has

    become all the more relevant since the forms of warfare are undergoing

    phenomenal changes. While the conventional warfare is not a thing of the past, the

    asymmetric form of warfare, the Low Intensity Conflict Operations, Peace

    Operations, Small Scale Contingencies are also becoming important.

    In the business world IT has triggered changes in organization from hierarchical tonetworked forms of organization. The middle layers of management are flattened.

    There is considerable discussion in informed circles in Armed Forces all over the

    world about how the networked forms of organization, doctrine and strategy could

    be adopted to meet the changing requirements of information revolution and

    warfare among the entire spectrum of conflict.

    The proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and the increasing

    lethality of cluster and Precision Guided Munitions (PGM) make it imperative that

    future ground forces remain dispersed as much as possible. This has lead todiscussions on concepts such as dispersed operations, networking and greater

    autonomy for small units. One important part of this doctrinal discussion relates to

    the feasibility and utility of Swarm tactics which would have such small,

    distributed units and maneuverable fires converge rapidly on particular targets.

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    Two researchers form American Think Tank, Rand Corporation have been

    consistently proposing that the information revolution favours the rise of network

    based organizations and the swarming will be the major mode of conflict in the

    future. They propose that the US Armys Air Land Battle doctrine may need to

    evolve to a doctrine based on swarming. Their swarming proposal named Battle

    Swarm is still not completely formulated but does suggest that smaller and more

    maneuverable tactical units be deployed in dispersed networks and trained to use

    swarming as an operational concept. 1,2

    Historical Examples.

    Examples of swarming can be found throughout military history from the

    numerous horse-archer battles in ancient times to the urban street skirmishes in

    Mogadishu,Somalia in 1993. Swarming has been employed at the tactical and operational

    levels, both defensively and offensively in cities, deserts, jungles and oceans, by

    conventional and unconventional forces. Some examples of historical swarming

    cases are given in figure 1. 3

    Battle Terrain Swarmer

    Mission

    :

    Defenceor

    Offensiv

    e ?

    Swarmer

    Descripition

    Non

    Swarmer

    Descriptio

    n

    Uniqueness

    of Example

    Mongols vs

    Eastern

    Europeans

    Battle of

    Liegnitz, 1241

    Steppe,

    Plains

    Offensiv

    e

    Light and

    Heavy

    Cavalry

    Heavy

    Cavalry

    and

    Infantry

    Tactical and

    Operational

    Swarming

    Napoleonic

    Corps vsAustrians.

    Ulm

    Campaign180

    5

    Woods,

    Mountains, Steppe

    Both The tactical

    unit wascombined

    arms (masket

    infantry,

    cavalry,

    horse

    artillery) : the

    Combined

    Arms(masket

    infantry,

    cavalry,

    horse

    artillery)

    Operational

    SwarmingCombined

    with

    Conventiona

    l tactics.

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    operational

    unit was the

    semi

    autonomous

    corpsGerman U

    Boats vs

    British

    Convoys,

    1939-1945

    Naval Offensiv

    e

    Woolfpacks

    of U-Boats

    Convoys

    of

    merchant

    ships

    guarded by

    destroyer

    teams

    Naval

    example

    Somalia vs

    US

    Commandos,Mogadishu,

    Oct 3-4 1993

    Urban Both Tribal Militia

    (Light

    Infantry)

    Light

    Infantry,

    Lightvehicles,

    helicopter

    gunships

    Peace

    Making

    Operation

    Fig 1 : Historical Swarming Cases

    Increasing battlefield dispersion is a natural historical trend, caused by increasing

    lethality of weapons. Fig 2 shows the Battlefield Dispersion from Antiquity to the

    Present.

    Area

    Occupied

    By

    Deployed

    Forces

    1,00,000

    strong

    Antiquity Napoleonic

    Wars

    World

    War I

    World

    War II

    1973

    Arab

    -Israel

    War

    Gulf

    War

    Square Km 1 20.12 248 2,750 4,000 2,13,000

    Front (Km) 6.67 8.05 14 48 57 400Depth (KM) 0.15 2.50 17 57 70 533

    Men Per Sq

    Km

    1,00,000 4790 404 36 25 2.34

    Sq Meter

    Per Man

    10 200 2,475 27,500 40,000 4,26,400

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    Fig 2 : Battlefield Dispersion

    The Mongols, The Ultimate Swarmers. The Mongols are the ultimate examples

    of swarming because they swarmed at both tactical and operational levels. In the

    early thirteenth century, Genghis Khan defeated all his neighbours. Eventually

    Mongol conquests stretched from Korea to Germany, the largest continuous land

    empire ever. They combined the mobility of the horse with the rapid long range

    fire of their horn bows to create an imposing ability to swarm either fire or forces.

    To this capability they added a very decentralized organizational structure that

    gave great leeway to local commanders. They also feigned retreats, often luring

    their opponents into loosening their battle formations while in pursuit only to

    turn and Swarm upon them at an appropriate time. Finally, their arrow riders

    assured the swift flows of important information , allowing an overall commander

    to have a very clear idea of just what his widely distributed swarming forces wereup to. No wonder, both Generals Patton and Rommel admired and studied the

    principles employed by Subotai, the military commander of the Mongol invasion

    of Europe in 1240. 4

    Naval Swarming. The German use of U-boat Wolf pack tactics during the

    battle of Atlantic (1939-1945) is a naval example of swarming. Packs of five or

    more U-boats would converge on a convey of transport ships and their destroyer

    escorts, independently attacking from multiple directions. Radio communications

    allowed the Germans to perfect the tactics of the Wolfpack. U-boats ordered to the

    area of reported sighting would spread out on a scouting line across the expected

    convoy route. The first boat to sight the convoy would begin shadowing over the

    edge of the horizon by day, closing at dusk. The U-boat command located at

    France would then direct all adjacent boats (within hundreds of miles) to

    rendezvous with the shadowing U-boat. Once assembled near the convoy, U-boat

    woolf packs performed to attack simultaneously from multiple directions at night.

    Each U-boat CO attacked at best he could without attempting to co-ordinate

    his movements with those of any other boats. During the attack, no senior officer

    was in tactical command.

    Battle of Britain. Defensive swarming tactics was used by British Fighter

    Command to play a decisive role in the Battle of Britain. The concept of operation

    was simple. Radar would be used to provide warning of the size and direction of a

    German attack, then word would go out to widely dispersed air bases, from which

    the defenders would swarm to the attack. Over a period of months, this swarming

    defense decisively defeated the German Luftwaffe. The British focused on

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    information flows as the key to swarming and pioneered both modern electronic

    warfare and some aspects of Information Warfare in their efforts to counter

    German air attacks.

    As far the use of airpower for tactical offensive swarming during World War II, the

    best example is provided by the Japanese Kamikaze attacks on US Navy vessels,

    where American casualties from Kamikaze attacks came close to those incurred in

    ground fighting. Kamikaze tactics consisted of simultaneously descending upon an

    enemy ship or ships from multiple directions, overloading the defense of the target

    vessel.

    Korean War. After World War II, the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army

    (PLAs) intervention in the Korean War late in 1950 also featured a great deal of

    swarming. UN Forces found themselves, again and again, surrounded by North

    Korean and Chinese Forces that packetized themselves and infiltrated wellbeyond any recognized front then attacked from all directions. It is a matter of

    conjecture whether the Chinese used swarming during India-China War of 1962.

    Infiltration, envelopment and multidirectional attacks are all part of swarming

    technique.

    Swarming in Peace Operations Black Hawk is Down. On the night of October

    3, 1993, an assault force of 75 US Rangers and 40 Delta Force commandos fast

    roped from 17 helicopters onto a gathering of Habr Gidr clan leaders in the heart of

    Mogadishu, Somalia. The targets were two top lieutenants of warlord Mohamed

    Farrah Iideed. The plan was to secure any hostages and transport them 3 miles

    back to the base on a convoy of 12 vehicles. What was supposed to be a hostage

    snatch mission turned into an 18 hour firefight over two Black Hawk helicopter

    crash sites. Eighteen Americans were killed in the fighting . The lightly armed

    Somali tribesmen were fighting the Americans by using Rocket-Propelled Grenade

    (RPG), fires against the helicopters, ambushes and large number of Somali

    National Army (SNA) militiamen to swarm the Americans with sheer numbers.

    The decisive factors that led to a swarmer victory appear to be elusiveness (based

    on concealment) and superior knowledge of the terrain.

    DOCTRINE OF SWARMING.

    The Information Revolution is altering the ways people fight across the spectrum

    of conflict. It is doing so mainly by improving the power and performance of small

    units and by favouring the rise of network forms of organization, doctrine and

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    strategy while making life difficult for large, traditional hierarchical forms.

    Swarming is already

    emerging as an appropriate doctrine for networked forces to wage information age

    conflict. Robust connectivity allows for the creation of a multitude of small units

    of maneuver, networked in such a fashion that, although they might be widely

    distributed, they can still come together at will and repeatedly, to deal resounding

    blows to their adversaries. The technical tools to support swarming already exist.

    Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, JSTARS, Satellites, Precision Guided Munitions and

    very advanced and secure communications have already proved their mettle in

    conflicts from Gulf War to Kosovo and now the Afghan War. Against a

    conventional adversary on a traditional battlefield the swarming of directed fires

    should have devastating effects. Against an elusive opponent trying to fight in an

    irregular fashion the coordinated swarming of networked forces should enable

    them to defeat the enemy in detail. However, even a networked Swarm force will

    have a hard time dealing with guerilla forces enjoying the support of a populacethat can sustain, hide and nurture them. We can see examples of swarming by non

    military action like International Campaigns to Ban Landmines (ICBL). It grew

    into an effective global political movement bringing the Nobel Peace Prize by

    using the Internet to assemble and coordinate a complex network of supporting

    NGOs and governments. 5

    The new kinds of small military units called pods that can operate in clusters

    can be developed. These units should be dispersed to mitigate the risks posed by

    hostile fire. Possessing both mobility and situational knowledge, they will be able

    to strike, swarming from all directions, either with fire or in force.

    It is clear that swarming cannot be affected in the absence of a fully integrated

    surveillance and communication system. The command, control, communications,

    computer, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (c4isr) system may

    Generate so much information that it will be necessary to come up with new ways

    to segregate the often time-urgent need of the operational unit from the higher

    commanders need to retain the big picture view of what in going on. The office

    of the secretary of defense (osd) and us army deputy chief of staff for operationsand plans (dcsops) have conducted wargames that explore swarming operational

    concepts. Their view of swarming is that maneuver forces allow enemy forces to

    advance fairly unaware until they are attacked from all directions simultaneously.

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    The swarm concept is built on the principles of complexity theory. It assumes that

    own forces have to operate autonomously and adaptively accordingly to the overall

    mission. The concept relies on a highly complex, artificial intelligence (ai)

    assisted, theater wide c4isr architecture to coordinate fire support, information and

    logistics. Swarm tactical maneuver units use precise, organic fire, information

    operations and indirect strikes to cause enemy loss of cohesion and destruction.

    Swarming friendly units operate among enemy units, striking exposed flanks

    And critical command and control (c2), combat support (cs) and combat service

    support(css) nodes in such a way that the enemy must constantly try to multiple

    new threats emerging from constantly changing axis. Massing of fire occurs

    more often than massing of forces. Since the doctrine of swarming is still in

    conceptual stage its effect on command and organization, logistics, communication

    and technology and tactics are speculated below.

    Command and organization. A typical infantry division includes three infantry

    brigades, one artillery brigade, one armoured regiment and other combat arms units

    like recce and support battalion, engineer regiment, signal regiment, air defence

    and electronic warfare elements, and services units like asc, eme, ordnance,

    medical, provost, postal etc. All of these units provide critical functions. Finding

    an alternative way to provide this support for a swarm unit would be critical to

    success in the battlefield.

    Organization and command are directly related. The complexity of the command

    problem grows with the number of units, the power and range of their weapons, the

    speed at which they move and the space over which they operate. A military that

    wants to conduct swarming, either of fire or in force, will have to habituate itself to

    the devolution of great deal of command and control authority to a large number of

    small maneuver units. These units will be widely dispersed throughout the

    battlefield and will likely represent all the various sea, air and ground services

    putting a premium on inter service co-ordination for purpose of both sharing

    information and combining in joint task groups.

    Martin libicki of national defense university, usa, an acknowledged expert on

    information warfare has discussed in details about the challenge of changing the

    military from the large and the few to the small and many. 6

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    Since the large and few military formations are around for centuries and have

    functioned reasonably well with the exception of guerilla and other irregular wars

    there would be lot of resistance for radical organization change. 7 The small and

    the many organizations would create nightmares for support services functions.

    For examples, where do mobile surgical units setup their organization? Loss of

    more soldiers is a real risk. Would moving to a military of the many and the

    small jeopardize or compromise this multipurpose way of war? The real issue is

    whether heaviness is a virtue in itself or can it be replaced or compensated for by

    swarm of supporting fire from air and naval assets. In the age of acute sensing

    capabilities the tremendous accuracy of Precision Guided Munitions (PGM)

    suggests that large military formations and the logistics on which they depend are

    becoming increasingly vulnerable.

    Swarming would never work with the hierarchical command structure because an

    extremely flat organization would place too much of demand on the overallcommander. Achieving superior situational awareness may tempt higher level

    commanders to exercise more control over tactical commanders on the scene an

    urge that should be resisted. There is a natural tension between the decentralised

    system ofauftragstaktikand the very centralized command possibilities of the all-

    encompassing c4i system. The small unit leaders have to assume high initiative and

    responsibility. Junior leaders should be capable of much higher levels of command

    and responsibility. It would require high quality personnel both at officer and pbor

    level. Even today due to hard life in army, growing gap between civilian and

    military pay and declining interest in matters military amongst quality youth, the

    problem of human resources do not get the attention it deserves.

    Logistics. The most difficult task would be to provide logistics support to the

    swarming force in a widely distributed battlefield in which friendly and enemy

    forces are intermingled. The demands on logistics differ sharply from the

    prevailing practice which have always emphasized the provision of mass

    munitions, transport and manpower. For swarming these goods and services will

    have to be delivered not to fixed locations but to an ever shifting set of small forces

    almost all constantly on the move. It would require new thinking about means ofdistribution, the smaller size of swarm may mean that the amount of supplies that

    have to be delivered will be much lower.

    The us army is using the concept of focused logistics by using information

    technology (it) and provide supplies such as food, fuel, equipment and

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    ammunition. In the past, inventories have been large because units hoarded

    supplies just in case the items they ordered either took too long to arrive or never

    showed up. Rather than just in case focused logistics seeks to respond to real

    time battlefield demand and move in the direction of a just-in-time philosophy.

    Some of the measures to overcome this critical problem are :-

    (a) Spread the burden. Networked units can co-ordinate their supply

    needs, using situational awareness to transfer and share between units.

    (b) Use common parts and systems.

    (c) Use precise aerial resupply when possible, including unmanned

    delivery systems such as gps - guided parafoils.

    (d) Use prepositioned supply depots.

    (e) Create combat service support units that operate with particular

    clusters of swarm units.

    (f) Alternate ways to treat and evacuate casualties such as telemedicine

    needs to be perfected.

    TECHNOLOGY AND COMMUNICATIONS.

    The technological requirements for a concept like battleswarm to succeed are

    onerous. Serious advances are required in the management of information. Speed

    of processing information has to be improved. How to use the information has to

    be

    Learnt, sifting of important information from the non essential and who will know

    what at which stage of the battle would be the key. The robustness of

    communications to pods and clusters has to be ensured against any kind ofdisruption. The flow of information may be disrupted by the following means :-

    * From classic Electronic Warfare jamming to more sophisticated

    Computer Network Attacks.

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    * Air burst of nuclear weapon at high altitude by generating Electro

    Magnetic Pulse (EMP).

    * High Power Microwave Weapons (HPMW).

    * Aerial bombardment.

    * Radio frequency bombs and grenades.

    * Corruption of data and exploitation by enemy.

    Information Warfare will be the key to all such future military operations.

    COMMUNICATIONS. 8 the communication system for such a dispersed

    network of pods and clusters will have to be a mobile mesh communicationnetwork with high data throughput and survivability. The defense advanced

    research project agency (darpa) is already developing mobile wireless

    communication system for widely dispersed tactical units. The equipment will be

    capable of supporting a tactical internet based on dismounted soldier and mounted

    vehicle nodes without having to rely on a fixed ground infrastructure. The most

    promising part of the system would be a mobile mesh network of communications

    nodes that are able to buffer, store and route packets of information. Such a system

    would be capable of non line of sight transmission - a critical requirement of urban

    warfare. The military must develop such systems themselves or fund commercial

    enterprises because the market is unlikely to produce a mobile wireless system

    with the necessary anti jamming, security, and data rate standards on its own.

    Commercial communications systems such as digital cellular systems are designed

    to achieve optimal spectral efficiency (bits per second per hertz) which is usually

    incompatible with good security characteristics such as low probability of

    detection.

    Fire Support.9 Sophisticated ISR and target acquisition capabilities will be

    essential for detecting and tracking enemy ground formations. Swarm units will

    need to rely on multiple layers of ground, airborne and space based sensors and a

    robust Tactical Internet. The key to effective fires on all battlefields will be

    accurate and dependable target location. Rapidly responsive indirect precision

    fires delivered by rockets, missiles, naval gunfire or air must be available. Mostly

    swarming operation will be a joint operation. Swarm units should possess both

    organic stand off precision munitions and a capability to call for indirect fire

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    assets. Indirect munitions will need to be GPS guided and capable of in-flight

    corrective maneuvering. A mobile light force would need a mix of direct and

    indirect fires. We should not expect small teams to get along without significant

    organic fire power specially if weather is cloudy or the terrain masks the

    movement of ground forces.

    TACTICS.

    Swarming can be defined as Systematic pulsing of force and/or fire by dispersed,

    internetted units, so as to strike the adversary from all directions simultaneously.10

    Swarming can be conceptually broken into four stages : locate, converge, attack

    and disperse. Swarm networks must be able to come together rapidly and

    stealthily on a target, then redisperse and be able to recombine for a new pulse.

    The phenomenon of swarm effect is greater than the sum of its parts.

    Operational Concept of Swarm. 11 The friendly units operate as a very

    demassed, porous force. The effects of friendly ground forces are supported and

    enhanced by long range precision strikes that are called in on designated targets by

    individual sub units. The salient effect of the swarm is its synergy - the

    combination of direct fire and engagement by highly mobile, relatively light force

    and devastating fires from long range precision strike and Information Warfare

    assets called in by the ground units.

    Early in the operations the primary activity of ground forces is surveillance and

    target acquisition. Critical operational and tactical intelligence is gathered for

    friendly long range precision strike assets. Friendly maneuver units begin to

    engulf the enemy force. Over a relatively short period of time (less than a week)

    the enemy force is so severely attrited by the 360 degree, three dimensional

    operations of the Swarm that its operational plan is utterly defeated. The effect of

    the whole demassed friendly Swarm force is, notionally, significantly greater than

    the sum of its numerous company sized parts.

    The action of individual sub units making up the Swarms are tightly coordinated.,

    but this coordination does not come from above. Co-ordination between theindividual units is governed by the units themselves, extensively but laterally and

    essentially ad hoc as necessary to exploit opportunities that develop on the fast

    paced battlefield.

    It is not clear that a widely dispersed swarm operation will always by itself be

    enough to defeat a larger, more conventionally organized enemy force, even

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    granted the Swarms significant advantage in tactical and organizational agility.

    The Swarm operation may have to be supplemented or followed by more

    conventional actions and/or additional forces or assets. As the enemy would be so

    unhinged by the initial Swarming operations that the latter operations can be

    executed with much greater certainty, and rapidity and probably far fewer

    casualties.

    The swarming concept demands a need for unit cohesion well beyond what is there

    today. Unit have to be trained and remain together populated by individuals who

    know intuitively how the other member of the unit fight, their strengths and

    weaknesses etc. There is a need of soldiers and leaders who excel as independent ,

    adaptive thinkers who can take mission- type orders and interpret them on the fly

    to exploit opportunities as they arise.

    Tactical Concepts of Swarm. The employment of small, fast, lethal groundcombat units enables the friendly forces to use maneuver to effect fires with great

    agility. Friendly maneuver units sortie to critical points individually, execute

    their own assigned mission, then disengage, re-supply and move to the next

    mission. These pulsed sorties are repeated by multiple, independently operating

    friendly units to produce a constant rain of deadly blows at precisely chosen

    vulnerable points. Friendly units Swarm not only at enemys flanks and rear but

    also among and between enemy force elements, enabled by superior awareness and

    Information Warfare to continually operate and intermittently mass. The ultimate

    effect is complete loss of psychological and physical cohesion of the enemy.

    Enemy is rendered incapable of coalescing to present a strong front or mount a co-

    ordinated counter attack.

    Demassing friendly maneuver units enhances force protection i.e. relying on

    numerous small units in a sortie mode reduces the need for dedicated assets for

    force protection at the unit level as the small size, mobility and short engagement

    times of each unit are themselves protective measures. However, air and missile

    defence should be integrated into tactical operations at the lowest echelon possible.

    As friendly units cycle in and out of combat resting, replenishing and

    reconstituting in transient havens at unit- specific intervals outside enemy reach - itmay not be necessary to maintain operational reserve resources, though individual

    units can constitute temporary pools of uncommitted forces. Air force assets

    would not provide Close Air Support (CAS), friendly maneuver units would

    provide their own CAS with organic aviation and fires. Navy forces provide

    theater missile defence and long range precision strikes.

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    Some Critical Issues

    In the future war, war will not be waged by armies but by groups

    whom today we call terrorists, guerillas, bandits and robbers,

    but who will undoubtedly hit on more formal titles to describe

    themselves.

    - Martin Van Creveld 12

    Low Intensity Conflict Operation (LICO).It is most likely that swarming will

    feature in LICO in near future. It is a natural doctrine for networked organizations

    to apply. Swarming is also attractive because with the ease with which those who

    apply it can shift from offense to defence, and vice versa. The Chechan bands of

    fighters that defeated the Russian Army in the 1994-96 war used swarming both

    offensively and defensively and were highly effective at both. 13

    Various terrorists are proving adept at networking and in some cases swarming.

    For example Hizbollah uses a swarming approach to deal with Israeli Commando

    raids in Southern Lebanon. This approach is based over a general instruction to

    Hizbollahs widely distributed units to converge on any intruders in any given

    area.

    No central leadership is required and Israeli Commandos themselves not

    swarming, but trying to engage in Precision Strikes on specific, limited targets-

    have found themselves more than once facing swarming attacks from which they

    escape but only with serious loss. The inability of the Israeli military to deal with

    these Hizbollah swarms may even have contributed to Israels recent unilateral

    withdrawal from southern Lebanon. In counter insurgency operation the Swarm

    units are likely to be more effective than hierarchical division based units. Swarm

    units deployed as a network is more likely to find and finish elusive terrorists. It

    takes elusiveness to counter elusiveness.

    For intelligence gathering the space and air assets such as Unmanned Aerial

    Vehicles (UAV) , Satellite, high altitude aircraft and aircrafts like JointSurveillance and Target Attack Radar System (JSTARS) will still be limited in

    their ability to detect small ground forces in difficult terrain such as mountain,

    heavy forests, cities and jungle and in inclement weather. A Swarm force can

    physically cover a geographic area and is likely to pick up battlefield intelligence.

    A network of swarm units dispersed over an area can perform all types of counter

    insurgency operation and constantly gather human intelligence. Swarm units on

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    ground are natural sensors for detecting low signature terrorist outfits. Once a

    terrorist group is detected all adjacent swarm units can seal off the area and take

    appropriate action.

    Terrorism.14

    In a perverse way the black Tuesday 11 Sep attack in which four civil aircrafts

    were converted into cruise missiles homed on to their targets by using RMA

    technologies may be considered horrifyingly successful models of swarming.

    Information age terrorist organizations like al-Qaeda might pursue a war paradigm,

    developing capabilities to strike multiple targets from multiple directions in

    swarming campaigns. These terrorists used Internet E-Mail and Websites for their

    communication, sometimes relying on encryption and steganogra phy for security.

    Special Report : Al-Queda, Janes Intelligence Review, august 2001, pp42-51provides an extensive analysis of al-Qaedas organizational structure, history and

    activities. The analysis view al-Qaeda as a kind of conglomerates with both

    formal vertical and informal horizontal elements, making it a partial hybrid of

    hierarchical and network forms of organization.

    Command, Control, Communications and IT. Increase in speed and reduction

    in the cost of communications, increases in bandwidth, vastly expanded

    connectivity and the integration of communications and computing technologies

    allow the establishment of networks is the following critical ways :-

    * Reduced transmission time enabled dispersed organizations to

    communicate and coordinate their tasks.

    * Significant reduction in cost of communications allows information

    intensive organizational designs such as networks to become viable.

    * Substantially increased the scope and complexity of the information

    that can be shared.

    Counter terrorism policy makers should keep the following in mind which

    formulating strategies to counter terrorism :-

    * Monitor change in the use of IT by terrorist groups, differentiating

    between organizational and offensive capabilities.

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    * Target information flows.

    * Deter IT-based offensive IO through better infrastructure protection.

    * Beat networked terrorists at their own game. It takes network to fight

    networks.

    Peace Operation. Peace operations demand flexibility. Swarm units will make

    up a flatter, more flexible organization than the division based army of today.

    Swarm units are more modular and they can be reconfigured more easily than

    conventional units. The structure of the typical Army division based task force

    today is not well suited for peace operations, which emphasize policing, building,

    transporting and facilitating rather than combat arms function.

    The US intervention in Haiti during the 1990s featured a good bit of Swarming ofthe peaceful variety with relatively small numbers of American forces blanketing

    the potential trouble spots throughout the country with their deterring presence.

    Another benefit of this kind of deployment is closer, better relation with

    humanitarian agencies and NGOs, so very important in todays global village

    scenario. A swarming forces smaller size should also generate less local

    resentment, making coordination with NGOs easier while the pods and clusters

    will still have considerable punch at hand or on call.

    Limitation of Swarming. As with any tactic or strategy Swarming will not

    work against all types of opponents in all situations. Deliberate swarming attacks

    against fixed, defensive positions may not succeed when the defender has had time

    to fortify those positions and place extensive minefields. Swarm units with little

    logistics support may not have the capability to clear and detect minefields quickly.

    Recent Developments.

    With the concept of Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA) gaining ground

    experiments are being made in advanced western countries specially USA as to

    how the information technology advantage and the Information edge can befurther exploited by all the services. Some of the advanced conceptual initiatives

    are as under :-

    (a) US Army After Next (AAN). Encouraged by Training and Doctrine

    Command (TRADOC) of US Army. It empowers light forces to be able to

    take on much heavier (armoured) opposition .

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    (b) Hunter Warrior. US Marine Corps is working on Hunter Warrior/

    Sea Dragon advanced war fighting experiments. They share AANs

    technical and organizational advances but add to the objective of giving such

    a force an offensive punch.

    (c) Force XXI (USA).The US Army is trying to integrate the

    technological advancements in its army. However, no major organizational

    changes have been envisaged.

    (d) Fleet Battle Experiment Bravo (US Navy). Existing technology

    with new organizations are being experimented.

    (e) Air Expeditionary Force (USAF). US Air Force has pioneered a

    concept of Air Expeditionary Force that pulls all the elements together undera Composite Wing in which fighters and bombers and other aircraft types

    may be closely joined, specifically tailored to the needs of a particular

    theater or mission.

    (f) Urban Swarm (US Marine Corps). In this concept very small units

    known as Infestation teams get to operate in a highly decentralized but

    extensively internetted fashion.

    Some of the new doctrinal thinking in informed circles are as under :-

    (a) Convergent Assault . Relies heavily on helicopter for tactical

    mobility for simultaneous and omni directional attack on heavier adversary

    forces.

    (b) Nodal Warfare. Based on striking at key enemy pressure points

    specially Command Control nodes. A network like concept where

    swarming can be both nodal and nodeless.

    (c) Network Centric Warfare (NCW). 15 The concept of Network

    Centric Warfare is gaining ground in US Navy circles after the publication

    of seminal article on NCW by Vice Admiral Cebrowski. It allows for a

    great deal of connectivity and lot of decentralization of decision making

    authority. It views the battlefield as networks with grids of sensors, shooters

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    and information overlaid. Swarming may well be a natural fit to Network

    Centric Warfare.

    (d) System of Systems. 16 Admiral William A Owens used the term

    system of systems from three technology areas Sensors, C4I and Precision

    Guided Munitions (PGM) : These will interact synergistically on future

    battlefields.

    Battleswarm in Kashmir Valley - An Indian Hypothesis.17

    The concept of swarming can be successfully adopted in lico scenario. Most of the

    technological tools of swarming already exists today. These are :-

    (a) Computers.

    (b) UAVs.

    (c) PGMs.

    (d) Satellites.

    (e) Rashtriya Rifles (RR) Troops.

    For the successful operation to take place following actions would have to betaken :-

    (a) Intelligence Building. Using Information Operations as part of the

    larger canvas of Information Warfare, the RR Sector Headquarters (HQ) as

    also the higher headquarters and PMF/CPO HQ would be on one grid about

    all background details of the terrorist acts, habits, strengths, weaknesses,

    gang details and so on. Voice prints and Direction Finding (DF) equipment

    as also code breaking capability would expose his movements and to an

    extent his plans. However, human intelligence (Humint) in this operation

    would be extremely important. The movement would be tracked accurately

    on radio and by UAV data downlinked in real time. This information would

    be available upto sector HQ level. Thereafter, sharing of information would

    be restricted strictly on need to know basis.

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    (b) Plan. The attack plan would be based on specific hard intelligence

    and will involve not more than two composite RR companies, with one RR

    company being actually involved and one as reserve with suitable PMF/CPO

    accretions. The plan will involve deception IW operations.

    The leadership skills will be paramount in troop selection, routing,

    placement of cordon not around a 600 house village but a small portion of

    the mohalla where the gang is hiding. An air of quiet confidence would

    prevail in all ranks due to minute to minute situational awareness generated

    by secure, portable communications backed by at least a 50% chance of

    success. Senior leaders up the line will exercise the restraint expected from

    them in decentralized command and interfere only when necessary.

    (c) Execution. Well armed, well protected with Commercially Off The

    Shelf (COTS) procured light protection gear, troops communicating with thelatest communication equipment using GPS would Swarm the isolated

    locality and strikes simultaneously from all directions. Collateral damage

    would be minimal. Human rights are not violated, Barkha Datts and Praful

    Bidwais get going since situational awareness has kept everyone up the line

    informed. Any casualty would be evacuated within 10 minutes of injury by

    Air Force Helicopters with night flying capability. The SSP, part of the joint

    operations would confirm the identity of the militant.

    CONCLUSION

    Is swarming a realistic possibility as the next war fighting doctrine? Will it replace

    Maneuvers warfare and air land battle doctrine ? Will friction and fog of war

    allow swarming to succeed ? A radical departure from existing doctrine would

    require many issues like tactics, logistics, command and organization to be worked

    out, rigorous research, gaming, simulation followed by unit level exercises are

    required to be conducted before a prototype of swarm force can be arrived at. We

    cannot entirely discard the mass and depth of firepower afforded by the more

    traditional doctrines of warfare. However, we must clearly continue to move

    forward in exploring information warfare as an integral part of our strategy,

    operational art and tactical execution.

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    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    1. John Arquilla and David Ronfeldt, in Authers Camp : Preparing for

    Conflict in The Information Age, Santa Monica, ca : Rand, MR-800-OSD/RC,

    1997.

    2. The rise of network based organization is discussed in Arquilla and

    Ronfeldt, the Advent of Netwar, Santa Monica, ca, Rand, MR-789-OSD, 1996.

    3. Sean J A Edwards, Swarming on the Battlefield : Past, Present and Future,

    Santa Monica, ca : Rand, 2000, p11.

    4. Chambers, James, The Devils Horsemen, The Mongol Invasion of Europe,

    New York : Atheneum, 1979, p66.

    5. At Santa Fe Institute and Center for Naval Analysts Efforts have been made

    to model and simulate the behavior of various kinds of swarm systems. See

    materials at www.swarm.org and www.cna.org/isaac.

    6. Libicki Martin, The Mesh and The Net : Speculations on Armed conflict in a

    time of free silicon, Washington DC : National Defense University press, 1994.

    7. Col PK Mallick, Management of change in Armed Forces, yet unpublished

    article.

    8. Philip M Feldman, Emerging Commercial Mobile Wireless Technology and

    Standards ; Suitable for the Army ? Santa Monica, ca: Rand, MR-960-a-1998.

    9. Matsumara, John, Randall Steeb, Thomas Herbert, Scot Eisenhard, John

    Gordon, Mark Lees and Gail Halverson, the Army After Next : Exploring New

    concepts and technologies for the light battle force, santa monica; rand,1999.

    10. John Arquilla and David Randall, Swarming, The Future of Conflict,

    National Defense Research Institute, Rand, MR-1100-osd.

    http://www.swarm.org/http://www.cna.org/isaachttp://www.cna.org/isaachttp://www.swarm.org/
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    11. How we fight manual : a dominating maneuver doctrinal essay RMA

    experimentation workshop 4, The Strategic Assessment Center, available in

    Internet.

    12. Martin Van Creveld, The Transformation Of War, New York : The Free

    Press, 1991.

    13. Arquilla John, and Theodore Karasik, Chechnya : A Glimpse of Future

    Conflict ? Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, vol 22, No 3, Jul-Sep 1999.

    14. Michele Zanini and Sean Ja Edwards, The Networking of Terror in the

    Information Age, Rand Research paper countering the new terrorism.

    15. Vice Admiral Arthur Cebrowski and John Garstka, Network Centric

    Warfare, proceedings of the united state naval institute, vol 124, no 1, jan 1998, pp

    28-35.

    16. Admiral William A Owens , the Emerging System of Systems, Military

    Review, May- Jun 1995, pp 15-19.

    17. Brig RS MEHTA, VSM, thesis submitted to the national defence collagenew delhi (41st course) on the emerging RMA and Strategic Option for India and

    discussion between the author and BRIG RS MEHTA, VSM.

    Published in Trishul, October 2002 issue.