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Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

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Page 1: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Page 2: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

Page 3: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

quantitative data analysis and modelling

climate and fishing-induced

species comp, spatial structure, trophic network

ability to absorb disturbance and maintain function

fish and benthos communities

Page 4: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: more specific questions

•What are the key characteristics of past temporal and spatial variations in fish and benthos communities and how are these related to past climate variability and fishing pressure?

•How does climate variability and change propagate through the Barents Sea ecosystem and influences species interactions?

•How can the combined effects of fisheries and climate modify the spatial distribution of plankton, benthos and fish species in the Barents Sea?

•What determines vulnerability or resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem and how will these be affected by possible future changes in climate and fisheries regimes?

•Can we detect early warning signals and can we evaluate management strategies with regards to ecosystem resilience?

Page 5: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: The structure

WP1: Community

structure

WP2: Trophic

interactions

WP3: Population distribution

WP4: Resilience

& Early warningS

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nti

fic

Ad

vis

oty

Pa

nel

Sta

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old

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Pa

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Thinking Working Disseminating

Page 6: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Bar-EcoRe: previous meetings

Kick-off - June 20103 days, in TromsøProject Participants and Scientific Advisory Panel

Annual meeting – October 20113 days, in HerdlaProject Participants, Scientific Advisory PanelStakeholder Panel

Start – June 2010 End – May 2013

You are here

Page 7: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Page 8: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Science highlights

Page 9: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Questions and comments from SAP in 2011

• Resilience,

• Integration and harmonisation across studies and scales,

• Data quality

Page 10: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

How did BarEcoRe address these issues?

Resilience• The resilience papers• Monthly discussions• Synthesis

Integration and harmonisation across studies and scales,

• WS1 – spatial synthesis• WS2 – temporal synthesis

Data quality• At individual study level

Page 11: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What is going to happen now?

4 Days meeting

1st Day: presentation of scientific results to SAP2nd Day: feedback from SAP and discussion

3rd Day: presentation of project structure, science and dissemination plan to SHP and discussion

4th Day: activity planning for 2013

Page 12: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What is going to happen on DAY 1

09:30 - 09:50: BarEcoRe, progress since the Herdla meeting?

09:50 - 10:15: Ecological resilience for ecologists

break

10:30 - 12:00: Science highlights part 1: spatial synthesis

Lunch – Caffé Cambronne

13:30 - 15:00: Science highlights part 2: temporal synthesis

Break

15:30 - 17:00: Focus on PhDs

20:00: Dinner at la Coupole

Page 13: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What is going to happen on DAY 2

09:00 – 12:00:

SAP: review of BarEcoRe progress

PP: BarEcoRe dissemination/finalisation plan

Lunch – La Filippo

13:30-14:30: Presentation by SAP & discussion

Coffee break

15:00-16:00: Presentation by SAP & discussion continues

16:00: Departure for the Natural History Museum

20:00: Annual meeting dinner with SHP, Chez Françoise

Page 14: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

What we need from the SAP

Be curious

Be critical

Be provocative

Be inspirational

Page 15: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Page 16: Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change 2010-2013 Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - ParisBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 December 2012 - Paris

Thank you

“Sciences defined by their concern with a general subject area are often intractable...Ecology may be the most intractable legitimate science that has ever developed.”

“Most young scientists choose their careers because the act of doing science is remarkably pleasant and, sometimes, exciting and adventurous.”

Lawrence B. Slobodkin. Simplicity and complexity in the games of the intellect