attracting and maintaining institutional investment: onshore wind
DESCRIPTION
Slides regarding Onshore Wind at the Eversheds event: Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment in Renewable Energy - 2nd July 2012TRANSCRIPT
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Onshore wind Bronwyn Sutton
Senior Renewable Energy
Consultant 2 July 2012
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SgurrEnergy today
• Leading engineering consultancy
• Formed in 2002
• Joined Wood Group in 2010
• Global network of offices
• 100+ experienced personnel
• People and technology focused
• Company wide triple BSI accreditation & UKAS
ISO/IEC accreditation for wind farm power curve
analysis
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SgurrEnergy personnel hold unparalleled knowledge to ensure successful
renewable energy project delivery
Bio-energy Hydro Wave & Tidal Solar Offshore Wind Wind
Products
What do we do?
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Our network of local offices
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Global track record
Europe • Belgium
• Bulgaria
• Estonia
• France
• Germany
• Greece
• Ireland
• Italy
• Malta
• Netherlands
• Norway
• Poland
• Portugal
• Russia
• Romania
• Slovakia
• Spain
• Sweden
• UK
• Ukraine
Africa • Angola
• Kenya
• South Africa
Oceania
• Australia
• New Zealand
We have consulted on over 65,000 MW of renewable energy in over 40
countries covering both project development and due diligence
Asia
• China
• India
• Israel
• Korea
• Mongolia
• Pakistan
• Philippines
• Sri Lanka
• Turkey
• United Arab Emirates
• Vietnam
North America • Canada
• Mexico
• USA
South America
• Brazil
• Chile
• Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)
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2010
How bad was it really?
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2010
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• Variation in wind speed across
the UK in 2010
• Showing % deviation from the
long term (20 year) average
• West worse affected than the
East.
• 1% deviation in wind ≈ 2%
deviation in power.
2010
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Interannual Variation
• Variation expected
year to year
• Short term
measurements need
to be corrected to
long term forecasts
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
125%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
An
nu
al
Win
d S
pe
ed
No
rma
lise
d t
o 1
5 y
ea
r L
on
g-t
erm
Win
d S
pe
ed
UK 15 year average Scotland England Wales
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Interannual variation
• Reference data sources – representative and
consistent
• Correction methods
• Minimising uncertainty
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SgurrEnergy Performance
• Recent (2011) comparison of 37 organisations – all
doing the same energy yield prediction on the same
data
• SgurrEnergy is number 27 here
P90 values
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New Entrants
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New Entrants
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
WT
G p
rod
uct
ra
ng
e (
MW
)
WTG Manufacturer
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Bankability - organisation
• Track record
• Reputation
• Who will go the distance?
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Bankability – wind turbines
• Track record
• Certification
• Product evolution
• Quality assurance
• Contractual backup
Photograph courtesy of www.siemens.com
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Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
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Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
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Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
• 11 x 7.5MW
• 126m rotor
• 135m hub
• 198m tip
• 2009
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Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
• 11 x 7.5MW
• 126m rotor
• 135m hub
• 198m tip
• 2009
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Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
Just 2 hours drive from Calais!
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Any questions?
Email: [email protected]
Tel: 0141 227 1700
225 Bath Street, Glasgow,G2 4GZ
sgurrenergy.com
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Development Process Risk and Pitfalls – how to avoid them
Richard Mardon
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Who Are We?
• Founded in 2010
• Backed by ESB Novusmodus, PE fund of
ESB (Ireland)
• Development partnership with Savills
• Four consents already ~ 16 MW (8 WTGs)
• Personally, 25yrs experience in power/
infrastructure, 12yrs in wind. Past MD of
Your Energy ~ 200MW consented/built
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State of Play of UK Onshore Wind
• 4,900 MW operational (325 projects)
• 1,500 MW in construction (52)
• 4,300 MW consented / not built (262)
• 7,400 MW in planning (328)
• 2020 targets ~ 10-13GW (DECC Roadmap)
ØOps + Constr. = 6.4 GW
ØOps + Constr. + 50% Cons. = 8.6 GW
ØOps + Constr. + 50% Cons. + 25% Plan. = 10.4 GW
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UK onshore wind farm development
Some Common Mantras…
• There are some things you can control and a lot
of things you cannot
• There is no such thing as a perfect project
• Time / speed is of the essence
• Without local support (Parish / Ward Cllr.) you
have an uphill struggle
• Wind speed is critical! (7m/s+)
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A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology!
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Major No-Go Areas – Parks / Airports
6
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A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology!
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Geographical Information Systems
GIS Mapping
• Wind Speed
• Land Designations
• Proximity Buffers
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A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology
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Nearly there – willing landowner?
10
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A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology
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Detailed Micro-siting / Design
12
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13
Preliminary Layout
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A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology
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15
Then 12 months of studies….
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Before you face the chamber…
16
….25% success rate
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You tick all the boxes – what next?
17
• With a recommendation for approval
then planning appeal >75% success
• Local consultation vital – Parish / Ward
• Projects < 5MW ~ 80% success rate
• Local “benefits” – jobs, community
benefit (£5k/MW) and direct power sales
• Brownfield / developed land sites