Elie El KhouryICAO Regional Officer, ATM/SARMiddle East Office, Cairo

ATFM/CDMICAO’s Perspective

Cairo/3-4 April 2016

Outline

Traffic Growth in the MID Region

What is ATFM/CDM

Main Objectives

ICAO Guidance Material

Link to ASBU

Regional developments

Middle East Aircraft Movements & Growth

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Mill

ion

De

par

ture

s

2005 2014 2030

• Highest annual growth of 10.6 per cent in terms of Revenue Passenger-Kilometers (RPK) on total

• Passenger traffic to, from and within the MID Region on the five major route groups concerned for the period 2010-2030 is expected to increase at an average annual rate of 9.1 per cent

What is ATFM?

4

• ATFM is an enabler of air traffic management (ATM)

efficiency and effectiveness.

• It contributes to the safety, efficiency, cost effectiveness,

and environmental sustainability of an ATM system.

What is ATFM (Cont’d)

ATFM is demand/capacity balancing

Capacity

Demand

The objectives of ATFM

• Enhance the safety

• Reduce ATC workload

• Optimize airspace capacity

• Maximize operational benefits and global efficiency

Keys to the successful implementation• The CDM process is a key enabler of an ATFM strategy

• Achieving a robust coordination among aviation stakeholders (CDM)

– All the stakeholders work together to

improve the overall performance of

the ATM system

– Such coordination will take place

within a FIR, between FIRs,

and ultimately, between regions

Keys to the successful implementation

• ATFM and its applications should NOT be restricted to one State or FIR– Because of their far-reaching effects on the flow of traffic

elsewhere

– PANS-ATM, Doc 4444 states that ATFM should be implemented on the basis of a regional air navigation agreement or, when appropriate, as a multilateral agreement

• Airspace is a common resource for all users and ensure equity and transparency

Drivers for the ATFM Guidance material

Traffic pressure

ATFM systems Interdependencies

Hub operations

Doc 9971: Manual on…

Doc 9971 has been published in 2012 with only Part 1 – Collaborative Decision Making (CDM)

Doc9971 Part 2 – Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM)

Doc9971 Part 3 – Airport CDM (ACDM) in progress

Doc 9971 (Cont’d)• Doc 9971 is intended to for the following stakeholders;

− Air navigation service providers

− Airspace users

− Airline operation centers

− Airport operators

− Airport ground handlers

− Airport slot coordinators

− Regulators

− Military authorities

− Security authorities

− Meteorological agencies

− Industries related to aviation

Doc 9971 (Cont’d)• Doc 9971 shows basic ideas of ATFM

− What is the starting point regarding the development of an ATFM service?

− What are the foundational objectives and principles of ATFM?

− What are the benefits of implementing an ATFM service?

− How does an ATFM service operate?

− How is an ATFM service structured and organized?

− What are the roles and responsibilities of the stakeholders in the ATFM service?

− How is the capacity of an airspace sector and airport determined?

− How are ATFM processed applied in order to balance the demand and capacity within its area of responsibility?

− How is an ATFM service implemented?

− What are ATFM Measures and how are they established and applied?

− What data and information are exchanged in an ATFM service?

− What terminology/phraseology is used in ATFM?

− What resources are available to States regarding the various aspects of ATFM?

Doc 9971 (Cont’d)

• Chapter 1. Introduction

• Chapter 2. The ATFM service

• Chapter 3. ATFM structure and organization

• Chapter 4. Capacity, demand and ATFM phases

• Chapter 5. ATFM implementation

• Chapter 6. ATFM measures

• Chapter 7. Data exchange

• Chapter 8. ATFM communication

• Appendix A.-G.

Optimizing capacity

Delay analysis

–Attribution –Accountability –Regular reports

Optimizing capacity

–Phased process

ATFM Measures

Time Related

•Miles in trail

•Minutes in trail

•Fix balancing

•Ground delay program

•Slot swapping

•Minimum Dep Intervals

Area related

•Rerouting

•Mandatory routing scenarios

•Advisory routing scenarios

•Level capping

•Collaborative trajectory options

•Airborne holding

Background

The Strategy was endorsed by MSG/4 meeting(Cairo, 24-26 November 2014), based on theoutcome of the relevant MIDANPIRG subsidiarybodies and inputs received from stakeholders.

The Strategy was further reviewed and updatedby MIDANPIRG/15 meeting, Bahrain, 8-11 June2015, and endorsed as ICAO MID Doc 002, whichis available on the MID Office website.

The MID Region air navigation objectives are set in line with the global air navigation

objectives and address specific air navigation operational improvements identified within the

framework of the Middle East Regional Planning and Implementation Group (MIDANPIRG)

to:

• realize sound and economically-viable civil aviation system in the MID Region that

continuously increases in capacity and improves in efficiency with enhanced safety while

minimizing the adverse environmental effects of civil aviation activities; and

• maintain regional harmonization.

Strategy Main Objectives

The Strategy presents a 15 year rolling approach for the

implementation of the ASBU Modules in the MID Region in accordance

with GANP (2013-2028) as follows:

Near-term (2013 - 2017): ASBU Block 0

Mid-term (2018 - 2022): ASBU Block 1

Long-term (2023 - 2028): ASBU Block 2 and 3

Main Objectives of the Strategy(Cont’d)

MID ASBU Block 0 Modules Prioritization

• The MID Region Air Navigation Strategy includes 11 ASBU Block 0

Modules identified as priority for implementation in the MID Region.

MID ASBU Block 0 Modules Prioritization(Cont’d)

Performance Improvement Areas (PIA) ModulePriority

Module Name

PIA 1:Airport Operations

APTA 1 Optimization of Approach Procedures including vertical guidance

WAKE 2 Increased Runway Throughput through Optimized Wake Turbulence Separation

RSEQ 2 Improved Traffic Flow through Sequencing (AMAN/DMAN)

SURF 1 Safety and Efficiency of Surface Operations (A-SMGCS Level 1-2)

ACDM 1 Improved Airport Operations through Airport-CDM

PIA 2: Globally Interoperable Systems and Data -Through Globally Interoperable System Wide Information Management

FICE 1Increased Interoperability, Efficiency and Capacity through Ground-Ground Integration

DATM 1 Service Improvement through Digital Aeronautical Information Management

AMET 1 Meteorological information supporting enhanced operational efficiency and safety

PIA 3:Optimum Capacity and Flexible Flights –Through Global Collaborative ATM

FRTO 1 Improved Operations through Enhanced En-Route Trajectories

NOPS 1 Improved Flow Performance through Planning based on a Network-Wide view

ASUR 2 Initial Capability for Ground SurveillanceASEP 2 Air Traffic Situational Awareness (ATSA)

OPFL 2Improved access to Optimum Flight Levels through Climb/Descent Procedures using ADS-B

ACAS 1 ACAS ImprovementsSNET 2 Increased Effectiveness of Ground-based Safety Nets

PIA 4:Efficient Flight Path – Through Trajectory-based Operations

CDO 1 Improved Flexibility and Efficiency in Descent Profiles (CDO)

TBO 2 Improved Safety and Efficiency through the initial application of Data Link En-Route

CCO 1Improved Flexibility and Efficiency Departure Profiles - Continuous Climb Operations (CCO)

MID ASBU Block 0 Modules Prioritization(Cont’d)

B0 – FRTO: Improved Operations through Enhanced En‐Route Trajectories

Elements Applicability Performance Indicators/Supporting Metrics Targets

Flexible use of airspace (FUA)

All States Indicator: % of States that have implemented FUA

Supporting metric*: number of States that have implemented FUA

40% by Dec. 2017

Flexible routing All States Indicator: % of required Routes that are not implemented duemilitary restrictions (segregated areas)

Supporting metric 1: total number of ATS Routes in the MidRegion

Supporting metric 2*: number of required Routes that are notimplemented due military restrictions (segregated areas)

60% by Dec. 2017

MID ASBU Block 0 Modules Prioritization(Cont’d)

B0 – NOPS: Improved Flow Performance through Planning based on a Network-Wide view

Elements Applicability Performance Indicators/Supporting Metrics Targets

ATFM Measures implemented in collaborative manner

All States Indicator: % of States that have established a mechanism for the implementation of ATFM Measures based on collaborative decision

Supporting metric: number of States that have established a mechanism for the implementation of ATFM Measures based on collaborative decision

100% by Dec. 2017

Regional developments related to ATFM

• Regional/sub-regional ATFM project will be implemented under the framework

of the MID Region ATM Enhancement Programme (MAEP)

• An ICAO ATFM Seminar will be held in Abu Dhabi, UAE, 21-23 November 2016

• ICAO MID Office is coordinating with MID States to identify their sectors’

capacity; and

• working with all stakeholders on the implementation of necessary measures to

enhance traffic flows across the region (regional and inter-regional)