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Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer Colloquium 28 July 2015

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Page 1: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations

Will McCarty

Global Modeling and Assimilation OfficeNASA Goddard Space Flight Center

2015 JCSDA Summer Colloquium 28 July 2015

Page 2: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

What is Infrared Radiation?

Page 3: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

What is Infrared Radiation?

Page 4: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

What is Infrared Radiation in Atmospheric Data Assimilation?

Page 5: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

What is Infrared Radiation in Atmospheric Data Assimilation?

Page 6: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

What is Infrared Radiation?In General

– Anything between the visible and microwave

What do we use in data assimilation– Primarily the parts of the IR that are emitted from the

earth– As our observations approach the middle-IR, there is

a region of overlap that consists of a mix of solar reflection and terrestrial emission (arrow)

Page 7: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationFirst things first – Units

– In the infrared, particularly to the sounding community, units of wavenumber in cm-1 are traditionally used

– To the imaging community, units of wavelength in microns (micrometers) are typically used

– I have a bad habit of swapping back and forth on the fly

• If I start to just throw out numbers, call me out

• I will try to keep things somewhat generic by absorber

Page 8: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationThe theoretical emission of the

earth is at about 280 K– Warmer than what is expected

value from the sun’s directly– greenhouse effect

In some regions, the actual emission is less than expected

– This is where absorption is occurring

– What is seen is the cool top of the greenhouse effect blanket Theoretical Emission

as a function of TMeasured Emission

Page 9: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationMajor Absorbing

Constituents– Carbon Dioxide

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2

Page 10: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationMajor Absorbing

Constituents– Carbon Dioxide

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2

Note: From a weather perspective, we consider CO2 constant and well mixed over short periods. Therefore, temperature is determined from CO2

Page 11: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationMajor Absorbing

Constituents– Carbon Dioxide– Water Vapor

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2

H 2O v

H2Ov

Page 12: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationMajor Absorbing

Constituents– Carbon Dioxide– Water Vapor– Ozone

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2

H 2O v

O3 H2Ov

Page 13: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted RadiationMajor Absorbing

Constituents– Carbon Dioxide– Water Vapor– Ozone– Methane

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2 CH 4

H 2O v

O3 H2Ov

Page 14: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Earth-Emitted Radiation

Atmospheric Windows occur in regions of little absorption

– Surface-sensitivity

Theoretical Emission as a function of T

Measured Emission

CO2 CH 4

H 2O v

O3 H2Ov

Window

Window

Page 15: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Back to Simple Radiative Transfer

In the previous talk, I referred to radiation as being effected by reflection, absorption, and transmission

– Absorption is key in the infrared– The surface reflects, and will be discussed w/ surface

emissivity– The atmosphere in the IR generally only scatters with

certain-sized particles

So how does absorption work?– Quantum physics– Molecules absorb radiation, and re-emit radiation

Page 16: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Absorption at the Molecular LevelMolecules absorb in electronic, vibrational, and rotational modes

Page 17: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Absorption CoefficientThe absorption coefficient is

a complicated and highly non-linear function of molecule i and line j

Line Strengths, Sij, result from many molecular vibrational-rotational transitions of different molecular species and isotopes of those species(blue).

Where width of line, ij, is a function of the molecule structure (natural broadening), temperature (doppler broadening) and pressure (collisional broadening)

Page 18: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

18

600 to 700 cm-1 700 to 800 cm-1

H2O

CO2

O3

N2O

HNO3

OCS

SO2

CH4

CO

Line Strengths @ 15 μm

16.6 to 14.3 μm 14.3 to 12.5 μm

Page 19: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

19

900 to 1000 cm-1 1000 to 1100 cm-1

H2O

CO2

O3

N2O

HNO3

OCS

SO2

CH4

CO

Line Strengths @ 10 μm

11.1 to 10 μm 10 to 9.1 μm

Page 20: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

20

1250 to 1350 cm-1 1350 to 1450 cm-1

H2O

CO2

O3

N2O

HNO3

OCS

SO2

CH4

CO

Line Strengths @ 6 μm

8.0 to 7.4 μm 7.4 to 6.9 μm

Page 21: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

21

2100 to 2200 cm-1 2300 to 2400 cm-1

H2O

CO2

O3

N2O

HNO3

OCS

SO2

CH4

CO

Line Strengths @ 4 μm

4.8 to 4.5 μm 4.3 to 4.2 μm

Page 22: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Atmosphere Transmittance

The Optical Depth is the sum of absorption coefficients for all isotopes and species multiplied by the path-length, usually written in terms of pressure levels pi and pj and view angle

The transmittance of a layer is given by the exponential of the optical depth

The view angle can be included in the absorption coefficient and transmittance from a level in the atmosphere (at height z) to the top of the atmosphere can be written as

Page 23: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative Transfer

Let’s make some simple assumptions:– The atmosphere is now discrete isobaric layers– The atmosphere does not reflect

• So no scattering• Each layer either transmits or absorbs/emits

– The surface does not transmit• Either reflects or emits

– No clouds (will quickly address this later)

Page 24: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative Transfer

Page 25: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

Page 26: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

Page 27: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

The Upward Atmospheric Emission plus…

Page 28: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

The Upward Atmospheric Emission plus…

The Surface Reflection of Downward Atmospheric Emission

Page 29: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

The Upward Atmospheric Emission plus…

For the sake of discussion, let’s assume the surface is a blackbody• The surface neither transmits or reflects• Absorptivity = Emissivity = 1.0

Page 30: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

The Upward Atmospheric Emission plus…

For the sake of discussion, let’s assume the surface is a blackbody• The surface neither transmits or reflects• Absorptivity = Emissivity = 1.0

1

Page 31: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferA Measured Radiance is equal to…

The Upward Surface Emission plus…

The Upward Atmospheric Emission plus…

For the sake of discussion, let’s assume the surface is a blackbody• The surface neither transmits or reflects• Absorptivity = Emissivity = 1.0

0

Page 32: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Surface Emission is the…

Blackbody radiation emitted by the surface at a given surface skin temperature

Page 33: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Surface Emission is the…

Blackbody radiation emitted by the surface at a given surface skin temperature Scaled by the transmissivity from the surface (ps) to the top of the atmosphere (TOA, 0 hPa)

Page 34: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Surface Emission is the…

Blackbody radiation emitted by the surface at a given surface skin temperature Scaled by the transmissivity from the surface (ps) to the top of the atmosphere (TOA, 0 hPa)Scaled by the surface emissivity (assumed as one in this case)

Page 35: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Atmospheric Emission is the…

The sum over the vertical of

Page 36: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Atmospheric Emission is the…

The sum over the vertical ofThe blackbody radiation emitted by each atmospheric layer at that layer’s temperature

Page 37: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative TransferThe Upward Atmospheric Emission is the…

The sum over the vertical ofThe blackbody radiation emitted by each atmospheric layer at that layer’s temperature Scaled by the change in TOA transmittance in that layer

Page 38: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Slightly Less Simple Radiative Transfer

This term is known as the weighting function and illustrates the vertical sensitivity of a given channel to the atmosphere

Page 39: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

The Path so far…

The atmosphere is made of varying molecules…These molecules interact with radiation via absorption and

emission…This radiation is ultimately emitted to space…Where it is observed by a satellite…

End observable – a radiance that is a result of the molecules over the path of the observation

Desired observable – the atmospheric distribution of those molecules

Thus, an inversion is needed

Page 40: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Methods to Assimilated Information from the Infrared

Two general methods to IR assimilation– Assimilation of retrieved atmospheric profiles– Direct assimilation of the measured radiances

History of both…– Satellite retrievals were the initial approach

• Vertical retrievals of temperature and moisture are inverted from the radiances and assimilated in as simple geophysical observations as such

• Source of satellite information in NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis (Kalnay et al. 1996)

– Advances in the 90s allowed for direct radiance assimilation• With the use of variational methods and fast radiative transfer models

(including their tangent linear and adjoint models), the inversion is done in line in the solution

• Derber and Wu 1998, McNally et al. 2000

Page 41: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Retrievals vs. RadiancesA beaten-to-death argument – Radiances are directly measured and uncorrelated

• Well, not really…especially in the infrared, but they’re far less correlated in spectral space than retrievals are in the vertical

– Retrieval errors are inherently correlated– Retrievals are performed off of some sort of a-priori.

• Are you assimilating the prior or the physical information• What is your prior, and would you even want to assimilate it?

– Why in the world would you assimilate a climatology-derived prior into a weather model?

Page 42: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Retrievals vs. RadiancesThere’s a way to do the direct comparison correctly, but I’ve never seen it

– Physical retrievals have estimates of the averaging kernel, which is analogous to a weighting function or vertical Jacobian

– Radiance assimilation should be compared against the proper assimilation of the averaging kernels, not by treating the retrievals as radiosondes

• Because they simply are not radiosondes

This could be a whole lecture, and radiances basically won this argument

Page 43: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

IR Radiance Assimilation

Retrieved Cloud Height

Traditionally, infrared radiances are only assimilated in those scenes that are clear or for channels insensitive to clouds in cloudy scenes

Page 44: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

IR Radiance AssimilationA key assumption to cloud screening is that an

accurate cloud height can be retrievedCloud Height Retrieval

Assumptions:– Single cloud– Flat, infinitesimally

thin cloud– Graybody cloud

(fractionally cloudy, black cloud)

Page 45: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

IR Radiance AssimilationA key assumption to cloud screening is that an

accurate cloud height can be retrievedCloud Height Retrieval

Assumptions:– Single cloud– Flat, infinitesimally

thin cloud– Graybody cloud

(fractionally cloudy, black cloud)

These assumptions stinkG. Marseille, KNMI

CALIPSO Lidar Backscatter

Page 46: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

IR Radiance Assimilation

Ultimately, clouds in the infrared are a sharp temperature signal

– Generally cold (in an atmosphere of positive lapse rate) Observed minus Forecast signal

– Cloudy IR assimilation attempts to include this signal in the solution

– What if the observation is clear, but the model erroneously warm at 200 hPa

– Cloud retrievals will determine this signal as cold

Page 47: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Infrared Instruments

In GMAO forward processing, infrared radiances are assimilated from IASI, AIRS, CrIS, GOES Sounder, SEVIRI and HIRS

– Heritage “multi”-spectral sounders like HIRS (~ 18 channels) and the GOES Sounder are being phased out

– The US HIRS instruments replaced by CrIS from NPP onward (hyperspectral – 1297 ch total, 399 for DA)

– The final HIRS launched on MetOp-B. MetOp-C will only fly IASI (hyperspectral – 8461 ch, 616 for DA)

– No Sounder in US GEO beginning w/ GOES-R– Hyperspectral sounding potentially in GEO in a number of

future longitudes

Page 48: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Infrared Instruments

Clearly more information from modern hyperspectral sounders (AIRS, IASI, CrIS) vs. older sounders (HIRS, GOES Sounder)

Clearly a lot of redundant information as well

Taken from a Tony McNally talk

Page 49: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Infrared Observation UsageIR observations make up ~65% of the current global observing system

But only a small portion of the total number of observations available are utilized:

• Spectral Thinning– AIRS: 281 of 2378 channels are available, 124 active (5.2% of total)– IASI: 616 of 8461, 137 active (1.6%)– CrIS: 399 of 1305, 81 active (6.2%)

•Spatial Thinning– 1 spectra per instrument for every 145x145 km thinning mesh (observation footprint

size is ~15km) (~1.5% of the previous percentages)•Quality Control

– Via traditional means, infrared observations sensitive to clouds are discarded via quality control (~25% of the previous 1.5%)

Page 50: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Infrared Observation ImpactSo based on real numbers:

– AIRS: 0.04% of all observations are assimilated– IASI: 0.04%– CrIS: 0.19%

So while the instruments provide as much bang as any other satellite instrument type out there, why can we only use such small percentages of the data?

Page 51: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Infrared Assimilation Research of the Present/FutureCloud-affected Assimilation

– My research– Implementation of a approach similar to that of McNally (2009) to exploit

cloud information– Some efforts are beginning to extract cloud microphysical information out of

IR (true all-sky)

Underutilized Parts of the IR Spectrum– The 4 μm CO2 band is typically avoided due to solar contribution– The use of a bidirectional reflectance function in the solution may

compensate for this

Assimilation of Principal Components– Europe is way ahead of the US on this– MetOffice is investigating reconstructed radiances from partial PCs (Fiona

Smith)– ECMWF is investigating direct assimilation of PC scores (Marco Matricardi)– When Geostationary Hyperspectral happens, PCs will likely need to be

considered

Page 52: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Famous Infrared Detectors

GOES Imager

The satellite images you see on the news

Page 53: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Famous Infrared Detectors

Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS)

First hyperspectral infrared instrument Carn et al. 2005

Page 54: Assimilation of Infrared Radiance Observations Will McCarty Global Modeling and Assimilation Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 2015 JCSDA Summer

Famous Infrared Detectors

Predator

Fought two future US Governors and one

Carl WeathersGrossed $98.3M ($218M)