assessing the effectiveness of adaptation-related development finance
TRANSCRIPT
Assessing the Effectiveness of Adaptation-related Development Finance
Eric Williams, OECD
COP23, Bonn • 8 November 2017
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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
USD
Bill
ion
sAdaptation-related development finance reported
to OECD
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10
15
20
25
30
35
40
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10
20
30
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Small IslandDeveloping States
Least Developedand Low Income
Countries
Lower MiddleIncome Countries
Upper MiddleIncome Countries
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15
USD
bill
ion
s
20
15
USD
pe
r ca
pit
aCumulative climate-related development finance
for SIDS and by income group (2010-2015)
Adaptation percapita
Mitigation percapita
Total adaptation
Total mitigation
Cumulative adaptation-related development finance per capita (2010-2015)
Measuring progress
• Progress in adaptive capacity is complex
• IPCC defines adaptive capacity as the ability to “adjust to potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to respond to the consequences” of climate change
– Physical: e.g. storm surge barriers
– Behavioral: e.g. changing agricultural practices
– Institutional: e.g. government’s ability to respond to extreme weather events
– Etc.
Assessing effectiveness of adaptation finance
• Explore relationships between critical dimensions of adaptive capacity for which we have credible data and adaptation finance, e.g.
– Are changes in data representing adaptive capacity in agriculture correlated with adaptation finance targeted to agriculture?
– Are these changes consistent across countries?
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ND-GAIN: top adaptation finance per capita recipients (2013-15) in color
Conclusions
• Climate change can erase hard-won development gains in vulnerable countries
• Important to begin to understand how effective adaptation finance is in improving adaptive capacity
• OECD houses a rich database that can be tapped to begin these explorations
Backup slides
Potential explorations: top 40 sectors receiving Rio marked adaptation finance
Purpose Code Sector
Agricultural development Food crop production
Agricultural land resources Forestry development
Agricultural policy & administrative management Forestry policy & administrative management
Agricultural research Formal sector financial intermediaries
Agricultural water resources Material relief assistance and services
Basic drinking water supply Multisector aid
Basic drinking water supply and basic sanitation Public sector policy and administrative management
Bio-diversity Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation
Biosphere protection River basins development
Business support services & institutions Road transport
Democratic participation and civil society Rural development
Disaster prevention and preparedness Sanitation - large systems
Electric power transmission and distribution Sectors not specified
Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies Trade policy and admin. management
Energy policy and administrative management Urban development and management
Environmental policy and admin. mgmt Water resources policy/administrative management
Environmental research Water resources protection
Financial policy & administrative management Water supply - large systems
Flood prevention/control Water supply and sanitation - large systems
Food aid/Food security programmes Water transport
