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Page 1: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

November 2019

Page 2: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local Content in Brazil: Lessons Learned

2019 Local Content Conference & Exhibition

Takoradi, Ghana

November 20-22th, 2019

Luiz Henrique de Oliveira Bispo

Superintendent of Local Content

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Exploration and Production Scenario in Brazil

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OnshoreConventional

Offshore Onshore Pre-SaltConventional

Offshore

Pre-SaltPolygon

5.0 million km2 – onshore

2.5 million km2 – offshore

7.5 million km2 Concession

• 420 fields

• 288 blocks

Production Sharing

• 5 fields

• 13 blocks

Three different E&P environments

Less than 5%of the sedimentary areas are

contracted

97 Groups

• 47 Brazilian

• 50 foreign

Cessão Onerosa• 10 fields

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Average oil production per well

Onshore

Pre-Salt

Conventional Offshore

Three Different E&P Environments

East Margin adjacent to the pre-salt region and Equatorial

Margin, including new frontier areas and a significant

number of large mature fields.

Mature Basins and New Frontier Basins (mostly gas

prone). Potential for unconventional to be unleashed.

One of the World´s hottest oil play, home to the largest

offshore oil discoveries in the last decade.

55%

37%

8%

December 2018

85 wells

17,655 bpd

628 wells

1,650 bpd

6,683 wells

16 bpd

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➢Major Operators

➢Exploration Specialists

➢Mature Field Players

Small and mid -

sized Companies0302➢Supermajors

➢Major Operators01

Pre-Salt Conventional Offshore

Onshore

Supported by Oilfield Service Companies, Suppliers and Financial Institutions!

Attract Suitable Players

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Home to the largest offshore oil

discoveries in the last decade

The next bidding rounds will offer blocks with

potential for giant discoveries in the pre-salt

Proved reserves

~8 billion barrels of oil

Pre

-Sal

t p

rod

uct

ion

gro

ws

shar

ply

in t

he

sho

rt t

erm

Page 8: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Conventional Offshore

Goal: to increase

explorationactivities in the East

and Equatorial

Margins.

Current RF

Final RF

,

Page 9: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Onshore

Goal: to revitalize activities in onshore fields, by attracting

mature field players

Brazil has potential to significantly increase its onshore

production in short/medium term

Oil

Gas

Onshore Production (2018)

111Thousand bbl/d

22Million m³/d

Production Perspective

In 2018, 67,000 wells were drilled onshore

around the world

Only 128 wells were drilled onshore in

Brazil

,

Page 10: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

Bar

rels

of

Oil

per

day

Average Production

Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore

34%

Production

3.7 Million

Pre-Salt

61%

Conventional Offshore

31%

Onshore

7%

Oil

2.93 Million bpd

Gas

128 Million m³/d

boe/d

September, 2019

9th largest producer in the world in 2018

The largest producer of crude oil in the whole South American region September, 2019

190%(2014/2018)

(2014/2018)

34%(2014/2018)

15%(2014/2018)

Page 11: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local Content

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• Reduces attractiveness for bidding

• Delays on E&P projects

• Compliance costs

• Suppliers’ competitiveness

• Long-term E&P income appropriation

• Industrial development

• Human resources capacitation

COST BENEFIT

Is it Worth it

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• E&P contracts

• Commitments

• Percentage of local content

• Goods and services

• Exploration and Development of productionactivities

• Sanctions

How to

Page 14: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

• Establishes mandatory minimum percentages, preference for

hiring Brazilian suppliers, and reporting obligation to ANPContractual Commitment

• Evidence and timelines for verifying Local Content commitmentsLocal Content Verification

• Defines the rules for Local Content Overflow TransferLocal Content Surplus

• Presents the methodology for calculating the penalty associated

with non-compliance with the contractual commitment

Penalty for non-

compliance

How to

Page 15: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Timeline

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4 Groups ofitems

Global level + 90 specific items

Third party certification + Local Content Primer

40% onbid score

15% weight on bidscore

Bonuses for specificitems

Self-declaratory

20% on bid score

Timeline

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SupplierOil

companyThird party

certifier

LC Reports

Certificate of local content(percentage based on

production inputs)

Certificate of local content

Invoice

Certify products Sell products

ANP

E&P Contract Clauses + ANP rules

How to

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• Requirements at global level

Example: Round 13

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• Itens and subitens commitments

Example: Round 13

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Incentives to high offers

• Average commitments of winning offers

25%

42%

28%

39%

79%

86%

74%

69%

79%

62%

73% 73%

27%

48%

40%

54%

86%89%

81%77%

84%

76%

84%80%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Exploration Development

Bidding Round Results

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Source: ALMEIDA, E.; LOSEKANN, L; PRADE, Y.; BOTELHO, F. e NUNES, L. (2016). Custos e Competitividade do E&P No Brasil.

E&P investment

0 10 20 30 40 50

2013

2000

US$ billion

• High oil prices

• Pre-salt

• Previous bidding rounds

Scenario

Page 22: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Source: Prominp

Participation of national industry in the

O&G sector

0 20 40 60 80

2010

2003

%

• Additional value of US$ 21.5 billion worth of goods and services

• Generation of more than 875 thousand jobs

Results

Page 23: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Shipyards and FPSO modules building and integration

Subsea

Success Cases

Page 24: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

*TC 030.511/2015-1

117Waiver requestsbetween 2011

and 2015

1/3Inspections

resulted in fines

R$ 456,5 MM

Fines applied

25Fines applied

US$ 25 BPotencial fines

(TCU*)• Suppliers

• Rising prices

• Longer delivery times

• Operators

• Gaming

• Inaction

However...

Page 25: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Blocks Definition Exploration

ContractSignature

Discovery

Discovery Evaluation

Declaration ofCommerciality

Development Production

Decommissioning

Abandonment

Exploration Phase Production Phase

Some Lessons Learned

Local Content requirementsLocal Contentrequirements

End of Development

• Geology

• Exchange rate

• Oil prices

• Technology

• Domestic supply chain

• Human resources

Page 26: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

New Local Content

Page 27: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

20222016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

ExplorationOnshore: 50%

Offshore: 18%

Development

Onshore: 50%

Offshore

Wells 25%

Subsea 40%

Platform 25%

✓ No waivers and no longer LC as bidding factor

New Local Content

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OnshoreExploration 50%

Development 50%

Offshore

Exploration 18%

Development

Well construction 25%

Subsea systems 40%

Platform: engineering 40%

Platform: equipments 40%

Platform: construction, integration andinstallation

40%

Ongoing contractsConcluded phases

(under study)

Conduct adjustment agreement

• Replace fines with new LC commitments

• Examples: Goods for exportation oradditional seismic data acquisition

Contract amendment: new rules

New Local Content: Dealing with the past

Page 29: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Impact of New Rules

Page 30: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Impact of New Rules

Page 31: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

✓ Flexibility arose by moving from specific LC requirements for each component of investment in E&Pphases to general commitments in each phase;

✓ Possibility to account LC in projects mixing national and global components regardless the location of assembling;

✓ Boosts importance of agreements and cooperation between local and global suppliers;

✓ Already under practice, according to supply contracts in progress.

Impact of New Rules: Flexibility

Page 32: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Future

Page 33: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Future

Certification Reporting MonitoringSimplification

andIncentives

Page 34: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Some more lessons learned

• Make it simple

• Monitor since the beginning

• Deal with R&D

Page 35: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local ContentInformation

Page 36: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local Content Information

Page 37: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local Content Information

Page 38: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

Local Content Information

Page 39: Apresentação do PowerPoint§ão-A… · 0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 els of Oil r ay Average Production Brazil Pre-Salt Post-Salt Offshore Onshore 34% Production

National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels – ANP

Av. Rio Branco, 65 – Downtown – Rio de Janeiro – Brazil12º ao 22º floor

Tel: +55 (21) 2112-8550

www.anp.gov.br