applying expert systems technology to the implementation of a forecasting model in foodservice

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20 POSTER SESSION: FOOD AND NUTRITION MANAGEMENT APPLYING EXPERT SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A FORECASTING MODEL IN FOODSERVICE. N.C. Sanchez, J.L. Miller, PhD, RD, B.L. Brooks, MS, RD, and L.A. Snchez, Department of Hotel, Restaurant, Institution Management and Dietetics, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS. The objective of the study was to develop a naive expert system model to replicate the knowledge, experience, creativity, judgment, and intuition of the forecast knowledge expert in foodservice. The knowledge-based system (expert system) is computer technology that guides the completion of tasks that usually require specialized knowledge and experience. One benefit of the technology is that an expert system makes it possible for non-experts to gain specialized assistance without dealing with the time and location limitations that often restrict human experts. These specialized systems gather and examine data to assist managers in making better decisions. The expert system model developed in this study served as a tool for the foodservice manager/dietitian in the forecasting process. A series of interviews with the knowledge expert (foodservice manager/dietitian) were made from August through December, 1993. Data for 110 menu items were collected and grouped according to student preference and food type. The collection site was a university dining center which utilized a food court concept. Three of the four service lines were forecast. These service lines included mexican, italian, classic, and deli menu options. A total of over 240,000 potential combinations of menu items exist based on the variety of offerings available to students. An expert system software shell and spreadsheet software were used to develop the system. A naive expert system for forecasting menu items was developed. It was then tested by the forecast knowledge expert/dietitian, the researcher and other users, to evaluate the user friendliness and accuracy. Evaluation included a six-week test period where the model was compared to the knowledge expert/dietitian forecast. Error was reduced, using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) from MAD of 22 and MSE of 718 to MAD of 0 and MSE of 1. USE OF FOCUS GROUPS TO IMPROVE NUTRITION SERVICES IN A WORKSITE CAFETERIA. C.A. Perlmutter, PhD, RD, M.B. Gregoire, PhD, RD, and D.D. Canter, PhD, RD, Department of Health Services, Lehman College of the City University of New York, Bronx, NY The purpose of this study was to gather baseline data regarding employee attitudes about healthful foods and their opinions regarding foods served at the Kansas Farm Bureau and Affiliated Services (KFB) employee cafeteria. Focus groups were chosen for this study because they allowed discussion with respondents about their ideas and concerns. Six focus groups were conducted, yielding the opinions of 52 KFB employees. To help promote discussion, the researcher conducted the focus groups and assured participants that their answers were confidential. Information supplied by focus group participants included beliefs about healthful foods served in the cafeteria, suggestions for ways to increase cafeteria customer counts, marketing of cafeteria menu items, and presentation of nutrition information. Nutrition information requested by focus group participants included grams of fat and calories. Participants suggested labeling healthful food in the KFB cafeteria with a symbol identifier. They believed that employees want general nutrition information without too much detail. Focus groups were an effective format for the present study. They provided valuable information to the foodservice director in a non-threatening environment and gave KFB employees an opportunity to interact with each other. Information from such focus groups also could be used to provide baseline data for developing marketing surveys to assess customer perceptions of the foodservice operation. REGISTERED DIETITIAN AND DIETETIC TECHNICIAN STAFFING AND SALARY PATTERNS: A COMPARISON BY LOCATION AND HOSPITAL TYPE. P. Nickola, MS, RD and B.J. Visocan, MS, RD, University of Illinois Hospital and Clinics, Chicago, IL and Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL The Nutrition Administrators of Chicagoland (NAC), a professional group composed of clinical nutrition managers (CNMs), conducted a salary and staffing survey in June 1993 of all member hospitals. Questionnaires were mailed to 82 hospital based CNMs in Chicago and neighboring suburbs. This tool was designed to investigate whether registered dietitian (RD) and dietetic technician (DT) salaries and pa- tient caseloads varied by hospital type and location. Specifically, re- spondents were asked to provide information regarding: 1) facility de- scription (urban (U) vs suburban (S) and teaching/university (TU) vs community (C)); 2) size/census; 3) non-management clinical staffing (RD, DT and support staff full-time equivalents (FTEs)); 4) RD annual salaries (RD eligible, minimum RD starting, and median RD); and 5) DT annual salaries (minimum DT starting and median DT). Results: Thirty four questionnaires were returned and analyzed using Student's t-test. There was no difference in RD and DT salaries be- tween TU vs C hospitals. Nevertheless, TU have a larger average cen- sus (341 vs 178, p<0.01), which is managed by hiring more staff. There are more non-management RDs (6.9 vs 3.5, p=0.02) in TU vs C hospi- tals, but their caseload was similar (50 vs 51). There are more DT FTEs in TU hospitals (2.9 vs 1.1, p=0.02), but they are responsible for 1/3 fewer patients (118 vs 162). A comparison of RD and DT salaries and caseloads by S vs U location showed no significant differences. Min RD Min RD Median Min DT Median eligible RD DT TU $26,147 $26,829 $31,124 $17,416 $21,131 C $25,616 $25,991 $31,080 $17,217 $20,446 U $25,588 $26,511 $30,446 $17,236 $21,530 S $25,928 $26,343 $31,299 $17,346 $20,594 Conclusions: In this metropolitan area, the widely held notion that salaries and patient caseloads vary by type of hospital and location is not supported. Thus, CNMs should develop alternative recruitment and retention strategies. 'VALUING DIFFERENCES': PROMOTING TOLERANCE. TEAMWORK AND JOB SATISFACTION IN THE DIVERSE WORKPLACE. LB. Rosenzweg, DL Brigham and Women's Hospital Boston, Massachusetts The Nutrition and Dietay Services Departments at Biam and Women's Hospital (BWH) embarked on a management tey to raise employee morale and enhance cross cultural relaionahips. 234 out of 250 employees paricpated. Methodology included taking 1-2 photographs of each employee. In a 5-10 minute iterview, each employee was asked about their place of bith. favodte ethnic food. and the values and word they live by. Each of the photos with biogrphical information were mounted on colrfid letter.ase pieces of construction paper and displayed in the cafeteria and kitchen for two weeks sixteenn at a time, eight in each location). At the stat of each new rotaion of photos, a reception for the sixteen employees honored was given n the kitchen These gathering facilitated social exclhanes between food service workers and clinical stafi As a visual reminder of the wealth of cultres represented a laminated National Geograpic world map (49.5" X 75") was mounted in the kitchen A employees were asked to put themselves on the map by placing flap and pin in their country of bith or upbingi The BWH administration recognized his project by dcdicting a two week hospital- wide program on mulcnaiism to the department of Nutrition and Dietary Services. This inched reproducing enlarging and compuiiing 28 of the photo biographies and placing them on display with the map in the front lobby of BWEL Throughout the hospital, the importance of nutrition and dietary services was heightened and the insight and opportity gained by working in a divet commit was brought to light During this period of Vahing Differences." there was a 4% increase in accuracy on the tray line and a 5% increase in ptient satisfaction as indicated by our Missing Item Paramneter and patient surveys respectively. These results infer a correlation between the program and increased job fiillment At a time when racial tensions are high. healthcare systems are changing. and job instability is prevalent. th manaement tool has been successful in creating an empowered workforce. There is enhanced cross cultural undertanding comnnmcation and camsraderie, leading to strengthened employee relations and augmented productivity. A-76 / SEPTEMBER 1994 SUPPLEMENT VOLUME 94 NUMBER 9

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20

POSTER SESSION: FOOD AND NUTRITION MANAGEMENTAPPLYING EXPERT SYSTEMS TECHNOLOGY TO THEIMPLEMENTATION OF A FORECASTING MODEL INFOODSERVICE. N.C. Sanchez, J.L. Miller, PhD, RD, B.L. Brooks,MS, RD, and L.A. Snchez, Department of Hotel, Restaurant,Institution Management and Dietetics, Kansas State University,Manhattan, KS.

The objective of the study was to develop a naive expertsystem model to replicate the knowledge, experience, creativity,judgment, and intuition of the forecast knowledge expert infoodservice. The knowledge-based system (expert system) iscomputer technology that guides the completion of tasks thatusually require specialized knowledge and experience. Onebenefit of the technology is that an expert system makes itpossible for non-experts to gain specialized assistance withoutdealing with the time and location limitations that often restricthuman experts. These specialized systems gather and examinedata to assist managers in making better decisions. The expertsystem model developed in this study served as a tool for thefoodservice manager/dietitian in the forecasting process. Aseries of interviews with the knowledge expert (foodservicemanager/dietitian) were made from August through December,1993. Data for 110 menu items were collected and groupedaccording to student preference and food type. The collectionsite was a university dining center which utilized a food courtconcept. Three of the four service lines were forecast. Theseservice lines included mexican, italian, classic, and deli menuoptions. A total of over 240,000 potential combinations of menuitems exist based on the variety of offerings available tostudents. An expert system software shell and spreadsheetsoftware were used to develop the system. A naive expertsystem for forecasting menu items was developed. It was thentested by the forecast knowledge expert/dietitian, the researcherand other users, to evaluate the user friendliness and accuracy.Evaluation included a six-week test period where the model wascompared to the knowledge expert/dietitian forecast. Error wasreduced, using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and MeanSquared Error (MSE) from MAD of 22 and MSE of 718 to MADof 0 and MSE of 1.

USE OF FOCUS GROUPS TO IMPROVE NUTRITIONSERVICES IN A WORKSITE CAFETERIA. C.A.Perlmutter, PhD, RD, M.B. Gregoire, PhD, RD,and D.D. Canter, PhD, RD, Department of HealthServices, Lehman College of the City Universityof New York, Bronx, NYThe purpose of this study was to gather

baseline data regarding employee attitudesabout healthful foods and their opinionsregarding foods served at the Kansas FarmBureau and Affiliated Services (KFB) employeecafeteria. Focus groups were chosen for thisstudy because they allowed discussion withrespondents about their ideas and concerns.Six focus groups were conducted, yielding theopinions of 52 KFB employees. To help promotediscussion, the researcher conducted the focusgroups and assured participants that theiranswers were confidential. Informationsupplied by focus group participants includedbeliefs about healthful foods served in thecafeteria, suggestions for ways to increasecafeteria customer counts, marketing ofcafeteria menu items, and presentation ofnutrition information. Nutrition informationrequested by focus group participants includedgrams of fat and calories. Participantssuggested labeling healthful food in the KFBcafeteria with a symbol identifier. Theybelieved that employees want general nutritioninformation without too much detail. Focusgroups were an effective format for the presentstudy. They provided valuable information tothe foodservice director in a non-threateningenvironment and gave KFB employees anopportunity to interact with each other.Information from such focus groups also couldbe used to provide baseline data for developingmarketing surveys to assess customerperceptions of the foodservice operation.

REGISTERED DIETITIAN AND DIETETIC TECHNICIANSTAFFING AND SALARY PATTERNS: A COMPARISON BYLOCATION AND HOSPITAL TYPE. P. Nickola, MS, RD and B.J.Visocan, MS, RD, University of Illinois Hospital and Clinics, Chicago,IL and Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL

The Nutrition Administrators of Chicagoland (NAC), a professionalgroup composed of clinical nutrition managers (CNMs), conducted asalary and staffing survey in June 1993 of all member hospitals.Questionnaires were mailed to 82 hospital based CNMs in Chicago andneighboring suburbs. This tool was designed to investigate whetherregistered dietitian (RD) and dietetic technician (DT) salaries and pa-tient caseloads varied by hospital type and location. Specifically, re-spondents were asked to provide information regarding: 1) facility de-scription (urban (U) vs suburban (S) and teaching/university (TU) vscommunity (C)); 2) size/census; 3) non-management clinical staffing(RD, DT and support staff full-time equivalents (FTEs)); 4) RD annualsalaries (RD eligible, minimum RD starting, and median RD); and 5)DT annual salaries (minimum DT starting and median DT).Results: Thirty four questionnaires were returned and analyzed usingStudent's t-test. There was no difference in RD and DT salaries be-tween TU vs C hospitals. Nevertheless, TU have a larger average cen-sus (341 vs 178, p<0.01), which is managed by hiring more staff. Thereare more non-management RDs (6.9 vs 3.5, p=0.02) in TU vs C hospi-tals, but their caseload was similar (50 vs 51). There are more DT FTEsin TU hospitals (2.9 vs 1.1, p=0.02), but they are responsible for 1/3 fewerpatients (118 vs 162). A comparison of RD and DT salaries andcaseloads by S vs U location showed no significant differences.

Min RD Min RD Median Min DT Medianeligible RD DT

TU $26,147 $26,829 $31,124 $17,416 $21,131C $25,616 $25,991 $31,080 $17,217 $20,446U $25,588 $26,511 $30,446 $17,236 $21,530S $25,928 $26,343 $31,299 $17,346 $20,594Conclusions: In this metropolitan area, the widely held notion thatsalaries and patient caseloads vary by type of hospital and location isnot supported. Thus, CNMs should develop alternative recruitment andretention strategies.

'VALUING DIFFERENCES': PROMOTING TOLERANCE.TEAMWORK AND JOB SATISFACTION IN THE DIVERSEWORKPLACE. LB. Rosenzweg, DL Brigham and Women's HospitalBoston, Massachusetts

The Nutrition and Dietay Services Departments at Biam andWomen's Hospital (BWH) embarked on a management tey to raiseemployee morale and enhance cross cultural relaionahips. 234 out of 250employees paricpated. Methodology included taking 1-2 photographs ofeach employee. In a 5-10 minute iterview, each employee was askedabout their place of bith. favodte ethnic food. and the values and wordthey live by. Each of the photos with biogrphical information weremounted on colrfid letter.ase pieces of construction paper and displayedin the cafeteria and kitchen for two weeks sixteenn at a time, eight in eachlocation). At the stat of each new rotaion of photos, a reception for thesixteen employees honored was given n the kitchen These gatheringfacilitated social exclhanes between food service workers and clinical stafiAs a visual reminder of the wealth of cultres represented a laminatedNational Geograpic world map (49.5" X 75") was mounted in thekitchen A employees were asked to put themselves on the map byplacing flap and pin in their country of bith or upbingi The BWHadministration recognized his project by dcdicting a two week hospital-wide program on mulcnaiism to the department of Nutrition andDietary Services. This inched reproducing enlarging and compuiiing28 of the photo biographies and placing them on display with the map inthe front lobby of BWEL Throughout the hospital, the importance ofnutrition and dietary services was heightened and the insight andopportity gained by working in a divet commit was brought tolight During this period of Vahing Differences." there was a 4% increasein accuracy on the tray line and a 5% increase in ptient satisfaction asindicated by our Missing Item Paramneter and patient surveys respectively.These results infer a correlation between the program and increased jobfiillment At a time when racial tensions are high. healthcare systems arechanging. and job instability is prevalent. th manaement tool has beensuccessful in creating an empowered workforce. There is enhanced crosscultural undertanding comnnmcation and camsraderie, leading tostrengthened employee relations and augmented productivity.

A-76 / SEPTEMBER 1994 SUPPLEMENT VOLUME 94 NUMBER 9