“cleantechinvestment: global patterns, performance and ...€¦ · . cleantech examples....
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Date:
Presented By:
“Cleantech Investment: Global Patterns, Performance and Prospects
Financing Eco-Innovation, Poznan
21 November 2006
Nicholas Parker, ChairmanCleantech Capital Group LLC
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Cleantech Venture Network Advisory Board MembersCleantech Venture Network Advisory Board Members
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The Cleantech MegatrendThe Cleantech Megatrend
• Cleantech encompasses knowledge-based technologies, products and services which:
- Optimize use of natural resources,
- While reducing ecological impact and
- Adding economic value by significantly lowering cost and improving profitability
Potentially Ubiquitous
Global Applications
Potentially Ubiquitous
Global Applications
Large & Growing, Profitable
Market
Large & Growing, Profitable
Market
• Cleantech now 3rd largest venture investment category, with over 13% market share in North America, 18% in Europe
• Similar to biotech as investment theme; investment returns on par with other categories
• Solar, wind, industrial water purification, desalination and bio-pesticide markets, among others, already multi-billion dollar markets experiencing double-digit growth
Enormous Multi-decade
Growth Potential
Enormous Multi-decade
Growth Potential
• May be biggest job & wealth creation opportunity of 21st century
• Enabling technology of industrial and post-industrial society
• Next and necessary wave of technological innovation
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Cleantech ExamplesCleantech Examples
Agriculture - bio-based materials, farm efficiency technologies, micro-irrigation systems and natural pesticides
Energy - distributed and renewable energy generation and conversion (including fuel cells, geothermal, wind and photovoltaics); energy management systems; superconducting transmission; energy storageand power quality; key enabling technologies; and related Internet and information technology-based services
Manufacturing - advanced packaging; high value materials recovery; natural chemistry; sensors; smart construction materials; and precision manufacturing instruments.
Transportation - hybrid vehicles, lighter materials, smart logistics software and telecommuting
Water - water recycling and ultra-filtration systems (UV and membrane based systems), sensors and automation systems and desalination equipment
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Cleantech is not EnvirotechCleantech is not Envirotech
Cleantechmid 1990s -
• Economic market drivers• Productivity-based purchasing• “Front-of-pipe” tech, e.g. zero
emission plants• Biological & materials science• Systems design & engineering• Rapid growth markets, e.g.
solar energy• “Entrepreneurial” mentality• High use of IT
Envirotech1970s-80s
• Regulatory driven market• Compliance-based purchasing• “End-of-pipe” tech, e.g.
scrubbers on smoke stacks• Chemical science• Traditional engineering• Slow growth markets, e.g.
waste management• “Save the world” mentality• Low IT use
Cleantech is emerging as the enabling technology of modern industrial society; the next and necessary wave of venture innovation in a natural
resource constrained world.
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Technology ConvergenceTechnology Convergence
Clean Energy
Clean WaterCleaner Production
Advanced Materials & Nanotechnology (e.g. catalysts and membranes)
Information Technology & Internet (e.g. advanced meters and sensors)
CONVERGENCE CONVERGENCE
Biotech “CleanBio” (e.g. biopolymers and biofuels)
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NA Cleantech Venture Investing1999- Q2 2006NA Cleantech Venture Investing1999- Q2 2006
US and Canadian Cleantech Venture Deals by Year, 1999- Q2 2006
121134
108
222205
246
128
191
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Q1 & Q22006
$US
m
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Num
ber
of d
eals
Total Cleantech Venture Investing 1999- Q2 2006: $9.7bn
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NA Investment by SegmentNA Investment by Segment
Cleantech segments: by amount invested 1999 - Q2 2006
Energy48%
Environmental IT4%
Air Quality2%
Transportation & Logistics4%
Water Purification & Management
4%
Agriculture & Nutrition5%
Enabling Technologies5%
Materials Recovery & Recycling
5%
Manufacturing/ Industrial9%
Materials & Nanotechnology
14%
Energy-related deals are leading: 48% of total cleantech by amount.
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North American Cleantech Investments, 1999- Q2 2006North American Cleantech Investments, 1999- Q2 2006
Cleantech is growing as an investment category: Now receiving 12+% of all VC in North America
U.S. and Canadian Cleantech Venture Deals by Quarter and as a percentage of total VC (by amount), 1999-Q2 2006
12%
9%9%
7%
4%
6%
5%4%
4%5%
4%5%5%
6%6%
2%2%2%
1%1%1%2%
3%
2%1%1%
3%
5% 6%5%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1999
Q1
1999
Q2
1999
Q3
1999
Q4
2000
Q1
2000
Q2
2000
Q3
2000
Q4
2001
Q1
2001
Q2
2001
Q3
2001
Q4
2002
Q1
2002
Q2
2002
Q3
2002
Q4
2003
Q1
2003
Q2
2003
Q3
2003
Q4
2004
Q1
2004
Q2
2004
Q3
2004
Q4
2005
Q1
2005
Q2
2005
Q3
2005
Q4
2006
Q1
2006
Q2
$ US m
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
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European Cleantech Venture Investing2003- Q2 2006European Cleantech Venture Investing2003- Q2 2006
European Cleantech Investments: 2003 - Q2 2006
521.22 566.69 853.84 374.68
106
128139
53
$-
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
2003 2004 2005 2006USDm 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Amo unt Euro pean CT VC Number o f Deals
Total Cleantech Venture Investing Q1 2003 – Q2 2006: $2.316bn
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European Cleantech Investment by SegmentEuropean Cleantech Investment by Segment
2003-Q2 2006: Cleantech Venture Amounts Invested by Segment
Manufacturing/ Industrial 4.9%
Environmental IT 1.8%
Materials and Nano-technology 5.3%
Enabling Technologies 0.6%
Air Quality 0.8%
Agriculture & Nutrition 3.4%
Transportation & Logistics 0.6%
Water 7.4%
Materials Recovery & Recycling 5.1%
Energy 70.2%
Energy-related deals are dominating with 70.2% of total cleantech by amount.
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European Cleantech Investments & as a Total of European VCEuropean Cleantech Investments & as a Total of European VC
2003-Q2 2006 European Cleantech Venture Investment/ Percentage of Overall VC
6%
10%
7%8%
5%
9%10%
9%
17%
12%
13%12%
8%
19%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2003 Q1
2003 Q2
2003 Q3
2003 Q4
2004 Q1
2004 Q2
2004 Q3
2004 Q4
2005 Q1
2005 Q2
2005 Q3
2005 Q4
2006 Q1
2006 Q2
$US m
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Amount Invested in $US m % Cleantech to Total VC Invested by Amount
Cleantech attracts an average of 10% of all VC in Europe, with a high of 19% in Q2 2006
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Comparative AnalysisComparative Analysis
In general:
• More deals than anticipated in Europe, although 50% of NA
• Healthy pipeline of seed and early stage deals (supported by gov’t funds)
• Shortage of LP interest in specialist cleantech GPs
Compared to North America, in Europe there is
• Greater dominance of energy deals; especially energy generation technologies such as wind, solar and fuel cells.
• More emphasis on Materials/Recovery & Recycling than Advanced Materials & Nanotech, reflecting public policy
• Many more MBOs and LBOs, reflecting PE markets, culture and restructuring
• More robust public markets, especially fuelled by AIM listings + Frankfurt/Oslo
•Some industry consolidation occurring in renewables – as seen in cleantech to cleantech M&A activity.
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Can Cleantech Make Money?Can Cleantech Make Money?
Cleantech Venture Investment – Patterns & PerformanceThe most comprehensive investigations of cleantech investment
performance to date
• Report released in late March 2005• 67 initial public offerings: 730 M&A transactions in 30+ countries• Estimates Cleantech IPOs yielded returns to pre-IPO investors
of 5.5x, while European venture-backed IPO generated returns of over 8x.
• Estimates overall returns on cleantech M&A transactions were 4.3x on invested equity, based on more than $94 billion in transactions tracked over the past 2 decades
• A hypothetical portfolio of cleantech venture investments delivered an estimated IRR of approximately 30%. (Assumed 40% of the portfolio’s investments were written off and an average holding period of five years.)
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Top Exchanges for Cleantech IPOsTop Exchanges for Cleantech IPOs
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Some ChallengesSome Challenges
Globally:• Building big-small business partnerships
• Building linkages between different capital suppliers (egproject finance, venture capital and equipment leasing)
• Encouraging appropriate public policies (in the US)
• Bringing cleantech to emerging market economies – BOP + BRICs
• Turning public R, D & D into commercial business
• Institutional support for venture capital
• From “clean energy” to “cleantech”
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