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ANNA INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT Bond Program Update November 3, 2014

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Page 1: ANNA - PC\|MACimages.pcmac.org › Uploads › AnnaISD › AnnaISD › Sites...Nov 03, 2014  · ANNA INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT Bond Program Update November 3, 2014 . BOND MARKET

ANNA INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT

Bond Program Update

November 3, 2014

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BOND MARKET UPDATE

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3 Southwest Securities

2.50%

2.75%

3.00%

3.25%

3.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.25%

5.50%

5.75%

6.00%

6.25%

6.50%

BOND BUYERS INDEX OF MUNICIPAL BONDS

January 2001 - October 2014

3.90%

Historical High = 6.01% on October 15th 2008

Average = 4.53%

Historical Low = 3.27% on December 6th 2012

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4

Current Bond Market Conditions

Permanent School Fund Guaranteed AAA Market

Approximate Yields to Maturity:

Southwest Securities

Small Issuer ($10mm or less):

1-year = 0.30%

5-year = 1.10%

10-year = 2.05%

15-year = 2.95%

20-year = 3.35%

25-year = 3.85%

30-year = 4.00%

Large Issuer ($10mm or more):

1-year = 0.30%

5-year = 1.10%

10-year = 2.40%

15-year = 3.20%

20-year = 3.55%

25-year = 4.00%

30-year = 4.15%

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HISTORICAL STATISTICS

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6

Voted Bond Authorization

Southwest Securities

Date

Amount

Issued to

Date

Authorized but

Unissued

November 12, 2005 $89,000,000 $72,945,000 $16,055,000

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7

Recent Bond Rating History

Southwest Securities

Enhanced Bond Ratings:

Permanent School Fund Guarantee AAA/Aaa Ratings

Underlying Bond Ratings:

S&P Underlying Bond Rating of A+ since 2009

Moody’s Underlying Bond Rating Recalibrated from A3 to A1 in 2010

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8

Recent Bond Refunding History

Southwest Securities

Issue

Total Debt Service Savings

PV Savings as a % of Refunded

Bonds

Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2009 $ 484,981 8.54% Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2013 $1,608,928 15.97% Unlimited Tax Refunding Bonds, Series 2014 $ 461,602 5.59%

Total $2,555,511

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9

Approaching Optional Redemption Dates

Southwest Securities

Amount

Maturities

Call Date

Callable Interest Rates

Negative Arbitrage

Series 2006 $ 6,585,000 2017 - 2036 8/15/2016 4.05% - 4.45% Medium Building

Series 2007 $12,665,000 2018 - 2039 8/15/2017 4.50% - 5.25% High Building

Series 2008 $ 8,650,000 2019 - 2040 8/15/2018 4.50% - 5.25% High Building

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10 Southwest Securities

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

Fiscal Net Taxable

Year Taxable Value 5-Year 10-Year

Ending Value Growth Average Average

2004/05 248,214,321$

2005/06 329,758,495$ 32.85%

2006/07 409,174,259$ 24.08%

2007/08 483,326,219$ 18.12%

2008/09 521,973,262$ 8.00%

2009/10 517,484,056$ -0.86% 16.44%

2010/11 504,429,007$ -2.52%

2011/12 496,251,844$ -1.62%

2012/13 508,769,940$ 2.52%

2013/14 561,815,787$ 10.43%

2014/15 640,000,000$ 13.92% 4.54% 10.49%

Taxable Value

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11 Southwest Securities

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Fiscal Wealth

Year ADA 5-Year 10-Year per

Ending ADA Growth Average Average ADA

2004/05 1,183 $16.07

2005/06 1,466 23.89% $16.94

2006/07 1,751 19.46% $18.84

2007/08 1,906 8.87% $21.46

2008/09 2,028 6.40% $23.82

2009/10 2,098 3.47% 12.42% $24.86

2010/11 2,169 3.35% $23.74

2011/12 2,210 1.88% $22.82

2012/13 2,382 7.81% $20.82

2013/14 2,470 3.71% $20.58

2014/15 2,707 9.58% 5.27% 8.84% $20.75

Average Daily Attendance

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12 Southwest Securities

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

Fiscal

Year M&O I&S Total I&S Fund General Fund General Fund

Ending Tax Rate Tax Rate Tax Rate Balance Balance % of Exp.

2004/05 $1.4489 $0.3410 $1.7899 248,989$ 1,358,044$ 15.89%

2005/06 $1.4552 $0.3698 $1.8250 538,646$ 1,794,916$ 15.77%

2006/07 $1.3304 $0.4410 $1.7714 601,733$ 3,844,118$ 29.00%

2007/08 $1.0100 $0.4714 $1.4815 1,262,687$ 2,816,256$ 17.10%

2008/09 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400 1,509,179$ 2,881,041$ 17.41%

2009/10 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400 2,022,459$ 3,108,723$ 18.62%

2010/11 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400 2,912,516$ 3,689,112$ 21.52%

2011/12 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400 1,100,211$ 4,501,955$ 26.94%

2012/13 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400 347,668$ 5,232,709$ 30.09%

2013/14 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400

2014/15 $1.0400 $0.5000 $1.5400

Tax Rate & Fund Balances

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CURRENT SITUATION

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14 Southwest Securities

$-

$1,000,000

$2,000,000

$3,000,000

$4,000,000

$5,000,000

$6,000,000

$7,000,000

$8,000,000

$9,000,000

$10,000,000

De

bt

Se

rvic

e

Fiscal Year

Net Debt Service Estimated IFA Estimated EDA Use of General Fund Transfer

ANNA INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICTOutstanding Voted Bond Debt Service

For 2014/15, Total Debt Service Payment equals $5,224,376:

50ȼ I&S Tax Rate generates approximately $3,170,000 of revenues for payment of the Total Debt ServiceEstimated IFA and EDA State Aid Totals Approximately $1,605,000

Estimated Use of General Fund Transfer Totals Approximately $450,000

Graphical Representation Based on Taxable Value Growth of 5% Per Year for 5 Years and Average Daily Attendance Growth of 100 Students Per Year for 5 Years Beginning 2015/16

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15

Tax Ratification Elections

Allows the District to increase the M&O Tax Rate from $1.04 to $1.17 if approved by the voters to support the operations of the District.

A $0.13 Increase in the M&O Tax Rate generates approximately $825,000 of local tax effort based on current taxable values. The additional $0.13 of local tax effort generates approximately $800,000 of additional monies from the State under current state funding formulas.

2013/14

Above $1.04 = 353 (and increasing)

At $1.04 = 572

Below $1.04 = 95

Approximately 70% have been Successful

Election Dates

Earliest – June 2015

Up to – October 2015

Uniform Date – November 3, 2015

Southwest Securities

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16

Collin Co. Districts M&O Tax Rate

Districts Above $1.04

Allen ISD ($1.17) Blue Ridge ISD ($1.17)

Celina ISD ($1.14) Community ISD ($1.17)

Farmersville ISD ($1.17) Lovejoy ISD ($1.06)

McKinney ISD ($1.17) Melissa ISD ($1.17)

Plano ISD ($1.17) Prosper ISD ($1.17)

Wylie ISD ($1.17)

Districts At $1.04

Anna ISD ($1.04) Frisco ISD ($1.04)

Princeton ISD ($1.04)

Southwest Securities

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Learn from Yesterday…

Understand Today…

Plan for Tomorrow

Anna

Independent

School

District

Demographic Report

Fall 2014

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• Texas remains a top state in job growth from September 2013 to 2014,

with a rate of 3.6%, 1.7 percentage points higher than the national

average.

• The state's unemployment rate has been at or below the national rate for

7 consecutive years. (State Comptrollers Office)

• Unemployment rates - Texas Labor Market Information (September 2014)

- U.S. 5.7%

- Texas 5.0%

- DFW MSA 5.0%

- Collin County 4.5%

• Year-to-date Collin County has issued 4,443 single-family housing

permits. This is a 6.6% decrease from the same period last year. Year-

to-date the county has issued 2,125 multi-family permits. (Real Estate

Center at Texas A&M)

• While new home starts under $150,000 have dropped 6% since 2012,

starts of homes priced more than $300,000 increased 13.4% in DFW.

(Metrostudy)

Economic Conditions

2

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Local Economic Overview

Toyota Headquarters Relocation• Toyota is relocating its headquarters from Southern

California to Plano

• Consolidating operations into one 70-acre campus

• By 2018 expected to have 3,650 full-time employees

• Average salary will be $104,000

State Farm Insurance Expands• In July 2013, began construction on 2 million sq-ft

regional campus in Richardson

• Expected to be complete in early 2015

• First phase of hiring will bring 700 new employees

by the end of this year

• 8,000 employees are expected at full capacity

• Construction will begin soon on a hotel and

apartment complex in the surrounding area

3

USAA IT Operations Center• Insurance company USAA announced a new IT

operations center in Plano

• $31 million facility which will house 680 new employees

• Leased two buildings totaling 238,000 square-feet

• New jobs will be phased in through 2018

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Collin County Economic Overview

4

3.2%

-1.0%

7.8%

6.4%

-5.2%

DFW Annualized Job Creation(100,200 September 2014 year over year)

Average Home Price($297,800)

Unemployment(4.5% September 2014 year over year)

Texas Oil & Gas Rig Count(902 September 2014)

Existing Home Inventory (1.8 Month’s Supply)

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DFW Housing Market

5

Single Family Homes: 2Q14 Starts & Closes

Source: Metrostudy

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Collin County Housing MarketMultiple Listing Service – YTD SFD Activity & Inventory

6

Sept-14 %Change

YTD Sales 12,415 -3.0%

Average Price $297,800 6.4%

Median Price $258,200 7.7%

Listings 2,345 -9.0%

Months of Supply 1.8 -5.2%

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Texas Enrollment Trends

7

2013 State Enrollment

Total Enrollment 5,151,925

Total Growth 76,085

120,145

73,685

78,644

78,078

98,273

85,773

64,962

77,261

76,085

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000 Enrollment Change

4,399,019 4,519,164

4,592,8494,671,493

4,749,5714,847,844

4,933,6174,998,579

5,075,840

5,151,925

4,000,000

4,200,000

4,400,000

4,600,000

4,800,000

5,000,000

5,200,000

5,400,000Total Enrollment

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Region 10 Enrollment Trends

8

Rank District2008/09

Enrollment2013/14

Enrollment

5-YEAR Change

(08/09-13/14)

1 Frisco ISD 30,797 46,053 15,256

2 Richardson ISD 34,407 38,283 3,876

3 Prosper ISD 3,125 6,413 3,288

4 Mesquite ISD 37,030 39,909 2,879

5 Allen ISD 17,590 20,382 2,792

6 Wylie ISD (Collin) 11,349 13,726 2,377

7 Dallas ISD 157,352 159,713 2,361

8 Irving ISD 33,131 35,328 2,197

9 Grand Prairie ISD 25,996 27,740 1,744

10 Coppell ISD 9,948 11,364 1,416

11 Forney ISD 7,438 8,648 1,210

12 Waxahachie ISD 6,646 7,814 1,168

13 McKinney ISD 23,401 24,565 1,164

14 Rockwall ISD 13,497 14,626 1,129

15 Lovejoy ISD 2,873 3,739 866

16 Princeton ISD 2,769 3,623 854

17 Lancaster ISD 5,995 6,820 825

18 Highland Park ISD (Dallas) 6,331 7,037 706

19 Royse City ISD 4,323 5,015 692

20 Melissa ISD 1,257 1,895 638

25 Sunnyvale ISD 806 1,371 565

26 Anna ISD 2,148 2,597 449

27 De Soto ISD 8,959 9,404 445

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DFW New Home Ranking Report

9

ISD Ranked by Annual Closings – 2Q14

Source: Metrostudy

Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings VDL Future

1 Frisco ISD 2,830 2,876 4,294 7,765

2 Denton ISD 1,584 1,328 2,476 14,952

3 Northwest ISD 1,256 1,252 1,658 21,886

4 Dallas ISD 877 982 2,105 7,298

5 Prosper ISD 1,175 965 2,289 19,393

6 Keller ISD 944 852 1,467 2,938

7 Lewisville ISD 896 803 1,683 3,056

8 Eagle Mtn. - Saginaw ISD 782 774 1,512 19,758

9 McKinney ISD 628 638 1,151 6,917

10 Mansfield ISD 561 607 831 5,114

11 Rockwall ISD 629 586 1,888 7,653

12 Allen ISD 654 574 836 1,271

13 Little Elm ISD 512 535 891 6,143

14 Forney ISD 480 450 1,075 11,515

15 Burleson ISD 423 416 665 3,762

16 Wylie ISD 405 391 679 4,868

17 Crowley ISD 437 368 1,569 8,196

18 Plano ISD 399 358 864 1,588

19 Midlothian ISD 406 351 815 15,093

20 Fort Worth ISD 339 349 952 4,465

21 Garland ISD 426 321 455 4,539

22 HEB ISD 380 310 492 5,883

23 Anna ISD 360 310 276 5,342

24 Aledo ISD 349 304 827 15,992

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New Housing Activity

10

• 2Q starts almost doubled the 1Q total for 2014.

• AISD closings will likely reach 350 by the end of 2014.

• Due to 2Q starts, inventory will need to rise to maintain

the current housing growth.

Anna ISD Housing Activity

Source: Metrostudy

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Starts Closings Inventory

Starts 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Closings 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1Q 12 9 32 85 77 1Q 1 3 21 85 75

2Q 0 19 73 76 138 2Q 2 13 52 72 78

3Q 7 17 97 92 3Q 3 18 70 79

4Q 9 28 95 53 4Q 6 13 76 78

Total 28 73 297 306 215 Total 12 47 219 314 153

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Annual Closing Distribution 2Q14

11

Top 6 Subdivisions - 2Q14 (Ranked by Annual Closings)

Rank SubdivisionAnnual Starts

Quarter Starts

Annual Closings

Quarter Closings

1 Northpointe Crossing 162 73 119 30

2 Pecan Grove (Anna) 39 11 48 9

3 Oak Hollow Estates 42 25 40 6

4 Westfield Addition 41 9 36 18

5 West Crossing 51 13 32 10

6 Sweetwater Crossing 19 6 18 3

TOTALS 354 137 293 76

Source: Metrostudy

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Vacant Developed Lots 2Q14

12

Top 6 Subdivisions - 2Q14 (Ranked by remaining VDL)

Rank Subdivision VDL Future

1 Oak Hollow Estates 93 114

2 West Crossing 61 864

3 Northpointe Crossing 35 499

4 Pecan Grove (Anna) 34 238

5 Urban Crossing 26 0

6 Sweetwater Crossing 14 81

TOTALS 263 1,796

Source: Metrostudy

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Future Lots 2Q14

13

Top 10 Subdivisions - 2Q14 (Ranked by Future Inventory)

Rank Subdivision VDL Future

1 Anna Crossing* 0 2,000

2 West Crossing 61 864

3 Villages of Hurricane Creek 0 590

4 Northpointe Crossing 35 499

5 Bradley Tract (Anna) 0 443

6 Pecan Grove (Anna) 34 238

7 Camden Parc (Anna) 0 194

8 Lakeview Estates (Anna) 0 168

9 Anna 55 0 151

10 Oak Hollow Estates 93 114

TOTALS 223 5,261

*Includes additional information not found in the Metrostudy report

Source: Metrostudy

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Overall Housing Data 2Q14By Elementary Attendance Zone

14

Elementary Annual Starts

Quarter Starts

Annual Closings

Quarter Closings Inventory

Vacant Dev. Lots Future

BRYANT 237 93 181 45 116 118 1,638

RATTAN 123 45 125 33 58 158 3,704

Grand Total 360 138 306 78 174 276 5,342

Source: Metrostudy

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Active SubdivisionsOak Hollow Estates

15

Oak Hollow Estates

• 970 total lots

• 230 futures

• 93 VDL

• Streets under

construction in

southwest portion

• Anticipate building 100

homes in 2015

• $172K - $200K

• Rattan Elementary

Future multi-family

(no movement yet)

Lakeview Estates

• Future single family

• 168 total lots

• Dirt moving in late October

• $250K - $400K

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Active SubdivisionsWest Crossing

16

West Crossing

• 1,207 total lots

• 864 futures

• 61 VDL

• Phase 4 under

construction with 70 lots

• $170K - $290K

• Bryant Elementary

Avery Pointe

• Future single family

• 550 total lots

• Zoning approval Oct. 2014

• Impact 2017

• $200K - $300K

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Active SubdivisionsNorthPointe Crossing

DR Horton Land

• 207 acres

• No plats submitted yet

NorthPointe Crossing

• 498 total lots

• 338 futures

• 160 currently built

• Waiting on Phase 2

approval (188 lots)

• $100K - $200K

Camden Parc

• Future single family

• 183 lots

• Final plans under review 17

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Future SubdivisionAnna Crossing

Anna Village

Apartments

• Future multi-family

• 240 units

• Phase 1 = 80 units

• Market rate - class “A” units

Anna Crossing

• Future single family

• 2,000 total lots

• Currently moving dirt at-risk

•Awaiting preliminary plat approval

• 650 acres

• Rattan Elementary

18

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Enrollment History

*Yellow box = largest grade per year*Green box = second largest grade per year

Cohort Analysis

Initial Analysis

19

Year (Oct) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal

Growth % Growth

2010/11 17 77 202 208 175 178 207 184 141 183 154 160 147 125 140 2,298

2011/12 23 78 214 198 212 168 160 197 180 143 186 166 152 148 122 2,347 49 2.1%

2012/13 21 73 264 202 214 218 182 176 202 185 150 189 153 154 144 2,527 180 7.7%

2013/14 23 72 225 268 268 216 206 213 189 199 195 157 182 135 139 2,687 160 6.3%

2014/15 22 89 231 254 257 234 228 230 198 205 217 222 161 186 141 2,875 188 7.0%

EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Growth

Roll-up 22 89 231 231 254 257 234 228 230 198 205 217 222 161 186 2,965 90

Prev Cohort 22 89 237 261 244 224 247 255 214 215 224 247 228 165 194 3,064 189

3-YR Avg. 22 89 240 238 285 249 241 257 232 204 218 232 215 157 181 3,060 373

K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th

3 Year Avg. 1.038 1.029 1.122 0.970 1.028 1.129 1.010 1.033 1.064 1.067 0.970 0.972 0.973

2011/12 1.059 0.980 1.019 0.960 0.899 0.952 0.978 1.014 1.016 1.078 0.950 1.007 0.976

2012/13 1.234 0.944 1.081 1.028 1.083 1.100 1.025 1.028 1.049 1.016 0.922 1.013 0.973

2013/14 0.852 1.015 1.327 1.009 0.945 1.170 1.074 0.985 1.054 1.047 0.963 0.882 0.903

2014/15 1.027 1.129 0.959 0.873 1.056 1.117 0.930 1.085 1.090 1.138 1.025 1.022 1.044

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Ten Year ForecastBy Grade Level

*Yellow box = largest grade per year*Green box = second largest grade per year

20

• Anna ISD will reach more than 4,000 students in the fall of 2018

• 5 year growth = 1,542 students

• 2019/20 enrollment = 4,417

• 10 year growth = 3,610 students

• 2024/25 enrollment =6,485

Year (Oct) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal

Growth % Growth

2010/11 17 77 202 208 175 178 207 184 141 183 154 160 147 125 140 2,298

2011/12 23 78 214 198 212 168 160 197 180 143 186 166 152 148 122 2,347 49 2.1%

2012/13 21 73 264 202 214 218 182 176 202 185 150 189 153 154 144 2,527 180 7.7%

2013/14 23 72 225 268 216 206 213 178 189 199 195 157 182 135 139 2,597 70 2.8%

2014/15 22 89 231 254 257 234 228 230 198 205 217 222 161 186 141 2,875 278 10.7%

2015/16 22 89 239 247 267 266 247 243 242 213 213 242 211 159 180 3,080 205 7.1%

2016/17 22 89 245 264 265 293 293 265 262 255 224 244 237 208 156 3,322 242 7.9%

2017/18 22 89 255 272 293 298 319 330 276 280 263 259 237 238 202 3,633 311 9.4%

2018/19 22 89 265 297 306 332 331 351 380 305 305 309 254 243 232 4,021 388 10.7%

2019/20 22 89 274 304 338 348 368 371 393 411 335 356 302 268 238 4,417 396 9.8%

2020/21 22 89 288 306 335 374 381 404 438 433 441 401 349 315 262 4,838 421 9.5%

2021/22 22 89 298 309 343 377 413 422 465 480 455 493 393 363 308 5,230 392 8.1%

2022/23 22 89 313 324 346 385 416 458 485 513 523 527 486 411 353 5,651 421 8.0%

2023/24 22 89 322 351 361 381 437 462 531 533 549 616 517 506 401 6,078 427 7.6%

2024/25 22 89 341 360 392 394 425 491 533 584 570 647 605 538 494 6,485 407 6.7%

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Ten Year ForecastBy Campus

21

HISTORY Current ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS

ELEMENTARY CAMPUS 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25

ANNA ISD EARLY CHILDHOOD CENTER 320 342 350 356 366 376 385 399 409 424 433 452

JOE K BRYANT ELEMENTARY 512 592 631 712 796 837 890 901 920 944 959 974

SUE EVELYN RATTAN ELEMENTARY 569 611 639 668 716 780 839 899 944 985 1,033 1,088

ELEMENTARY TOTALS 1,401 1,545 1,620 1,736 1,878 1,993 2,114 2,199 2,273 2,353 2,425 2,514

Elementary Absolute Change 51 144 75 116 142 115 121 85 74 80 72 89

Elementary Percent Change 3.78% 10.28% 4.85% 7.16% 8.18% 6.12% 6.07% 4.02% 3.37% 3.52% 3.06% 3.67%

ANNA MIDDLE SCHOOL 583 618 666 739 817 988 1,137 1,310 1,398 1,519 1,611 1,685

MIDDLE SCHOOL TOTAL 583 618 666 739 817 988 1,137 1,310 1,398 1,519 1,611 1,685

Middle School Absolute Change 46 35 48 73 78 171 149 173 88 121 92 74

Middle School Percent Change 8.57% 6.00% 7.77% 10.96% 10.55% 20.93% 15.08% 15.22% 6.72% 8.66% 6.06% 4.59%

ANNA HIGH SCHOOL 603 709 791 844 935 1,037 1,163 1,326 1,556 1,776 2,039 2,283

HIGH SCHOOL TOTAL 603 709 791 844 935 1,037 1,163 1,326 1,556 1,776 2,039 2,283

High School Absolute Change -27 106 82 53 91 102 126 163 230 220 263 244

High School Percent Change -4.29% 17.58% 11.57% 6.70% 10.78% 10.91% 12.15% 14.02% 17.35% 14.14% 14.81% 11.97%

SPECIAL PROGRAM CENTER 10 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

DISTRICT TOTALS 2,597 2,875 3,080 3,322 3,633 4,021 4,417 4,838 5,230 5,651 6,078 6,485

District Absolute Change 70 278 205 242 311 388 396 421 392 421 427 407

District Percent Change 2.77% 10.70% 7.13% 7.86% 9.36% 10.68% 9.85% 9.53% 8.10% 8.05% 7.56% 6.70%

• Bryant Elementary will have more than 700 students in 2016 and more than 800 in 2018

• Rattan Elementary will have more than 800 students in 2019 and more than 1,000 in 2023

• Anna Middle School will reach 1,000 students in 2019

• Anna High School will reach 1,000 students in 2018, this is a 46.3% rise from current enrollment

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Summary

• Texas economy continues to be the strongest state economy in

the country.

• DFW will continue to be a leader in job and population

growth due to the energy boom and its diverse economy.

• 2Q14 starts almost doubled from the first quarter to 138 units.

• Vacant Developed Lot supply is down after such a large

second quarter jump in housing starts.

• Bryant Elementary zone represents 65% of the total starts for

the district.

• AISD can expect an increase of approximately 1,500 students

during the next 5 years.

• 2018/19 enrollment projection: 4,021.

• AISD is projected to have more than 6,400 students for the

2024/25 school year.

22

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