andy stirling - sustainability and transformation: a framework for enabling policy diversity
DESCRIPTION
Presentation for SLRG Dissemination Event, 3 July 2014TRANSCRIPT
Sustainability and Transformation
a framework for enabling policy diversity
Andy Stirling, SPRU
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temporality of dynamics – are ‘disturbances’ envisaged as:
shocks
(transitory disturbance to otherwise continuous trajectory)
time
driver of change
quality level
food: - supply bottlenecks
- price spikes
floods - severe rain episodes
Distinguishing Challenges
magnitude
shocks
food: - market trends
- resource depletion
floods: - higher rainfall
climate
temporality of dynamics – are ‘disturbances’ envisaged as:
driver of change
quality level
stresses
(pressure for enduring disturbance to orientation of trajectory)
Distinguishing Challenges
shocks
control
food: - mandate supply chains
- regulate prices
floods: - water flow
management
style of action – do interventions aim at:
driver of change
quality level
Distinguishing Challenges
shocks
control
food: - market structuring
- resource substitutions
floods: - engineered defence
style of action – do interventions aim at:
driver of change
quality level
stresses
Distinguishing Challenges
response
food: - agile supply chains
- price elasticity
floods: - retrofit flood resistance
driver of change
quality level
2: style of action – do interventions aim at:
shocks
Distinguishing Challenges
response
food: - foresighted institutions
- diverse dependencies
floods: - managed retreat
driver of change
quality level
shocks
stresses
2: style of action – do interventions aim at:
Distinguishing Challenges
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
temporality
of change
style of action
Distinguishing Strategies
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
temporality
of change
style of action
STABILITY
DURABILITY
RESILIENCE
ROBUSTNESS
Distinguishing Properties …
STABILITY
DURABILITY
RESILIENCE
ROBUSTNESS
SUSTAINABILITY
temporality
of change
style of action
Distinguishing Properties … of Sustainabiltiy
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
temporality
of change
style of action
STABILITY
DURABILITY ROBUSTNESS
Intermediary groups: meanwhile leases
Growing groups: creative growing
RESILIENCE
Intermediary groups: changes to planning advisory notices, strategic planning documents, city-wide urban strategies
Distinguishing Strategies… eg: land
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
temporality
of change
style of action
STABILITY
DURABILITY ROBUSTNESS
RESILIENCE
re-applications for charitable funds,
charge for previously free service provision
develop service provision partnerships
with local statutory or charitable organisations
Distinguishing Strategies… eg: funding
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
temporality
of change
style of action
STABILITY
DURABILITY ROBUSTNESS
RESILIENCE
mitigate interrupted revenue streams by increasing pre-payment periods for farm scheme subscriptions from monthly to quarterly
awareness raising measures to mitigate falling support for CSOs in specific towns, cities
capacity to support farm festivals or availability of
bridging support
shift practice to link health care providers to
build demand for therapeutic growing
Distinguishing Strategies… eg: support
shock (transitory
disturbance)
stress (enduring
disturbance)
control (tractable drivers)
respond (intractable drivers)
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
clear conditions
for diverse strategies
From Sustaining …
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
shock
stress
control response
sustain
change
clear conditions
for diverse strategies
From Sustaining … to transforming
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
sustain
change
transruption
shock
stress
control response
take advantage of shock to
control a specific change
eg: UK government and coal
power in 1980s; UK nuclear
and renewables in 2010s
From Sustaining … to transforming
transition
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
shock
stress
control response
harness stress as an
opportunity for controlling
towards a particular change
eg: Netherlands Energie
Transitie to low carbon in
2000s
transruption
sustain
change
From Sustaining … to transforming
transition
transilience
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
shock
stress
control response
shocks present a chance for
responsive actions to steer
away from status quo
eg: Greenpeace et al move to
campaign against nuclear
power after Chernobyl, 1986
transruption
sustain
change
From Sustaining … to transforming
transition
transilience
transformation
stability
durability
resilience shock
stress
control response
stress offers a pressure to help
responsive actions steer away
from status quo
eg: grassroots civil society
mobilisation on climate change
‘peak oil’, 2000s
transruption
sustain
change
From Sustaining … to transforming
transition
transilience
transformation
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
shock
stress
control response
transruption
sustain
change
clear conditions
for diverse policy repertoires
for maintaining sustainability
and transforming unsustainabiltiy
From Sustaining … to transforming
transition
transilience
transformation
stability
durability
resilience
robustness
shock
stress
control response
transruption
sustain
change
Sustainability governance:
civil society is crucial
pathways are political
quality through democracy
From Sustaining … to transforming
http://www.sustainablelifestyles.ac.uk/
transruption transilience
transition transformation
stability resilience
durability robustness