An Ontario NGO’s Campaignfor

Advanced Renewable Tariffs

Ontario’s Power Crisis

• Many Nuclear Plants Inoperative

• Plans to Close Coal Plants

• Possible New Nuclear Plants

• New Gas-Fired Plants

• Concentrated Ownership

• Skeptical Public

OSEA’s ARTs Proposalfor

Rapid Renewable Energy Development

Not Cheap, Not EasyBut Worth Every Cent

Do We Want Renewables?• Peak Oil, Peak Gas• Nuclear Problematic• Kyoto & Climate Catastrophe

France & Italy, 2003; 25,000 Dead

• Public Support HighLarge Crowds in Ontario

• Desire for New Manufacturing Jobs

If Yes, Then What Works Best?• Who Wins Contracts

Elite Few or All Who Want Them?

• How To Pay For ThemCapital or Production SubsidiesRECs/ROCs/Green TagsAdvanced Renewable Tariffs

Dunkerque, France

If Using a Market Model, Then

• You Get What You Pay ForEx. Fair Trade Coffee for Premium Price

• If You Want It You Must Pay For ItYes, Public Wants Renewables

• High or “Premium” Prices DeliverMore Generation

More Quickly

More Manufacturing . . . And More Jobs

Why Wind?

• Reduces Use of Nuclear & Fossil Fuels

• Most Cost-Effective of New Renewables

• Relatively Benign

Wind Energy’s Benefits

• Clean & Green (Mostly)No SOx, NOx, or CO2

• RenewableNet Positive Energy Balance (4-6 months)

• Domestic: Not Subject to Embargo

• Does Not Consume Water

• Modular = Flexible

Wind Energy’s Impacts

• Aesthetics or Intrusiveness• Erosion & Scarring from Roads

Length, Width, Number and Slope

• Shadow Flicker & Disco Effect• Climate?• Noise--They are Audible• Wildlife

Habitat DisruptionBird Kills: Collisions, Electrocutions

Colorado

California

Wind Energy Has Come of Age

Off-the-Grid Applications

Household Applications

Farm Applications

Small Groups or Clusters

World Wind Generating Capacity

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04

Year

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Thousand MW

Other Asia

Europe North America

Wind Growing Rapidly• Germany

2,000 MW in 2004

20,000 MW by 2006

30,000 MW by 2012

• Spain2,100 MW in 2004

• France

• USA: 500-2,000 MW/yr

2004 World Wind Capacity

7,200 MW 34,700 MW

4,100 MW

High Penetration is PossiblePercent Wind

The Netherlands 2%

Spain 6.5%

Germany 5.3%

Germany 2012 12.5%

Denmark 20%

Germany 2025 25%

Solar PV Growing Rapidly

• 2004: 2,300 MW Worldwide

• 600+ MW/yr

• $7 Billion CAD/yr

• Major MarketsGermany

Japan

California

Rancho Seco, Calfornia

Solar Photovoltaic Development

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04

Year

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Total Installed MW

Canada

USA

Germany

Japan

Era of Distributed Generation• Here Now• Resilient, Not Brittle• Short Lead Times• Near Load, Less Losses• Opportunity for Many• Fosters Energy Awareness

Alberta, Canada Ontario, Canada

Distributed Wind Energy

Hohe Westerwald, Germany

Distributed Wind Energy

Thy, Denmark

Why the European Success?

• #1 Public InvolvementGermany & Denmark

• #2 Advanced Renewable Tariffs16 EU Countries use Electricity Feed Laws

OSEA’s ARTs Campaign

• Enlist Support for Community Power

• Stir Enthusiasm Among Farmers

and other Rural Landowners

• Create Grassroots Political Support

• Adapt European Model to Canada

• Place ARTs on the Political Agenda

What is Community Power?• Local

Rooted in and Responsible to the Community

• Locally OwnedCooperative, First Nation, Farmer-Owned

• Commercial-Scale Generation

• Small Projects Making a Big Difference

Why Community Wind?• Participation = Greater Acceptance

• Distributed = Greater Resiliency

• Clean & Green (Mostly)

• Human Scale

• Enables Local Ownership

• New Cash Crop For Farmers

Danish Co-ops (Vindmølleaug or Fællesmølle)

• 1/4 Capacity Nationwide

• ~ $1.7CAD Billion

• 100,000 Households Own Shares

• 5% of PopulationVelling Mærsk-Tændpibe

German Co-ops (Bürgerbeteiligung)

• 1/3 Total Capacity

• ~$7CAD Billion

• 300,000 Own Shares

• 2/3 Schleswig-Holstein

• 4/5 Nordfriesland Amt

Hooksiel, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany

Sydthy Kabelaug Denmark

• 16 km of Buried Cable

• Direct to HV Network

• 26 x V27s (225 kW)

• ~1 Million kWh/unit

• Mostly Pig Farmers

Middelgrunden Co-op København

• 20 x 2 MW Off-shore

• 1/2 Owned by Co-op

• 1/2 Owned by Utility

• 8,500 Investors

• ~$1,000CAD per Share

• Visible from Folketing

©Bonus a/s

Wieringemeer Noord Holland

• 5 x 600 kW

• Co-owned 1/2 by Two Farmers

1/4 by Manufacturer

1/4 by Utility

Toronto WindShare

• First Urban Turbine in N.A.• Co-Owned

WindShare Co-opToronto Hydro

• Prominent Location• Highly Visible• Highly Popular

Goals for Ontario?• Need Ambitious Targets

Bold Vision Enlists Public SupportOntario’s 10% Target--ModestGermany--50%!PEI--100% Renewable 2015

• Aiming Low Never the Road to Success

• Bold MeasuresCut Consumption Dramatically (1/3)Implement Advanced Renewable Tariffs

New Deal for Ontario Farmers

Advanced Renewable Tariffs• What Are They?

Feed Laws or Minimum Price Systems

Political Price, Not Political QuotaSimple Contracts

• How Do They Work?Simple, Comprehensible, TransparentLittle Administration

• Where?

Renewable Energy Tariffs Status

ExisitingRegulations

PendingProposed

Austria China India

Brazil Ireland California (PV)

France PEI, Canada Italy (PV)

Germany Washington State Ontario

Greece Turkey (Wind)

Portugal Czech Republic

Spain Minnesota C-BED

The Netherlands

Germany’s Renewable TariffsThe Results

• Renewables from EEG 9% of Supply

• Renewables Generating 40 TWh/yr

• 45,000 Employed in Wind Industry

• 15,000 Employed in PV Industry

• 135,000 Employed in Renewables

• 110,000 Jobs in Wind by 2010

Germany’s Renewable TariffsThe Results

• 110,000 PV Installations

• 2,000 Biomass Plants

• 6,000 Hydro Plants

• 16,500 Wind Turbines

• Total of 135,000 Generators!

DeWind

Solar PV in Germany• 2004

20,000 New Systems

$3 Billion CAD

Total of 110,000 Systems

Total 700 MW

2X Wind in Canada!

• Costs Dropped 25%Since 1999

Potential Economic Benefits of Advanced Renewable Tariffs

Kirkby Moor, Britain

Wind Energy Tariffs--A Job Creation Engine

Europe Direct Indirect Total

Germany 7,500 37,500 45,000

Denmark 8,600 4,300 13,000

Spain 7,000 15,000 22,000

Total 80,000

Enercon, Aurich, Germany

Advanced Renewable Tariffs in North America . . . Unthinkable?

• Yes, 2 years ago

• Today? No

• Now Possible

• No Longer on the Fringe

• Growing Trendin both USA & Canada

Willingness to Pay Premium. . . Unthinkable?

• PEI Gasoline Price Regulation

• NS Premier Hamm Proposes Gasoline Price Regulation

• Local Content (Quebec)

• Why?

Social Economy-Jobs

Rural Development

Halifax Herald, May 20, 2005

Advanced Renewable Tariffs in North America

• Momentum Building PEIWashington State (Signed)Minnesota C-BED (Passed)Oregon PUC DecisionCalifornia (Introduced)Ontario (<10 MW Draft)

• Desire for Manufacturing Jobs • Awareness that ARTs Deliver Results

Advanced Renewable TariffsFrom Fringe to Mainstream

in North America

• Ontario Liberal Party

• National Farmers UnionOntario & Canada

• Great Lakes United (NGO)

• BCWEA, CanWEA, CanSIA

• Sierra Club (USA)

Ferndale, Ontario

Advanced Renewable Tariffsin Ontario?

• We’re Not There Yet!

• Could or Could Not HappenWe’ll Know Soon

• Bureaucrats Fear Cost--and Change

• Politicians Fear the Bureaucrats

• Yet Surprising Progress in <2 years

Renewable Tariffs are About People--

and Opportunity

Advanced Renewable Tariffs Are About Equity

• Feed Laws are Fair

• Nearly All Can PlayFarmers, Ranchers, First Nations, &

Co-ops

Renewables:

When You Look Closely . . . . . . Worth Every Cent

Renewable Energy

Technology for Life*

*from Theologian N.F.S. Grundtvig

Renewables Work!

www.ontario-sea.org

www.wind-works.org