an introduction to risk

20
Imagine you’re driving down this road. You’re alone. How fast are you driving

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Post on 20-Jan-2015

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A short introduction to the concepts of risk and how risk is determined factoring probability and consequence. Three video's are used during the presentation to stimulate discussion about risk, probability and consequence. The videos in order are: 1. A husband and wife running running across a railway track and nearly getting hit by a very fast training. 2. A training running through the middle of a series of market stalls. (The market is built over the train track). 3. Maintenance of very high voltage electrical feeders.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: An Introduction to Risk

Imagine you’re driving down this road.You’re alone.

How fast are you driving

Page 2: An Introduction to Risk

RiskRiskRiskRisk

Page 3: An Introduction to Risk

RiskRisk

What is risk?What is risk?

Page 4: An Introduction to Risk

Risk is a measure of the probability of an undesired event occurring

multiplied by the severity of the consequences.

Probability x Consequence = Risk

Risk is a measure of the probability of an undesired event occurring

multiplied by the severity of the consequences.

Probability x Consequence = Risk

RiskRisk

Page 5: An Introduction to Risk

•Continuous - Many times per day

•Frequent - Approximately once daily

•Occasional - Once a week to once a month

•Unusual - Once a month to once a year

•Rare - Has been known to occur

•Very rare - Not known to have occurred

RISK PROBABILITY (P) RISK PROBABILITY (P)

Page 6: An Introduction to Risk

RISK CONSEQUENCES (C) RISK CONSEQUENCES (C)

Catastrophe Multiple loss of life$20,000,000

damage5 days track

closure

Disaster Loss of life$5,000,000 damage,

1 days track closure

Very seriousMultiple

permanent injury$2,000,000

damage8 hour track

closure

SeriousPermanent or serious injury

$500,0004 hour track

closure

Important Lost time injury $20,0002 hour track

closure

Noticeable No lost time injury No damage No track closure

Page 7: An Introduction to Risk

RiskRisk

Imagine you’re driving down this road.You’re alone.

How fast are you drivingImagine you’re driving down this road.And your baby daughter is in the back seat

Now how fast are you driving

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VideosVideos

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The Worlds Fastest IndianThe Worlds Fastest Indian

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Marketing a Train in BangkokMarketing a Train in Bangkok

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High Level MaintenanceHigh Level Maintenance

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DiscussionDiscussion

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