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Page 1: An Analysis of the Maricopa Region · The maps on this poster depict the methods utilized in identifying and analyzing existing and future job centers in the MAG region. The Major

INDIAN BEND RD

McDONALD DR

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

McKELLIPS RD

BROWN RD

UNIVERSITY DR

BROADWAY RD

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

GUADALUPE RD

ELLIOT RD

WARNER RD

RAY RD

WILLIAMS FIELD RD

PECOS RD

GERMANN RD

OCOTILLO RD

RIGGS RD

HUNT HWY

SHEA BLVD

CACTUS RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CHAPARRAL RD

CHANDLER HEIGHTS RD

QUEEN CREEK RD

BEARDSLEY RD

UNION HILLS DR

BELL RD

GREENWAY RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CACTUS RD

PEORIA AVE

OLIVE AVE

NORTHERN AVE

GLENDALE AVE

BETHANY HOME RD

CAMELBACK RD

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

VAN BUREN ST

BUCKEYE RD

LOWER BUCKEYE RD

BROADWAY RD

JOMAX RD

PATTON RD

DIXILETA DR

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

PINNACLE PEAK RD

DEER VALLEY DR

HAPPY VALLEY RD

PE

RR

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67T

H A

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51S

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43R

D A

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35T

H A

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27T

H A

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19T

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7T

H A

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7T

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16T

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32N

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RD

ME

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IAN

RD

RIO VERDE RD

LONE MOUNTAIN RD

CAREFREE HWY

MesaMesa

TempeTempe

TollesonTolleson

YoungtownYoungtown

GlendaleGlendale

SurpriseSurprise

GoodyearGoodyear

PeoriaPeoria

ScottsdaleScottsdale

WickenburgWickenburg

BuckeyeBuckeye

GilbertGilbert

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Fountain

Hills

Fountain

Hills

ChandlerChandler

PhoenixPhoenix

Gila River

Indian Community

Gila River

Indian Community

Cave CreekCave Creek

El

Mirage

El

Mirage

AvondaleAvondale

Litchfield

Park

Litchfield

Park

GuadalupeGuadalupe

Paradise

Valley

Paradise

Valley

CarefreeCarefree

Queen CreekQueen Creek

U n d e r s t a n d i n g C u r r e n t & F u t u r e J o b C e n t e r sU n d e r s t a n d i n g C u r r e n t & F u t u r e J o b C e n t e r sA n A n a l y s i s o f t h e M a r i c o p a R e g i o nA n A n a l y s i s o f t h e M a r i c o p a R e g i o n

302 North 1st Avenue, Suite 300, Phoenix, AZ 85003Tel: (602) 254-6300. www.mag.maricopa.gov

INDIAN BEND RD

McDONALD DR

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

McKELLIPS RD

BROWN RD

UNIVERSITY DR

BROADWAY RD

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

GUADALUPE RD

ELLIOT RD

WARNER RD

RAY RD

WILLIAMS FIELD RD

PECOS RD

GERMANN RD

OCOTILLO RD

RIGGS RD

HUNT HWY

SHEA BLVD

CACTUS RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CHAPARRAL RD

CHANDLER HEIGHTS RD

QUEEN CREEK RD

BEARDSLEY RD

UNION HILLS DR

BELL RD

GREENWAY RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CACTUS RD

PEORIA AVE

OLIVE AVE

NORTHERN AVE

GLENDALE AVE

BETHANY HOME RD

CAMELBACK RD

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

VAN BUREN ST

BUCKEYE RD

LOWER BUCKEYE RD

BROADWAY RD

JOMAX RD

PATTON RD

DIXILETA DR

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

PINNACLE PEAK RD

DEER VALLEY DR

HAPPY VALLEY RD

PE

RR

YV

ILLE

RD

CO

TT

ON

LN

SA

RIV

AL

AV

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AR

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10

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91

ST

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83

RD

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EL

LS

WO

RT

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CR

ISM

ON

RD

SIG

NA

L B

UT

TE

RD

ME

RID

IAN

RD

RIO VERDE RD

LONE MOUNTAIN RD

CAREFREE HWY

MesaMesa

TempeTempe

TollesonTolleson

YoungtownYoungtown

GlendaleGlendale

SurpriseSurprise

GoodyearGoodyear

PeoriaPeoria

ScottsdaleScottsdale

WickenburgWickenburg

BuckeyeBuckeye

GilbertGilbert

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Fountain

Hills

Fountain

Hills

ChandlerChandler

PhoenixPhoenix

Gila River

Indian Community

Gila River

Indian Community

Cave CreekCave Creek

El

Mirage

El

Mirage

AvondaleAvondale

Litchfield

Park

Litchfield

Park

GuadalupeGuadalupe

Paradise

Valley

Paradise

Valley

CarefreeCarefree

Queen CreekQueen Creek

2 0 3 0 J o b C o n c e n t r a t i o n2 0 3 0 J o b C o n c e n t r a t i o n

2 0 0 0 E m p l o y m e n t b y T y p e o f 2 0 0 0 E m p l o y m e n t b y T y p e o f E m p l o y m e n t & N u m b e r o f E m p l o y e e sE m p l o y m e n t & N u m b e r o f E m p l o y e e s

E x i s t i n g a n d F u t u r e J o b C e n t e r sE x i s t i n g a n d F u t u r e J o b C e n t e r s

INDIAN BEND RD

McDONALD DR

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

McKELLIPS RD

BROWN RD

UNIVERSITY DR

BROADWAY RD

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

GUADALUPE RD

ELLIOT RD

WARNER RD

RAY RD

WILLIAMS FIELD RD

PECOS RD

GERMANN RD

OCOTILLO RD

RIGGS RD

HUNT HWY

SHEA BLVD

CACTUS RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CHAPARRAL RD

CHANDLER HEIGHTS RD

QUEEN CREEK RD

BEARDSLEY RD

UNION HILLS DR

BELL RD

GREENWAY RD

THUNDERBIRD RD

CACTUS RD

PEORIA AVE

OLIVE AVE

NORTHERN AVE

GLENDALE AVE

BETHANY HOME RD

CAMELBACK RD

INDIAN SCHOOL RD

THOMAS RD

McDOWELL RD

VAN BUREN ST

BUCKEYE RD

LOWER BUCKEYE RD

BROADWAY RD

JOMAX RD

PATTON RD

DIXILETA DR

SOUTHERN AVE

BASELINE RD

PINNACLE PEAK RD

DEER VALLEY DR

HAPPY VALLEY RD

PE

RR

YV

ILLE

RD

CO

TT

ON

LN

SA

RIV

AL

AV

E

CIT

RU

S R

D

RE

EM

S R

D

BU

LLA

RD

AV

E

LIT

CH

FIE

LD

RD

DY

SA

RT

RD

EL M

IRA

GE

RD

115T

H A

VE

107T

H A

VE

99T

H A

VE

91S

T A

VE

83R

D A

VE

75T

H A

VE

67T

H A

VE

59T

H A

VE

51S

T A

VE

43R

D A

VE

35T

H A

VE

27T

H A

VE

19T

H A

VE

7T

H A

VE

7T

H S

T

16T

H S

T

24T

H S

T

32N

D S

T

40T

H S

T

48T

H S

T

56T

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T

KY

RE

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RD

RU

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A D

R

GR

EE

NF

IELD

RD

HIG

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D

RE

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RD

PO

WE

R R

D

SO

SS

AM

AN

RD

HA

WE

S R

D

ELL

SW

OR

TH

RD

CR

ISM

ON

RD

SIG

NA

L B

UT

TE

RD

ME

RID

IAN

RD

RIO VERDE RD

LONE MOUNTAIN RD

CAREFREE HWY

MesaMesa

TempeTempe

TollesonTolleson

YoungtownYoungtown

GlendaleGlendale

SurpriseSurprise

GoodyearGoodyear

PeoriaPeoria

ScottsdaleScottsdale

WickenburgWickenburg

BuckeyeBuckeye

GilbertGilbert

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Salt River Pima-Maricopa

Indian Community

Fountain

Hills

Fountain

Hills

ChandlerChandler

PhoenixPhoenix

Gila River

Indian Community

Gila River

Indian Community

Cave CreekCave Creek

El

Mirage

El

Mirage

AvondaleAvondale

Litchfield

Park

Litchfield

Park

GuadalupeGuadalupe

Paradise

Valley

Paradise

Valley

CarefreeCarefree

Queen CreekQueen Creek

MPA Boundary

Job Concentration (jobs/acre) *

No Employment

1 - 5

5 - 10

10 - 15

15 - 20

Greater than 20

National Monument

Regional Park

Other Conservation Area

Other Open Space

* Jobs averaged across a 1 mile radius

2 0 0 0 P e a k T r a v e l T i m e t o J o b C e n t e r2 0 0 0 P e a k T r a v e l T i m e t o J o b C e n t e r

Job Center Analysis The Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) projects population and

employment for Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ) in Maricopa County, Arizona,

primarily for regional transportation planning. There are many databases created

for that process, including a Major Employer Database that contains 70% of all

wage and salary jobs in the county, and estimates of total jobs by TAZ.

Additionally, MAG compiles a �regional composite� of local general plans. There

are new state laws that require all communities to update their general plan every

ten years, beginning in 2001. Significant land use changes have resulted.

This year, MAG applied many of these databases to economic development in

the region. MAG planning and economic development directors identified their

community job centers. As a result, MAG has compiled a �regional composite� of job centers in the region.

The maps on this poster depict the methods utilized in identifying and analyzing

existing and future job centers in the MAG region. The Major Employer

Database was geocoded and stratified by employment type and number of

employees. An analysis of future employment at build out was also conducted

using the MAG Sub-area Allocation Model (SAM-IM). A neighborhood grid

analysis depicting employment averaged across a one-mile radius is shown here.

The job centers were analyzed utilizing the land use data at MAG (existing land

use, general plans, and known future developments) and the travel times to job

centers were derived from the transportation models.

Next Steps

This analysis will help with two of the major regional planning efforts that are

currently underway in Metro Phoenix.

First, Metro Phoenix�s regional economic development agency is developing and

implementing an economic development strategy that focuses on high quality

industry clusters. MAG is providing an industry cluster profile and competitive

economic development site factor profiles for each community�s job centers. The

regional economic development strategy will have a geographic component, so

that each MAG member agency can develop and implement a community

economic development strategy.

Second, MAG is preparing a Regional Transportation Plan (RTP) for 2030. In

1960, a similar long-range plan was developed that formed the basis of the

freeway system that will be completed in 2007. Through this job center analysis,

MAG will identify regional job centers that will help indicate the spatial distribution

of socioeconomic variables in the future and the transportation connectivity

required for the RTP.

EMPLOYMENT TYPE

Retail/Commercial

Industrial

Office

Business Park

EMPLOYMENT

50 - 499

500 or More

Travel time to Downtown Phoenix

Travel time to Downtown Mesa

Travel time to Buckeye

T r a v e l T i m e ( m i n s )

0 - 15

16 - 30

31 - 45

46 - 60

61 - 75

76 - 100

Future Center - No Infrastructure

Developed Centers

Existing Center - Expansion Potential

Revitalization Center

Retail Office Industrial Public Other Retail Office Industrial Public OtherAvondale 1,900 1,600 2,100 1,600 2,000 11,000 19,800 14,300 10,200 4,100

Buckeye 1,000 600 1,300 3,300 1,000 53,900 40,900 34,700 16,300 48,600

Carefree 400 400 0 0 700 900 1,200 0 300 800

Cave Creek 600 0 0 0 100 1,500 800 0 200 1,200

Chandler 18,900 2,800 30,800 7,800 10,800 54,000 45,700 53,600 21,400 9,900

County 10,900 5,600 3,900 4,400 6,900 16,900 7,400 6,300 10,600 13,300

El Mirage 300 0 1,100 300 200 2,600 6,900 11,700 900 1,500

Fountain Hills 900 1,500 500 600 800 1,500 3,700 600 1,500 1,300

Gila Bend 100 0 700 300 100 2,800 2,300 1,700 3,000 1,900

Gila River 500 100 2,100 200 700 2,800 1,100 3,400 600 700

Gilbert 6,900 4,400 10,800 5,500 7,400 34,600 16,000 40,000 18,400 9,200

Glendale 28,000 10,600 11,000 18,500 16,500 46,300 55,300 52,000 22,000 14,600

Goodyear 4,000 700 3,300 1,200 4,800 25,500 8,300 37,300 8,800 25,900

Guadalupe 100 0 100 100 300 300 100 900 200 300

Litchfield Park 100 0 100 100 900 1,200 200 1,000 600 1,300

Mesa 60,400 24,200 37,200 25,400 24,800 77,800 78,400 92,200 45,400 24,300

Paradise Valley 300 700 100 800 3,600 300 700 100 800 4,100

Peoria 10,000 2,800 2,800 4,700 8,000 32,000 35,700 29,600 19,300 24,800

Phoenix 182,400 209,400 163,300 100,700 85,300 275,600 375,700 323,600 164,300 124,800

Queen Creek 200 0 600 500 300 3,900 9,400 15,500 4,800 3,300

Salt River 1,900 0 3,900 1,200 400 9,900 0 4,800 4,700 200

Scottsdale 44,700 56,300 14,700 9,700 26,700 59,700 84,300 25,900 11,900 33,100

Surprise 3,800 400 1,000 900 2,900 25,800 42,100 15,000 8,100 27,400

Tempe 33,000 36,800 57,900 20,100 14,600 40,100 82,200 77,500 28,200 13,100

Tolleson 900 400 7,900 600 3,000 4,300 400 24,700 700 800

Wickenburg 2,500 0 100 800 700 3,300 0 4,000 2,200 2,200

Youngtown 400 0 100 100 600 500 200 100 100 700

TOTAL 415,100 359,200 357,200 209,300 224,000 788,700 918,800 870,500 405,500 393,500

* Rounded to the nearest hundred

Interim 2000 and 2030 Employment *

MPA2000 Employment 2030 Employment

Other employment includes work-at-home and construction employment. Because construction employment follows development,

employment projections may show declines in future years.

These projections include the Maricopa County portion of Peoria, Queen Creek, and the Gila River Indian Community only.

Please refer to Caveats for Interim Projections for complete notation on this series.

Accepted by the MAG Regional Council, June 25, 2003