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THE POWER OF ATTRACTION:
QUEENSLAND IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT
Phil Honeywood
CEO, IEAA
IET Summit 2017
28 March, Gold Coast
THE GLOBAL CONTEXT
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United States
26%
United
Kingdom
13%
Australia
8%
France
7%
Germany
7%
Other OECD
countries
29%
Non-OECD
countries
10%
Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators
There are approximately 5 million tertiary students
studying abroad – an increase of 67 per cent since 2005.
Chart 1:
Distribution of international
students in tertiary education by
country of destination (2014)
THE GLOBAL CONTEXT
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
United States United
Kingdom
Australia France Germany Other OECD
countries
Non-OECD
countries
2000
2014
Chart 2: International education market shares between 2000 and 2014
Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators
THE GLOBAL CONTEXT
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Chart 3: International student enrolments as a percentage of total enrolments (2014)
Source: Education at a Glance 2016: OECD Indicators
Australia has the third highest proportion of international
students (18%), behind Luxembourg (44%) and NZ (19%).
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BREXIT AND TRUMP: PUSH/PULL EFFECT?
US: post-Trump LATAM and Middle East students not feeling welcome
39% of US universities reporting decline in international apps (AACARO, IIE, NAFSA, NACAC, International ACAC)
UK: post-Brexit Will EU students look beyond the UK?
Recruitment of non-EU students “virtually stagnant” (Dominic Scott, UKCISA)
Europe: rise of right wing parties/governments not friendly to foreign students
Is Australia poised to see a subsequent increase? Increasingly seen as a safer, high-quality destination
Austrade considering a second LATAM education counsellor
post in Mexico (in addition to Brazil)
5
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OTHER SOBERING TRENDS
OECD mobility figures positive, but:
Newly competing education hubs e.g. China, Malaysia, Singapore
Non-English speaking destinations increasingly popular
International schools in Asia massive enrolment
increases
Expanding field of providers, products
and online provision
6
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AUSTRALIA: UNDERSTANDING THE QUANTUM
Currently 554,000 international students These numbers could almost double to nearly
990,000 by 2025 (Deloitte Access Economics)
National export income: $21 billion, 3rd largest export
130,000 Australians employed in the sector
Student enrolments increased 10.9% in 2016:
But how is Queensland’s market share faring?
7
2016 ENROLMENTS PERCENTAGE GROWTH ON 2015
Higher education 306,691 43% 12.9%
VET 187,801 26% 11.6%
ELICOS 151,110 21% 4.3%
Schools 23,325 3% 13.6%
Non-award 43,957 6% 17.3%
TOTAL 712,884 100% 10.9%
QUEENSLAND’S MARKET SHARE 2013–2016
QLD has 16.4% market share in 2016 (-1.1% since 2013)
By contrast: Victoria is up 1.5%
QLD 8.7% cumulative growth over the past 4 years By contrast: Victoria +13%, NSW +11.5%, Tasmania: +16%
Source: Darragh Murray (QUT) / Department of Education and Training
Figure 2: International commencements (all sectors) by state/territory, 2013–2016.
LATEST ENROLMENTS: YTD DEC 2016
All sectors
NATIONALITY NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT NAT TOTAL
% diff.
on YTD
Dec
2015
China 74,477 68,179 22,154 14,047 7,297 2,035 188 7,936 2 196,315 +15.34%
India 18,900 34,347 12,103 3,563 7,930 587 292 702 0 78,424 +8.17%
South Korea 14,269 5,381 7,021 939 2,197 211 43 534 0 30,595 +6.51%
Thailand 19,138 7,071 2,641 272 978 89 69 193 0 30,451 +8.89%
Vietnam 9,847 13,038 2,445 1,565 2,251 137 90 393 0 29,766 +0.65%
Brazil 13,945 3,197 8,398 793 3,015 32 7 50 3 29,440 +19.33%
Malaysia 5,606 13,162 3,182 1,775 3,699 709 24 345 2 28,504 +18.16%
Nepal 14,366 3,906 2,097 774 987 209 382 91 0 22,812 +15.17%
Indonesia 11,219 5,432 974 354 1,299 23 149 281 0 19,731 +2.23%
Hong Kong 5,146 4,339 3,476 2,013 2,133 171 28 280 0 17,586 +10.33%
Other 81,600 62,698 47,010 8,108 23,488 1,672 1,047 3,634 3 229,260 +8.03%
TOTAL 268,513 220,750 111,501 34,203 55,274 5,875 2,319 14,439 10 712,884 +10.49%
Source: Department of Education and Training, December 2016
LATEST COMMENCEMENTS: YTD DEC 2016
All sectors
NATIONALITY NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT NAT TOTAL
% diff.
on YTD
Dec
2015
China 41,182 36,100 13,216 7,432 3,922 1,261 96 4,312 0 107,521 +14.92%
India 10,032 18,266 5,954 1,788 5,000 266 114 284 0 41,704 +1.58%
Brazil 10,102 2,262 6,285 459 2,134 26 3 26 0 21,297 +17.96%
Thailand 12,385 4,728 1,818 169 651 54 44 106 0 19,955 +6.45%
South Korea 8,822 3,371 4,316 510 1,455 134 21 281 0 18,910 +6.78%
Vietnam 5,774 7,279 1,267 887 1,359 89 40 194 0 16,889 +1.14%
Malaysia 3,343 7,605 1,441 732 1,956 319 11 140 0 15,547 +26.61%
Colombia 3,657 4,462 3,338 162 963 8 7 29 0 12,626 +21.16%
Nepal 7,851 2,019 1,041 546 570 82 195 30 0 12,334 +15.80%
Taiwan 2,723 2,802 3,117 327 1,769 68 93 83 0 10,982 +18.78%
Other 53,304 34,668 26,135 5,026 13,916 883 460 2,135 0 136,527 +6.48%
TOTAL 159,175 123,562 67,928 18,038 33,695 3,190 1,084 7,620 0 414,292 +9.61%
Source: Department of Education and Training, December 2016
KEY PRIORITIES FOR AUSTRALIA & QLD
Employability
International student accommodation
Student and academic mobility
Transnational education (TNE)
Research collaboration
Education agent quality assurance
Community impact research
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111,404 offshore students enrolled in Australian universities in 2014, numbers stable 68% undergraduate, 72% full-time
Diversification of modes of program delivery: Pathways (foundation, diplomas)
Mobility between locations
Joint masters and doctorates
Major focus on non-award transnational education: Web and app-based online learning,
(e.g. 3P Learning has over 4.8 million users globally)
Short courses
Workplace training
Licensing curriculum
TAFE Queensland has contracted with Indonesian
Ministry for offshore delivery initiatives
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TRANSNATIONAL EDUCATION
THE QUEENSLAND OFFER
Relaxed beach culture/clean, green environment
Inexpensive living costs compared to most states
Large and growing migrant diaspora from many
key student source countries
Unique regional and tropical climate related
course offerings
Great availability of part-time work opportunities
for international students
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