the outlook for energy...the outlook for energy: a view to 2040 rob gardner. 2 exxonmobil 2015...
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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading "Factors Affecting Future Results" in the Investors section of our website at: www.exxonmobil.com. The information provided includes ExxonMobil's internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well as publically-available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved.
The Outlook for Energy:A View to 2040
Rob Gardner
2
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs
‘10
‘25
‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation
Electricity Generation Leads Growth
3
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Primary Energy Demand by SectorQuadrillion BTUs
‘10 ‘25 ‘40
Transportation Res/CommIndustrialElectricity Generation
United States Energy Demand
4
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Sector DemandMBDOE
Light Duty
Marine
Rail
Heavy Duty
Aviation
Transportation Demand
5
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
2040 LDV Fleet
Base Fleet
Population Growth
Improved Standard of Living
Light Duty Vehicle Fleet and DemandWorld LDV DemandMBDOE
Improved Standardof Living
Population Growth
Million
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
EnergySavings
6
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Range of Average Vehicle EfficiencyOn-Road Miles per Gallon
U.S.
Average Fleet
Europe
Light Duty Vehicle EfficiencyFleet by TypeMillion
7
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
U.S. Light Duty Vehicles
PercentU.S. New Vehicles
Boosted
Hybrid
Elec/PHEVDiesel
Light Duty VehiclesMillion
8
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Today’s Vehicle Technology Choices – U.S.5-Year Cost of Ownership vs Conventional2014 $k
Fuel Savings
Cost aboveConventional
~$30k
9
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
OECD*
Key Growth
China
India
Rest of World
Heavy Duty Demand by Region
Heavy Duty Transportation
MBDOE
*Mexico and Turkey included in Key Growth countries
Heavy Duty Demand by FuelMBDOE
Gasoline
Diesel
Other
Gas
10
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
MBDOE
Growth Technology
Truck Size
Heavy Duty Vehicle Efficiency
OperatingInefficiencies
New Truck Efficiency% Improvement, 2010-2040
Engine
Transmission
Tires
Aero
Hybrid
Logistics & Congestion
Truck Size
Efficiency Impact on Fuel Demand
11
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Transportation Fuel DemandWorldMBDOE
United StatesMBDOE
Diesel
Gasoline
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Jet FuelFuel Oil
OtherNatural Gas
For more information, visit exxonmobil.com/energyoutlook
or download the ExxonMobil app
14
ExxonMobil 2015 Outlook for Energy
Billion Tonnes
Energy-Related CO2 Emissions by Sector
Transportation
Electricity Generation
Industrial
Res/Comm
OECD Non OECDBillion Tonnes
Transportation
Electricity Generation
Industrial
Res/Comm
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